Try the model
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · FirstBank Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadCHSO aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreCHSO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:31 · Gilbert Brown punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VAN 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 15Pregame prior+47.2Home team on offense+1.2Score differential+0.3Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:59: Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 12 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK) — VAN win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:19: AJ Newberry run for 4 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK) — VAN win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:11: Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 26 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK) — VAN win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3CHSO made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 8:31CHSO 4th & 13 at CHSO 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  2. Q2 9:14CHSO 4th & 6 at CHSO 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:02VAN 4th & 6 at CHSO 46, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:02CHSO 4th & 16 at CHSO 14, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:59CHSO 4th & 1 at CHSO 44, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:00CHSO 4th & 4 at CHSO 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:26VAN 4th & 9 at VAN 39, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:14CHSO 4th & 5 at CHSO 10, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:48VAN 4th & 8 at CHSO 17, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:26CHSO 4th & 16 at CHSO 19, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:48CHSO 4th & 14 at VAN 39, down 45
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:07CHSO 4th & 7 at VAN 21, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:13VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:59VAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:19VAN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:11VAN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:47VAN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:14VAN Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:3899% → 99%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.0%
Sedrick Alexander run for 7 yds to the VAN 32Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
99.0%
Diego Pavia run for 9 yds to the VAN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
98.9%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Kayleb Barnett for 13 yds to the CHSO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
98.9%
Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the CHSO 41Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+12
98.8%
Sedrick Alexander run for 12 yds to the CHSO 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
98.8%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Tre Richardson for 8 yds to the CHSO 21Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+12
98.7%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Tre Richardson for 12 yds to the CHSO 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.7%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Kayleb Barnett for 9 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:361% → 1%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.7%
Brandon Musch run for 2 yds to the CHSO 27Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
98.7%
Zolten Osborne pass complete to Chris Rhone for no gain to the CHSO 27Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
98.6%
PENALTY CSU Illegal Snap (Joe,Justin) 5 yards from CSU27 to CSU22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
98.6%
Zolten Osborne pass incomplete to Jamil BishopSimilar
Q1 8:31
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
98.6%
Gilbert Brown punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VAN 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 1:1899% → 99%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+41
98.6%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 41 yds to the CHSO 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
98.6%
Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Junior SherrillSimilar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
98.6%
Makhilyn Young run for no gain to the CHSO 12Similar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+12
98.7%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 12 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 4INT
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:471% → 2%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.6%
Brandon Musch run for 8 yds to the CHSO 33Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
98.6%
Brandon Musch run for 1 yd to the CHSO 34Similar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
98.5%
Brandon Musch run for 5 yds to the CHSO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
98.5%
Brandon Musch run for 3 yds to the CHSO 42Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+4
98.4%
Zolten Osborne pass complete to Chris Rhone for 4 yds to the CHSO 46Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+17
98.4%
Zolten Osborne pass complete to Jamil Bishop for 17 yds to the VAN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
98.4%
Zolten Osborne pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5TD
16 plays · 89 yds · 7:3599% → 99%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
98.5%
Diego Pavia run for 8 yds to the VAN 19Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 2
OWN 19
0
98.4%
Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Martel HightSimilar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+6
98.4%
Sedrick Alexander run for 6 yds to the VAN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Diego Pavia pass incomplete to AJ NewberrySimilar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
98.4%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Tre Richardson for 12 yds to the VAN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
98.4%
Diego Pavia run for 5 yds to the VAN 42Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+17
98.4%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Tre Richardson for 17 yds to the CHSO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
98.4%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Martel Hight for no gain to the CHSO 41Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+6
98.3%
Sedrick Alexander run for 6 yds to the CHSO 35Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+18
98.2%
Sedrick Alexander run for 18 yds to the CHSO 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
98.2%
PENALTY Vandy Delay Of Game (Pavia,Diego) 5 yards from CSU17 to CSU22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 15
OPP 22
+10
98.1%
Sedrick Alexander run for 10 yds to the CHSO 12Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 5
OPP 12
0
98.1%
Diego Pavia run for no gain to the CHSO 12Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+8
98.0%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Richie Hoskins for 8 yds to the CHSO 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.9%
AJ Newberry run for 4 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:441% → 1%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
98.8%
Tyson Greenwade run for 4 yds to the CHSO 19Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 6
OWN 19
0
98.8%
Zolten Osborne pass incomplete to Chris RhoneSimilar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 6
OWN 19
0
98.8%
Zolten Osborne pass incomplete to Quay KindellSimilar
Q2 9:14
4TH & 6
OWN 19
0
98.8%
Gilbert Brown punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VAN 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:0399% → 99%
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
99.0%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Martel Hight for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.0%
Tristen Brown run for 2 yds to the CHSO 48Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-5
99.0%
PENALTY Vandy False Start (McConnell,Cade) 5 yards from CSU48 to Vandy47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+9
99.0%
Diego Pavia run for 9 yds to the CHSO 44Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 4
OPP 44
-2
99.0%
AJ Newberry run for a loss of 2 yards to the CHSO 46Similar
Q2 6:02
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
99.0%
Nick Haberer punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:561% → 1%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.7%
Zolten Osborne pass incomplete to Rashawn CunninghamSimilar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-6
98.7%
Brandon Musch run for a loss of 6 yards to the CHSO 14Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 16
OWN 14
0
98.7%
Zolten Osborne pass incomplete to Jamil BishopSimilar
Q2 5:02
4TH & 16
OWN 14
0
98.7%
Gilbert Brown punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Martel Hight at the VAN 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 1:4499% → 100%
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.0%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Kayleb Barnett for 8 yds to the VAN 44Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
99.0%
Diego Pavia pass incomplete to AJ NewberrySimilar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+5
99.0%
Diego Pavia run for 5 yds to the VAN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.1%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Pavia,Diego pass incomplete deep middle to Hudson,Trent thrown to CSU30 broken up by Paulk,Anthony PENALTY Vandy Holding offsetting CSU Pass Interference offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+25
99.1%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Tre Richardson for 25 yds to the CHSO 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
99.5%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 26 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 2:051% → 1%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.5%
Tyson Greenwade run for no gain to the CHSO 35Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-10
99.5%
(02:22) No Huddle-Shotgun Osborne,Zolten pass complete short middle to Kindell,Quay caught at CSU33, for 4 yards to the CSU39 (Fontenette,Randon) PENALTY CSU Holding (Moore,Nebanye) 10 yards from CSU35 to CSU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 20
OWN 25
+4
99.6%
Tyson Greenwade run for 4 yds to the CHSO 29Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+15
99.6%
Zolten Osborne pass complete to Quay Kindell for 15 yds to the CHSO 44Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Gilbert Brown punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Martel Hight at the VAN 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11END OF HALF
8 plays · 39 yds · 0:49100% → 100%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-3
99.6%
Diego Pavia sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the VAN 13Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 13
OWN 13
+27
99.7%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 27 yds to the VAN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
99.7%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 17 yds to the CHSO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
99.7%
(00:21) Shotgun Pavia,Diego pass complete deep left to Hoskins,Richie caught at CSU15, for 43 yards to the CSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:17 PENALTY Vandy Holding (Henderson,Bryce) 10 yards from CSU43 to Vandy47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 20
OWN 47
-10
99.7%
(00:14) Shotgun Pavia,Diego pass complete deep right to Sherrill,Junior caught at CSU33, for 20 yards to the CSU33, out of bounds at CSU33 PENALTY Vandy Holding (Glass,Isaia) 10 yards from Vandy47 to Vandy37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 30
OWN 37
+18
99.7%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 18 yds to the CHSO 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:551% → 0%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Zolten Osborne pass incomplete to Nebanye MooreSimilar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.2%
Brandon Musch run for 6 yds to the CHSO 31Similar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.7%
Zolten Osborne pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+11
99.7%
Gilbert Brown punt for 53 yds , Martel Hight returns for 11 yds to the VAN 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:28100% → 100%
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
99.7%
Sedrick Alexander run for 7 yds to the VAN 34Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+4
99.7%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 4 yds to the VAN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.7%
Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the VAN 43Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+1
99.8%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Richie Hoskins for 1 yd to the VAN 44Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 4
OWN 44
-5
99.8%
PENALTY Vandy False Start (Glass,Isaia) 5 yards from Vandy44 to Vandy39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Cole SpenceSimilar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Nick Haberer punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Quay Kindell at the CHSO 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
99.8%
Tyson Greenwade run for a loss of 2 yards to the CHSO 3Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 12
OWN 3
+4
99.8%
Tyson Greenwade run for 4 yds to the CHSO 7Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 8
OWN 7
+3
99.8%
Zolten Osborne pass complete to Chris Rhone for 3 yds to the CHSO 10Similar
Q3 8:14
4TH & 5
OWN 10
0
99.8%
Gilbert Brown punt for 11 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CHSO 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15TD
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.8%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for no gain to the CHSO 21Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+11
99.8%
Diego Pavia run for 11 yds to the CHSO 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
99.9%
Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the CHSO 9 Sedrick Alexander fumbled, recovered by CHSO Sedrick AlexanderSimilar
Q3 5:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
99.9%
(05:57) No Huddle-Shotgun Alexander,Sedrick rush left for 9 yards gain to the CSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 05:54 PENALTY Vandy Holding (Glass,Isaia) 10 yards from CSU09 to CSU19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
+15
99.9%
(05:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Pavia,Diego pass incomplete short right to Heard,CJ thrown to CSU00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CSU Pass Interference (Dixon,Avery) 15 yards from CSU19 to CSU04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Makhilyn Young run for 4 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 16FUMBLE
10 plays · 20 yds · 5:020% → 0%
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Zolten Osborne pass complete to Ke'Marion Baldwin for 3 yds to the CHSO 28Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
99.9%
Ke'Marion Baldwin run for 7 yds to the CHSO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Ke'Marion Baldwin run for no gain to the CHSO 35Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.9%
Isaiah Gordon run for 7 yds to the CHSO 42Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+7
99.9%
Zolten Osborne pass complete to Isaiah Gordon for 7 yds to the CHSO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
99.9%
Zolten Osborne pass complete to Mekhi Campfield for 5 yds to the VAN 46Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Isaiah Gordon run for no gain to the VAN 46Similar
Q3 0:31
3RD & 5
OPP 46
-9
99.9%
Zolten Osborne sacked by Miles Capers for a loss of 9 yards to the CHSO 45 Zolten Osborne fumbled, recovered by CHSO Khordae Sydnor , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17Uncategorized
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
99.9%
Sedrick Alexander run for 4 yds to the CHSO 41Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+6
99.9%
Blaze Berlowitz run for 6 yds to the CHSO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
99.9%
Tre Richardson run for 1 yd to the CHSO 34Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+5
99.9%
Blaze Berlowitz pass complete to Brycen Coleman for 5 yds to the CHSO 29Similar
Q4 12:47
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+10
99.9%
(12:47) Shotgun Berlowitz,Blaze pass intercepted by at CSU12 PENALTY CSU Pass Interference (Tucker,Canii) 10 yards from CSU29 to CSU19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:47
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+10
99.9%
(12:47) Shotgun Berlowitz,Blaze pass intercepted by Cook,Knai at CSU12 PENALTY CSU Pass Interference (Tucker,Canii) 10 yards from CSU29 to CSU19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:49100% → 100%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Blaze Berlowitz pass incomplete to Martel HightSimilar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+2
99.9%
Sedrick Alexander run for 2 yds to the CHSO 17Similar
Q4 11:51
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
99.9%
Blaze Berlowitz pass incomplete to Brycen ColemanSimilar
Q4 11:48
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+35
99.9%
Brock Taylor 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:100% → 0%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Zolten Osborne run for 2 yds to the CHSO 27Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
99.9%
Isaiah Gordon run for a loss of 1 yard to the CHSO 26Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-7
99.9%
Zolten Osborne sacked by Zaylin Wood for a loss of 7 yards to the CHSO 19Similar
Q4 9:26
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Gilbert Brown punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VAN 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
99.9%
Makhilyn Young run for 15 yds to the CHSO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
99.9%
Blaze Berlowitz run for 7 yds to the CHSO 37Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+2
99.9%
Gabe Fields run for 2 yds to the CHSO 35Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+35
99.9%
Jamezell Lassiter run for 35 yds for a TD (Mason Rohmiller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 21FG
16 plays · 54 yds · 6:470% → 0%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
100.0%
Jared Echols pass complete to Jamil Bishop for 19 yds to the CHSO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
100.0%
Isaiah Gordon run for 3 yds to the CHSO 47Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+3
100.0%
Jared Echols run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 4
50
+15
100.0%
(04:44) Shotgun Echols,Jared pass incomplete deep left to Bishop,Jamil thrown to Vandy24 broken up by Ruth,Jailen PENALTY Vandy Pass Interference (Ruth,Jailen) 15 yards from CSU50 to Vandy35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-14
100.0%
(04:41) No Huddle-Shotgun Gordon,Isaiah rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Vandy34 (Curtis,Jamison; Daniels,Cayden) PENALTY CSU Tripping (Lancaster,Josiah) 14 yards from Vandy35 to Vandy49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 24
OPP 49
-6
100.0%
Lek Powell sacked by Hayden Bray for a loss of 6 yards to the CHSO 45Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 30
OWN 45
+5
100.0%
Isaiah Gordon run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 25
50
+11
100.0%
Isaiah Gordon run for 11 yds to the VAN 39Similar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 14
OPP 39
+15
100.0%
Lek Powell pass complete to Hunter Green for 15 yds to the VAN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
100.0%
Isaiah Gordon run for 1 yd to the VAN 23Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 9
OPP 23
0
100.0%
Lek Powell pass incomplete to Rashawn CunninghamSimilar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+2
100.0%
Isaiah Gordon run for 2 yds to the VAN 21Similar
Q4 0:07
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+38
99.9%
Zach Gordon 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:19
AJ Newberry run for 4 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q2 3:11
Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 26 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q1 6:59
Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 12 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com