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UTSA

UTSA 24 at Texas A&M 42

TA&M
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:48 · Caile Hogan punt for 53 yds , Terry Bussey returns for 13 yds to the TA&M 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 129Pregame prior+16.2Home team on offense+21.1Score differential+7.2Garbage-time factor+5.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.0Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:33: Robert Henry Jr. run for 15 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK) — UTSA win probability +3.8 pts (now 13%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 5:38: Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 31 yds for a TD (Jared Zirkel KICK) — TA&M win probability +3.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:47: Robert Henry Jr. run for 75 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK) — UTSA win probability +6.8 pts (now 16%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:10: Marcel Reed pass complete to Theo Melin Ohrstrom for 1 yd for a TD (Jared Zirkel KICK) — TA&M win probability +6.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:48: Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 22 yds for a TD (Jared Zirkel KICK) — TA&M win probability +5.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 7 of 8UTSA made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 12:58TA&M 4th & 21 at TA&M 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:08UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:15TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:21UTSA 4th & 8 at UTSA 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:53UTSA 4th & 7 at TA&M 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:52UTSA 4th & 6 at TA&M 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00TA&M 4th & 10 at UTSA 47, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:51TA&M 4th & 8 at TA&M 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:41UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:10TA&M 4th & 1 at UTSA 1, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    80.4%−2.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    74.1%−8.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:36UTSA 4th & 9 at UTSA 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:48UTSA 4th & 9 at UTSA 26, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:00TA&M 4th & 7 at TA&M 37, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:45TA&M 4th & 7 at TA&M 36, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:34UTSA 4th & 20 at UTSA 7, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:02UTSA 4th & 6 at UTSA 28, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:22TA&M 4th & 8 at TA&M 31, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:33UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 48, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UTSA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 13:13TA&M Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:33UTSA Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:38TA&M Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:47UTSA Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:10TA&M Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:48TA&M Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:16TA&M Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:14UTSA Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:5293% → 93%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
93.4%
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 15 yds to the TA&M 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
93.3%
Texas A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ar'maj Reed-Adams) to the TA&M 30Similar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 20
OWN 30
-2
93.2%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Le'Veon Moss for a loss of 2 yards to the TA&M 28Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 22
OWN 28
+1
93.1%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Rueben Owens II for 1 yd to the TA&M 29Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 21
OWN 29
0
92.9%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:58
4TH & 21
OWN 29
0
92.9%
Tyler White punt for 36 yds, fair catch by David Amador II at the UTSA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:407% → 7%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
92.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 6 yds to the UTSA 41Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
92.7%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
92.7%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:08
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
92.7%
Caile Hogan punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3693% → 92%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
92.7%
Rueben Owens II run for no gain to the TA&M 20Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
92.6%
Marcel Reed run for 8 yds to the TA&M 28Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
92.3%
Marcel Reed run for 1 yd to the TA&M 29Similar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
92.2%
Tyler White punt for 51 yds, fair catch by David Amador II at the UTSA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:398% → 8%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
92.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 9 yds to the UTSA 29Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+7
91.9%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 7 yds to the UTSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
91.7%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 2 yds to the UTSA 38Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
91.5%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
91.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to Patrick Overmyer for no gain to the UTSA 38Similar
Q1 7:21
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+80
92.4%
Caile Hogan punt for 42 yds , KC Concepcion returns for 80 yds for a TD (Jared Zirkel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5FG
14 plays · 56 yds · 5:018% → 10%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.2%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTSA 28Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
92.1%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+16
92.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 16 yds to the UTSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
91.8%
Owen McCown run for no gain to the UTSA 44 Owen McCown fumbled, recovered by UTSA Owen McCownSimilar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
91.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to Robert Henry Jr. for no gain to the UTSA 44Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+21
91.8%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 21 yds to the TA&M 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
91.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Patrick Overmyer for 7 yds to the TA&M 28Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+6
91.0%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 6 yds to the TA&M 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
90.9%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+1
91.0%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 1 yd to the TA&M 21Similar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+2
91.1%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 2 yds to the TA&M 19Similar
Q1 1:53
4TH & 7
OPP 19
+36
90.4%
Michael Petro 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 3:1691% → 92%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
90.5%
Rueben Owens II run for 2 yds to the TA&M 39Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+13
90.4%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 13 yds to the UTSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
90.5%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
90.3%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the UTSA 45Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 7
OPP 45
-10
90.3%
Texas A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mark Nabou Jr.) to the TA&M 45Similar
Q2 14:35
3RD & 17
OWN 45
+26
89.7%
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 26 yds to the UTSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
90.3%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Terry Bussey for 5 yds to the UTSA 24Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+24
92.5%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 24 yds for a TD (Jared Zirkel KICK)Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+15
92.2%
UTSA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:278% → 13%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 6 yds to the UTSA 31Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
91.5%
Will Henderson III run for 8 yds to the UTSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
91.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for a loss of 2 yards to the UTSA 37Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+13
91.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to Will Henderson III for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
50
0
91.0%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 10
50
+3
91.1%
Will Henderson III run for 3 yds to the TA&M 47Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+18
91.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 18 yds to the TA&M 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
90.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 14 yds to the TA&M 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
86.7%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 15 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 2:3388% → 92%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
88.3%
Le'Veon Moss run for 12 yds to the TA&M 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
88.7%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 4 yds to the TA&M 49Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+2
88.6%
Rueben Owens II run for 2 yds to the UTSA 49Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+20
88.4%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Ashton Bethel-Roman for 20 yds to the UTSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
88.7%
Marcel Reed run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTSA 31Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+31
92.3%
Marcel Reed pass complete to KC Concepcion for 31 yds for a TD (Jared Zirkel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9MISSED FG
13 plays · 49 yds · 4:328% → 9%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
91.8%
Will Henderson III run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTSA 22Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
91.9%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+13
92.6%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 13 yds to the UTSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
92.1%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 5 yds to the UTSA 40Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-5
91.6%
UTSA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTSA 35Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+22
92.1%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 22 yds to the TA&M 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
91.3%
David Amador II run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 44Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+14
91.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to DJ Allen Jr. for 14 yds to the TA&M 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
90.5%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 4 yds to the TA&M 26Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
90.3%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
90.7%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+43
91.2%
Michael Petro 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10PUNT
13 plays · 27 yds · 0:4692% → 92%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
92.1%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+13
92.0%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 13 yds to the TA&M 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
92.4%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
92.3%
Marcel Reed run for 4 yds to the TA&M 43Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+10
92.1%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 10 yds to the UTSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
92.1%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
92.1%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
91.7%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
91.9%
Tyler White punt for 42 yds, downed at the UTSA 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
84.5%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 75 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4185% → 83%
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
84.8%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the TA&M 27Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
84.6%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:03
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
83.7%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:51
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
83.2%
Tyler White punt for 51 yds, fair catch by David Amador II at the UTSA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:5616% → 16%
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
84.0%
Will Henderson III run for 3 yds to the UTSA 25Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+10
83.6%
Texas A&M Penalty, Defensive Holding (Tyreek Chappell) to the UTSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
83.2%
Will Henderson III run for 1 yd to the UTSA 36Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+2
83.0%
Will Henderson III run for 2 yds to the UTSA 38Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
82.8%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:41
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
83.8%
Caile Hogan punt for 47 yds, fair catch by KC Concepcion at the TA&M 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 4:1183% → 90%
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+23
82.9%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 23 yds to the TA&M 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
85.5%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Theo Melin Ohrstrom for 7 yds to the TA&M 45Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+3
85.8%
Rueben Owens II run for 3 yds to the TA&M 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
85.7%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+30
85.4%
Rueben Owens II run for 30 yds to the UTSA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
86.2%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Theo Melin Ohrstrom for 15 yds to the UTSA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 0
OPP 7
-7
86.9%
Reed, Marcel pass complete to Concepcion, KC for 7 yards to the UTSA0, PENALTY TA&M illegal touching (Concepcion, KC) 7 yards to the UTSA7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
86.0%
Amari Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 8Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
85.2%
Marcel Reed run for 7 yds to the UTSA 1Similar
Q3 7:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.2%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Theo Melin Ohrstrom for 1 yd for a TD (Jared Zirkel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0510% → 9%
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.9%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 1 yd to the UTSA 26Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
89.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Patrick Overmyer for no gain to the UTSA 26Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
90.3%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:36
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+14
90.7%
Caile Hogan punt for 55 yds , KC Concepcion returns for 14 yds to the TA&M 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 2:2990% → 97%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+24
90.3%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 24 yds to the UTSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
91.3%
Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the UTSA 38Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+17
91.2%
Marcel Reed run for 17 yds to the UTSA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
91.2%
Texas A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UTSA 26Similar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+4
91.5%
Marcel Reed run for 4 yds to the UTSA 22Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+22
96.6%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 22 yds for a TD (Jared Zirkel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:564% → 4%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.7%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.7%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 1 yd to the UTSA 26Similar
Q3 1:59
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
95.9%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:48
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+13
95.9%
Caile Hogan punt for 53 yds , Terry Bussey returns for 13 yds to the TA&M 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4496% → 97%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
96.4%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
96.5%
Marcel Reed run for no gain to the TA&M 34Similar
Q3 0:40
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+8
96.8%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jamarion Morrow for 8 yds to the TA&M 42Similar
Q3 0:22
4TH & 2
OWN 42
-5
96.8%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 37Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
97.0%
Tyler White punt for 45 yds, downed at the UTSA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2498% → 98%
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
97.8%
Amari Daniels run for 7 yds to the TA&M 40Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 3
OWN 40
-5
97.9%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 5 yds to the TA&M 45 Texas A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TA&M 35Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+1
97.8%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 1 yd to the TA&M 36Similar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
97.9%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:45
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
97.7%
Tyler White punt for 47 yds, fair catch by David Amador II at the UTSA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:473% → 3%
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-8
97.1%
Owen McCown sacked by Rylan Kennedy for a loss of 8 yards to the UTSA 9Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 18
OWN 9
-3
97.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to Robert Henry Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the UTSA 6Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 21
OWN 6
+1
97.3%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 1 yd to the UTSA 7Similar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 20
OWN 7
+29
97.3%
Caile Hogan punt for 51 yds , Terry Bussey returns for 29 yds to the UTSA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21TD
3 plays · 29 yds · 0:4298% → 100%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+23
98.2%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Amari Niblack for 23 yds to the UTSA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
98.2%
EJ Smith run for 3 yds to the UTSA 3Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
EJ Smith run for 3 yds for a TD (Jared Zirkel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:581% → 1%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-6
99.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to Robert Henry Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the UTSA 18Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 16
OWN 18
+5
99.1%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 5 yds to the UTSA 23Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+5
99.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 5 yds to the UTSA 28Similar
Q4 5:02
4TH & 6
OWN 28
+6
99.4%
Caile Hogan punt for 49 yds , Terry Bussey returns for 6 yds to the TA&M 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.8%
Miles O'Neill pass complete to Kelshaun Johnson for 2 yds to the TA&M 31Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Miles O'Neill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Miles O'Neill run for no gain to the TA&M 31Similar
Q4 3:22
4TH & 8
OWN 31
+9
99.8%
Tyler White punt for 50 yds , David Amador II returns for 9 yds to the UTSA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 24TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 2:460% → 1%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
99.8%
A'Marion Peterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 27Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+10
99.8%
A'Marion Peterson run for 10 yds to the UTSA 37Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+8
99.8%
A'Marion Peterson run for 8 yds to the UTSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.8%
A'Marion Peterson run for 2 yds to the UTSA 47Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+4
99.8%
A'Marion Peterson run for 4 yds to the TA&M 49Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 4
OPP 49
-3
99.8%
Brandon Tennison run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTSA 48Similar
Q4 0:33
4TH & 7
OWN 48
+15
99.9%
Brandon Tennison pass complete to Jaren Randle for 15 yds to the TA&M 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
99.8%
A'Marion Peterson run for 3 yds to the TA&M 34Similar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+34
99.2%
AJ Wilson 34 Yd pass from Brandon Tennison (Michael Petro Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TA&M 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:47
Robert Henry Jr. run for 75 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK)
-6.8
TD · Q3 7:10
Marcel Reed pass complete to Theo Melin Ohrstrom for 1 yd for a TD (Jared Zirkel KICK)
+6
TD · Q3 2:48
Marcel Reed pass complete to Mario Craver for 22 yds for a TD (Jared Zirkel KICK)
+5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com