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TEX

Texas 7 at Ohio State 14

OSU
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:58 · Joe McGuire punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 96Home team on offense+9.1Garbage-time factor+4.4Score differential+2.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.2Pregame prior+1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:40: Julian Sayin run for 1 yd to the OSU 2 — OSU win probability +6.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:00: Julian Sayin pass complete to Cj Donaldson Jr for 9 yds to the TEX 46 — OSU win probability +6.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:08: Julian Sayin pass complete to Carnell Tate for 40 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +9.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:28: Arch Manning pass complete to Parker Livingstone for 32 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK) — TEX win probability +11.2 pts (now 15%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:27: J. Sayin takes a knee — OSU win probability +7.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8TEX made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00TEX 4th & 1 at TEX 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    42.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:32TEX 4th & 2 at OSU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    42.5%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    42.6%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:29OSU 4th & 1 at TEX 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    57.6%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:34TEX 4th & 6 at OSU 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:35OSU 4th & 11 at OSU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:58TEX 4th & 7 at TEX 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:57OSU 4th & 1 at TEX 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    57.5%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    53.7%−5.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:05TEX 4th & 11 at TEX 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:54OSU 4th & 5 at OSU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:35TEX 4th & 2 at OSU 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    32.2%−0.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:34OSU 4th & 4 at OSU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−1.0
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:40TEX 4th & 1 at OSU 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    25.5%−4.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−14.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:58OSU 4th & 3 at OSU 8, up 7
    Close callPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:56TEX 4th & 3 at OSU 9, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    7.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−4.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:56TEX 4th & 3 at OSU 9, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    7.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−4.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:10OSU 4th & 10 at OSU 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:26OSU 4th & 5 at OSU 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:27TEX 4th & 5 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.8%−3.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TEX made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q2 8:57OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 13:08OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 3:28TEX Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.1%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1DOWNS
11 plays · 33 yds · 4:2846% → 46%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.1%
Arch Manning pass incomplete to DeAndre Moore Jr.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
54.1%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 6 yds to the TEX 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
54.1%
Arch Manning pass complete to Jack Endries for 3 yds to the TEX 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
54.1%
Arch Manning run for 1 yd to the TEX 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
54.1%
CJ Baxter run for 14 yds to the TEX 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
54.1%
PENALTY TEX False Start (Wingo,Ryan) 5 yards from TEX49 to TEX44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+2
54.1%
CJ Baxter run for 2 yds to the TEX 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+5
54.1%
CJ Baxter run for 5 yds to the OSU 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+6
54.1%
Arch Manning pass complete to CJ Baxter for 6 yds to the OSU 43Similar
Q1 10:32
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+1
54.3%
CJ Baxter run for 1 yd to the OSU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0355% → 55%
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
55.0%
Cj Donaldson Jr run for 2 yds to the OSU 44Similar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+7
55.0%
Cj Donaldson Jr run for 7 yds to the TEX 49Similar
Q1 10:32
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
55.1%
Cj Donaldson Jr run for no gain to the TEX 49Similar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
54.9%
Julian Sayin pass incomplete to Max KlareSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:5546% → 45%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
54.0%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the OSU 47Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+1
53.9%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd to the OSU 46Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 5
OPP 46
-5
54.1%
PENALTY TEX False Start (Baker,Brandon) 5 yards from OSU46 to TEX49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+4
54.4%
Arch Manning pass complete to CJ Baxter for 4 yds to the OSU 47Similar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
54.6%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:5955% → 54%
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
54.7%
James Peoples run for 1 yd to the OSU 9Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+6
54.7%
Julian Sayin pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 6 yds to the OSU 15Similar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+11
54.4%
Julian Sayin pass complete to Max Klare for 11 yds to the OSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
54.9%
Julian Sayin pass incomplete to Jeremiah SmithSimilar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-1
54.8%
James Peoples run for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 25Similar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
54.4%
Julian Sayin pass incomplete to Jeremiah SmithSimilar
Q1 3:35
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
54.1%
Joe McGuire punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3745% → 45%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.9%
Arch Manning pass incomplete to Jack EndriesSimilar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
54.9%
CJ Baxter run for 2 yds to the TEX 27Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+1
55.3%
Arch Manning run for 1 yd to the TEX 28Similar
Q1 1:58
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
55.4%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Smith at the OSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 8:0155% → 64%
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
55.4%
James Peoples run for 3 yds to the OSU 23Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+16
55.4%
Julian Sayin pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 16 yds to the OSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
56.3%
Cj Donaldson Jr run for 5 yds to the OSU 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+6
57.1%
James Peoples run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
57.1%
Julian Sayin pass complete to Bennett Christian for 6 yds to the TEX 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
57.3%
Julian Sayin pass incomplete to Jeremiah SmithSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+15
57.0%
Shotgun Sayin,Julian pass incomplete deep left to Inniss,Brandon thrown to TEX19 broken up by Littleton,Graceson PENALTY TEX Face Mask (Simmons,Colin) 15 yards from TEX44 to TEX29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
57.6%
Cj Donaldson Jr run for 1 yd to the TEX 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+10
57.6%
Shotgun Sayin,Julian pass incomplete short right thrown to TEX10 PENALTY TEX Holding (Muhammad,Malik) 10 yards from TEX28 to TEX18, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
57.6%
Cj Donaldson Jr run for 7 yds to the TEX 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+5
57.6%
Cj Donaldson Jr run for 5 yds to the TEX 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
57.6%
James Peoples run for 2 yds to the TEX 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
57.6%
Cj Donaldson Jr run for 2 yds to the TEX 2Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
58.0%
Cj Donaldson Jr run for 1 yd to the TEX 1Similar
Q2 8:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
63.9%
CJ Donaldson Jr 1 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 3:5237% → 34%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
62.9%
Arch Manning run for 9 yds to the TEX 34Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
61.3%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds to the TEX 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
62.0%
Arch Manning pass incomplete to DeAndre Moore Jr.Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
62.3%
Arch Manning pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 7 yds to the TEX 44Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+3
61.1%
Arch Manning run for 3 yds to the TEX 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
60.9%
Arch Manning pass incomplete to Ryan WingoSimilar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
61.5%
CJ Baxter run for no gain to the TEX 47Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 10
OWN 47
-1
62.1%
Arch Manning sacked by Arvell Reese for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 46Similar
Q2 5:05
4TH & 11
OWN 46
0
66.1%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:1165% → 63%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
65.1%
James Peoples run for 3 yds to the OSU 5Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+4
64.8%
James Peoples run for 4 yds to the OSU 9Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+9
63.9%
Julian Sayin pass complete to Carnell Tate for 9 yds to the OSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
65.7%
James Peoples run for no gain to the OSU 18Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
65.5%
Julian Sayin pass incomplete to Max KlareSimilar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+5
64.5%
Julian Sayin pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 5 yds to the OSU 23Similar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
63.4%
Joe McGuire punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TEX 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1937% → 35%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
63.4%
Arch Manning pass incomplete to Parker LivingstoneSimilar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
64.2%
CJ Baxter run for 2 yds to the TEX 49Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+6
64.4%
Arch Manning pass complete to CJ Baxter for 6 yds to the OSU 45Similar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
65.5%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OSU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
66.5%
Julian Sayin run for 1 yd to the OSU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2669% → 68%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
68.6%
Julian Sayin pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 6 yds to the OSU 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
69.5%
James Peoples run for no gain to the OSU 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
67.9%
Julian Sayin pass incomplete to Jeremiah SmithSimilar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+3
67.6%
Joe McGuire punt for 43 yds , Ryan Niblett returns for 3 yds to the TEX 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12DOWNS
15 plays · 70 yds · 6:5432% → 31%
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
67.8%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 6 yds to the TEX 35Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+6
66.4%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 6 yds to the TEX 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
66.7%
Arch Manning pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 3 yds to the TEX 38Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+15
68.0%
Arch Manning run for 15 yds to the OSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
65.2%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 9 yds to the OSU 38Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+2
64.8%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 2 yds to the OSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
65.2%
CJ Baxter run for 4 yds to the OSU 32Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+4
63.4%
Arch Manning pass complete to CJ Baxter for 4 yds to the OSU 28Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+8
65.0%
CJ Baxter run for 8 yds to the OSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
63.3%
Arch Manning pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 9 yds to the OSU 11Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+2
63.3%
Arch Manning pass complete to Daylan McCutcheon for 2 yds to the OSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
63.3%
Arch Manning run for 5 yds to the OSU 4Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
63.3%
Arch Manning run for 1 yd to the OSU 3Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
65.0%
CJ Baxter run for 2 yds to the OSU 1Similar
Q3 6:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
68.6%
Arch Manning run for no gain to the OSU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:4275% → 73%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
74.7%
Julian Sayin run for 1 yd to the OSU 2Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
74.5%
Sayin,Julian rush right for 0 yards to the OSU02, out of bounds at OSU02 PENALTY OSU Holding offsetting TEX UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
74.5%
Cj Donaldson Jr run for no gain to the OSU 2Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+6
73.5%
Cj Donaldson Jr run for 6 yds to the OSU 8Similar
Q3 3:58
4TH & 3
OWN 8
0
73.0%
Joe McGuire punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14INT
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:5731% → 29%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
50
-10
68.9%
Texas Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TEX 45Similar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+3
71.6%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds to the TEX 48Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 12
OWN 48
-5
71.3%
Arch Manning pass intercepted Jermaine Mathews Jr. return for 5 yds to the OSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 4:5377% → 94%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
76.8%
Julian Sayin pass complete to Brandon Inniss for 3 yds to the OSU 35Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+3
77.0%
Cj Donaldson Jr run for 3 yds to the OSU 38Similar
Q3 3:01
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+7
77.3%
Julian Sayin pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 7 yds to the OSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
83.9%
Julian Sayin pass complete to Cj Donaldson Jr for 9 yds to the TEX 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+3
84.3%
Cj Donaldson Jr run for 3 yds to the TEX 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
84.4%
Donaldson Jr,CJ rush right for 5 yards gain to the TEX38 (Hill Jr.,Anthony) PENALTY OSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from TEX43 to TEX48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+8
83.7%
Cj Donaldson Jr run for 8 yds to the TEX 40Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+40
93.5%
Julian Sayin pass complete to Carnell Tate for 40 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16DOWNS
16 plays · 76 yds · 5:0610% → 9%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
90.4%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 6 yds to the TEX 21Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+3
89.6%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds to the TEX 24Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+13
89.7%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 13 yds to the TEX 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
89.5%
Arch Manning pass complete to CJ Baxter for 5 yds to the TEX 42Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+15
89.2%
Arch Manning pass complete to Parker Livingstone for 15 yds to the OSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
90.5%
Arch Manning pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
90.4%
Ryan Wingo run for 8 yds to the OSU 35Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+5
90.0%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 5 yds to the OSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+14
89.8%
Arch Manning pass complete to Jack Endries for 14 yds to the OSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
89.4%
Arch Manning run for 4 yds to the OSU 12Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+3
89.4%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds to the OSU 9Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 3
OPP 9
0
90.0%
Arch Manning pass incomplete to Ryan WingoSimilar
Q4 7:56
4TH & 3
OPP 9
0
90.7%
Arch Manning pass incomplete to Parker LivingstoneSimilar
Q4 7:56
4TH & 3
OPP 9
0
90.7%
Arch Manning pass incomplete to Parker LivingstoneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:4695% → 97%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
95.0%
Cj Donaldson Jr run for 5 yds to the OSU 14Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+6
95.2%
Cj Donaldson Jr run for 6 yds to the OSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
95.3%
Shotgun Peoples,James rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OSU23 (Smith,Ty'Anthony) PENALTY OSU Holding (Montgomery,Luke) 10 yards from OSU20 to OSU10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+2
95.2%
James Peoples run for 2 yds to the OSU 12Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 18
OWN 12
+3
95.1%
Julian Sayin pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 3 yds to the OSU 15Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+5
95.1%
Cj Donaldson Jr run for 5 yds to the OSU 20Similar
Q4 4:10
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
96.8%
Joe McGuire punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ryan Niblett at the TEX 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 0:423% → 15%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+28
96.7%
Arch Manning pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 28 yds to the OSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
96.2%
Arch Manning pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 5 yds to the OSU 27Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
96.0%
Arch Manning pass incomplete to Quintrevion WisnerSimilar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 5
OPP 27
-5
96.2%
PENALTY TEX False Start (Baker,Brandon) 5 yards from OSU27 to OSU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+32
85.0%
Arch Manning pass complete to Parker Livingstone for 32 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:0292% → 93%
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.4%
Cj Donaldson Jr run for no gain to the OSU 25Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
92.1%
Julian Sayin pass incomplete to Bennett ChristianSimilar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.8%
Julian Sayin pass complete to Brandon Inniss for 5 yds to the OSU 30Similar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
93.3%
Joe McGuire punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TEX 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:599% → 10%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
90.9%
Arch Manning pass incomplete to Ryan WingoSimilar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+30
91.0%
Arch Manning pass complete to Jack Endries for 30 yds to the TEX 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
88.8%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 5
50
0
87.2%
Arch Manning pass incomplete to Jack EndriesSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 5
50
0
87.8%
Arch Manning pass incomplete to Ryan WingoSimilar
Q4 1:27
4TH & 5
50
+3
89.8%
Arch Manning pass complete to Jack Endries for 3 yds to the OSU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21END OF GAME
4 plays · -12 yds · 1:2798% → 98%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
97.7%
J. Sayin takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 12
OWN 45
-8
97.8%
run for a loss of 8 yards to the OSU 37Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 20
OWN 37
-2
98.0%
J. Sayin takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:28
Arch Manning pass complete to Parker Livingstone for 32 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)
-11.2
TD · Q4 13:08
Julian Sayin pass complete to Carnell Tate for 40 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
+9.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:27
J. Sayin takes a knee
+7.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com