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ILST

Illinois State 3 at Oklahoma 35

OU
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadILST aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreILST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:27 · Jacob Ulrich punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line , Eddie Kasper returns for 6 yds to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 85Pregame prior+33.9Home team on offense+22.5Score differential+16.0Garbage-time factor+8.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:51: Tory Blaylock run for 5 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK) — OU win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 6:26: Matt Maldonado 33 yd FG GOOD — ILST win probability +1.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: ILST has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:40: Timeout Oklahoma, clock 01:40 — ILST win probability +0.6 pts (now 2%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:52: John Mateer pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 28 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK) — OU win probability +1.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:17: Jaydn Ott run for a loss of 3 yards to the OU 33 — OU win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ILST made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:12OU 4th & 3 at OU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:47ILST 4th & 7 at ILST 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:43ILST 4th & 14 at OU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    2.5%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:58ILST 4th & 9 at ILST 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:18ILST 4th & 7 at ILST 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:18OU 4th & 1 at OU 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.0%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:04ILST 4th & 9 at ILST 49, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:27OU 4th & 7 at OU 15, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:24ILST 4th & 8 at OU 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:26ILST 4th & 3 at OU 15, down 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.3%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:40OU 4th & 1 at ILST 44, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%−0.8
    27% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:17ILST 4th & 7 at ILST 28, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:53OU 4th & 2 at ILST 40, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:35ILST 4th & 10 at ILST 40, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:05ILST 4th & 3 at ILST 45, down 32
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 0:39OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:50OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:51OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:52OU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:33OU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4899% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.1%
John Mateer pass complete to Deion Burks for 4 yds to the OU 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.1%
Jovantae Barnes run for no gain to the OU 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
99.1%
John Mateer pass complete to Jaren Kanak for 3 yds to the OU 32Similar
Q1 13:12
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.0%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:251% → 1%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
99.0%
Wenkers Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILST 13Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 11
OWN 13
+3
99.0%
Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Javon Charles for 3 yds to the ILST 16Similar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 8
OWN 16
-5
99.0%
PENALTY ISU Delay Of Game 5 yards from ISU16 to ISU11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 13
OWN 11
+24
99.0%
Wenkers Wright run for 24 yds to the ILST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.0%
Wenkers Wright run for 3 yds to the ILST 38Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
99.0%
Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete to Victor DawsonSimilar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
99.0%
Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete to Javon CharlesSimilar
Q1 9:47
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+21
98.7%
Hayden Futch punt for 46 yds , Isaiah Sategna Iii returns for 21 yds to the OU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:4799% → 99%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
98.7%
Jovantae Barnes run for 2 yds to the OU 39Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
98.7%
John Mateer pass incomplete to Isaiah Sategna IiiSimilar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+21
98.6%
John Mateer pass complete to Jaren Kanak for 21 yds Jaren Kanak fumbled, recovered by ILST Tye NiekampSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 3:171% → 2%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+23
98.6%
Tommy Rittenhouse run for 23 yds to the OU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
98.6%
PENALTY ISU False Start (Dawson,Victor) 5 yards from OU37 to OU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 15
OPP 42
0
98.6%
Victor Dawson run for no gain to the OU 42Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 15
OPP 42
+5
98.6%
Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 5 yds to the OU 47Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 20
OPP 47
+6
98.6%
Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Luke Mailander for 6 yds to the OU 41Similar
Q1 5:43
4TH & 14
OPP 41
0
98.3%
Hayden Futch punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5TD
11 plays · 94 yds · 5:0498% → 98%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+28
98.3%
John Mateer pass complete to Deion Burks for 28 yds to the OU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
98.3%
John Mateer pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 14 yds to the OU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
98.3%
John Mateer run for 4 yds to the ILST 48Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+7
98.3%
John Mateer run for 7 yds to the ILST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
98.3%
Jovantae Barnes run for 6 yds to the ILST 35Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+2
98.4%
John Mateer pass complete to Tory Blaylock for 2 yds to the ILST 33Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+4
98.3%
Tory Blaylock run for 4 yds to the ILST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
98.4%
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna Iii for no gain to the ILST 29Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+27
98.4%
John Mateer pass complete to Jacob Jordan for 27 yds to the ILST 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
98.4%
PENALTY OU False Start (Lewis,Keontez) 5 yards from ISU02 to ISU07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.1%
John Mateer run for 7 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 2:022% → 2%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.9%
Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Scotty Presson Jr. for 5 yds to the ILST 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
97.9%
Wenkers Wright run for 8 yds to the ILST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
97.8%
Tommy Rittenhouse run for 4 yds to the ILST 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
97.8%
Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete to Kaevion MackSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
97.8%
Victor Dawson run for 1 yd to the ILST 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
97.8%
Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete to Daniel SobkowiczSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
97.9%
Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete to Daniel SobkowiczSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+3
97.8%
Shotgun Rittenhouse,Tommy pass complete short left to Sobkowicz,Daniel caught at ISU46, for 4 yards to the ISU46 (Guillory,Courtland) PENALTY OU Holding (Guillory,Courtland) 3 yards from ISU42 to ISU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 9
OWN 46
+16
97.7%
Hayden Futch punt for 47 yds , Isaiah Sategna Iii returns for 16 yds to the OU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 1:0898% → 98%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
97.7%
Tory Blaylock run for 2 yds to the OU 25Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+48
97.7%
John Mateer pass complete to Jaren Kanak for 48 yds to the ILST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
97.8%
John Mateer pass incomplete to Keontez LewisSimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+27
98.4%
John Mateer pass complete to Deion Burks for 27 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:312% → 2%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
98.1%
Wenkers Wright run for 9 yds to the ILST 27Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+5
98.1%
Wenkers Wright run for 5 yds to the ILST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
98.1%
Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Dylan Lord for 3 yds to the ILST 35Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
98.1%
Victor Dawson run for no gain to the ILST 35Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
98.1%
Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete to Victor DawsonSimilar
Q2 8:18
4TH & 7
OWN 35
+14
97.9%
Hayden Futch punt for 50 yds , Isaiah Sategna Iii returns for 14 yds to the OU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9TD
16 plays · 81 yds · 7:2798% → 99%
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
98.0%
Jovantae Barnes run for 1 yd to the OU 20Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+16
98.0%
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna Iii for 16 yds to the OU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
98.1%
John Mateer pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 4 yds to the OU 40Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
98.1%
John Mateer pass complete to Deion Burks for 5 yds to the OU 45Similar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
98.0%
Jovantae Barnes run for no gain to the OU 45Similar
Q2 8:18
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+1
98.0%
Jovantae Barnes run for 1 yd to the OU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
98.1%
Tory Blaylock run for 11 yds to the ILST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
98.1%
Deion Burks run for 12 yds to the ILST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-4
98.1%
John Mateer sacked by Mason Kaplan for a loss of 4 yards to the ILST 35Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 14
OPP 35
0
98.1%
John Mateer pass incomplete to Jer'Michael CarterSimilar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 14
OPP 35
+16
98.0%
John Mateer pass complete to Tory Blaylock for 16 yds to the ILST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
98.1%
PENALTY OU False Start (Howland,Logan) 5 yards from ISU19 to ISU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+3
98.1%
Tory Blaylock run for 3 yds to the ILST 21Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+12
98.1%
John Mateer pass complete to Jaren Kanak for 12 yds to the ILST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
97.7%
Tory Blaylock run for 4 yds to the ILST 5Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.1%
Tory Blaylock run for 5 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:511% → 1%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.8%
Victor Dawson run for 5 yds to the ILST 30Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
98.7%
Victor Dawson run for 2 yds to the ILST 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:561% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.8%
Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 10 yds to the ILST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
98.8%
Victor Dawson run for 13 yds to the ILST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
98.7%
Tommy Rittenhouse pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
98.7%
Beckham Pellant pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
50
-1
98.8%
Victor Dawson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILST 49Similar
Q3 12:04
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
98.8%
Hayden Futch punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna Iii at the OU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3799% → 99%
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
99.0%
Tory Blaylock run for 5 yds to the OU 17Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 5
OWN 17
-7
99.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Blaylock,Tory rush right for 10 yards gain to the OU27 (Brown,Lashavion; Kaplan,Mason) PENALTY OU Holding (Kanak,Jaren) 7 yards from OU17 to OU10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 12
OWN 10
+5
99.0%
John Mateer pass complete to Deion Burks for 5 yds to the OU 15Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 7
OWN 15
0
98.9%
John Mateer pass incomplete to Keontez LewisSimilar
Q3 10:27
4TH & 7
OWN 15
+6
98.9%
Jacob Ulrich punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line , Eddie Kasper returns for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:031% → 1%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
50
0
98.8%
Beckham Pellant pass incomplete to Dylan LordSimilar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 10
50
+2
98.8%
Wenkers Wright run for 2 yds to the OU 48Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
98.8%
Beckham Pellant pass incomplete to Dylan LordSimilar
Q3 9:24
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
98.9%
Hayden Futch punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14INT
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:0099% → 99%
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+10
98.9%
Tory Blaylock run for 10 yds to the OU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
99.0%
Jovantae Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 13Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 11
OWN 13
0
98.9%
John Mateer pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 15FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:581% → 2%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
98.7%
Victor Dawson run for 1 yd to the OU 21Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 9
OPP 21
-1
98.7%
Beckham Pellant sacked by Sammy Omosigho for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 22Similar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+7
98.8%
Beckham Pellant pass complete to Victor Dawson for 7 yds to the OU 15Similar
Q3 6:26
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+33
97.7%
Matt Maldonado 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16TD
15 plays · 77 yds · 6:3498% → 100%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
98.4%
Xavier Robinson run for no gain to the OU 23Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+6
98.3%
John Mateer run for 6 yds to the OU 29Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+8
98.3%
John Mateer pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 8 yds to the OU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
98.4%
John Mateer pass complete to Xavier Robinson for 6 yds to the OU 43Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+4
98.4%
Xavier Robinson run for 4 yds to the OU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
98.5%
John Mateer run for 7 yds to the ILST 46Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+1
98.5%
Xavier Robinson run for 1 yd to the ILST 45Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+1
98.4%
Xavier Robinson run for 1 yd to the ILST 44Similar
Q3 1:40
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+3
97.8%
Xavier Robinson run for 3 yds to the ILST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
98.1%
John Mateer pass complete to Carson Kent for 7 yds to the ILST 34Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 3
OPP 34
0
98.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Mateer,John pass incomplete deep middle to Sategna III,Isaiah thrown to ISU03 broken up by Coleman,Jordan PENALTY OU Holding offsetting ISU Pass Interference offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+6
98.4%
John Mateer pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 6 yds to the ILST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
99.7%
John Mateer pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 28 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:351% → 1%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Beckham Pellant pass complete to Wenkers Wright for no gain to the ILST 25Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Beckham Pellant pass incomplete to Scotty Presson Jr.Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.0%
Beckham Pellant pass complete to Scotty Presson Jr. for 3 yds to the ILST 28Similar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+12
99.0%
Hayden Futch punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OU 36 , Isaiah Sategna Iii returns for 12 yds to the OU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:24100% → 100%
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
99.7%
Jaydn Ott run for a loss of 3 yards to the OU 33Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+19
99.7%
John Mateer pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 19 yds to the ILST 48 for a 1ST down Illinois State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kaevion Mack) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Mateer,John rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU46 (Nkuba II,Shadwel) PENALTY OU Illegal Formation 5 yards from ISU48 to OU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 15
OWN 47
0
99.8%
John Mateer pass incomplete to Jaydn OttSimilar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 15
OWN 47
+7
99.7%
John Mateer pass complete to Deion Burks for 7 yds to the ILST 46Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+6
99.8%
John Mateer pass complete to Xavier Robinson for 6 yds to the ILST 40Similar
Q4 10:53
4TH & 2
OPP 40
0
99.7%
John Mateer pass incomplete to Jaren KanakSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:181% → 1%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.2%
Seth Glatz run for 1 yd to the ILST 41Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+2
99.2%
Seth Glatz run for 2 yds to the ILST 43Similar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 7
OWN 43
-3
99.2%
Beckham Pellant sacked by Taylor Wein for a loss of 3 yards to the ILST 40Similar
Q4 8:35
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
99.5%
Hayden Futch punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna Iii at the OU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 4:02100% → 100%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.7%
John Mateer pass complete to Jaren Kanak for 6 yds to the OU 31Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+15
99.7%
John Mateer pass complete to Will Huggins for 15 yds to the OU 46 for a 1ST down Illinois State Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jamarcus Smith) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
99.8%
John Mateer pass complete to Deion Burks for 12 yds to the ILST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
99.8%
Xavier Robinson run for 5 yds to the ILST 37Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+15
99.8%
John Mateer pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 15 yds to the ILST 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
99.8%
John Mateer run for a loss of 3 yards to the ILST 25Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+5
99.8%
John Mateer pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 5 yds to the ILST 20Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+20
99.9%
John Mateer pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 20 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILSTDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:280% → 0%
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Seth Glatz run for no gain to the ILST 25Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.9%
Seth Glatz run for 13 yds to the ILST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
Seth Glatz run for 2 yds to the ILST 40Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Seth Glatz run for 3 yds to the ILST 43Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Seth Glatz run for 2 yds to the ILST 45Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Hayden Futch punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · 3 yds · 1:05100% → 100%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
100.0%
Xavier Robinson run for 2 yds to the OU 4Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+1
100.0%
Xavier Robinson run for 1 yd to the OU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:51
Tory Blaylock run for 5 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q4 14:52
John Mateer pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 28 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)
+1.3
FG · Q3 6:26
Matt Maldonado 33 yd FG GOOD
-1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com