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CARK

Central Arkansas 6 at Missouri 61

MIZ
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 28, 2025 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadCARK aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreCARK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:51 · Trace Beard punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MIZ 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 22Pregame prior+46.6Home team on offense+0.6Score differential+0.0Blowout margin+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:06: Beau Pribula pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 49 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — MIZ win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 9:33: Blake Craig 55 yd FG GOOD — MIZ win probability +0.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:48: Beau Pribula run for 31 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK) — MIZ win probability +0.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:08: Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Craig KICK) — MIZ win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:23: Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK) — MIZ win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 1 of 4CARK made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:18CARK 4th & 3 at CARK 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:52CARK 4th & 1 at CARK 34, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:51CARK 4th & 11 at midfield, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:22MIZ 4th & 3 at CARK 32, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.2%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:38CARK 4th & 3 at CARK 32, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:12MIZ 4th & 2 at CARK 33, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    96.4%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:33MIZ 4th & 17 at CARK 38, up 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.2%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    96.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:41CARK 4th & 6 at CARK 24, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:38CARK 4th & 3 at CARK 45, down 19
    Close callPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:03CARK 4th & 14 at CARK 45, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:21CARK 4th & 14 at CARK 32, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:20MIZ 4th & 3 at MIZ 41, up 40
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:56CARK 4th & 4 at CARK 17, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 7 of 8CARK made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 11:06MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:48MIZ Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:08MIZ Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:23MIZ Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:54MIZ Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:05MIZ Touchdown, up 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:32MIZ Touchdown, up 53 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:48MIZ Touchdown, up 60 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:22CARK Touchdown, down 55 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CARKDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:361% → 1%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.0%
Landen Chambers run for 6 yds to the CARK 31Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
98.9%
Luther Richesson pass incomplete to Jackson KostmayerSimilar
Q1 14:28
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-10
98.9%
Central Arkansas Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the CARK 27Similar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
98.8%
Luther Richesson pass complete to Tyrell Pollard for 5 yds to the CARK 32Similar
Q1 13:18
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
98.8%
Trace Beard punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman Jr. at the MIZ 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2TD
4 plays · 64 yds · 2:1299% → 99%
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
98.8%
Jamal Roberts run for 5 yds to the MIZ 41Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
98.8%
Jamal Roberts run for 1 yd to the MIZ 42Similar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+9
98.7%
Beau Pribula run for 9 yds to the CARK 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
98.7%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 49 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CARKDrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 25 yds · 3:511% → 2%
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.7%
Luther Richesson pass complete to Malachi Henry for 9 yds to the CARK 34Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
98.6%
Luther Richesson pass incomplete to Malachi HenrySimilar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
98.6%
Landen Chambers run for no gain to the CARK 34Similar
Q1 9:52
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
98.6%
Landen Chambers run for 2 yds to the CARK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-15
98.6%
(09:23) No Huddle-Shotgun Richesson,Luther pass incomplete deep right to Durham,Ty thrown to Mizzou31 PENALTY Mizzou Pass Interference (Banner,Santana) 15 yards from C Ark36 to Mizzou49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
98.5%
Luther Richesson pass complete to Manny Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 11
50
0
98.5%
(08:35) No Huddle-Shotgun Richesson,Luther pass complete short middle to Durham,Ty caught at C Ark48, for 3 yards to the Mizzou47 (Banner,Santana) PENALTY C Ark Ineligible Downfield on Pass declined C Ark Pass Interference (Kostmayer,Jackson) 15 yards from Mizzou50 to C Ark35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 26
OWN 35
+7
98.4%
Manny Smith run for 7 yds to the CARK 42Similar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 19
OWN 42
+8
98.4%
Landen Chambers run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:51
4TH & 11
50
0
98.4%
Trace Beard punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MIZ 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:2998% → 98%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
98.4%
PENALTY Mizzou False Start (Peagler,Curtis) 5 yards from Mizzou18 to Mizzou13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:44
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+5
98.3%
Jamal Roberts run for 5 yds to the MIZ 18Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+7
98.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Jordon Harris for 7 yds to the MIZ 25Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+5
98.2%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 5 yds to the MIZ 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
98.2%
Sam Horn run for 6 yds to the MIZ 36Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+5
98.2%
Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds to the MIZ 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
98.2%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 20 yds to the CARK 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
98.2%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for no gain to the CARK 39Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
98.1%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Jamal RobertsSimilar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+7
98.0%
Beau Pribula run for 7 yds to the CARK 32Similar
Q1 2:22
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+49
97.9%
Blake Craig 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CARKDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:252% → 2%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.0%
Luther Richesson pass complete to Malachi Henry for 7 yds to the CARK 32Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
97.9%
Landen Chambers run for 2 yds to the CARK 34Similar
Q1 1:27
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
97.9%
Landen Chambers run for a loss of 2 yards to the CARK 32Similar
Q1 0:38
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+6
97.9%
Trace Beard punt for 47 yds , Kevin Coleman Jr. returns for 6 yds to the MIZ 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6FG
15 plays · 35 yds · 5:4298% → 98%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
97.7%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Tavorus Jones for 5 yds to the MIZ 32Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+2
97.7%
Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the MIZ 34Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+6
97.6%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 6 yds to the MIZ 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
97.7%
(14:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Pribula,Beau pass complete short middle to Johnson,Marquis caught at Mizzou50, for 12 yards to the C Ark48 (Smith,Sean) PENALTY Mizzou Holding (Green,Cayden) 10 yards from Mizzou40 to Mizzou30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+9
97.5%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Donovan Olugbode for 9 yds to the MIZ 39Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+10
97.5%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Donovan Olugbode for 10 yds to the MIZ 49Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+10
97.5%
Ahmad Hardy run for 10 yds to the CARK 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
97.5%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for no gain to the CARK 41Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
97.4%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Brett NorfleetSimilar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+8
97.3%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Jamal Roberts for 8 yds to the CARK 33Similar
Q2 11:12
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+2
97.3%
Beau Pribula run for 2 yds to the CARK 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
97.4%
Ahmad Hardy run for no gain to the CARK 31Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-7
97.3%
Beau Pribula sacked by Gary Lewis for a loss of 7 yards to the CARK 38Similar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 17
OPP 38
0
97.1%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Kevin Coleman Jr.Similar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 17
OPP 38
+55
97.6%
Blake Craig 55 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CARKDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:413% → 3%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.4%
Luther Richesson pass incomplete to Malachi HenrySimilar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
97.4%
Luther Richesson run for 2 yds to the CARK 22Similar
Q2 8:24
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+2
97.4%
Luther Richesson pass complete to Manny Smith for 2 yds to the CARK 24Similar
Q2 7:41
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+44
97.4%
Trace Beard punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CARK 33 , Kevin Coleman Jr. returns for 44 yds to the CARK 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8TD
2 plays · 33 yds · 0:2398% → 98%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
97.5%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 2 yds to the CARK 31Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+31
98.3%
Beau Pribula run for 31 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CARKDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:012% → 2%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.1%
Manny Smith run for 5 yds to the CARK 30Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
98.0%
Landen Chambers run for 8 yds to the CARK 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
97.9%
Landen Chambers run for 5 yds to the CARK 43Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+1
97.8%
Landen Chambers run for 1 yd to the CARK 44Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+1
97.9%
Landen Chambers run for 1 yd to the CARK 45Similar
Q2 3:38
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
97.9%
Luther Richesson punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10TD
21 plays · 99 yds · 3:2098% → 99%
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 1
-2
98.4%
Missouri Penalty, (-2 Yards) to the MIZ 2Similar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 9
OWN 2
+4
98.4%
Jamal Roberts run for 4 yds to the MIZ 6Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+3
98.6%
Jamal Roberts run for 3 yds to the MIZ 9Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 2
OWN 9
+11
98.7%
Beau Pribula run for 11 yds to the MIZ 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
98.6%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Joshua Manning for 12 yds to the MIZ 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
98.6%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Joshua Manning for 13 yds to the MIZ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
98.7%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Joshua Manning for 17 yds to the CARK 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
98.7%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 8 yds to the CARK 30Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 2
OPP 30
0
98.6%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Brett NorfleetSimilar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+3
98.6%
Jamal Roberts run for 3 yds to the CARK 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
98.7%
(00:56) PENALTY Mizzou False Start (Giudice,Dominick) 5 yards from C Ark27 to C Ark32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 15
OPP 32
+13
99.0%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 13 yds to the CARK 19Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+17
98.8%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 17 yds to the CARK 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.6%
Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd to the CARK 1Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.4%
Beau Pribula run for no gain to the CARK 1Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.1%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CARKDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
99.5%
Jalen Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the CARK 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 3:1299% → 100%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
99.4%
Beau Pribula run for 6 yds to the MIZ 21Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+44
99.5%
Ahmad Hardy run for 44 yds to the CARK 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
99.5%
Ahmad Hardy run for 9 yds to the CARK 26Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+2
99.5%
Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the CARK 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
99.5%
Beau Pribula run for 5 yds to the CARK 19Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+15
99.6%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 15 yds to the CARK 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CARKDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:060% → 0%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
99.8%
Landen Chambers run for 9 yds to the CARK 24Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 1
OWN 24
-8
99.8%
(10:53) No Huddle-Shotgun Richesson,Luther pass incomplete short middle to Edwards,Triston thrown to C Ark34 broken up by Pride Jr.,Toriano, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Mizzou Pass Interference (Pride Jr.,Toriano) 8 yards from C Ark24 to C Ark32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
99.8%
Landen Chambers run for 7 yds to the CARK 39Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+10
99.8%
Landen Chambers run for 10 yds to the CARK 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
99.8%
Luther Richesson pass complete to Malachi Henry for 2 yds to the MIZ 49Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Luther Richesson pass incomplete to Tyrell PollardSimilar
Q3 8:44
3RD & 8
OPP 49
-6
99.8%
Luther Richesson sacked by Damon Wilson II for a loss of 6 yards to the CARK 45Similar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 14
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Trace Beard punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14TD
7 plays · 99 yds · 2:58100% → 100%
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+11
99.8%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 11 yds to the MIZ 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
99.8%
Jamal Roberts run for 9 yds to the MIZ 21Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 1
OWN 21
0
99.8%
Beau Pribula pass incomplete to Marquis JohnsonSimilar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+23
99.8%
Ahmad Hardy run for 23 yds to the MIZ 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
99.8%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Joshua Manning for 11 yds to the CARK 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+44
99.9%
Beau Pribula pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 44 yds to the CARK 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Beau Pribula run for 1 yd for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CARKDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:130% → 0%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
99.9%
Chapman McKown run for 2 yds to the CARK 18Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+18
99.9%
Luther Richesson run for 18 yds to the CARK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.9%
Chapman McKown run for 2 yds to the CARK 38Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-9
99.9%
Luther Richesson sacked by Damon Wilson II for a loss of 9 yards to the CARK 29Similar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 17
OWN 29
+3
99.9%
Luther Richesson run for 3 yds to the CARK 32Similar
Q3 1:21
4TH & 14
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Trace Beard punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Langden Kitchen at the MIZ 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:22100% → 100%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
99.9%
Tavorus Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the MIZ 32 Tavorus Jones fumbled, recovered by CARK Tavorus JonesSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+9
99.9%
Tavorus Jones run for 9 yds to the MIZ 41Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 3
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Tavorus Jones run for no gain to the MIZ 41Similar
Q4 14:20
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Connor Weselman punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Malachi Henry at the CARK 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CARKDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:130% → 0%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
99.9%
Landen Chambers run for a loss of 1 yard to the CARK 10Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+7
99.9%
Landen Chambers run for 7 yds to the CARK 17Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 4
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Luther Richesson pass incomplete to Tyrell PollardSimilar
Q4 12:56
4TH & 4
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Trace Beard punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Langden Kitchen at the MIZ 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 1:35100% → 100%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
99.9%
Matt Zollers pass complete to Donovan Olugbode for 9 yds to the CARK 45Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+5
99.9%
Marquise Davis run for 5 yds to the CARK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Marquise Davis run for no gain to the CARK 40Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+40
99.9%
Matt Zollers pass complete to Jude James for 40 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CARKDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · -1 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
100.0%
Jalen Washington run for a loss of 5 yards to the CARK 10Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 15
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Jalen Washington run for no gain to the CARK 10Similar
Q4 9:32
3RD & 15
OWN 10
+4
100.0%
Luther Richesson pass complete to Triston Edwards for 4 yds Triston Edwards fumbled, recovered by CARK Cameron KeysSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20TD
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
99.9%
Marquise Davis run for 1 yd to the CARK 13Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+1
99.9%
Marquise Davis run for 1 yd to the CARK 12Similar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+9
99.9%
Matt Zollers pass complete to Donovan Olugbode for 9 yds to the CARK 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
100.0%
Marquise Davis run for 3 yds for a TD (Robert Meyer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CARKDrive 21INT TD
14 plays · 49 yds · 4:280% → 0%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
100.0%
Luther Richesson run for 7 yds to the CARK 36Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+3
100.0%
Luther Richesson pass complete to Parker Perry for 3 yds to the CARK 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
100.0%
Cam Young run for 3 yds to the CARK 42Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+14
100.0%
Luther Richesson pass complete to Arlie Lee for 14 yds to the MIZ 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
100.0%
Cam Young run for 7 yds to the MIZ 37Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+6
100.0%
Cam Young run for 6 yds to the MIZ 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
100.0%
Luther Richesson pass complete to Parker Perry for 4 yds to the MIZ 27Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 6
OPP 27
0
100.0%
Luther Richesson pass incomplete to Arlie LeeSimilar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+7
100.0%
Luther Richesson pass complete to Chapman McKown for 7 yds to the MIZ 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
100.0%
Chapman McKown run for a loss of 2 yards to the MIZ 22Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 12
OPP 22
0
100.0%
Luther Richesson pass incomplete to Jalen WashingtonSimilar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 12
OPP 22
-83
100.0%
Dante McClellan 83 Yd Interception Return (Robert Meyer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CARKDrive 22TD
13 plays · 63 yds · 2:060% → 0%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
100.0%
Jalen Washington run for 11 yds to the CARK 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
100.0%
Chapman McKown run for 9 yds to the MIZ 43Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 1
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Luther Richesson pass incomplete to Arlie LeeSimilar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+3
100.0%
Cam Young run for 3 yds to the MIZ 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
100.0%
Luther Richesson pass incomplete to Parker PerrySimilar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+11
100.0%
Luther Richesson run for 11 yds to the MIZ 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
100.0%
Luther Richesson pass complete to Kealen Juniel for 14 yds to the MIZ 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
100.0%
Cam Young run for 12 yds to the MIZ 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
100.0%
Cam Young run for no gain to the MIZ 3Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
100.0%
Luther Richesson pass complete to Manny Smith for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
100.0%
(00:18) Kneel down by Missouri at Mizzou23 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:48
Beau Pribula run for 31 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)
+0.8
TD · Q2 0:08
Beau Pribula pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)
+0.8
FG · Q2 9:33
Blake Craig 55 yd FG GOOD
+0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com