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LSU

LSU 17 at Clemson 10

CLEM
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadLSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreLSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:22 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:59: Caden Durham run for 2 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +16.4 pts (now 50%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 12:18: Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 8 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +23.9 pts (now 78%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:57: Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the LSU 36 — LSU win probability +8.2 pts (now 78%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:48: Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to T.J. Moore — CLEM win probability +9.5 pts (now 17%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:55: TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 14 — LSU win probability +13.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 10LSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 11:48LSU 4th & 10 at CLEM 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    36.0%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:30CLEM 4th & 20 at CLEM 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:57CLEM 4th & 10 at LSU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    63.1%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:25LSU 4th & 9 at LSU 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:40CLEM 4th & 7 at LSU 44, up 3
    Close callPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    63.7%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:53LSU 4th & 12 at CLEM 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.1%
    45% to make
    Punt
    34.7%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:13CLEM 4th & 2 at LSU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    62.4%−0.9
    66% to make
    Punt
    58.0%−5.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:36CLEM 4th & 1 at LSU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    60.4%−2.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    55.1%−7.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:09LSU 4th & 2 at CLEM 12, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.7%−0.7
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    30.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    25.6%−4.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:47CLEM 4th & 9 at LSU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    71.2%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:32LSU 4th & 11 at CLEM 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−1.8
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    33.9%−9.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:09CLEM 4th & 5 at CLEM 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−1.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:02CLEM 4th & 5 at LSU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    28.7%−1.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    25.4%−4.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:26LSU 4th & 5 at CLEM 40, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    83.3%−1.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.3%−1.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:22CLEM 4th & 8 at CLEM 22, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%−1.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:50LSU 4th & 7 at LSU 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−1.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:59CLEM 4th & 4 at LSU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.7%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    12.2%−5.5
    83% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−9.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1LSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 4:36CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:59LSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:18LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:0138% → 38%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
61.7%
Caden Durham run for 24 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
61.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 4 yds to the CLEM 47Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+8
61.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for 8 yds to the CLEM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
61.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Trey'Dez GreenSimilar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-1
61.4%
Kaleb Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 40Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+1
61.5%
Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the CLEM 39Similar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
61.7%
Grant Chadwick punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:1562% → 61%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
61.7%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Antonio WilliamsSimilar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
61.7%
Adam Randall run for 2 yds to the CLEM 22Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-12
61.6%
Cade Klubnik sacked by PJ Woodland for a loss of 12 yards to the CLEM 10Similar
Q1 10:30
4TH & 20
OWN 10
+53
61.4%
Jack Smith punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Zavion Thomas at the LSU 47 LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the LSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:3439% → 39%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
61.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Ju'Juan Johnson for 3 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+8
61.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 8 yds Bauer Sharp fumbled, forced by Avieon Terrell, recovered by CLEM Ricardo Jones , return for 24 yds to the LSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5063% → 63%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
62.5%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Antonio WilliamsSimilar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
62.5%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
62.3%
Adam Randall run for no gain to the LSU 24Similar
Q1 8:57
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+42
62.5%
Nolan Hauser 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 3:2738% → 36%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
62.4%
Caden Durham run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 24Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-5
62.6%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Trey'Dez Green) to the LSU 19Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+15
62.7%
Nussmeier, Garrett pass incomplete to Green, Trey'Dez, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Woodaz, Wade) 15 yards to the LSU34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.Similar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
62.5%
Zavion Thomas run for 14 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
62.0%
Durham, Caden rush for 16 yards to the CLEMSON36, PENALTY LSU illegal formation (Brown, Barion) 5 yards to the LSU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:46
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+6
63.3%
Caden Durham run for 6 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
62.9%
Caden Durham run for no gain to the LSU 49Similar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
63.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Aaron AndersonSimilar
Q1 5:25
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
63.9%
Grant Chadwick punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CLEM 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6PUNT
12 plays · 41 yds · 4:3664% → 63%
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
63.6%
T.J. Moore run for 5 yds to the CLEM 20Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+7
63.0%
Adam Randall run for 7 yds to the CLEM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
63.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 16 yds to the CLEM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
63.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 3
50
-5
64.3%
Clemson Penalty, False Start (Blake Miller) to the CLEM 45Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+8
63.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 8 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
64.2%
Keith Adams Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 49Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 12
OPP 49
0
63.6%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Tyler BrownSimilar
Q1 1:26
3RD & 12
OPP 49
+5
63.1%
Cade Klubnik run for 5 yds to the LSU 44Similar
Q1 0:40
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
63.2%
Nolan Hauser punt for 28 yds, downed at the LSU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 4:3636% → 40%
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
63.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 11 yds to the LSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
63.7%
Zavion Thomas run for 13 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
62.9%
Ju'Juan Johnson run for 8 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+19
62.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Zavion Thomas for 19 yds to the CLEM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
61.3%
Ju'Juan Johnson run for 1 yd to the CLEM 32Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 9
OPP 32
-12
61.4%
Garrett Nussmeier sacked by Will Heldt for a loss of 12 yards to the CLEM 44Similar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 21
OPP 44
+9
64.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Ju'Juan Johnson for 9 yds to the CLEM 35Similar
Q2 10:53
4TH & 12
OPP 35
+52
60.5%
Damian Ramos 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:0962% → 71%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.5%
Cade Klubnik run for 5 yds to the CLEM 30Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
61.9%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Josh SappSimilar
Q2 10:02
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+26
61.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 26 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
63.8%
David Eziomume run for 4 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+7
63.9%
Cade Klubnik run for 7 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
64.4%
David Eziomume run for no gain to the LSU 33Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+7
64.3%
Cade Klubnik run for 7 yds to the LSU 26Similar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+1
63.5%
David Eziomume run for 1 yd to the LSU 25Similar
Q2 6:13
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+21
62.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 21 yds to the LSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-10
64.6%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Harold Perkins Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the LSU 14Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
0
64.1%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Bryant Wesco Jr.Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+13
62.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 13 yds to the LSU 1Similar
Q2 4:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
70.5%
Adam Randall run for 1 yd for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9FUMBLE
14 plays · 62 yds · 4:2228% → 30%
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Caden DurhamSimilar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
71.8%
Garrett Nussmeier run for 10 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
71.2%
Harlem Berry run for 1 yd to the LSU 36Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
71.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+14
72.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
50
+10
69.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for 10 yds to the CLEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
68.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 4 yds to the CLEM 36Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+16
68.1%
Zavion Thomas pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 16 yds to the CLEM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
67.1%
Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the CLEM 19Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+7
67.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 7 yds to the CLEM 12Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 2
OPP 12
0
68.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Aaron AndersonSimilar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 2
OPP 12
-1
70.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Chris Hilton Jr. for a loss of 1 yard Chris Hilton Jr. fumbled, forced by Ronan Hanafin, recovered by CLEMSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
72.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11MISSED FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 2:0872% → 72%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
71.9%
Adam Randall run for 6 yds to the CLEM 31Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
72.9%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to T.J. MooreSimilar
Q3 14:13
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+19
71.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Olsen Patt-Henry for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
50
+19
74.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 19 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
74.7%
Cade Klubnik run for 1 yd to the LSU 30Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
74.6%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to T.J. MooreSimilar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 9
OPP 30
0
73.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to T.J. MooreSimilar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 9
OPP 30
+48
71.6%
Nolan Hauser 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 3:4330% → 50%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
70.2%
Durham, Caden rush for 2 yards to the LSU33, PENALTY LSU holding (Davis, Weston) 10 yards to the LSU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 20
OWN 21
+39
71.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 39 yds to the CLEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
68.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 14 yds to the CLEM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
66.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Bauer SharpSimilar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
66.7%
Caden Durham run for 5 yds to the CLEM 21Similar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+16
67.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyle Parker for 16 yds to the CLEM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
66.2%
Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the CLEM 4Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 0
OPP 4
+2
64.7%
Nussmeier, Garrett pass incomplete to Green, Trey'Dez, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Hampton, Ashton) 2 yards to the CLEMSON2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.Similar
Q3 9:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
66.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Bauer SharpSimilar
Q3 8:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
50.0%
Caden Durham run for 2 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:3959% → 60%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
59.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 10 yds to the CLEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
59.7%
Cade Klubnik pass intercepted Mansoor Delane return for no gain to the LSU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14MISSED FG
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:3548% → 45%
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
52.3%
Caden Durham run for 15 yds to the CLEM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
51.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 3 yds to the CLEM 36Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+6
50.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 6 yds to the CLEM 30Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+2
50.7%
Garrett Nussmeier run for 2 yds to the CLEM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
48.9%
Ju'Juan Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 29Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 11
OPP 29
0
48.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 11
OPP 29
0
51.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Zavion ThomasSimilar
Q3 4:32
4TH & 11
OPP 29
+46
54.9%
Damian Ramos 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1859% → 57%
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
58.9%
Tyler Brown run for 7 yds to the CLEM 36Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 3
OWN 36
-2
61.3%
Cade Klubnik run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLEM 34Similar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
57.6%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Tyler BrownSimilar
Q3 3:09
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
56.6%
Jack Smith punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Zavion Thomas at the LSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 5:4346% → 78%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
54.0%
Caden Durham run for 8 yds to the LSU 35Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+3
51.7%
Caden Durham run for 3 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
51.8%
Zavion Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 37Similar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
53.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Trey'Dez GreenSimilar
Q3 1:03
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+15
55.5%
Nussmeier, Garrett pass incomplete (TEAM), PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference 15 yards to the CLEMSON48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU, QB hurry by TEAM, QB hit by TEAM.Similar
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
49.2%
LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LSU 47Similar
Q3 0:54
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+4
51.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 4 yds to the CLEM 49Similar
Q3 0:12
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+28
50.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 13 yds to the CLEM 36 for a 1ST down Clemson Penalty, Roughing Passer (T.J. Parker) to the CLEM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
46.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 9 yds to the CLEM 12Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 1
OPP 12
0
46.4%
Caden Durham run for no gain to the CLEM 12Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+2
47.8%
Garrett Nussmeier run for 2 yds to the CLEM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
45.7%
Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the CLEM 8Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
21.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 8 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 42 yds · 3:1130% → 30%
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
30.1%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
29.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 6 yds to the CLEM 31Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+11
29.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 11 yds to the CLEM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+20
32.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Christian Bentancur for 20 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
33.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 2 yds to the LSU 36Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+3
33.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Olsen Patt-Henry for 3 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 5
OPP 33
0
32.5%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:02
4TH & 5
OPP 33
0
29.9%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to T.J. MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 4:3178% → 85%
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
21.6%
Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the LSU 36Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+9
20.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Ju'Juan Johnson for 9 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
19.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Ju'Juan Johnson for 7 yds to the CLEM 48Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+3
16.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Ju'Juan Johnson for 3 yds to the CLEM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-7
16.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for a loss of 7 yards to the LSU 48Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 17
OWN 48
+5
16.4%
Caden Durham run for 5 yds to the CLEM 47Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+7
13.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 7 yds to the CLEM 40Similar
Q4 4:26
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
14.7%
Grant Chadwick punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5822% → 18%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
21.5%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Tyler BrownSimilar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
21.0%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Bryant Wesco Jr.Similar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-5
19.6%
Clemson Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CLEM 15Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+7
19.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Josh Sapp for 7 yds to the CLEM 22Similar
Q4 3:22
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+1
18.0%
Jack Smith punt for 51 yds , Zavion Thomas returns for 1 yd to the LSU 23 LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the LSU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2787% → 93%
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
12.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Bauer Sharp for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 17Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 11
OWN 17
0
11.4%
Caden Durham run for no gain to the LSU 17Similar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 11
OWN 17
+4
11.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for 4 yds to the LSU 21Similar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 7
OWN 21
+16
6.9%
Grant Chadwick punt for 52 yds , Bryant Wesco Jr. returns for 16 yds to the CLEM 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 42 yds · 0:4917% → 19%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
16.5%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to T.J. MooreSimilar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+19
15.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 19 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
18.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 17 yds to the LSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
24.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Christian Bentancur for 3 yds to the LSU 18Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+3
24.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 3 yds to the LSU 15Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 4
OPP 15
0
21.4%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Bryant Wesco Jr.Similar
Q4 0:59
4TH & 4
OPP 15
0
19.1%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:3394% → 94%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
6.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 14Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 11
OWN 14
-1
5.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:18
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Trey'Dez Green for 8 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)
-23.9
TD · Q3 8:59
Caden Durham run for 2 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)
-16.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:55
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 14
-13.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com