Try the model
AAMU

Alabama A&M 7 at Arkansas 52

ARK
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · Razorback Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ARK
modelARK aheadAAMU aheadconfidence bandkey playARK scoreAAMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:32 · Robert Cole punt for 51 yds , Kam Shanks returns for 11 yds to the ARK 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginGarbage-time factor
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 76Pregame prior+41.7Home team on offense+7.0Score differential+2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4Blowout margin+0.6Garbage-time factor−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:28: Maurice Edwards IV run for 6 yds for a TD (Victor Barbosa KICK) — AAMU win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: AAMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:41: Taylen Green pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 35 yds for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK) — ARK win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: Lead backed by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q2 2:12: Taylen Green pass complete to Jalen Brown for 5 yds for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK) — ARK win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:06: Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 6 yds for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK) — ARK win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:07: Taylen Green pass complete to CJ Brown for 14 yds for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK) — ARK win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARK made the numbers' call on 4 of 5AAMU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 3:37ARK 4th & 24 at AAMU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%
    45% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:36AAMU 4th & 7 at AAMU 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:30AAMU 4th & 12 at ARK 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:30ARK 4th & 8 at ARK 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:32AAMU 4th & 10 at AAMU 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:05AAMU 4th & 6 at AAMU 23, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:15AAMU 4th & 6 at AAMU 25, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:01AAMU 4th & 17 at AAMU 28, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:19AAMU 4th & 8 at AAMU 45, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:53ARK 4th & 2 at ARK 40, up 45
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:36AAMU 4th & 14 at AAMU 16, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:13ARK 4th & 9 at ARK 43, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:52AAMU 4th & 5 at AAMU 11, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:18ARK 4th & 14 at ARK 36, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARK made the numbers' call on 7 of 7AAMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:03ARK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:28AAMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:41ARK Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:12ARK Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:06ARK Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:07ARK Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:53ARK Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:51ARK Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARKDrive 1TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 4:39100% → 100%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
99.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 13 yds to the ARK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.6%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 6 yds to the ARK 46Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+10
99.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Jalen Brown for 10 yds to the AAMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.5%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 5 yds to the AAMU 39Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+6
99.5%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 6 yds to the AAMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
99.5%
Taylen Green run for 11 yds to the AAMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
99.5%
Braylen Russell run for 4 yds to the AAMU 18Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+2
99.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 2 yds to the AAMU 16Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+16
99.5%
T. Green pass to C. Brown for 16 yds for a TD (S. Starzyk KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 2TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:231% → 1%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.4%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Jordan Chambers-Smith for 18 yds to the AAMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
99.4%
PENALTY AAMU False Start 5 yards from AAMU43 to AAMU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+11
99.4%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Franck Pierre for 11 yds to the AAMU 49Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+7
99.4%
Maurice Edwards IV run for 7 yds to the ARK 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+26
99.3%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Travaunta Abner for 26 yds to the ARK 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
99.3%
(07:58) PENALTY AAMU False Start 5 yards from ARK18 to ARK23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+13
99.3%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Jordan Chambers-Smith for 13 yds to the ARK 10Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+4
99.3%
Maurice Edwards IV run for 4 yds to the ARK 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.1%
Maurice Edwards IV run for 6 yds for a TD (Victor Barbosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 3FG
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:2299% → 99%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+29
99.2%
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 29 yds to the AAMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+18
99.2%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 18 yds to the AAMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.1%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to CJ BrownSimilar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-4
99.1%
Taylen Green run for a loss of 4 yards to the AAMU 25Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 14
OPP 25
-10
99.0%
Taylen Green sacked by Wyatt Wright for a loss of 10 yards to the AAMU 35Similar
Q1 3:37
4TH & 24
OPP 35
+53
99.0%
Scott Starzyk 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 1:531% → 1%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.0%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Jarvis Davis for 8 yds to the AAMU 33Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-5
98.9%
PENALTY AAMU False Start (Cloy,Elias) 5 yards from AAMU33 to AAMU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
98.9%
Maurice Edwards IV run for 5 yds to the AAMU 33Similar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
98.9%
(02:33) No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Cornelious pass complete short right to Abner,Travaunta caught at AAMU36, for 40 yards to the ARK27 (Worth III,Larry), out of bounds PENALTY ARK Offside offsetting AAMU Illegal Block in Back offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:44
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
98.8%
PENALTY AAMU False Start (Richardson,TyQuez) 5 yards from AAMU33 to AAMU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:44
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
98.9%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Ryan MorrowSimilar
Q1 1:36
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
98.9%
Robert Cole punt for 47 yds , Kam Shanks returns for no gain to the ARK 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:4299% → 99%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
98.8%
Taylen Green pass complete to Jaden Platt for 15 yds to the ARK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
98.8%
PENALTY ARK False Start (Harris,E'Marion) 5 yards from ARK40 to ARK35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 15
OWN 35
0
98.8%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Raylen SharpeSimilar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+4
98.8%
Taylen Green pass complete to CJ Brown for 4 yds to the ARK 39Similar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
50
+1
98.8%
Braylen Russell run for 1 yd to the AAMU 49Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+9
98.7%
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 9 yds to the AAMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
98.7%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to O'Mega BlakeSimilar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
98.7%
Braylen Russell run for 5 yds to the AAMU 35Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+35
99.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 35 yds for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 4:041% → 1%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.9%
Maurice Edwards IV run for 4 yds to the AAMU 29Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+17
98.9%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Travaunta Abner for 17 yds to the AAMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
98.8%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Andre Craig Jr.Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+18
98.8%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Ryan Morrow for 18 yds to the ARK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
98.7%
PENALTY AAMU False Start (Lewis,Ramier) 5 yards from ARK36 to ARK41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:36
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+2
98.7%
Cornelious Brown IV run for 2 yds to the ARK 39Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 13
OPP 39
-3
98.7%
Ryan Morrow run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARK 42Similar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 16
OPP 42
+4
98.7%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Andre Craig Jr. for 4 yds to the ARK 38Similar
Q2 9:30
4TH & 12
OPP 38
0
98.6%
Robert Cole punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:4699% → 99%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
98.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Kam Shanks for 1 yd to the ARK 21Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
98.9%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Mike Washington Jr.Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+15
98.8%
Taylen Green pass complete to CJ Brown for 15 yds to the ARK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
98.9%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 6 yds to the ARK 42Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+4
98.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 4 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
98.9%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 6
50
0
98.9%
Mike Washington Jr. run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:59
3RD & 6
50
-2
98.8%
Taylen Green sacked by Wyatt Wright for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 48Similar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
98.7%
Devin Bale punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AAMU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:522% → 2%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
98.4%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Franck PierreSimilar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+15
98.4%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Daveon Walker for 15 yds to the AAMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Travaunta AbnerSimilar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Franck PierreSimilar
Q2 4:43
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Travaunta AbnerSimilar
Q2 4:32
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.5%
Robert Cole punt for 51 yds , Kam Shanks returns for 11 yds to the ARK 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 9TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:1099% → 99%
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
98.5%
Taylen Green run for 1 yd to the ARK 36Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
98.4%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to CJ BrownSimilar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+26
98.4%
Taylen Green run for 26 yds to the AAMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+29
98.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Monte Harrison for 29 yds to the AAMU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
98.2%
Braylen Russell run for 4 yds to the AAMU 5Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.3%
Taylen Green pass complete to Jalen Brown for 5 yds for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:551% → 1%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
98.7%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Myles ParkerSimilar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+8
98.7%
Kaden Dixon run for 8 yds to the AAMU 27Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 2
OWN 27
-4
98.8%
Ryan Morrow run for a loss of 4 yards to the AAMU 23Similar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 6
OWN 23
+3
98.8%
Robert Cole punt for 39 yds , Kam Shanks returns for 3 yds to the ARK 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 11TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 0:5499% → 99%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.0%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Jalen BrownSimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+27
99.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 27 yds to the AAMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
99.0%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun Green,Taylen pass incomplete short right to Blake,O'Mega thrown to AAMU25 broken up by Mayberry,Delbert PENALTY AAMU Holding (Mayberry,Delbert) 10 yards from AAMU32 to AAMU22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.0%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Kam ShanksSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-1
99.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to Mike Washington Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the AAMU 23Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 11
OPP 23
-10
98.8%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Green,Taylen pass complete deep middle to Blake,O'Mega caught at AAMU00, for 23 yards to the AAMU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:24 PENALTY ARK Holding (Carmona,Fernando) 10 yards from AAMU23 to AAMU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 21
OPP 33
+27
98.7%
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 27 yds to the AAMU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 6 yds for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
99.5%
(00:00) Kneel down by Arkansas at ARK31 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:311% → 1%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
99.2%
Maurice Edwards IV run for 4 yds to the AAMU 25Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Ty'Jarian WilliamsSimilar
Q3 14:23
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Franck PierreSimilar
Q3 14:15
4TH & 6
OWN 25
+4
99.2%
Robert Cole punt for 45 yds , Kam Shanks returns for 4 yds to the ARK 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 14TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 3:0299% → 100%
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
99.3%
Rodney Hill run for 7 yds to the ARK 41Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+29
99.3%
Taylen Green pass complete to Jalen Brown for 29 yds to the AAMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
99.3%
Rodney Hill run for 4 yds to the AAMU 26Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+10
99.3%
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 10 yds to the AAMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
99.3%
Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the AAMU 14Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+14
99.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to CJ Brown for 14 yds for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:560% → 0%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Kaden Dixon run for 10 yds to the AAMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
99.8%
Ryan Morrow run for a loss of 1 yard to the AAMU 34Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Myles ParkerSimilar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 11
OWN 34
-6
99.9%
Cornelious Brown IV sacked by Quincy Rhodes Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the AAMU 28Similar
Q3 9:01
4TH & 17
OWN 28
+10
99.9%
Robert Cole punt for 47 yds , Kam Shanks returns for 10 yds to the ARK 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 16TD
15 plays · 65 yds · 6:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.9%
Braylen Russell run for 7 yds to the ARK 42Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-3
99.9%
Braylen Russell run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARK 39Similar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+7
99.9%
Taylen Green run for 7 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
99.9%
(07:20) No Huddle-Shotgun Green,Taylen pass incomplete short left to Shanks,Kam thrown to ARK50 PENALTY AAMU Pass Interference (Hudson-Davis,Jeremiah) 7 yards from ARK46 to AAMU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
99.9%
Braylen Russell run for 5 yds to the AAMU 42Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+7
99.9%
Braylen Russell run for 7 yds to the AAMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
99.9%
Taylen Green run for 1 yd to the AAMU 34Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+3
99.9%
Braylen Russell run for 3 yds to the AAMU 31Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+11
99.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Kam Shanks for 11 yds to the AAMU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
99.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Kam Shanks for 7 yds to the AAMU 13Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+2
99.9%
Braylen Russell run for 2 yds to the AAMU 11Similar
Q3 3:18
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+6
99.9%
Braylen Russell run for 6 yds to the AAMU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andreas Paaske for 5 yds for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 17FUMBLE
10 plays · 36 yds · 2:560% → 0%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Eric Handley pass complete to Jarvis Davis for 4 yds to the AAMU 29Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
Isaiah Nkokenkwo run for 1 yd to the AAMU 30Similar
Q3 1:19
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
99.9%
Eric Handley pass complete to Travaunta Abner for 6 yds to the AAMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.9%
Isaiah Nkokenkwo run for 7 yds to the AAMU 43Similar
Q3 0:31
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+20
99.9%
Isaiah Nkokenkwo run for 20 yds to the ARK 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
99.9%
Kaden Dixon run for 6 yds to the ARK 31Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 4
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Eric Handley pass incomplete to Mekhi MaddoxSimilar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 4
OPP 31
-8
99.9%
Eric Handley sacked by Shakur Smalls for a loss of 8 yards to the ARK 39 Eric Handley fumbled, recovered by ARK Shakur Smalls , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 18TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 0:45100% → 100%
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 4 yds to the ARK 43Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+30
99.9%
Mike Washington Jr. run for 30 yds to the AAMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
99.9%
KJ Jackson pass complete to Mike Washington Jr. for 27 yds for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Eric Handley pass incomplete to Mekhi MaddoxSimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
100.0%
Eric Handley pass complete to Donovan Payne for 18 yds to the AAMU 43 for a 1ST down Arkansas Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Eric Handley pass incomplete to Mekhi MaddoxSimilar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
100.0%
Eric Handley pass complete to Donovan Payne for 2 yds to the AAMU 45Similar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Eric Handley pass incomplete to Donovan PayneSimilar
Q4 12:19
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Robert Cole punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kam Shanks at the ARK 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:15100% → 100%
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
100.0%
KJ Jackson pass complete to Krosse Johnson for 9 yds to the ARK 20Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+12
100.0%
AJ Green run for 12 yds to the ARK 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
100.0%
AJ Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 30Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
99.9%
KJ Jackson pass incomplete to Ja'Kayden FergusonSimilar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+10
100.0%
KJ Jackson run for 10 yds to the ARK 40Similar
Q4 9:53
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Devin Bale punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jordan Chambers-Smith at the AAMU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:580% → 0%
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-12
100.0%
Eric Handley run for a loss of 12 yards to the AAMU 8Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 22
OWN 8
+3
100.0%
Isaiah Nkokenkwo run for 3 yds to the AAMU 11Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 19
OWN 11
+5
100.0%
Eric Handley pass complete to Isaiah Nkokenkwo for 5 yds to the AAMU 16Similar
Q4 7:36
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
100.0%
Robert Cole punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARK 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
100.0%
PENALTY ARK False Start (Broussard,Kavion) 5 yards from ARK42 to ARK37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+5
100.0%
KJ Jackson run for 5 yds to the ARK 42Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
100.0%
AJ Green run for 1 yd to the ARK 43Similar
Q4 6:21
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
100.0%
KJ Jackson pass incomplete to Jeremiah Beck Jr.Similar
Q4 6:13
4TH & 9
OWN 43
+5
100.0%
Devin Bale punt for 56 yds , Jordan Chambers-Smith returns for 5 yds to the AAMU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:130% → 0%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
100.0%
Isaiah Nkokenkwo run for 4 yds to the AAMU 10Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 6
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Isaiah Nkokenkwo run for no gain to the AAMU 10Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 6
OWN 10
+1
100.0%
Eric Handley pass complete to Kaden Dixon for 1 yd to the AAMU 11Similar
Q4 3:52
4TH & 5
OWN 11
0
100.0%
Robert Cole punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Kam Shanks at the ARK 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:19100% → 100%
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-9
100.0%
run for a loss of 9 yards to the ARK 31Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 19
OWN 31
+5
100.0%
Cam Settles run for 5 yds to the ARK 36Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 14
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Trever Jackson pass incomplete to Cam SettlesSimilar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 14
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Devin Bale punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AAMU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 12 yds · 2:130% → 0%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
100.0%
Kaden Dixon run for 11 yds to the AAMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
100.0%
Kaden Dixon run for 2 yds to the AAMU 33Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+1
100.0%
Isaiah Nkokenkwo run for 1 yd to the AAMU 34Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 34
-2
100.0%
Isaiah Nkokenkwo run for a loss of 2 yards to the AAMU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:12
Taylen Green pass complete to Jalen Brown for 5 yds for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK)
+1
TD · Q2 0:06
Taylen Green pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 6 yds for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK)
+0.8
TD · Q3 11:07
Taylen Green pass complete to CJ Brown for 14 yds for a TD (Scott Starzyk KICK)
+0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com