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OSU

Ohio State 28 at Texas 14

TEX
2024 · College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic · Jan 10, 2025 · AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:47 · Michael Kern punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Home team on offense+1.9Pregame prior−3.0Score differential−1.0Garbage-time factor−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:29: Jaydon Blue 18 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Will Stone Kick) — TEX win probability +14.4 pts (now 53%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:13: TreVeyon Henderson 75 Yd pass from Will Howard (Jayden Fielding Kick) — OSU win probability +16.7 pts (now 68%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:12: Jaydon Blue 26 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Will Stone Kick) — TEX win probability +18.4 pts (now 56%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:02: Quinshon Judkins 1 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick) — OSU win probability +27.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:13: Quinn Ewers sacked sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 9 yards to the OSU 17, fumbles, forced by Jack Sawyer, recovered by OSU Jack Sawayer, returned 83 yards for a Touchdown (Jayden Fielding Kick) — OSU win probability +21.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 9 of 9OSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 11:42TEX 4th & 3 at OSU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    37.7%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    37.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:19TEX 4th & 16 at OSU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:45OSU 4th & 21 at TEX 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−1.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:28TEX 4th & 21 at TEX 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−2.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:52OSU 4th & 8 at OSU 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:07TEX 4th & 6 at TEX 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:22OSU 4th & 3 at OSU 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:23TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:52OSU 4th & 17 at OSU 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−1.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:49TEX 4th & 1 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.7%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:36TEX 4th & 7 at TEX 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−1.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:30OSU 4th & 1 at OSU 21, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:03OSU 4th & 15 at OSU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%−5.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:47TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:45OSU 4th & 2 at TEX 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    46.4%−5.8
    47% to make
    Punt
    44.3%−7.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:13TEX 4th & 8 at OSU 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.9%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    14.8%−6.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−12.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 2 of 2OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:24OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:29TEX Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:13OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:12TEX Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:02OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:13OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:1238% → 39%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
38.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Juan Davis for 4 yds to the TEX 29Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
38.2%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the TEX 33Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+24
38.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 24 yds to the OSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
39.0%
Ryan Wingo run for 6 yds to the OSU 37Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
39.3%
Quinn Ewers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+1
39.3%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd to the OSU 36Similar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 3
OPP 36
0
39.4%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to DeAndre Moore Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 4:1361% → 63%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
39.0%
Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the OSU 41Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+2
38.9%
Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the OSU 43Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+5
39.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 5 yds to the OSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
39.2%
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 14 yds to the TEX 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
39.3%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Jeremiah SmithSimilar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
39.4%
Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the TEX 34Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+11
39.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 11 yds to the TEX 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
39.3%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 14 yds to the TEX 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
39.3%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Carnell TateSimilar
Q1 7:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
36.7%
Quinshon Judkins 9 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:5938% → 37%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
37.8%
Quinn Ewers sacked by JT Tuimoloau for a loss of 4 yards to the TEX 21Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+15
37.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 15 yds to the TEX 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
37.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 22 yds to the OSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
38.8%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Quintrevion WisnerSimilar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
38.7%
Jaydon Blue run for 3 yds to the OSU 39Similar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 7
OPP 39
-5
38.7%
Texas Penalty, False Start (Cameron Williams) to the OSU 44Similar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 12
OPP 44
-4
38.1%
Quinn Ewers sacked by JT Tuimoloau and Ty Hamilton for a loss of 4 yards to the OSU 48Similar
Q1 4:19
4TH & 16
OPP 48
0
37.3%
Michael Kern punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 43 yds · 4:2763% → 63%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
37.5%
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 3 yds to the OSU 11Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+13
37.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 13 yds to the OSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
37.2%
Will Howard run for 2 yds to the OSU 26Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+22
36.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 22 yds to the OSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
35.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 14 yds to the TEX 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
35.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the TEX 37Similar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 9
OPP 37
-15
35.5%
Ohio State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TreVeyon Henderson) to the OSU 48Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 24
OWN 48
-2
36.3%
Will Howard run for a loss of 2 yards to the OSU 46Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 26
OWN 46
+5
36.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 5 yds to the TEX 49Similar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 21
OPP 49
+16
37.0%
Joe McGuire punt for 40 yds , Silas Bolden returns for 16 yds to the TEX 25 Silas Bolden fumbled, forced by Caden Curry, recovered by TEX Silas BoldenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 2:1237% → 36%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
37.1%
Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 24Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-10
37.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 4 yds to the TEX 28 Texas Penalty, Face Mask (14 yards) (Matthew Golden) to the TEX 14Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+10
36.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 10 yds to the TEX 24Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-10
36.2%
Quinn Ewers sacked by Sonny Styles for a loss of 10 yards to the TEX 14 Quinn Ewers fumbled, forced by Sonny Styles, recovered by TEX DJ Campbell , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 12:28
4TH & 21
OWN 14
+51
35.9%
Michael Kern punt for 51 yds , Emeka Egbuka returns for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:3164% → 64%
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
36.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 7 yds to the OSU 41Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+5
35.2%
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 5 yds to the OSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
35.0%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-10
35.2%
Howard, Will pass complete to Smith, Jeremiah for 1 yard to the OSU47, PENALTY OSU holding (Scott Jr., Gee) 10 yards to the OSU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 20
OWN 36
+12
36.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 12 yds to the OSU 48Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
35.1%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Emeka EgbukaSimilar
Q2 9:52
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
36.0%
Joe McGuire punt for 43 yds, downed at the TEX 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:4136% → 34%
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
36.3%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 7 yds to the TEX 16Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+4
36.4%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the TEX 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
36.2%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Gunnar HelmSimilar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
36.2%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 4 yds to the TEX 24Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
35.5%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ryan WingoSimilar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
34.2%
Michael Kern punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:4166% → 66%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
34.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the OSU 35Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-10
34.2%
Judkins, Quinshon rush for 7 yards to the OSU42, PENALTY OSU holding (Fryar, Josh) 10 yards to the OSU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 20
OWN 25
+7
34.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 7 yds to the OSU 32Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 13
OWN 32
-5
35.2%
Ohio State Penalty, False Start (Luke Montgomery) to the OSU 27Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 18
OWN 27
+15
35.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 15 yds to the OSU 42Similar
Q2 5:22
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
33.9%
Joe McGuire punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Silas Bolden at the TEX 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:5535% → 34%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
34.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 8 yds to the TEX 23Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+3
35.3%
Jaydon Blue run for 3 yds to the TEX 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
35.2%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 5 yds to the TEX 31Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
35.4%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to DeAndre Moore Jr.Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
34.6%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Isaiah BondSimilar
Q2 3:23
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
33.7%
Michael Kern punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:2467% → 66%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
32.7%
Quinshon Judkins run for no gain to the OSU 27Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
32.7%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Quinshon JudkinsSimilar
Q2 2:36
3RD & 10
OWN 27
-7
33.3%
Will Howard sacked by Anthony Hill Jr. and Barryn Sorrell for a loss of 7 yards to the OSU 20Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 17
OWN 20
0
34.1%
Joe McGuire punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Silas Bolden at the TEX 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 1:2036% → 53%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
36.1%
Quintrevion Wisner run for no gain to the TEX 41Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
35.2%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Quintrevion WisnerSimilar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+9
34.3%
Quinn Ewers run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 1
50
+8
35.8%
Arch Manning run for 8 yds to the OSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+24
36.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Silas Bolden for 24 yds to the OSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
38.1%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to DeAndre Moore Jr.Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
52.6%
Jaydon Blue 18 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Will Stone Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
31.6%
TreVeyon Henderson 75 Yd pass from Will Howard (Jayden Fielding Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:0833% → 36%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
33.4%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 13 yds to the TEX 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
34.2%
Ewers, Quinn pass incomplete to Wingo, Ryan, PENALTY OSU holding (Igbinosun, Davison) 10 yards to the TEX48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEX.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
35.7%
Quinn Ewers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14INT
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:4968% → 71%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
31.8%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 13 yds to the OSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
30.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the OSU 45Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+7
29.7%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the TEX 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
29.1%
Will Howard pass intercepted David Gbenda return for a loss of 3 yards to the TEX 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 2:2334% → 32%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
33.5%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 10 yds to the TEX 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
35.0%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd to the TEX 41Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-2
34.3%
Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 2 yards to the TEX 39Similar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+4
32.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 4 yds to the TEX 43Similar
Q3 10:36
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
32.1%
Michael Kern punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0169% → 67%
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
31.5%
Emeka Egbuka run for no gain to the OSU 12Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+9
31.8%
Will Howard pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 9 yds to the OSU 21Similar
Q3 9:16
3RD & 1
OWN 21
0
31.3%
Quinshon Judkins run for no gain to the OSU 21Similar
Q3 8:30
4TH & 1
OWN 21
0
32.8%
Joe McGuire punt for 46 yds , Silas Bolden returns for no gain to the TEX 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17TD
13 plays · 67 yds · 5:1833% → 56%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
33.0%
Texas Penalty, False Start (Jake Majors) to the TEX 28Similar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 15
OWN 28
0
32.4%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ryan WingoSimilar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 15
OWN 28
+5
32.1%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 5 yds to the TEX 33Similar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+14
31.2%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 14 yds to the TEX 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
35.5%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 5 yds to the OSU 48Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+2
36.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 2 yds to the OSU 46Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+4
35.8%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the OSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
36.5%
Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 2 yards to the OSU 44Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+11
34.3%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 11 yds to the OSU 33Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+4
36.0%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the OSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
37.8%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds to the OSU 26Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
37.8%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Quintrevion WisnerSimilar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+26
56.1%
Jaydon Blue 26 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Will Stone Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 2:0252% → 48%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
48.0%
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 15 yds to the OSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
45.4%
Ohio State Penalty, Personal Foul (Austin Siereveld) to the OSU 25Similar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
48.1%
Will Howard sacked by Vernon Broughton for a loss of 10 yards to the OSU 15 Will Howard fumbled, forced by Vernon Broughton, recovered by OSU Will Howard , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+5
49.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OSU 20Similar
Q3 1:11
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
50.8%
Will Howard pass incomplete to TreVeyon HendersonSimilar
Q3 1:03
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
52.2%
Joe McGuire punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Silas Bolden at the TEX 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0955% → 53%
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
54.6%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 7 yds to the TEX 46Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 3
OWN 46
-2
56.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for a loss of 2 yards to the TEX 44Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
55.6%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Matthew GoldenSimilar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
52.7%
Michael Kern punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20TD
16 plays · 88 yds · 7:3851% → 86%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
49.4%
Howard, Will pass incomplete to Egbuka, Emeka, PENALTY TEX pass interference (Muhammad, Malik) 15 yards to the OSU27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OSU.Similar
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
48.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the OSU 25Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+4
49.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 4 yds to the OSU 29Similar
Q4 13:11
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+18
50.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 18 yds to the OSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
44.9%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Emeka EgbukaSimilar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+11
45.8%
Will Howard pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 11 yds to the TEX 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
44.3%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Carnell TateSimilar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+6
44.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 6 yds to the TEX 36Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 4
OPP 36
-5
44.3%
Ohio State Penalty, False Start (Josh Fryar) to the TEX 41Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+7
45.8%
Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 7 yds to the TEX 34Similar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+18
46.7%
Will Howard run for 18 yds to the TEX 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
40.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 8 yds to the TEX 8Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+6
40.9%
Quinshon Judkins run for 6 yds to the TEX 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
41.0%
Will Howard run for 1 yd to the TEX 1Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
13.8%
Quinshon Judkins 1 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21FUMBLE RETURN TD
13 plays · 58 yds · 4:4522% → 3%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
21.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 8 yds to the TEX 33Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
24.2%
Jaydon Blue run for 8 yds to the TEX 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
24.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 34 yds to the OSU 25 for a 1ST down Texas Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Gunnar Helm) to the OSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+27
26.2%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 27 yds to the OSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
28.3%
Jaydon Blue run for 2 yds to the OSU 11Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+5
27.6%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 5 yds to the OSU 6Similar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+4
26.9%
Ewers, Quinn pass incomplete to Wingo, Ryan, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Ransom, Lathan) 4 yards to the OSU2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEX.Similar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 0
OPP 2
+1
32.1%
Ewers, Quinn pass incomplete to Golden, Matthew, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Mathews Jr., Jermaine) 1 yards to the OSU1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEX.Similar
Q4 3:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
28.7%
Jerrick Gibson run for no gain to the OSU 1Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-7
28.6%
Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 7 yards to the OSU 8Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
25.2%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ryan WingoSimilar
Q4 2:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+83
3.4%
Quinn Ewers sacked sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 9 yards to the OSU 17, fumbles, forced by Jack Sawyer, recovered by OSU Jack Sawayer, returned 83 yards for a Touchdown (Jayden Fielding Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22INT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:243% → 3%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
3.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 6 yds to the TEX 31Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
2.7%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Jaydon BlueSimilar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-7
2.6%
Quinn Ewers pass intercepted Caleb Downs return for 7 yds to the TEX 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:2398% → 98%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
2.0%
Quinshon Judkins run for 9 yds to the TEX 32Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+2
1.9%
Will Howard run for 2 yds to the TEX 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
1.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:02
Quinshon Judkins 1 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)
-27.2
TD · Q4 2:13
Quinn Ewers sacked sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 9 yards to the OSU 17, fumbles, forced by Jack Sawyer, recovered by OSU Jack Sawayer, returned 83 yards for a Touchdown (Jayden Fielding Kick)
-21.7
TD · Q3 3:12
Jaydon Blue 26 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Will Stone Kick)
+18.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com