ARDLINETry the model
OSU

Ohio State 28 at Texas 14

TEX
2024 · Week 1 · Jan 11, 2025 · AT&T Stadium
Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey play
Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDKEY PLAYKEY PLAYTDTDTD
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q1 14:54
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Juan Davis for 4 yds to the TEX 29
+2.8
Q1 14:20
Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the TEX 33
+0.3
Q1 13:36
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 24 yds to the OSU 43 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 12:59
Ryan Wingo run for 6 yds to the OSU 37
+2.5
Q1 12:23
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 12:18
Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd to the OSU 36
-0.2
Q1 11:42
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to DeAndre Moore Jr.
-0.4
Q1 11:37
Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the OSU 41
-5.7
Q1 11:18
Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the OSU 43
-1.2
Q1 10:35
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 5 yds to the OSU 48 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 10:03
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 14 yds to the TEX 38 for a 1ST down
-0.8
Q1 9:25
Will Howard pass incomplete to Jeremiah Smith
-0.3
Q1 9:21
Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the TEX 34
0.0
Q1 8:43
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 11 yds to the TEX 23 for a 1ST down
-0.4
Q1 8:05
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 14 yds to the TEX 9 for a 1ST down
+0.4
Q1 7:29
Will Howard pass incomplete to Carnell Tate
0.0
Q1 7:24
Quinshon Judkins 9 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)
-13.9
Q1 7:24
Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+1.3
Q1 7:18
Quinn Ewers sacked by JT Tuimoloau for a loss of 4 yards to the TEX 21
+3.8
Q1 6:52
Quinn Ewers pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 15 yds to the TEX 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 6:22
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 22 yds to the OSU 42 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q1 5:50
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Quintrevion Wisner
+2.2
Q1 5:45
Jaydon Blue run for 3 yds to the OSU 39
0.0
Q1 5:14
Texas Penalty, False Start (Cameron Williams) to the OSU 44
+0.4
Q1 4:58
Quinn Ewers sacked by JT Tuimoloau and Ty Hamilton for a loss of 4 yards to the OSU 48
-0.9
Q1 4:19
Michael Kern punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 8
0.0
Q1 4:12
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 3 yds to the OSU 11
-5.2
Q1 3:36
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 13 yds to the OSU 24 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q1 3:00
Will Howard run for 2 yds to the OSU 26
0.0
Q1 2:15
TreVeyon Henderson run for 22 yds to the OSU 48 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 1:36
Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 14 yds to the TEX 38 for a 1ST down
-1.6
Q1 0:54
TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the TEX 37
0.0
Q1 0:47
Ohio State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TreVeyon Henderson) to the OSU 48
0.0
Q1 0:40
Will Howard run for a loss of 2 yards to the OSU 46
+0.2
Q1 0:00
Will Howard pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 5 yds to the TEX 49
0.0
Q2 14:45
Joe McGuire punt for 40 yds , Silas Bolden returns for 16 yds to the TEX 25 Silas Bolden fumbled, forced by Caden Curry, recovered by TEX Silas Bolden
+0.3
Q2 14:40
Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 24
+5.1
Q2 14:04
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 4 yds to the TEX 28 Texas Penalty, Face Mask (14 yards) (Matthew Golden) to the TEX 14
0.0
Q2 13:40
Quinn Ewers pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 10 yds to the TEX 24
0.0
Q2 12:51
Quinn Ewers sacked by Sonny Styles for a loss of 10 yards to the TEX 14 Quinn Ewers fumbled, forced by Sonny Styles, recovered by TEX DJ Campbell , return for 0 yards
0.0
Q2 12:28
Michael Kern punt for 51 yds , Emeka Egbuka returns for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 34
0.0
Q2 12:23
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 7 yds to the OSU 41
-4.2
Q2 11:53
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 5 yds to the OSU 46 for a 1ST down
-1.2
Q2 11:15
Will Howard pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 11:09
Howard, Will pass complete to Smith, Jeremiah for 1 yard to the OSU47, PENALTY OSU holding (Scott Jr., Gee) 10 yards to the OSU36, NO PLAY.
+0.3
Q2 10:46
Will Howard pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 12 yds to the OSU 48
+1.3
Q2 10:04
Will Howard pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka
-0.8
Q2 9:52
Joe McGuire punt for 43 yds, downed at the TEX 9
+0.3
Q2 9:48
Quintrevion Wisner run for 7 yds to the TEX 16
+5.3
Q2 9:15
Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the TEX 20 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 8:43
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Gunnar Helm
0.0
Q2 8:40
Quinn Ewers pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 4 yds to the TEX 24
0.0
Q2 8:15
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ryan Wingo
0.0
Q2 8:07
Michael Kern punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OSU 35
-1.5
Q2 8:03
TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the OSU 35
-4.3
Q2 7:33
Judkins, Quinshon rush for 7 yards to the OSU42, PENALTY OSU holding (Fryar, Josh) 10 yards to the OSU25, NO PLAY.
0.0
Q2 7:04
Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 7 yds to the OSU 32
0.0
Q2 6:22
Ohio State Penalty, False Start (Luke Montgomery) to the OSU 27
0.0
Q2 6:00
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 15 yds to the OSU 42
0.0
Q2 5:22
Joe McGuire punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Silas Bolden at the TEX 15
-0.9
Q2 5:18
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 8 yds to the TEX 23
+5.3
Q2 4:42
Jaydon Blue run for 3 yds to the TEX 26 for a 1ST down
+1.0
Q2 4:08
Quintrevion Wisner run for 5 yds to the TEX 31
0.0
Q2 3:37
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to DeAndre Moore Jr.
0.0
Q2 3:31
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Isaiah Bond
0.0
Q2 3:23
Michael Kern punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OSU 27
0.0
Q2 3:16
Quinshon Judkins run for no gain to the OSU 27
-6.4
Q2 2:41
Will Howard pass incomplete to Quinshon Judkins
0.0
Q2 2:36
Will Howard sacked by Anthony Hill Jr. and Barryn Sorrell for a loss of 7 yards to the OSU 20
0.0
Q2 2:00
Two Minute Timeout, clock 02:00
+0.2
Q2 1:52
Joe McGuire punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Silas Bolden at the TEX 41
0.0
Q2 1:49
Quintrevion Wisner run for no gain to the TEX 41
+7.0
Q2 1:15
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Quintrevion Wisner
+0.1
Q2 1:11
Quinn Ewers run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line
-0.2
Q2 0:49
Arch Manning run for 8 yds to the OSU 42 for a 1ST down
+0.6
Q2 0:49
Timeout Texas, clock 00:49
+1.5
Q2 0:39
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Silas Bolden for 24 yds to the OSU 18 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:34
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to DeAndre Moore Jr.
+0.3
Q2 0:34
Timeout Ohio State, clock 00:34
-0.9
Q2 0:29
Jaydon Blue 18 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Will Stone Kick)
+18.4
Q2 0:29
Will Stone kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-2.3
Q2 0:13
TreVeyon Henderson 75 Yd pass from Will Howard (Jayden Fielding Kick)
-24.4
Q2 0:13
Timeout Ohio State, clock 00:13
+17.3
Q2 0:13
Jayden Fielding kickoff for 45 yds fair catch by Gunnar Helm at the TEX 20
-17.3
Q2 0:08
Quintrevion Wisner run for 13 yds to the TEX 38 for a 1ST down
+6.4
Q2 0:07
Timeout Texas, clock 00:07
+0.3
Q2 0:02
Ewers, Quinn pass incomplete to Wingo, Ryan, PENALTY OSU holding (Igbinosun, Davison) 10 yards to the TEX48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEX.
0.0
Q2 0:00
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete
+1.1
Q3 15:00
Will Stone kickoff for 64 yds fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OSU 2
-1.8
Q3 14:53
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 13 yds to the OSU 38 for a 1ST down
-6.1
Q3 14:18
TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the OSU 45
-1.4
Q3 13:42
TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the TEX 48 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 13:04
Will Howard pass intercepted David Gbenda return for a loss of 3 yards to the TEX 30
0.0
Q3 12:59
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 10 yds to the TEX 40 for a 1ST down
+8.2
Q3 12:32
Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd to the TEX 41
+0.6
Q3 11:54
Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 2 yards to the TEX 39
0.0
Q3 11:16
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 4 yds to the TEX 43
-0.4
Q3 10:36
Michael Kern punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 12
+0.2
Q3 10:31
Emeka Egbuka run for no gain to the OSU 12
-7.4
Q3 10:05
Will Howard pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 9 yds to the OSU 21
+0.5
Q3 9:16
Quinshon Judkins run for no gain to the OSU 21
0.0
Q3 8:30
Joe McGuire punt for 46 yds , Silas Bolden returns for no gain to the TEX 33
0.0
Q3 8:30
Texas Penalty, False Start (Jake Majors) to the TEX 28
+7.2
Q3 8:26
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ryan Wingo
0.0
Q3 8:22
Quintrevion Wisner run for 5 yds to the TEX 33
0.0
Q3 7:42
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 14 yds to the TEX 47 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 7:06
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 5 yds to the OSU 48
+0.9
Q3 6:26
Quinn Ewers pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 2 yds to the OSU 46
+1.1
Q3 5:51
Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the OSU 42 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q3 5:32
Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 2 yards to the OSU 44
+1.2
Q3 4:55
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 11 yds to the OSU 33
-0.9
Q3 4:21
Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the OSU 29 for a 1ST down
+2.0
Q3 3:52
Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds to the OSU 26
-2.2
Q3 3:19
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Quintrevion Wisner
0.0
Q3 3:12
Jaydon Blue 26 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Will Stone Kick)
+21.3
Q3 3:12
Will Stone kickoff for 40 yds fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OSU 1
-2.2
Q3 3:05
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 15 yds to the OSU 40 for a 1ST down
-7.0
Q3 3:02
Ohio State Penalty, Personal Foul (Austin Siereveld) to the OSU 25
-1.1
Q3 2:44
Will Howard sacked by Vernon Broughton for a loss of 10 yards to the OSU 15 Will Howard fumbled, forced by Vernon Broughton, recovered by OSU Will Howard , return for 0 yards
+1.1
Q3 1:56
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OSU 20
0.0
Q3 1:11
Will Howard pass incomplete to TreVeyon Henderson
0.0
Q3 1:03
Joe McGuire punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Silas Bolden at the TEX 39
0.0
Q3 0:56
Quintrevion Wisner run for 7 yds to the TEX 46
+7.7
Q3 0:30
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for a loss of 2 yards to the TEX 44
+0.5
Q4 14:55
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Matthew Golden
-0.3
Q4 14:47
Michael Kern punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 12
+0.8
Q4 14:40
Howard, Will pass incomplete to Egbuka, Emeka, PENALTY TEX pass interference (Muhammad, Malik) 15 yards to the OSU27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OSU.
-8.4
Q4 14:36
Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the OSU 25
0.0
Q4 13:58
Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 4 yds to the OSU 29
0.0
Q4 13:11
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 18 yds to the OSU 47 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 12:26
Will Howard pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka
-1.4
Q4 12:19
Will Howard pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 11 yds to the TEX 42 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 11:38
Will Howard pass incomplete to Carnell Tate
-0.4
Q4 11:32
Will Howard pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 6 yds to the TEX 36
0.0
Q4 10:57
Ohio State Penalty, False Start (Josh Fryar) to the TEX 41
0.0
Q4 10:30
Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 7 yds to the TEX 34
0.0
Q4 9:50
Timeout Texas, clock 09:50
-0.5
Q4 9:45
Will Howard run for 18 yds to the TEX 16 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q4 9:03
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 8 yds to the TEX 8
-1.5
Q4 8:18
Quinshon Judkins run for 6 yds to the TEX 2 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q4 7:40
Will Howard run for 1 yd to the TEX 1
0.0
Q4 7:02
Quinshon Judkins 1 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)
-26.0
Q4 7:02
Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+0.6
Q4 6:58
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 8 yds to the TEX 33
+6.7
Q4 6:36
Jaydon Blue run for 8 yds to the TEX 41 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 6:00
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 34 yds to the OSU 25 for a 1ST down Texas Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Gunnar Helm) to the OSU 40 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q4 5:37
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 27 yds to the OSU 13 for a 1ST down
+2.2
Q4 5:25
Jaydon Blue run for 2 yds to the OSU 11
0.0
Q4 4:47
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 5 yds to the OSU 6
-0.5
Q4 4:04
Ewers, Quinn pass incomplete to Wingo, Ryan, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Ransom, Lathan) 4 yards to the OSU2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEX.
+0.6
Q4 4:00
Ewers, Quinn pass incomplete to Golden, Matthew, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Mathews Jr., Jermaine) 1 yards to the OSU1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEX.
0.0
Q4 3:54
Jerrick Gibson run for no gain to the OSU 1
0.0
Q4 3:12
Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 7 yards to the OSU 8
+0.1
Q4 2:29
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ryan Wingo
-2.8
Q4 2:13
Quinn Ewers sacked sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 9 yards to the OSU 17, fumbles, forced by Jack Sawyer, recovered by OSU Jack Sawayer, returned 83 yards for a Touchdown (Jayden Fielding Kick)
-15.0
Q4 2:13
Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-0.4
Q4 2:08
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 6 yds to the TEX 31
0.0
Q4 2:00
Two Minute Timeout, clock 02:00
0.0
Q4 1:53
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Jaydon Blue
-0.2
Q4 1:44
Quinn Ewers pass intercepted Caleb Downs return for 7 yds to the TEX 41
0.0
Q4 1:38
Quinshon Judkins run for 9 yds to the TEX 32
-0.1
Q4 0:58
Will Howard run for 2 yds to the TEX 30 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 0:15
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 31
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:02
Quinshon Judkins 1 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)
-26
TD · Q2 0:13
TreVeyon Henderson 75 Yd pass from Will Howard (Jayden Fielding Kick)
-24.4
TD · Q3 3:12
Jaydon Blue 26 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Will Stone Kick)
+21.3
YardLine · model v2Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com