ND
Notre Dame 27 at Penn State 24
PSU2024 · Week 1 · Jan 10, 2025 · Hard Rock Stadium
Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadND aheadconfidence bandkey play
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
Mitch Jeter kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q1 14:54
Nicholas Singleton run for 6 yds to the PSU 31
+2.6
Q1 14:12
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 23 yds to the ND 46 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q1 13:39
Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the ND 45
+2.0
Q1 13:09
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Omari Evans
0.0
Q1 13:01
Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 6 yds to the ND 44
-1.2
Q1 12:26
Riley Thompson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Max Hurleman at the ND 11
+0.6
Q1 12:22
Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 6 yds to the ND 17
-4.9
Q1 11:45
Jeremiyah Love run for 5 yds to the ND 22 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 11:20
Riley Leonard run for 2 yds to the ND 24
0.0
Q1 10:43
Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd to the ND 25
0.0
Q1 10:03
Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 32 yds to the PSU 43 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 9:27
Aneyas Williams run for 2 yds to the PSU 41
-2.3
Q1 8:47
Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Mitchell Evans, broken up by Amin Vanover
-0.2
Q1 8:42
Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Mitchell Evans, broken up by A.J. Harris
0.0
Q1 8:35
James Rendell punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Zion Tracy at the PSU 2
+0.7
Q1 8:30
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the PSU 3
+5.2
Q1 7:48
Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the PSU 9
0.0
Q1 7:08
Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the PSU 15 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 6:50
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Harrison Wallace III
0.0
Q1 6:44
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the PSU 20
0.0
Q1 6:04
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Harrison Wallace III, broken up by Jordan Clark
-0.3
Q1 5:56
Riley Thompson punt for 45 yds , Max Hurleman returns for no gain to the ND 35
-0.3
Q1 5:51
Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Jayden Harrison, broken up by Abdul Carter
-3.1
Q1 5:47
Riley Leonard run for 3 yds to the ND 38
0.0
Q1 5:11
Notre Dame Penalty, False Start (Anthonie Knapp) to the ND 33
-1.0
Q1 4:43
Riley Leonard pass intercepted Zakee Wheatley return for no gain to the PSU 42
+1.0
Q1 4:39
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Nicholas Singleton
+4.3
Q1 4:30
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 13 yds to the ND 45 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 4:15
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the ND 41
+1.1
Q1 3:54
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Tyler Warren
+0.4
Q1 3:49
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the ND 37
-0.2
Q1 3:06
Nicholas Singleton run for 8 yds to the ND 29 for a 1ST down
-0.4
Q1 2:32
Kaytron Allen run for 7 yds to the ND 22
+0.6
Q1 1:45
Drew Allar pass complete to Luke Reynolds for 7 yds to the ND 15 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q1 1:05
Nicholas Singleton run for 6 yds to the ND 9
0.0
Q1 0:45
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Nicholas Singleton
0.0
Q1 0:38
Allar, Drew pass pass intercepted by Gray, Christian at the NOTREDAME0, Gray, Christian return 0 yards to the NOTREDAME0, PENALTY NOTREDAME holding (Gray, Christian) 5 yards to the NOTREDAME4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PSU.
-0.2
Q1 0:32
Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the ND 1
+0.2
Q1 0:00
Kaytron Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 3
-0.1
Q2 14:57
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Nicholas Singleton
-0.2
Q2 14:52
Ryan Barker 20 yd FG GOOD
+4.8
Q2 14:48
Jadarian Price run for a loss of 4 yards to the ND 21
-4.2
Q2 14:06
Jadarian Price run for 12 yds to the ND 33
0.0
Q2 13:31
Riley Leonard run for 3 yds to the ND 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 12:54
Riley Leonard pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 7 yds to the ND 43
0.0
Q2 12:20
Riley Leonard run for 3 yds to the ND 46 for a 1ST down
-1.2
Q2 11:40
Jeremiyah Love run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line
-0.9
Q2 11:03
Riley Leonard run for a loss of 4 yards to the ND 46
-0.4
Q2 10:16
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 3 yds to the ND 49
+0.6
Q2 9:35
James Rendell punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Zion Tracy at the PSU 10
+0.3
Q2 9:30
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Nicholas Singleton
+4.6
Q2 9:23
Kaytron Allen run for 20 yds to the PSU 30 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 9:05
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PSU 32
0.0
Q2 8:25
Tyler Warren run for 12 yds to the PSU 44 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 7:43
Tyler Warren run for 9 yds to the ND 47
+1.9
Q2 7:05
Nicholas Singleton run for 10 yds to the ND 37 for a 1ST down
+0.5
Q2 6:44
Drew Allar run for 5 yds to the ND 32
+0.4
Q2 6:07
Kaytron Allen run for 8 yds to the ND 24 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 5:50
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the ND 19
+0.1
Q2 5:28
Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the ND 19
0.0
Q2 4:45
Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the ND 16
0.0
Q2 4:05
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 4 yds to the ND 12 for a 1ST down
-0.8
Q2 3:24
Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds to the ND 7
+1.0
Q2 2:57
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the ND 5
0.0
Q2 2:18
Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)
+16.9
Q2 2:10
Riley Leonard pass complete to Aneyas Williams for 9 yds to the ND 34
-4.4
Q2 2:00
Timeout, clock 02:00
0.0
Q2 1:54
Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 6 yds to the ND 40 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:39
Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Jordan Faison
0.0
Q2 1:34
Steve Angeli pass complete to Aneyas Williams for 5 yds to the ND 45
0.0
Q2 1:26
Steve Angeli pass complete to Jordan Faison for 14 yds to the PSU 41 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:11
Steve Angeli sacked by Dani Dennis-Sutton for a loss of 4 yards to the PSU 45 Steve Angeli fumbled, forced by Dani Dennis-Sutton, recovered by ND Aamil Wagner , return for 0 yards
-1.2
Q2 1:10
Timeout Notre Dame, clock 01:10
+0.5
Q2 1:05
Steve Angeli pass complete to Aneyas Williams for 12 yds to the PSU 33
0.0
Q2 0:44
Steve Angeli pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 5 yds to the PSU 28 for a 1ST down
-1.3
Q2 0:39
Steve Angeli pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 0:33
Steve Angeli pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 4 yds to the PSU 24
0.0
Q2 0:20
Timeout Penn State, clock 00:20
+1.3
Q2 0:16
Steve Angeli pass complete to Aneyas Williams for 4 yds to the PSU 15 for a 1ST down
+0.5
Q2 0:11
Steve Angeli sacked by Abdul Carter for a loss of 8 yards to the PSU 23
0.0
Q2 0:02
Timeout Notre Dame, clock 00:02
0.0
Q2 0:00
Mitch Jeter 41 yd FG GOOD
-10.7
Q3 15:00
Gabriel Nwosu kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+7.1
Q3 14:55
Jeremiyah Love run for 6 yds to the ND 26
-6.2
Q3 14:27
Jeremiyah Love run for 9 yds to the ND 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 13:56
Jeremiyah Love run for 9 yds to the ND 44
0.0
Q3 13:20
Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the ND 45 for a 1ST down
-1.4
Q3 12:39
Riley Leonard pass complete to Aneyas Williams for 36 yds to the PSU 19 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 12:08
Aneyas Williams run for 15 yds to the PSU 4 for a 1ST down
-1.2
Q3 11:35
Riley Leonard run for 1 yd to the PSU 3
-0.9
Q3 10:46
Riley Leonard run for 3 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)
-18.8
Q3 10:33
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PSU 24
+8.3
Q3 9:53
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 6 yds to the PSU 30
+0.3
Q3 9:21
Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the PSU 30
0.0
Q3 8:41
Riley Thompson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Max Hurleman at the ND 30
-0.3
Q3 8:35
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 11 yds to the ND 41 for a 1ST down
-5.8
Q3 8:00
Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the ND 43
-1.2
Q3 7:18
Jadarian Price run for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 41
0.0
Q3 6:40
Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Mitchell Evans, broken up by Cam Miller
0.0
Q3 6:32
James Rendell punt for 44 yds , Zion Tracy returns for no gain to the PSU 15
+0.3
Q3 6:24
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 22 yds to the PSU 37 for a 1ST down
+7.0
Q3 6:07
Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the PSU 40
+0.2
Q3 5:48
Drew Allar run for no gain to the PSU 40
+0.6
Q3 5:07
Drew Allar sacked by Rod Heard II for a loss of 8 yards to the PSU 32
-0.2
Q3 4:26
Riley Thompson punt for 48 yds , Max Hurleman returns for 8 yds to the ND 28
-1.0
Q3 4:19
Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 9 yds to the ND 37
-5.9
Q3 3:36
Riley Leonard run for no gain to the ND 37
-0.2
Q3 2:50
Riley Leonard run for 2 yds to the ND 39 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 2:07
Riley Leonard sacked by Dani Dennis-Sutton for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 37
-0.8
Q3 1:29
Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the ND 40
+0.8
Q3 0:53
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 17 yds to the PSU 43 for a 1ST down
-0.8
Q3 0:25
Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the PSU 38
-1.3
Q3 0:00
Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the PSU 35
0.0
Q4 14:52
Jayden Thomas run for 18 yds to the PSU 16 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 14:15
Leonard, Riley pass incomplete to Raridon, Eli, PENALTY PSU pass interference (King, Kobe) 14 yards to the PSU2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.
0.0
Q4 14:07
Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)
-15.4
Q4 13:59
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 27 yds to the ND 48 for a 1ST down
+2.3
Q4 13:37
Drew Allar pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for 1 yd to the ND 47
+1.6
Q4 12:58
Drew Allar run for 9 yds to the ND 38 for a 1ST down
-0.9
Q4 12:16
Drew Allar pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for 20 yds to the ND 18 for a 1ST down
+0.8
Q4 11:44
Kaytron Allen run for 10 yds to the ND 8 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 11:00
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the ND 7
0.0
Q4 10:20
Nicholas Singleton run for 7 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)
+23.8
Q4 10:15
Riley Leonard pass intercepted Dani Dennis-Sutton return for no gain to the ND 39
-8.7
Q4 10:08
Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the ND 35
+8.7
Q4 9:33
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Harrison Wallace III
0.0
Q4 9:25
Drew Allar run for 11 yds to the ND 24 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q4 8:42
Allar, Drew pass pass intended for Warren, Tyler intercepted by Kiser, Jack at the NOTREDAME0, Kiser, Jack return 0 yards to the NOTREDAME0, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Shuler, Adon) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PSU.
+0.2
Q4 8:37
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the ND 7
0.0
Q4 7:55
Nicholas Singleton run for 7 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)
+28.5
Q4 7:46
Jadarian Price run for a loss of 4 yards to the ND 15
-3.2
Q4 7:12
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 11 yds to the ND 26
+1.8
Q4 6:40
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 6 yds to the ND 32 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 5:55
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 6 yds to the ND 38
0.0
Q4 5:43
Riley Leonard run for 6 yds to the ND 44 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 5:07
Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the ND 46
-0.2
Q4 4:38
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 54 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)
-38.1
Q4 4:30
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 10 yds to the PSU 30
+8.8
Q4 3:57
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 32
0.0
Q4 3:13
Drew Allar run for no gain to the PSU 32
0.0
Q4 2:34
Riley Thompson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Max Hurleman at the ND 24
-0.3
Q4 2:27
Jadarian Price run for 8 yds to the ND 32
-6.6
Q4 2:00
Timeout, clock 02:00
0.0
Q4 1:55
Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd to the ND 33
-1.0
Q4 1:27
Riley Leonard run for 3 yds to the ND 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 1:14
Leonard, Riley pass sacked for loss of 3 yards to the NOTREDAME33 (Carter, Abdul), PENALTY PSU personal foul (Durant, Zane) 15 yards to the PSU49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.
-0.2
Q4 1:07
Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the PSU 44
-1.9
Q4 0:59
Riley Leonard pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 0:52
Timeout Penn State, clock 00:52
-0.4
Q4 0:47
James Rendell punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Zion Tracy at the PSU 15
0.0
Q4 0:38
Nicholas Singleton run for 13 yds to the PSU 28 for a 1ST down
+11.5
Q4 0:33
Drew Allar pass intercepted Christian Gray return for no gain to the PSU 42
0.0
Q4 0:30
Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the PSU 37
-11.9
Q4 0:29
Timeout Notre Dame, clock 00:29
-0.2
Q4 0:24
Riley Leonard run for 2 yds to the PSU 35
0.0
Q4 0:23
Timeout Notre Dame, clock 00:23
0.0
Q4 0:17
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 10 yds to the PSU 25 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 0:16
TEAM pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 0:15
TEAM run for no gain to the PSU 25
0.0
Q4 0:14
Timeout Penn State, clock 00:14
0.0
Q4 0:13
Riley Leonard run for 2 yds to the PSU 23
0.0
Q4 0:12
Timeout Penn State, clock 00:12
+0.6
Q4 0:07
Mitch Jeter 41 yd FG GOOD
-19.9
Q4 0:04
Drew Allar pass incomplete
+4.8
Q4 0:00
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 3 yds to the PSU 21 lat. to Harrison Wallace III for a loss of 3 yards to the PSU 21 lat. to Drew Allar for a loss of 4 yards Drew Allar fumbled, recovered by PSU
+0.1
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:38
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 54 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)
-38.1
TD · Q4 7:55
Nicholas Singleton run for 7 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)
+28.5
TD · Q4 10:20
Nicholas Singleton run for 7 yds for a TD (Ryan Barker KICK)
+23.8