Try the model
ND

Notre Dame 23 at Georgia 10

UGA
2024 · College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Allstate Sugar Bowl - Rescheduled from Jan 1 · Jan 2, 2025 · Caesars Superdome
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadND aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · R. Leonard takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:27: Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 13 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK) — ND win probability +15.7 pts (now 67%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 14:45: Peyton Woodring kickoff for 63 yds , Jayden Harrison return for 98 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK) — ND win probability +9.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:36: Gunner Stockton pass complete to Cash Jones for 32 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +13.5 pts (now 37%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 13:47: Mitch Jeter 47 yd FG GOOD — ND win probability +10.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:18: Jadarian Price run for 5 yds to the ND 14 — ND win probability +8.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 7ND made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:43UGA 4th & 16 at UGA 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:14ND 4th & 7 at ND 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:20ND 4th & 7 at UGA 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    42.5%−3.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:38UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:34ND 4th & 3 at ND 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:07UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:39ND 4th & 11 at UGA 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−1.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    47.9%−2.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:44UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 39, down 17
    Close callPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:48ND 4th & 8 at ND 26, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%−1.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:45ND 4th & 1 at midfield, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    69.3%−3.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:05UGA 4th & 2 at ND 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    24.1%−3.7
    30% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−2.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:47ND 4th & 6 at UGA 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    68.7%−6.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:25UGA 4th & 5 at ND 9, down 13
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.5%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    15.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−6.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:49ND 4th & 8 at midfield, up 13
    Close callPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:55UGA 4th & 6 at UGA 24, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.8%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ND made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 0:27ND Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:36UGA Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 3:0753% → 53%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
52.6%
Trevor Etienne run for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 23Similar
Q1 13:59
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
52.8%
Gunner Stockton run for no gain to the UGA 23Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+15
52.7%
(13:48) Shotgun Stockton,Gunner pass incomplete deep left to Bell,Dillon thrown to UGA47 PENALTY UND Pass Interference (Gray,Christian) 15 yards from UGA23 to UGA38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
52.9%
Cash Jones run for a loss of 5 yards to the UGA 33Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+6
52.9%
Gunner Stockton run for 6 yds to the UGA 39Similar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 9
OWN 39
-12
53.0%
Gunner Stockton sacked by Jack Kiser for a loss of 12 yards to the UGA 27 Gunner Stockton fumbled, recovered by UGA , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 11:52
4TH & 21
OWN 27
+5
52.8%
(11:59) Miller,Drew punt 34 yards to the UND39 fair catch by Hurleman,Max at UND39 PENALTY UND Running Into The Kicker (Young,Bryce) 5 yards from UGA27 to UGA32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:43
4TH & 16
OWN 32
+4
52.8%
Drew Miller punt for 36 yds , Max Hurleman returns for 4 yds to the ND 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 2PUNT
2 plays · -9 yds · 1:5547% → 47%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
53.0%
Notre Dame Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Riley Leonard) to the ND 23Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 23
OWN 23
+4
53.3%
Jeremiyah Love run for 4 yds to the ND 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3FUMBLE
13 plays · 71 yds · 6:4054% → 55%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
53.7%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the UGA 39Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+2
53.7%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Dillon Bell for 2 yds to the UGA 41Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+9
53.5%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Dillon Bell for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
50
+9
54.3%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 9 yds to the ND 41Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+5
54.4%
Nate Frazier run for 5 yds to the ND 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
54.6%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 2 yds to the ND 34Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+5
54.9%
(05:54) No Huddle-Shotgun Stockton,Gunner rush left for 0 yards to the UND34 (Bowen,Drayk) PENALTY UND Offside (Young,Bryce) 5 yards from UND34 to UND29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+2
55.0%
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the ND 27Similar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 1
OPP 27
-5
54.8%
PENALTY UGA False Start (Ratledge,Tate) 5 yards from UND27 to UND32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+7
54.8%
Trevor Etienne run for 7 yds to the ND 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
55.4%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the ND 24Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+8
55.6%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 8 yds to the ND 16Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+6
55.4%
Trevor Etienne run for 6 yds to the ND 10 Trevor Etienne fumbled, recovered by ND Jaiden AusberrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:1447% → 45%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
53.4%
Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the ND 13Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+14
53.6%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 14 yds to the ND 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
53.3%
Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the ND 30Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-5
53.1%
PENALTY UND False Start (Wagner,Aamil) 5 yards from UND30 to UND25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+1
53.6%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 1 yd to the ND 26Similar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+4
54.1%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 4 yds to the ND 30Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
54.6%
James Rendell punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5FG
2 plays · 55 yds · 1:4955% → 58%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+52
54.6%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Arian Smith for 67 yds to the ND 11 for a 1ST down Georgia Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the ND 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
58.3%
Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the ND 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 6FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:4043% → 47%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
56.6%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 7 yds to the ND 32Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
55.6%
Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the ND 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
56.2%
Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the ND 39Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+32
55.7%
Riley Leonard run for 32 yds to the UGA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
53.7%
Jadarian Price run for 3 yds to the UGA 26Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
53.7%
Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Jayden ThomasSimilar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
54.9%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for no gain to the UGA 26Similar
Q2 8:20
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+44
52.9%
Mitch Jeter 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:3555% → 56%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
55.4%
Gunner Stockton sacked by Junior Tuihalamaka for a loss of 8 yards to the UGA 17Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+21
55.1%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Oscar Delp for 21 yds to the UGA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
56.5%
Trevor Etienne run for 8 yds to the UGA 46Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-1
57.8%
Gunner Stockton run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 45Similar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
56.9%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Dominic LovettSimilar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 3
OWN 45
+7
55.8%
Drew Miller punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ND 24 , Max Hurleman returns for 7 yds to the ND 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:5248% → 48%
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
52.5%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 13 yds to the ND 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
51.6%
Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the ND 39Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+5
50.8%
Jeremiyah Love run for 5 yds to the ND 44Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
50.5%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:34
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
52.2%
James Rendell punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Anthony Evans III at the UGA 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2156% → 54%
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
55.6%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Lawson LuckieSimilar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
55.5%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Lawson LuckieSimilar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 10
OWN 14
0
54.3%
Gunner Stockton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 10
OWN 14
0
53.7%
Drew Miller punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Max Hurleman at the ND 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 10FG
12 plays · 32 yds · 2:1749% → 52%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
51.1%
Jordan Faison run for 3 yds to the ND 41Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+6
50.1%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 6 yds to the ND 47Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
48.9%
Riley Leonard run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
50
+11
48.3%
Riley Leonard run for 11 yds to the UGA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
47.7%
Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+10
48.1%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 10 yds to the UGA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-11
46.7%
Riley Leonard sacked by Smael Mondon Jr. for a loss of 11 yards to the UGA 40Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 21
OPP 40
+10
49.8%
Riley Leonard run for 10 yds to the UGA 30Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 11
OPP 30
0
49.2%
Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Aneyas WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 11
OPP 30
+48
47.6%
Mitch Jeter 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11FUMBLE
1 play · -12 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
48.4%
Gunner Stockton sacked by RJ Oben for a loss of 12 yards to the UGA 13 Gunner Stockton fumbled, recovered by ND Junior Tuihalamaka , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 12TD
1 play · 13 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
32.7%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 13 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13END OF HALF TD
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:2035% → 35%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
35.0%
Trevor Etienne run for 4 yds to the UGA 29Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
35.1%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 12 yds to the UGA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:4225% → 24%
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
24.7%
Arian Smith run for 13 yds to the UGA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
24.7%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 2 yds to the UGA 34Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
24.4%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Dillon BellSimilar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+5
23.9%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Cash Jones for 5 yds to the UGA 39Similar
Q3 12:44
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
24.1%
Drew Miller punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Max Hurleman at the ND 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5178% → 78%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
22.2%
Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the ND 26Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
21.5%
Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Jeremiyah LoveSimilar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
21.8%
Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Mitchell EvansSimilar
Q3 11:48
4TH & 8
OWN 26
+6
21.7%
James Rendell punt for 43 yds , Anthony Evans III returns for 6 yds to the UGA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 2:0423% → 37%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
23.3%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Dillon BellSimilar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+19
22.6%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 19 yds to the ND 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
24.3%
Trevor Etienne run for 3 yds to the ND 41Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+9
22.9%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Nate Frazier for 9 yds to the ND 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
36.5%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Cash Jones for 32 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:4467% → 71%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
32.7%
Riley Leonard run for 3 yds to the ND 28Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
32.0%
Riley Leonard run for 2 yds to the ND 30Similar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+11
31.9%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 11 yds to the ND 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
30.0%
Notre Dame Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ND 36Similar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+2
30.3%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 2 yds to the ND 38Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 13
OWN 38
0
29.7%
Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Jaden GreathouseSimilar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 13
OWN 38
+12
29.4%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:45
4TH & 1
50
0
28.9%
Riley Leonard run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:3131% → 28%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
50
+1
31.3%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the ND 49Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+6
30.7%
Gunner Stockton run for 6 yds to the ND 43Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+1
30.3%
Cash Jones run for 1 yd to the ND 42Similar
Q3 3:45
4TH & 2
OPP 42
-5
28.2%
(03:45) PENALTY UGA False Start (Fairchild,Dylan) 5 yards from UND42 to UND47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 7
OPP 47
+5
26.9%
PENALTY UND Delay Of Game (Kiser,Jack) 5 yards from UND47 to UND42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:05
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
27.8%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Dillon Bell for no gain to the ND 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 19FG
9 plays · 29 yds · 4:1176% → 86%
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
24.4%
Riley Leonard run for 6 yds to the ND 48Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+4
23.9%
Riley Leonard run for 4 yds to the UGA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
23.2%
Jadarian Price run for 8 yds to the UGA 40Similar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+7
22.7%
Jadarian Price run for 7 yds to the UGA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
21.6%
Jordan Faison run for 6 yds to the UGA 27Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 27
0
21.4%
Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Jayden HarrisonSimilar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+3
22.1%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Aneyas Williams for 3 yds to the UGA 24Similar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 1
OPP 24
-5
25.1%
(14:11) Shotgun Leonard,Riley pass complete short right to Faison,Jordan caught at UGA20, for 8 yards to the UGA16 (Bolden,KJ) PENALTY UND Illegal Shift (Faison,Jordan) 5 yards from UGA24 to UGA29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:47
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+47
14.3%
Mitch Jeter 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20DOWNS
12 plays · 66 yds · 4:1119% → 17%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
19.0%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Dillon Bell for 11 yds to the UGA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+28
19.4%
Nate Frazier run for 28 yds to the ND 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
21.0%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Nate Frazier for 8 yds to the ND 28Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+2
22.7%
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the ND 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
22.5%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Dillon BellSimilar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+3
21.8%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Oscar Delp for 3 yds to the ND 29Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 13
OPP 29
0
18.8%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Dillon BellSimilar
Q4 10:51
4TH & 13
OPP 29
+15
17.6%
(10:55) No Huddle-Shotgun Stockton,Gunner pass incomplete deep middle to Luckie,Lawson thrown to UND02 PENALTY UND Pass Interference (Kiser,Jack) 15 yards from UND29 to UND14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
22.1%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Nitro TuggleSimilar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+3
22.1%
Gunner Stockton run for 3 yds to the ND 11Similar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+2
17.8%
Gunner Stockton run for 2 yds to the ND 9Similar
Q4 9:25
4TH & 5
OPP 9
0
16.9%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Lawson LuckieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 21PUNT
17 plays · 41 yds · 7:2992% → 98%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
8.4%
Jadarian Price run for 5 yds to the ND 14Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+2
7.7%
Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the ND 16Similar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+2
8.1%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Aneyas Williams for 2 yds to the ND 18Similar
Q4 7:17
4TH & 1
OWN 18
+6
7.5%
(07:17) No Huddle-Shotgun Leonard,Riley pass incomplete deep left to Collins,Beaux thrown to UGA50 PENALTY UGA Offside (Walker,Jalon) 6 yards from UND18 to UND24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
6.9%
Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the ND 25Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+2
6.4%
Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the ND 27Similar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+9
6.3%
Riley Leonard run for 9 yds to the ND 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
5.3%
Aneyas Williams run for 2 yds to the ND 38Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+7
5.1%
Jayden Thomas run for 7 yds to the ND 45Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
4.4%
Riley Leonard run for 3 yds to the ND 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
3.3%
Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 8
50
-5
3.2%
(03:23) No Huddle Faison,Jordan rush left for 11 yards gain to the UGA39 (Ingram-Dawkins,Tyrion; Walker,Jalon) PENALTY UND Illegal Formation 5 yards from UND50 to UND45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+2
3.3%
Aneyas Williams run for 2 yds to the ND 47Similar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+3
3.2%
Riley Leonard run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 8
50
0
2.5%
James Rendell punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UGA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:504% → 3%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
3.5%
(01:48) PENALTY UGA False Start (Smith,Arian) 5 yards from UGA20 to UGA15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+10
3.5%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 10 yds to the UGA 25Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-1
3.6%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Dillon Bell for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 24Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
3.2%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Dillon BellSimilar
Q4 0:55
4TH & 6
OWN 24
-7
3.2%
Gunner Stockton sacked by Donovan Hinish for a loss of 7 yards to the UGA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 23Uncategorized
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:5098% → 98%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
2.1%
R. Leonard takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 18
-1
2.1%
R. Leonard takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:27
Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 13 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)
-15.7
TD · Q3 9:36
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Cash Jones for 32 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
+13.5
FG · Q4 13:47
Mitch Jeter 47 yd FG GOOD
-10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com