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OSU

Ohio State 41 at Oregon 21

ORE
2024 · College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Rose Bowl · Jan 1, 2025 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-2.8ORE 31.6%Jayden Fielding 46 Yd Field GoalAWAY 17 - HOME 0 · Q2 14:50
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:50 · Jayden Fielding 46 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.0+26.50−26.5−53.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 42Home team on offense−10.0Score differential−4.3Garbage-time factor−2.3Pregame prior−4.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:31: Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 42 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +3.0 pts (now 61%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:28: W. Howard pass to J. Smith for 43 yds for a TD (J. Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +6.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:47: TreVeyon Henderson run for 66 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +8.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:55: Noah Whittington run for 2 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORE win probability +15.6 pts (now 18%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:19: TreVeyon Henderson run for 8 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +3.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 9 of 11OSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:10ORE 4th & 1 at ORE 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:27OSU 4th & 10 at ORE 36, up 7
    Close callPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    55.8%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:36ORE 4th & 8 at ORE 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:43ORE 4th & 6 at OSU 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:50OSU 4th & 5 at ORE 28, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.7%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    59.6%−4.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:11ORE 4th & 3 at ORE 48, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.8%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:59ORE 4th & 4 at ORE 31, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:49ORE 4th & 12 at ORE 23, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:59OSU 4th & 8 at ORE 18, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:57ORE 4th & 1 at ORE 34, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.8%−1.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:21OSU 4th & 3 at OSU 32, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:35ORE 4th & 23 at ORE 12, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−4.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:43ORE 4th & 4 at ORE 41, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:36OSU 4th & 16 at OSU 9, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:06ORE 4th & 11 at OSU 36, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:07OSU 4th & 9 at ORE 47, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:10ORE 4th & 21 at ORE 20, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:21OSU 4th & 13 at OSU 46, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 2 of 3OSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 14:00OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:31OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:28OSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:47OSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:00ORE Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    7.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:55ORE Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:19OSU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:00ORE Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5156% → 57%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
43.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 30 yds to the ORE 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
43.7%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Jeremiah SmithSimilar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+45
43.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 45 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4244% → 43%
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
43.5%
Jordan James run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 24Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
43.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 5 yds to the ORE 29Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
43.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for 5 yds to the ORE 34Similar
Q1 12:10
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
43.2%
Ross James punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:2657% → 57%
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+29
43.2%
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 29 yds to the ORE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
42.8%
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the ORE 48Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+12
42.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 12 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
42.5%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Carnell TateSimilar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
42.5%
Will Howard run for no gain to the ORE 36Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
42.5%
Will Howard pass incomplete to TreVeyon HendersonSimilar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 10
OPP 36
0
42.9%
Joe McGuire punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4143% → 42%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
43.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for 2 yds to the ORE 22Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
42.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Patrick HerbertSimilar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
42.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Tez JohnsonSimilar
Q1 8:36
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
42.3%
Ross James punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OSU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 53 yds · 0:5558% → 61%
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
42.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 7 yds to the ORE 46Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+4
41.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the ORE 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
38.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 42 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:3640% → 38%
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
40.1%
Tez Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 24Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
39.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 3 yds to the ORE 27Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
39.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 9 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
39.5%
Jordan James run for 11 yds to the ORE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
39.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Tez JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-2
39.8%
Jordan James run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 45Similar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+6
39.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 6 yds to the OSU 49Similar
Q1 3:43
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
38.3%
Luke Dunne punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 3:4863% → 68%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
37.4%
Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the OSU 14Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+1
36.9%
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the OSU 15Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+32
36.8%
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 32 yds to the OSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
35.6%
Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the ORE 48Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
35.4%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Jeremiah SmithSimilar
Q1 1:26
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+15
35.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 15 yds to the ORE 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
34.9%
Will Howard run for no gain to the ORE 33Similar
Q1 0:07
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
34.5%
Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the ORE 28Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 5
OPP 28
0
34.4%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Jeremiah SmithSimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+46
31.6%
Jayden Fielding 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8DOWNS
9 plays · 23 yds · 3:3233% → 31%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
32.6%
Jordan James run for 3 yds to the ORE 28Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
32.2%
Jordan James run for 1 yd to the ORE 29Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
31.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 12 yds to the ORE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
32.6%
Jordan James run for 2 yds to the ORE 43Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
32.2%
Jordan James run for no gain to the ORE 43Similar
Q2 11:39
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+5
31.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 5 yds to the ORE 48Similar
Q2 11:11
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
31.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Terrance FergusonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9TD
2 plays · 48 yds · 0:3373% → 79%
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
27.2%
Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the ORE 43Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+43
20.7%
W. Howard pass to J. Smith for 43 yds for a TD (J. Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2024% → 23%
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
23.7%
Noah Whittington run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 24Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
23.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 7 yds to the ORE 31Similar
Q2 9:04
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
23.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Tez JohnsonSimilar
Q2 8:59
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
22.7%
Ross James punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11TD
1 play · 66 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+66
13.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 66 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:4914% → 12%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
13.8%
Noah Whittington run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 23Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
12.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Kenyon SadiqSimilar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
12.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Traeshon HoldenSimilar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
12.2%
Ross James punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Caleb Downs at the OSU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 4:4387% → 91%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
12.6%
Quinshon Judkins run for 15 yds to the ORE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
11.8%
Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the ORE 42Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+4
11.2%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 4 yds to the ORE 38Similar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+3
10.8%
Will Howard run for 3 yds to the ORE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
9.8%
Jeremiah Smith run for 5 yds to the ORE 30Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+10
9.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 10 yds to the ORE 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
9.1%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Carnell TateSimilar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+2
9.2%
Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the ORE 18Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
8.5%
Will Howard pass incomplete to TreVeyon HendersonSimilar
Q2 2:59
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+36
8.9%
Jayden Fielding 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14END OF HALF
14 plays · 75 yds · 2:487% → 7%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
7.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 1 yd to the ORE 26Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
6.6%
Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the ORE 30Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
6.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 10 yds to the ORE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
6.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Tez JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-6
6.4%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by JT Tuimoloau for a loss of 6 yards to the ORE 34Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 16
OWN 34
+44
5.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 44 yds to the OSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
4.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 4 yds to the OSU 18Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+5
4.5%
Dillon Gabriel run for 5 yds to the OSU 13Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+8
4.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 8 yds to the OSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
6.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 5 yds for a TD (Dillon Gabriel pass to Justius Lowe for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:595% → 18%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
5.4%
Noah Whittington run for no gain to the ORE 25Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-12
4.7%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 12 yards to the ORE 13Similar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+21
3.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Justius Lowe for 21 yds to the ORE 34Similar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
4.1%
Dillon Gabriel run for 1 yd to the ORE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
3.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 17 yds to the OSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
3.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 5 yds to the OSU 43Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
3.9%
Noah Whittington run for no gain to the OSU 43Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+15
3.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 15 yds to the OSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+25
3.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 25 yds to the OSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
3.4%
Jayden Limar run for 1 yd to the OSU 2Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
18.2%
Noah Whittington run for 2 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2590% → 91%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
10.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 28Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
9.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 4 yds to the OSU 32Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
9.5%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Emeka EgbukaSimilar
Q3 7:21
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
9.2%
Joe McGuire punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 1:4015% → 14%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Terrance FergusonSimilar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-7
14.5%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 7 yards to the ORE 18Similar
Q3 6:19
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-6
14.0%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Cody Simon for a loss of 6 yards to the ORE 12Similar
Q3 5:35
4TH & 23
OWN 12
0
13.6%
Luke Dunne punt for 44 yds, downed at the OSU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 3:0293% → 99%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
7.2%
Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 1 yd to the OSU 45Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+1
7.1%
Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 1 yd to the OSU 46Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+10
5.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 10 yds to the ORE 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
5.5%
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 16 yds to the ORE 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+20
4.7%
Quinshon Judkins run for 12 yds to the ORE 16 for a 1ST down Oregon Penalty, Face Mask (8 yards) (8 Yards) to the ORE 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
1.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 8 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:301% → 1%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
1.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 10 yds to the ORE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
1.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 8 yds to the ORE 43Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
0.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Noah WhittingtonSimilar
Q3 1:27
3RD & 2
OWN 43
-2
0.9%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Lathan Ransom for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 41Similar
Q3 0:43
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
0.7%
Luke Dunne punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:0099% → 99%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-6
1.5%
Quinshon Judkins run for 3 yds to the OSU 18 Ohio State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-9 Yards) to the OSU 9Similar
Q3 0:08
1ST & 16
OWN 9
+1
1.5%
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the OSU 10Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 15
OWN 10
+4
1.4%
Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the OSU 14Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 11
OWN 14
-5
1.3%
Will Howard run for a loss of 5 yards to the OSU 9Similar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 16
OWN 9
0
1.3%
Joe McGuire punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 21TD
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:301% → 3%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
0.7%
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Dillon GabrielSimilar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
0.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 6 yds to the OSU 45Similar
Q4 12:44
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+10
0.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 10 yds to the OSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
0.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Traeshon HoldenSimilar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+7
0.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 7 yds to the OSU 28Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 3
OPP 28
-8
0.6%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Caden Curry for a loss of 8 yards to the OSU 36Similar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 11
OPP 36
+12
0.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 12 yds to the OSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
0.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Noah WhittingtonSimilar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-3
0.4%
Dillon Gabriel run for 2 yds to the OSU 22 for a 1ST down Oregon Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (-5 Yards) to the OSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 13
OPP 27
+27
2.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 27 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:4598% → 99%
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+18
2.5%
Quinshon Judkins run for 18 yds to the OSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
2.3%
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the OSU 34Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+18
2.1%
Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 18 yds to the ORE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
1.7%
Will Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 49Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+2
1.7%
Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the ORE 47Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
1.5%
Will Howard pass incomplete to TreVeyon HendersonSimilar
Q4 6:07
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
1.5%
Joe McGuire punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:481% → 1%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
1.3%
Dillon Gabriel run for 5 yds to the ORE 25Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
1.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Justius Lowe for 6 yds to the ORE 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
1.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 4 yds to the ORE 35Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-8
1.2%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by JT Tuimoloau for a loss of 8 yards to the ORE 27 Oregon Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Yards) to the ORE 27Similar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 14
OWN 27
-7
1.1%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Cody Simon for a loss of 7 yards to the ORE 20Similar
Q4 4:10
4TH & 21
OWN 20
0
1.1%
Luke Dunne punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 3:3799% → 100%
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
1.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the OSU 44Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+5
0.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
0.9%
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 9
50
-5
0.6%
Ohio State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OSU 45Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 14
OWN 45
-2
0.7%
TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the OSU 43Similar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 16
OWN 43
+3
0.7%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 46Similar
Q4 0:21
4TH & 13
OWN 46
0
0.5%
Joe McGuire punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ORE 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
0.7%
Jayden Limar run for 3 yds to the ORE 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:55
Noah Whittington run for 2 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
+15.6
TD · Q2 8:47
TreVeyon Henderson run for 66 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
-8.9
TD · Q2 10:28
W. Howard pass to J. Smith for 43 yds for a TD (J. Fielding KICK)
-6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com