OSU
Ohio State 41 at Oregon 21
ORE2024 · Week 1 · Jan 1, 2025 · Rose Bowl
Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey play
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
Atticus Sappington kickoff for 60 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q1 14:51
Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 30 yds to the ORE 45 for a 1ST down
-3.0
Q1 14:11
Will Howard pass incomplete to Jeremiah Smith
-3.1
Q1 14:00
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 45 yds for a TD
-14.1
Q1 14:00
Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+1.4
Q1 13:52
Jordan James run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 24
+3.9
Q1 13:20
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 5 yds to the ORE 29
0.0
Q1 12:48
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for 5 yds to the ORE 34
-1.2
Q1 12:10
Ross James punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 22
0.0
Q1 11:53
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 29 yds to the ORE 49 for a 1ST down
-3.6
Q1 11:28
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the ORE 48
-1.4
Q1 10:54
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 12 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 10:19
Will Howard pass incomplete to Carnell Tate
-0.1
Q1 10:07
Will Howard run for no gain to the ORE 36
0.0
Q1 9:35
Will Howard pass incomplete to TreVeyon Henderson
0.0
Q1 9:27
Joe McGuire punt for 36 yds for a touchback
+0.8
Q1 9:17
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jordan James for 2 yds to the ORE 22
+4.5
Q1 8:50
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Patrick Herbert
-0.2
Q1 8:41
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Tez Johnson
0.0
Q1 8:36
Ross James punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OSU 47
0.0
Q1 8:26
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 7 yds to the ORE 46
-5.0
Q1 8:09
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the ORE 42 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 7:31
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 42 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
-9.3
Q1 7:31
Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+1.0
Q1 7:19
Tez Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 24
-1.3
Q1 6:53
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 3 yds to the ORE 27
0.0
Q1 6:10
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 9 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q1 5:35
Jordan James run for 11 yds to the ORE 47 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 5:10
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Tez Johnson
+0.3
Q1 5:02
Jordan James run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 45
0.0
Q1 4:19
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 6 yds to the OSU 49
0.0
Q1 3:43
Luke Dunne punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OSU 9
0.0
Q1 3:38
Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the OSU 14
+0.4
Q1 3:01
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the OSU 15
0.0
Q1 2:22
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 32 yds to the OSU 47 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 2:04
Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the ORE 48
-0.6
Q1 1:36
Will Howard pass incomplete to Jeremiah Smith
0.0
Q1 1:26
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 15 yds to the ORE 33 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 0:48
Will Howard run for no gain to the ORE 33
-0.3
Q1 0:07
Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the ORE 28
+0.1
Q2 14:56
Will Howard pass incomplete to Jeremiah Smith
0.0
Q2 14:50
Jayden Fielding 46 Yd Field Goal
-3.9
Q2 14:50
Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q2 14:43
Jordan James run for 3 yds to the ORE 28
-0.9
Q2 14:01
Jordan James run for 1 yd to the ORE 29
0.0
Q2 13:15
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 12 yds to the ORE 41 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 13:01
Jordan James run for 2 yds to the ORE 43
+0.4
Q2 12:27
Jordan James run for no gain to the ORE 43
0.0
Q2 11:39
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 5 yds to the ORE 48
0.0
Q2 11:13
Timeout Ohio State, clock 11:13
+0.9
Q2 11:11
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Terrance Ferguson
0.0
Q2 11:01
Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the ORE 43
-0.9
Q2 10:28
W. Howard pass to J. Smith for 43 yds for a TD (J. Fielding KICK)
-4.2
Q2 10:28
Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+0.5
Q2 10:19
Noah Whittington run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 24
-1.7
Q2 9:46
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 7 yds to the ORE 31
0.0
Q2 9:04
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Tez Johnson
0.0
Q2 8:59
Ross James punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OSU 34
0.0
Q2 8:47
TreVeyon Henderson run for 66 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
-1.8
Q2 8:47
Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q2 8:38
Noah Whittington run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 23
-0.5
Q2 8:03
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Kenyon Sadiq
0.0
Q2 7:57
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Traeshon Holden
0.0
Q2 7:49
Ross James punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Caleb Downs at the OSU 39
0.0
Q2 7:42
Quinshon Judkins run for 15 yds to the ORE 46 for a 1ST down
+0.4
Q2 7:04
Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the ORE 42
0.0
Q2 6:22
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 4 yds to the ORE 38
0.0
Q2 5:44
Will Howard run for 3 yds to the ORE 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 4:58
Jeremiah Smith run for 5 yds to the ORE 30
-0.4
Q2 4:20
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 10 yds to the ORE 20 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 3:46
Will Howard pass incomplete to Carnell Tate
0.0
Q2 3:39
Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the ORE 18
0.0
Q2 3:04
Will Howard pass incomplete to TreVeyon Henderson
0.0
Q2 2:59
Jayden Fielding 36 yd FG GOOD
-0.2
Q2 2:59
Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q2 2:48
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 1 yd to the ORE 26
+0.4
Q2 2:14
Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the ORE 30
0.0
Q2 1:52
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 10 yds to the ORE 40 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:25
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Tez Johnson
-0.3
Q2 1:16
Dillon Gabriel sacked by JT Tuimoloau for a loss of 6 yards to the ORE 34
-0.3
Q2 0:30
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 44 yds to the OSU 22 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q2 0:17
Timeout Oregon, clock 00:17
+0.5
Q2 0:16
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 4 yds to the OSU 18
0.0
Q2 0:09
Dillon Gabriel run for 5 yds to the OSU 13
0.0
Q2 0:03
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 8 yds to the OSU 5 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:03
Timeout Oregon, clock 00:03
0.0
Q2 0:03
Timeout Ohio State, clock 00:03
+0.1
Q2 0:00
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 5 yds for a TD (Dillon Gabriel pass to Justius Lowe for Two-Point Conversion)
-0.3
Q3 15:00
Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-0.2
Q3 14:54
Noah Whittington run for no gain to the ORE 25
-0.7
Q3 14:16
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 12 yards to the ORE 13
0.0
Q3 13:27
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Justius Lowe for 21 yds to the ORE 34
-0.1
Q3 12:57
Dillon Gabriel run for 1 yd to the ORE 35 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q3 12:22
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 17 yds to the OSU 48 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q3 11:58
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 5 yds to the OSU 43
0.0
Q3 11:30
Noah Whittington run for no gain to the OSU 43
+0.1
Q3 10:47
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 15 yds to the OSU 28 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 10:10
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 25 yds to the OSU 3 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q3 9:38
Jayden Limar run for 1 yd to the OSU 2
0.0
Q3 9:01
Timeout Oregon, clock 09:01
0.0
Q3 8:55
Noah Whittington run for 2 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
+5.3
Q3 8:55
Atticus Sappington kickoff for 58 yds for a touchback
-1.2
Q3 8:46
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 28
-3.2
Q3 8:06
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 4 yds to the OSU 32
0.0
Q3 7:28
Will Howard pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka
0.0
Q3 7:21
Joe McGuire punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 25
0.0
Q3 7:15
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Terrance Ferguson
+3.2
Q3 7:05
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 7 yards to the ORE 18
0.0
Q3 6:19
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Cody Simon for a loss of 6 yards to the ORE 12
0.0
Q3 5:35
Luke Dunne punt for 44 yds, downed at the OSU 44
0.0
Q3 5:21
Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 1 yd to the OSU 45
-3.3
Q3 4:47
Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 1 yd to the OSU 46
0.0
Q3 4:12
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 10 yds to the ORE 44 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q3 3:25
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 16 yds to the ORE 28 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q3 2:53
Quinshon Judkins run for 12 yds to the ORE 16 for a 1ST down Oregon Penalty, Face Mask (8 yards) (8 Yards) to the ORE 8 for a 1ST down
-0.6
Q3 2:19
TreVeyon Henderson run for 8 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
-1.1
Q3 2:19
Jayden Fielding kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q3 2:13
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 10 yds to the ORE 35 for a 1ST down
+0.6
Q3 1:47
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 8 yds to the ORE 43
0.0
Q3 1:33
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Noah Whittington
-0.2
Q3 1:27
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Lathan Ransom for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 41
0.0
Q3 0:43
Luke Dunne punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 15
0.0
Q3 0:36
Quinshon Judkins run for 3 yds to the OSU 18 Ohio State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-9 Yards) to the OSU 9
-0.2
Q3 0:08
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the OSU 10
0.0
Q4 14:53
Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the OSU 14
-0.2
Q4 14:07
Will Howard run for a loss of 5 yards to the OSU 9
-0.8
Q4 13:22
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 6 yds to the OSU 45
+0.4
Q4 13:36
Joe McGuire punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 49
-0.4
Q4 13:30
Dante Moore pass incomplete to Dillon Gabriel
+0.4
Q4 12:44
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 10 yds to the OSU 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 12:24
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Traeshon Holden
+0.2
Q4 12:14
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 7 yds to the OSU 28
0.0
Q4 11:52
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Caden Curry for a loss of 8 yards to the OSU 36
+0.2
Q4 11:06
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tez Johnson for 12 yds to the OSU 24 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q4 10:31
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Noah Whittington
+0.2
Q4 10:14
Dillon Gabriel run for 2 yds to the OSU 22 for a 1ST down Oregon Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (-5 Yards) to the OSU 27 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 10:00
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 27 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+0.3
Q4 10:00
Andrew Boyle kickoff for 53 yds , TreVeyon Henderson return for 3 yds to the OSU 15
-0.3
Q4 9:52
Quinshon Judkins run for 18 yds to the OSU 33 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q4 9:07
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the OSU 34
0.0
Q4 8:15
Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 18 yds to the ORE 48 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 7:18
Will Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 49
0.0
Q4 6:53
Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the ORE 47
0.0
Q4 6:15
Will Howard pass incomplete to TreVeyon Henderson
0.0
Q4 6:07
Joe McGuire punt for 47 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q4 5:58
Dillon Gabriel run for 5 yds to the ORE 25
-0.2
Q4 5:35
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Justius Lowe for 6 yds to the ORE 31 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 5:17
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Noah Whittington for 4 yds to the ORE 35
0.0
Q4 4:52
Dillon Gabriel sacked by JT Tuimoloau for a loss of 8 yards to the ORE 27 Oregon Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Yards) to the ORE 27
0.0
Q4 4:42
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Cody Simon for a loss of 7 yards to the ORE 20
0.0
Q4 4:10
Luke Dunne punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 37
-0.2
Q4 3:58
TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the OSU 44
+0.4
Q4 3:13
TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OSU 49 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 2:26
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line
0.0
Q4 2:00
Ohio State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OSU 45
0.0
Q4 1:54
TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the OSU 43
-0.2
Q4 1:09
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 46
0.0
Q4 0:30
Timeout Ohio State, clock 00:30
0.0
Q4 0:21
Joe McGuire punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ORE 20
0.0
Q4 0:10
Jayden Limar run for 3 yds to the ORE 23
-0.1
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 14:00
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 45 yds for a TD
-14.1
TD · Q1 7:31
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 42 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
-9.3
TD · Q3 8:55
Noah Whittington run for 2 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
+5.3