TEX
Texas 39 at Arizona State 31
AS2024 · Week 1 · Jan 1, 2025 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Win probability · AS
modelAS aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey play
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
Will Stone kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q1 14:54
Cam Skattebo run for 10 yds to the ASU 35 for a 1ST down
+1.2
Q1 14:30
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 5 yds to the ASU 40
+0.2
Q1 13:53
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 1 yd to the ASU 41
+0.7
Q1 13:23
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Cam Skattebo
-0.2
Q1 13:12
Floyd, Kanyon punt 46 yards to the TEX13, Bolden, Silas return 2 yards to the TEX15, PENALTY TEX roughing the kicker (Blackwell Jr., Morice) 15 yards to the ASU46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ASU.
-0.2
Q1 13:07
Cam Skattebo run for 1 yd to the ASU 47
+0.6
Q1 12:28
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 7 yds to the TEX 46
0.0
Q1 11:53
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds to the TEX 43 for a 1ST down
+0.5
Q1 11:32
Sam Leavitt run for no gain to the TEX 43 for a 1ST down Texas Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jordyn Tyson) to the TEX 28 for a 1ST down
+0.5
Q1 11:03
Cam Skattebo run for 1 yd to the TEX 27
0.0
Q1 10:24
Sam Leavitt run for 4 yds to the TEX 23
0.0
Q1 9:34
Sam Leavitt run for 1 yd to the TEX 22
-0.2
Q1 8:59
Carston Kieffer 39 yd FG GOOD
+3.6
Q1 8:59
Ian Hershey kickoff for 62 yds , Matthew Golden return for 20 yds to the TEX 23
-1.2
Q1 8:43
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 54 yds to the ASU 23 for a 1ST down
-1.1
Q1 8:14
Quinn Ewers pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 23 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)
-10.2
Q1 8:14
Will Stone kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+1.2
Q1 8:08
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Malik McClain
+1.0
Q1 7:58
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 2 yds to the ASU 27
0.0
Q1 7:25
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 7:08
Kanyon Floyd punt for 48 yds , Silas Bolden returns for 75 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)
-8.5
Q1 7:08
Will Stone kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-2.4
Q1 7:02
Cam Skattebo run for no gain to the ASU 25
+2.4
Q1 6:29
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 6:21
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 6:07
Kanyon Floyd punt for 40 yds , Silas Bolden returns for 5 yds to the TEX 30 Texas Penalty, Offensive Holding (Warren Roberson) to the TEX 30
0.0
Q1 5:54
Quinn Ewers sacked by Prince Dorbah for a loss of 6 yards to the TEX 24
-2.3
Q1 5:39
Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the TEX 28
0.0
Q1 5:04
Timeout Arizona State, clock 05:04
-0.4
Q1 4:57
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ryan Wingo
0.0
Q1 4:47
Michael Kern punt for 49 yds , Melquan Stovall returns for 8 yds to the ASU 31
0.0
Q1 4:38
Cam Skattebo run for no gain to the ASU 31
+3.1
Q1 4:03
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 4 yds to the ASU 35
0.0
Q1 3:31
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 8 yds to the ASU 43 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 2:53
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Kyson Brown for 14 yds to the TEX 43 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q1 2:12
Cam Skattebo run for 7 yds to the TEX 36
+0.9
Q1 1:34
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Chamon Metayer
-1.2
Q1 1:29
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds to the TEX 33 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 0:45
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Chamon Metayer
+0.1
Q1 0:33
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 6 yds to the TEX 27
0.0
Q1 0:00
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 2 yds to the TEX 25
+0.5
Q2 14:56
Cam Skattebo run for 1 yd to the TEX 24
-0.1
Q2 14:49
Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds to the TEX 27
-3.6
Q2 14:33
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 6 yds to the TEX 33
0.0
Q2 13:46
Silas Bolden run for 5 yds to the TEX 38 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 13:19
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 2 yds to the TEX 40
-0.3
Q2 12:46
Arizona State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Myles Rowser) to the ASU 45 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 12:32
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 24 yds to the ASU 21 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 11:59
Quintrevion Wisner run for 2 yds to the ASU 19
-0.1
Q2 11:17
Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd to the ASU 18
0.0
Q2 10:44
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Gunnar Helm
0.0
Q2 10:44
Arizona State Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the ASU 13
+0.2
Q2 10:44
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 5 yds to the ASU 8 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 10:16
Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 9
-0.9
Q2 9:38
Quintrevion Wisner run for 5 yds to the ASU 4
0.0
Q2 9:02
Timeout Texas, clock 09:02
0.0
Q2 8:58
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 8:54
Bert Auburn 22 yd FG GOOD
-1.8
Q2 8:54
Will Stone kickoff for 64 yds for a touchback
+0.1
Q2 8:45
Melquan Stovall run for no gain to the ASU 25
+2.7
Q2 8:09
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds to the ASU 28
-0.6
Q2 7:23
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Troy Omeire for 23 yds to the TEX 49 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 6:48
Cam Skattebo run for 9 yds to the TEX 40
+0.2
Q2 6:04
Cam Skattebo run for 6 yds to the TEX 34 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q2 5:31
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Chamon Metayer
0.0
Q2 5:21
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 5:16
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Chamon Metayer
0.0
Q2 5:09
Sam Leavitt sacked by Trey Moore for a loss of 4 yards to the TEX 38
-0.3
Q2 5:03
Jaydon Blue run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 37
-2.7
Q2 4:31
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to DeAndre Moore Jr.
+0.2
Q2 4:20
Quinn Ewers run for 6 yds to the TEX 43
0.0
Q2 3:38
Michael Kern punt for 57 yds for a touchback
-0.4
Q2 3:27
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cam Skattebo for a loss of 2 yards to the ASU 18
+2.2
Q2 2:47
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 3 yds to the ASU 21
+0.1
Q2 2:07
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete
-0.9
Q2 1:58
Kanyon Floyd pass complete to Blazen Lono-Wong for 32 yds to the TEX 47 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:52
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 8 yds to the TEX 39
+0.7
Q2 1:25
Cam Skattebo run for 1 yd to the TEX 38
+0.7
Q2 0:51
Sam Leavitt run for 2 yds to the TEX 36 for a 1ST down
+0.5
Q2 0:32
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 11 yds to the TEX 25 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:27
Sam Leavitt sacked by Trey Moore for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 26
0.0
Q2 0:22
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 7 yds to the TEX 19
0.0
Q2 0:22
Timeout Arizona State, clock 00:22
0.0
Q2 0:15
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 0:11
Carston Kieffer 36 yd FG BLOCKED
0.0
Q2 0:00
Jaydon Blue run for 1 yd to the TEX 21
-2.5
Q3 15:00
Ian Hershey kickoff for 45 yds for a touchback
+1.5
Q3 14:53
Quinn Ewers sacked by Caleb McCullough for a loss of 8 yards to the TEX 17
-1.0
Q3 14:20
Quintrevion Wisner run for 6 yds to the TEX 23
-0.1
Q3 13:40
Quinn Ewers sacked by Justin Wodtly and Clayton Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 22
0.0
Q3 13:24
Michael Kern punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Melquan Stovall at the ASU 38
0.0
Q3 13:20
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ASU 40
+1.7
Q3 12:41
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Troy Omeire for 17 yds to the TEX 43 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q3 12:41
Arizona State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Troy Omeire) to the ASU 42
+0.7
Q3 12:13
Sam Leavitt run for 28 yds to the TEX 30 for a 1ST down
-0.7
Q3 11:38
Sam Leavitt run for no gain to the TEX 30
+0.8
Q3 11:00
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 10 yds to the TEX 20 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 10:32
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete
+0.7
Q3 10:21
Cam Skattebo run for 14 yds to the TEX 6 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 9:56
Cam Skattebo run for no gain to the TEX 6
0.0
Q3 9:19
Sam Leavitt run for 4 yds to the TEX 2
0.0
Q3 8:37
Timeout Arizona State, clock 08:37
+0.1
Q3 8:32
Sam Leavitt run for no gain to the TEX 2
0.0
Q3 7:43
Cam Skattebo run for no gain to the TEX 2
-0.3
Q3 7:38
Shamari Simmons Safety
-1.8
Q3 7:38
Will Stone kickoff for 66 yds , Melquan Stovall return for 17 yds to the ASU 31
0.0
Q3 7:27
Cam Skattebo run for 5 yds to the ASU 36
+2.2
Q3 6:52
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds to the ASU 39
+0.1
Q3 6:21
Cam Skattebo run for 6 yds to the ASU 45 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q3 5:35
Cam Skattebo run for 33 yds to the TEX 22 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 4:51
Kyson Brown run for 6 yds to the TEX 16
+1.3
Q3 4:09
Kyson Brown run for 1 yd to the TEX 15
+1.3
Q3 3:25
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds to the TEX 12 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 2:42
Cam Skattebo run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 13
-0.2
Q3 2:02
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for a loss of 2 yards to the TEX 15
-0.2
Q3 1:21
Sam Leavitt sacked by Colin Simmons for a loss of 4 yards to the TEX 19
+0.7
Q3 0:41
Carston Kieffer 36 yd FG GOOD
+2.4
Q3 0:41
Ian Hershey kickoff for 41 yds , Liona Lefau return for no gain to the TEX 24
-1.2
Q3 0:31
Quintrevion Wisner run for 2 yds to the TEX 26
-3.3
Q3 0:00
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 11 yds to the TEX 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 14:56
Quintrevion Wisner run for 6 yds to the TEX 43
0.0
Q4 14:38
Quintrevion Wisner run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
-1.5
Q4 14:07
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Juan Davis for 8 yds to the ASU 42
0.0
Q4 13:38
Quintrevion Wisner run for no gain to the ASU 42
-0.4
Q4 12:58
Timeout Texas, clock 12:58
-0.2
Q4 12:45
Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the ASU 38 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 12:28
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Isaiah Bond
+0.5
Q4 12:24
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 12:19
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 29 yds to the ASU 9 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 11:41
Jaydon Blue run for 3 yds to the ASU 6
0.0
Q4 11:02
Jaydon Blue run for 1 yd to the ASU 5
-0.3
Q4 10:17
Quinn Ewers run for 5 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)
-5.8
Q4 10:17
Will Stone kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q4 10:10
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 2 yds to the ASU 27
+2.1
Q4 9:35
Cam Skattebo run for 5 yds to the ASU 32
0.0
Q4 9:03
Kyson Brown run for 3 yds to the ASU 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 8:26
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Troy Omeire
0.0
Q4 8:21
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete
-0.6
Q4 8:13
Cam Skattebo run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 7:50
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Cam Skattebo
0.0
Q4 7:44
Kyson Brown run for no gain to the 50 yard line
0.0
Q4 7:09
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 8 yds to the TEX 42
0.0
Q4 6:31
Cam Skattebo pass complete to Malik McClain for 42 yds for a TD (Sam Leavitt pass to Xavier Guillory for Two-Point Conversion)
+7.3
Q4 6:31
Arizona State Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ASU 30
-7.8
Q4 6:29
Ian Hershey kickoff for 46 yds , Silas Bolden return for 9 yds to the TEX 33
+6.8
Q4 6:24
Quintrevion Wisner run for 6 yds to the TEX 39
-2.6
Q4 5:37
Quinn Ewers pass intercepted Javan Robinson return for no gain to the ASU 21
-0.3
Q4 5:26
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 62 yds to the TEX 17 for a 1ST down Texas Penalty, Face Mask (9 yards) (Michael Taaffe) to the TEX 8 for a 1ST down
+2.0
Q4 5:11
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Kyson Brown
+0.8
Q4 5:07
Texas Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jahdae Barron) to the TEX 2 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 5:00
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds for a TD (C. Skattebo Run For Two-point Conversion)
+41.7
Q4 5:00
Texas Penalty, Defensive Holding (2 Yards) to the TEX 1
-41.7
Q4 5:00
Ian Hershey kickoff for 48 yds Arizona State Penalty, Kickoff Out of Bounds (Ian Hershey) to the TEX 35
+39.5
Q4 4:55
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 7 yds to the TEX 42
-9.1
Q4 4:40
Texas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TEX 37
-1.2
Q4 4:24
Quintrevion Wisner run for 5 yds to the TEX 42
+1.2
Q4 3:55
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 16 yds to the ASU 42 for a 1ST down
-1.5
Q4 3:21
Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 2 yards to the ASU 44
-1.1
Q4 2:37
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 14 yds to the ASU 30 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q4 2:00
Texas Penalty, False Start (Cole Hutson) to the ASU 35
-0.5
Q4 1:55
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Matthew Golden
-1.1
Q4 1:51
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 1:44
Quinn Ewers run for 5 yds to the ASU 30
0.0
Q4 1:44
Timeout Arizona State, clock 01:44
+0.7
Q4 1:39
Bert Auburn 48 yd FG MISSED
0.0
Q4 1:31
Sam Leavitt run for 13 yds to the ASU 43 for a 1ST down
+14.0
Q4 1:19
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete
+0.9
Q4 1:19
Arizona State Penalty, False Start (Malik McClain) to the ASU 38
0.0
Q4 1:15
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete
-0.3
Q4 1:08
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 10 yds to the ASU 48
-0.3
Q4 0:57
Kanyon Floyd punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Silas Bolden at the TEX 20
-0.1
Q4 0:52
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 13 yds to the TEX 33 for a 1ST down
-12.3
Q4 0:52
Texas Penalty, False Start (Hayden Conner) to the TEX 28
0.0
Q4 0:45
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 15 yds to the TEX 43 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 0:37
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 6 yds to the TEX 49
-1.2
Q4 0:37
Timeout Texas, clock 00:37
-0.8
Q4 0:31
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 27 yds to the ASU 24 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 0:16
Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 25
-0.8
Q4 0:06
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 7 yds to the ASU 18
0.0
Q4 0:02
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 19
0.0
Q4 0:02
Timeout Texas, clock 00:02
+0.6
Q4 0:00
Bert Auburn 38 yd FG MISSED
-0.1
Q5 0:00
Cam Skattebo run for 6 yds to the TEX 19
+25.2
Q5 0:00
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Malik McClain
-51.1
Q5 0:00
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 3 yds to the TEX 16
0.0
Q5 0:00
Timeout Arizona State, clock 00:00
-0.7
Q5 0:00
Sam Leavitt run for 1 yd to the TEX 15 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q5 0:00
Arizona State Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the TEX 20
+0.7
Q5 0:00
Cam Skattebo run for no gain to the TEX 20
+0.1
Q5 0:00
Kyson Brown run for 1 yd to the TEX 19
0.0
Q5 0:00
Sam Leavitt run for 16 yds to the TEX 3 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q5 0:00
Cam Skattebo 3 Yd Run (Carston Kieffer Kick)
+77.8
Q5 0:00
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete
-6.9
Q5 0:00
Quintrevion Wisner run for no gain to the ASU 25
0.0
Q5 0:00
Quinn Ewers pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 2 yds to the ASU 23
+0.8
Q5 0:00
Texas Penalty, False Start (Kelvin Banks Jr.) to the ASU 28
0.0
Q5 0:00
Matthew Golden 28 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick)
-33.0
Q6 0:00
Gunnar Helm 25 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Quinn Ewers Pass to Matthew Golden for Two-Point Conversion)
-35.7
Biggest swings
TD · Q5 0:00
Cam Skattebo 3 Yd Run (Carston Kieffer Kick)
+77.8
KEY PLAY · Q5 0:00
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Malik McClain
-51.1
TD · Q4 5:00
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds for a TD (C. Skattebo Run For Two-point Conversion)
+41.7