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IU

Indiana 17 at Notre Dame 27

ND
2024 · College Football Playoff First Round Game · Dec 20, 2024 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 14:06 · James Evans punt for 37 yds, downed at the ND 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior+20.0Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:52: Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 5 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK) — ND win probability +5.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 3:26: Nicolas Radicic 34 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +1.9 pts (now 21%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:07: Mitch Jeter 49 yd FG GOOD — ND win probability +3.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 4:21: Mitch Jeter 33 yd FG GOOD — ND win probability +2.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:27: Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 7 yds for a TD (Kurtis Rourke pass to Elijah Sarratt for Two-Point Conversion) — IU win probability +2.6 pts (now 3%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 4 of 5IU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 14:06IU 4th & 13 at IU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:00IU 4th & 8 at ND 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    29.7%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:30IU 4th & 11 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:26ND 4th & 16 at ND 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−2.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:26IU 4th & 4 at ND 16, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.7%−0.2
    81% to make
    Punt
    16.3%−3.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:07ND 4th & 5 at IU 31, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    79.5%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:15ND 4th & 6 at IU 43, up 14
    Close callPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    83.9%−1.0
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:04IU 4th & 19 at IU 3, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−3.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:21ND 4th & 13 at IU 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−1.8
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    83.4%−6.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:48IU 4th & 8 at IU 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−1.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:12ND 4th & 6 at IU 19, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−2.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:34IU 4th & 11 at ND 48, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:47IU 4th & 1 at ND 41, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.8
    32% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 2 of 3IU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 10:57ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:52ND Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 4:50ND Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:27IU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:25IU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.9%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:4430% → 30%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
70.3%
Justice Ellison run for a loss of 3 yards to the IU 22Similar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
70.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
70.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:06
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
70.3%
James Evans punt for 37 yds, downed at the ND 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 2INT
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:3570% → 70%
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
70.2%
Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 40Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 11
OWN 40
-3
70.1%
Riley Leonard pass intercepted D'Angelo Ponds return for 3 yds to the ND 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3INT
5 plays · 24 yds · 2:1230% → 31%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
69.9%
Indiana Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the IU 49Similar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 20
OWN 49
+3
69.9%
Ty Son Lawton run for 3 yds to the ND 48Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 17
OPP 48
+3
69.8%
Ty Son Lawton run for 3 yds to the ND 45Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 14
OPP 45
+28
69.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 28 yds to the ND 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
69.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass intercepted Xavier Watts return for no gain to the ND 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 4TD
1 play · 98 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+98
71.0%
Jeremiyah Love run for 98 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:5029% → 29%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
70.9%
Justice Ellison run for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 23Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+10
71.0%
Justice Ellison run for 10 yds to the IU 33Similar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
71.0%
Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the IU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
71.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Elijah SarrattSimilar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+22
71.1%
Ty Son Lawton run for 22 yds to the ND 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
70.8%
Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd to the ND 38Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+1
70.9%
Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd to the ND 37Similar
Q1 7:06
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
71.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Elijah SarrattSimilar
Q1 7:00
4TH & 8
OPP 37
0
71.5%
James Evans punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ND 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 6TD
17 plays · 83 yds · 9:0072% → 80%
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
71.7%
Jadarian Price run for 4 yds to the ND 21Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
71.8%
Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Jordan FaisonSimilar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+10
71.5%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 10 yds to the ND 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
72.0%
Jadarian Price run for no gain to the ND 31Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+8
72.1%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jadarian Price for 8 yds to the ND 39Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+6
72.5%
Aneyas Williams run for 6 yds to the ND 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
73.0%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 8 yds Mitchell Evans fumbled, recovered by ND Jordan FaisonSimilar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+5
73.3%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Aneyas Williams for 5 yds to the IU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
73.1%
Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the IU 40Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+9
73.1%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 9 yds to the IU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
73.4%
Notre Dame Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IU 36Similar
Q1 0:57
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+20
73.1%
Jadarian Price run for 20 yds to the IU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
73.6%
Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the IU 14Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+7
73.8%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 7 yds to the IU 7Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+4
73.4%
Riley Leonard run for 4 yds to the IU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
74.0%
Jadarian Price run for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 5Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
79.8%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 5 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:1022% → 21%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
77.6%
Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd to the IU 26Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
77.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 10 yds to the IU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
77.6%
Justice Ellison run for 15 yds to the ND 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
77.2%
Justice Ellison run for no gain to the ND 49Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
77.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 10
OPP 49
-1
78.4%
Ty Son Lawton run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:30
4TH & 11
50
0
79.2%
James Evans punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ND 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4980% → 79%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
80.4%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 11 yds to the ND 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
80.8%
Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 32Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 11
OWN 32
-5
80.1%
Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 5 yards to the ND 27Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 16
OWN 27
0
79.8%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 16
OWN 27
0
79.4%
James Rendell punt for 37 yds, downed at the IU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 3:5421% → 21%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
79.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 1 yd to the IU 37Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-1
79.8%
Ty Son Lawton run for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 36Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+15
80.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 15 yds to the ND 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
79.3%
Notre Dame Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the ND 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
79.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Elijah SarrattSimilar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+17
79.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 17 yds to the ND 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
78.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 6 yds to the ND 16Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 4
OPP 16
-1
78.6%
Justice Ellison run for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 17Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+1
79.5%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the ND 16Similar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+34
79.2%
Nicolas Radicic 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 10FG
15 plays · 52 yds · 3:0480% → 84%
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
80.4%
Riley Leonard run for 3 yds to the ND 20Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+1
80.9%
Riley Leonard run for 1 yd to the ND 21Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+10
81.3%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 10 yds to the ND 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
82.1%
Riley Leonard run for 6 yds to the ND 37Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+6
82.6%
Riley Leonard run for 6 yds to the ND 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
83.1%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Aneyas Williams for 9 yds to the IU 48Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 1
OPP 48
0
82.3%
Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Jordan FaisonSimilar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+12
81.7%
Aneyas Williams run for 12 yds to the IU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
82.3%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
82.3%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+5
81.7%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Aneyas Williams for 5 yds to the IU 31Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+49
84.1%
Mitch Jeter 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
83.8%
Ty Son Lawton run for 6 yds to the IU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:4586% → 85%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
85.5%
Notre Dame Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ND 48Similar
Q3 14:35
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+8
85.5%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 8 yds to the IU 44Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+1
85.8%
Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd to the IU 43Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
85.7%
Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q3 13:15
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
85.1%
James Rendell punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Myles Price at the IU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:5315% → 13%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-8
85.0%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Rylie Mills for a loss of 8 yards to the IU 4Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 18
OWN 4
+5
85.7%
Notre Dame Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the IU 9Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 13
OWN 9
+2
85.7%
Myles Price run for 2 yds to the IU 11Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 11
OWN 11
-8
85.7%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Bryce Young for a loss of 8 yards to the IU 3Similar
Q3 11:04
4TH & 19
OWN 3
+9
86.7%
James Evans punt for 49 yds , Max Hurleman returns for 9 yds to the IU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14FG
13 plays · 28 yds · 6:3187% → 94%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
87.4%
Jadarian Price run for 2 yds to the IU 41Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+8
87.5%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 8 yds to the IU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
88.2%
Jadarian Price run for 9 yds to the IU 24Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+4
88.5%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Eli Raridon for 4 yds to the IU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
88.8%
Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the IU 19Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 9
OPP 19
-5
89.7%
Riley Leonard sacked by James Carpenter for a loss of 5 yards to the IU 24Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 14
OPP 24
+12
89.4%
Riley Leonard run for no gain to the IU 24 for a 1ST down Indiana Penalty, Personal Foul (12 Yards) to the IU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
90.0%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 8 yds to the IU 4Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 2
OPP 4
-2
90.2%
Jadarian Price run for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 6Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 4
OPP 6
-4
90.1%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Aneyas Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the IU 10Similar
Q3 4:25
4TH & 8
OPP 10
-5
91.1%
Notre Dame Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IU 15Similar
Q3 4:21
4TH & 13
OPP 15
+33
93.7%
Mitch Jeter 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:267% → 7%
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
92.9%
Ty Son Lawton run for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 24Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
93.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 8 yds to the IU 32Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
93.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Miles CrossSimilar
Q3 2:55
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
93.2%
Indiana Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IU 27Similar
Q3 2:48
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
93.5%
James Evans punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Max Hurleman at the ND 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 16MISSED FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 5:2995% → 96%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
94.5%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Beaux Collins for 8 yds to the ND 39Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+7
95.0%
Jeremiyah Love run for 7 yds to the ND 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
95.3%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 9 yds to the IU 45Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+10
95.5%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 10 yds to the IU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-4
95.7%
Jadarian Price run for a loss of 4 yards to the IU 39Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 14
OPP 39
+8
95.7%
Riley Leonard run for 8 yds to the IU 31Similar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+8
96.1%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 8 yds to the IU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
96.5%
Indiana Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the IU 18Similar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 5
OPP 18
0
96.7%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 5
OPP 18
-1
96.8%
Riley Leonard sacked by Amare Ferrell and Jamari Sharpe for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 19Similar
Q4 12:22
3RD & 6
OPP 19
0
96.8%
Riley Leonard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:12
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+37
96.4%
Mitch Jeter 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by James Carpenter Jeter, recovered by IU Walker, Jailin at IU22, fumble by Walker, Jailin recovered by IU Asbury II, Shawn at IU25, Asbury II, Shawn for 15 yards to the IU40.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:265% → 4%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 7
OWN 40
+3
95.3%
Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the IU 43Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+10
95.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 10 yds to the ND 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
95.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
95.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn WilliamsSimilar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-1
96.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Justice Ellison for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 48Similar
Q4 10:34
4TH & 11
OPP 48
0
96.3%
James Evans punt for 26 yds, downed at the ND 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 5:3497% → 100%
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
96.7%
Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the ND 24Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+12
96.8%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 12 yds to the ND 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
97.1%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 35Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+7
97.2%
Jeremiyah Love run for 7 yds to the ND 42Similar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+7
97.5%
Riley Leonard run for 7 yds to the ND 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
97.7%
Aneyas Williams run for 6 yds to the IU 45Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+44
98.1%
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Faison for 44 yds to the IU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.2%
Aneyas Williams run for no gain to the IU 1Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Riley Leonard run for 1 yd for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19TD
14 plays · 76 yds · 3:051% → 3%
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-4
99.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ty Son Lawton for 10 yds to the IU 34 Indiana Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-14 Yards) to the IU 20Similar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 14
OWN 20
+7
99.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Justice Ellison for 7 yds to the IU 27Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+4
99.4%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the IU 31Similar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+7
99.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 7 yds to the IU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
99.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 16 yds to the ND 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn WilliamsSimilar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.4%
Notre Dame Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the ND 41Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+16
99.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 16 yds to the ND 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
99.4%
Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd to the ND 24Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
99.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Myles PriceSimilar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+17
99.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 17 yds to the ND 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
96.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Myles Price for 7 yds for a TD (Kurtis Rourke pass to Elijah Sarratt for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20TD
11 plays · 50 yds · 0:483% → 5%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
50
-2
97.5%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Loghan Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 48Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+7
97.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 7 yds to the ND 45Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+4
97.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 4 yds to the ND 41Similar
Q4 0:47
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+4
97.7%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the ND 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
97.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Zach Horton for 7 yds to the ND 30Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+7
97.1%
Kurtis Rourke run for 7 yds to the ND 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
97.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
95.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 23 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
50
-1
97.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:52
Riley Leonard pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 5 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)
+5.8
FG · Q2 0:07
Mitch Jeter 49 yd FG GOOD
+3.5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com