ARDLINETry the model
S

SMU 10 at Penn State 38

PSU
2024 · Week 1 · Dec 21, 2024 · Beaver Stadium
Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadS aheadconfidence bandkey play
Q1Q2Q3Q4KEY PLAYTDTDKEY PLAYKEY PLAYKEY PLAYKEY PLAYTD
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
Collin Rogers kickoff for 60 yds , Nicholas Singleton return for 25 yds to the PSU 30
0.0
Q1 14:43
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for no gain to the PSU 30
+1.5
Q1 14:20
Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 7 yds to the PSU 37
0.0
Q1 13:38
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Liam Clifford
+0.2
Q1 13:28
Riley Thompson punt for 31 yds, downed at the SMU 32
-0.3
Q1 13:20
Brashard Smith run for no gain to the SMU 32
-2.5
Q1 13:00
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Matthew Hibner for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 12:45
Brashard Smith run for 7 yds to the PSU 43
-2.2
Q1 12:29
Jennings, Kevin pass incomplete to Smith, Key'Shawn, PENALTY PSU pass interference (Kimber, Jalen) 15 yards to the PSU28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SMU.
-0.1
Q1 12:00
Kevin Jennings run for 4 yds to the PSU 24
0.0
Q1 11:45
Brashard Smith run for 4 yds to the PSU 20
0.0
Q1 11:30
Brashard Smith run for 1 yd to the PSU 19
0.0
Q1 11:14
Timeout SMU, clock 11:14
-0.8
Q1 11:08
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Matthew Hibner
0.0
Q1 10:55
Tyler Warren run for 6 yds to the PSU 25
+4.7
Q1 10:14
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PSU 27
0.0
Q1 10:00
Drew Allar run for 6 yds to the PSU 33 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 9:30
Kaytron Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the PSU 32
+0.1
Q1 8:14
Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 13 yds to the PSU 45 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q1 7:56
Kaytron Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the PSU 44
+0.8
Q1 7:14
Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the PSU 47
0.0
Q1 7:02
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Harrison Wallace III
-0.2
Q1 6:51
Riley Thompson punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 20
-0.3
Q1 6:45
Brashard Smith run for no gain to the SMU 20
-3.2
Q1 6:08
Dominic DeLuca 23 Yd Interception Return (Ryan Barker Kick)
+11.6
Q1 6:08
Gabriel Nwosu kickoff for 62 yds
+2.1
Q1 6:02
Brashard Smith run for 5 yds to the SMU 40
-2.1
Q1 5:35
Brashard Smith run for 4 yds to the SMU 44
-0.4
Q1 5:19
Brashard Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 43
-0.6
Q1 4:41
Isaac Pearson punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PSU 32
+0.5
Q1 4:15
Drew Allar pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for 13 yds to the PSU 45 for a 1ST down
+2.6
Q1 3:53
Nicholas Singleton run for 14 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q1 3:20
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 15 yds to the SMU 26 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q1 3:00
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 3 yds to the SMU 23
0.0
Q1 2:36
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Nicholas Singleton
-0.1
Q1 2:28
Drew Allar sacked by Elijah Roberts for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 29
-0.2
Q1 1:41
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Kaytron Allen
-1.3
Q1 1:22
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 8 yds to the SMU 37
-1.8
Q1 1:00
Jennings, Kevin pass incomplete to Brinson, Romello, PENALTY SMU holding (Byrd, Savion) 10 yards to the SMU27, NO PLAY.
0.0
Q1 0:44
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Brashard Smith for 7 yds to the SMU 34
-0.2
Q1 0:01
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 5 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q2 14:45
LJ Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the SMU 39
-0.4
Q2 14:23
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 20 yds to the PSU 41 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 13:40
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Brashard Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the PSU 47
-1.3
Q2 13:28
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Roderick Daniels Jr.
+0.3
Q2 13:28
Timeout SMU, clock 13:28
0.0
Q2 13:09
Tony Rojas 59 Yd Interception Return (Ryan Barker Kick)
+12.1
Q2 13:09
Gabriel Nwosu kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+4.4
Q2 13:00
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Brashard Smith for 10 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST down
-4.2
Q2 12:23
Brashard Smith run for 16 yds to the PSU 49 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 12:00
Kevin Jennings run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line
-0.2
Q2 11:28
Brashard Smith run for 2 yds to the PSU 48
-0.1
Q2 11:07
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Roderick Daniels Jr.
0.0
Q2 10:59
Isaac Pearson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Zion Tracy at the PSU 10
0.0
Q2 10:50
Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 12
+4.6
Q2 10:19
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Tyler Warren
0.0
Q2 10:07
Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 7 yds to the PSU 19
0.0
Q2 9:32
Drew Allar run for no gain to the PSU 19
-0.2
Q2 9:15
Kevin Jennings run for 6 yds to the PSU 13
-5.2
Q2 9:00
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds to the PSU 6 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 8:35
Brashard Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the PSU 7
0.0
Q2 8:06
Kevin Jennings pass intercepted Dominic DeLuca return for 14 yds to the PSU 25
+0.2
Q2 8:02
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Tyler Warren
+4.9
Q2 7:57
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Nicholas Singleton
0.0
Q2 7:37
Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 7:36
Penn State Penalty, False Start (Nick Dawkins) to the PSU 45
0.0
Q2 7:13
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Omari Evans
0.0
Q2 7:00
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 9 yds to the SMU 46
0.0
Q2 6:45
Drew Allar run for 13 yds to the SMU 33 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q2 5:58
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the SMU 32
+0.1
Q2 5:20
Drew Allar pass complete to Liam Clifford for 7 yds to the SMU 25
+0.2
Q2 5:00
Kaytron Allen 25 Yd Run (Ryan Barker Kick)
+4.9
Q2 5:00
Gabriel Nwosu kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-0.1
Q2 4:47
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Moochie Dixon for 8 yds to the SMU 33
-0.7
Q2 4:30
Kevin Jennings run for 6 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 4:18
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Matthew Hibner
+0.6
Q2 4:09
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Matthew Hibner
0.0
Q2 3:53
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 7 yds to the SMU 46
0.0
Q2 3:17
Kevin Jennings sacked by Dani Dennis-Sutton for a loss of 8 yards to the SMU 38
0.0
Q2 2:45
Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 7 yds to the SMU 31
+0.2
Q2 2:30
Nicholas Singleton run for 8 yds to the SMU 23 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 2:20
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Harrison Wallace III
0.0
Q2 2:00
Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the SMU 20
0.0
Q2 1:51
Drew Allar run for 11 yds to the SMU 9 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:41
Nicholas Singleton run for 8 yds to the SMU 1
0.0
Q2 1:06
Timeout Penn State, clock 01:06
-0.1
Q2 1:03
Nicholas Singleton 1 Yd Run (Ryan Barker Kick)
+1.2
Q2 1:03
Gabriel Nwosu kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q2 0:53
Brashard Smith run for 3 yds to the SMU 28
-0.8
Q2 0:30
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 8 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:27
Kevin Jennings sacked by Dani Dennis-Sutton and Dominic DeLuca for a loss of 10 yards to the SMU 26
-0.1
Q2 0:27
Timeout SMU, clock 00:27
0.0
Q2 0:23
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Matthew Hibner
0.0
Q2 0:17
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Romello Brinson
0.0
Q2 0:08
Isaac Pearson punt for 44 yds , Zion Tracy returns for 12 yds to the PSU 42
0.0
Q2 0:00
Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 15 yds to the SMU 43 for a 1ST down
+0.9
Q3 15:00
Gabriel Nwosu kickoff for 59 yds , Brashard Smith return for 41 yds to the SMU 47
-0.1
Q3 14:46
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Matthew Hibner
-0.6
Q3 14:35
LJ Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 45
0.0
Q3 14:11
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Matthew Hibner for 20 yds to the PSU 35 for a 1ST down Penn State Penalty, Personal Foul (Amin Vanover) to the PSU 20 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 14:00
Brashard Smith run for 8 yds to the PSU 12
-0.1
Q3 13:11
Brashard Smith run for 7 yds to the PSU 5 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q3 13:00
Brashard Smith run for 1 yd to the PSU 4
0.0
Q3 12:22
SMU Penalty, False Start (LJ Johnson Jr.) to the PSU 9
0.0
Q3 12:00
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 3 yds to the PSU 6
0.0
Q3 11:30
SMU Penalty, False Start (PJ Williams) to the PSU 11
0.0
Q3 11:02
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jordan Hudson
+0.1
Q3 10:59
Collin Rogers 28 Yd Field Goal
-0.4
Q3 10:59
Collin Rogers on-side kick recovered by Penn State at the SMU 48
+0.1
Q3 10:42
Nicholas Singleton run for 18 yds to the SMU 30 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q3 10:13
Drew Allar sacked by Jared Harrison-Hunte and Elijah Roberts for a loss of 9 yards to the SMU 39
0.0
Q3 9:45
Drew Allar sacked by Elijah Roberts and Jahfari Harvey for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 44 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, Personal Foul (Jared Harrison-Hunte) to the SMU 29 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q3 9:36
Tyler Warren pass incomplete to Nicholas Singleton
0.0
Q3 9:30
Nicholas Singleton run for no gain to the SMU 29
0.0
Q3 8:26
Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 6 yds to the SMU 23
0.0
Q3 8:13
Ryan Barker 40 Yd Field Goal
+0.8
Q3 8:13
Gabriel Nwosu kickoff for 59 yds , Brashard Smith return for 24 yds to the SMU 30
0.0
Q3 7:33
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 9 yds to the SMU 39
-0.5
Q3 7:10
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 37
0.0
Q3 6:58
Brashard Smith run for 1 yd to the SMU 38
0.0
Q3 6:25
Brashard Smith run for 2 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 6:09
Jennings, Kevin pass incomplete to Brinson, Romello, PENALTY PSU holding (Collins, Audavion) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SMU.
0.0
Q3 5:57
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the PSU 46
0.0
Q3 5:41
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 9 yds to the PSU 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 5:17
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 22 yds to the PSU 15 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 4:30
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Brashard Smith for 13 yds to the PSU 2 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q3 4:18
SMU Penalty, False Start (Logan Parr) to the PSU 7
+0.1
Q3 4:05
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Brashard Smith
0.0
Q3 4:00
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Romello Brinson
0.0
Q3 3:52
Kevin Jennings sacked by Abdul Carter for a loss of 18 yards to the PSU 25
0.0
Q3 3:22
Collin Rogers 42 yd FG MISSED
0.0
Q3 3:09
Nicholas Singleton run for 9 yds to the PSU 34
+0.4
Q3 1:50
Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the PSU 40 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 1:23
Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the PSU 46
0.0
Q3 0:35
Kaytron Allen run for 17 yds to the SMU 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 0:00
Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the SMU 33
0.0
Q4 14:51
Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the SMU 27 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 13:46
Nicholas Singleton run for 18 yds to the SMU 9 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 13:41
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the SMU 4
0.0
Q4 13:00
Timeout Penn State, clock 13:00
0.0
Q4 12:56
Kaytron Allen 4 Yd Run (Ryan Barker Kick)
+0.4
Q4 12:56
Gabriel Nwosu kickoff for 56 yds , Brashard Smith return for 12 yds to the SMU 47 SMU Penalty, Personal Foul (11 Yards) to the SMU 10
0.0
Q4 12:00
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Stone Eby for 6 yds to the SMU 16
-0.7
Q4 11:45
Derrick McFall run for no gain to the SMU 16
0.0
Q4 11:30
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 10 yds to the SMU 26 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 11:24
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jordan Hudson
0.0
Q4 10:55
Kevin Jennings run for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 21
0.0
Q4 10:49
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Roderick Daniels Jr.
0.0
Q4 10:41
Isaac Pearson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Zion Tracy at the PSU 43
0.0
Q4 10:41
Penn State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PSU 38
+0.7
Q4 10:12
Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the PSU 39
0.0
Q4 9:59
Ethan Grunkemeyer pass intercepted Brandon Crossley return for no gain to the PSU 42
0.0
Q4 9:20
Kevin Jennings pass complete to LJ Johnson Jr. for 2 yds to the PSU 40
-0.9
Q4 8:50
Roderick Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the PSU 43
0.0
Q4 8:35
Jennings, Kevin pass incomplete to Daniels Jr., Roderick, PENALTY SMU holding (Byrd, Savion) 10 yards to the SMU47, NO PLAY.
0.0
Q4 8:29
Jennings, Kevin pass incomplete to Smith, Brashard, PENALTY PSU roughing passer (Dennis-Sutton, Dani) 15 yards to the PSU38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SMU.
0.0
Q4 8:29
Timeout Penn State, clock 08:29
0.0
Q4 8:22
Brashard Smith run for 3 yds to the PSU 35
0.0
Q4 7:40
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 7 yds to the PSU 28 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 7:31
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 28 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)
-0.1
Q4 7:31
Collin Rogers kickoff for 61 yds , Kaytron Allen return for 4 yds to the PSU 8
0.0
Q4 6:49
Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the PSU 9
+0.5
Q4 6:30
Corey Smith run for 1 yd to the PSU 10
0.0
Q4 6:00
Ethan Grunkemeyer pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 9 yds to the PSU 19 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 4:58
Corey Smith run for 7 yds to the PSU 26
-0.1
Q4 3:45
Quinton Martin Jr. run for no gain to the PSU 26
0.0
Q4 3:36
Corey Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the PSU 23
0.0
Q4 2:46
Riley Thompson punt for 44 yds , Roderick Daniels Jr. returns for 14 yds to the SMU 47
0.0
Q4 2:25
Derrick McFall run for no gain to the SMU 47
-0.4
Q4 2:00
Key'Shawn Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 45 Key'Shawn Smith fumbled, recovered by SMU Ben Sparks
0.0
Q4 1:54
Keldric Luster pass incomplete to Key'Shawn Smith
0.0
Q4 1:46
Isaac Pearson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Zion Tracy at the PSU 15
0.0
Q4 1:39
Quinton Martin Jr. run for no gain to the PSU 15
+0.4
Q4 0:58
Corey Smith run for 1 yd to the PSU 16
0.0
Q4 0:00
Quinton Martin Jr. run for 7 yds to the PSU 23
-0.1
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:09
Tony Rojas 59 Yd Interception Return (Ryan Barker Kick)
+12.1
TD · Q1 6:08
Dominic DeLuca 23 Yd Interception Return (Ryan Barker Kick)
+11.6
KEY PLAY · Q2 9:15
Kevin Jennings run for 6 yds to the PSU 13
-5.2
YardLine · model v2Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com