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TENN

Tennessee 17 at Ohio State 42

OSU
2024 · College Football Playoff First Round Game · Dec 21, 2024 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-5.2OSU 81.9%Max Gilbert 36 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 21 · Q2 6:39
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:39 · Max Gilbert 36 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Home team on offense+9.7Pregame prior+12.4Score differential+3.4Garbage-time factor+1.6Blowout margin+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:27: TreVeyon Henderson run for 29 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +4.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 6:39: Max Gilbert 36 yd FG GOOD — TENN win probability +5.2 pts (now 18%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:20: Nico Iamaleava run for 2 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK) — TENN win probability +4.9 pts (now 22%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:16: Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 22 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +9.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:18: Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +3.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4TENN made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 10:48TENN 4th & 3 at TENN 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:49TENN 4th & 28 at TENN 7, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−1.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:49TENN 4th & 14 at TENN 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:17OSU 4th & 4 at TENN 47, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    86.0%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:39TENN 4th & 9 at OSU 18, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−4.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:23OSU 4th & 2 at OSU 33, up 18
    Close callPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:14TENN 4th & 1 at OSU 37, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%−1.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−2.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:30TENN 4th & 12 at TENN 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:04TENN 4th & 4 at TENN 43, down 18
    Close callPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:19TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 39, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:45TENN 4th & 18 at TENN 17, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:33OSU 4th & 4 at TENN 49, up 32
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:53TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 16, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:15OSU 4th & 14 at OSU 38, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TENN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 12:46OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:09OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:27OSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:20TENN Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:16OSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:18OSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:53OSU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:56TENN Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:4470% → 71%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
70.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 8 yds to the OSU 33Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
70.1%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Emeka EgbukaSimilar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+15
70.0%
Tennessee Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Bryson Eason) to the OSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
70.1%
Quinshon Judkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 47Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 11
OWN 47
-5
70.0%
Ohio State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OSU 42Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 16
OWN 42
+21
70.0%
Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 21 yds to the TENN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
70.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 37 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4830% → 29%
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
70.5%
Nico Iamaleava run for 3 yds to the TENN 28Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
70.5%
Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the TENN 31Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
70.7%
Nico Iamaleava run for 1 yd to the TENN 32Similar
Q1 10:48
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
70.8%
Jackson Ross punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Caleb Downs at the OSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 2:3071% → 74%
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
70.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
50
+4
71.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the TENN 46Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+40
71.5%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 40 yds to the TENN 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
71.4%
Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the TENN 1Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.3%
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -18 yds · 1:0927% → 26%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
73.3%
DeSean Bishop run for a loss of 1 yard to the TENN 24Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-12
73.5%
Nico Iamaleava sacked by JT Tuimoloau for a loss of 12 yards to the TENN 12Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 23
OWN 12
0
73.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Squirrel WhiteSimilar
Q1 6:58
4TH & 23
OWN 12
-5
74.2%
Tennessee Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TENN 7Similar
Q1 6:49
4TH & 28
OWN 7
-4
74.4%
Jackson Ross punt for 47 yds , Caleb Downs returns for a loss of 4 yards to the OSU 42 Caleb Downs fumbled, recovered by OSU Caleb DownsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 3:1775% → 81%
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
75.0%
Will Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+10
75.0%
Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 10 yds to the TENN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
75.5%
TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TENN 49Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+6
75.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 6 yds to the TENN 43Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+16
75.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 16 yds to the TENN 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
76.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the TENN 29Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+29
81.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 29 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 2:3319% → 17%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
80.6%
Nico Iamaleava run for 14 yds to the TENN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
80.5%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Bru McCoySimilar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
80.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Miles KitselmanSimilar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+12
81.2%
Nico Iamaleava run for 12 yds to the OSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-7
80.5%
Nico Iamaleava sacked by Jack Sawyer and Ty Hamilton for a loss of 7 yards to the TENN 44Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 17
OWN 44
+3
82.1%
Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the TENN 47Similar
Q1 0:56
3RD & 14
OWN 47
0
82.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Squirrel WhiteSimilar
Q1 0:49
4TH & 14
OWN 47
0
82.7%
Jackson Ross punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7INT
12 plays · 60 yds · 5:4282% → 90%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
82.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 6 yds to the OSU 26Similar
Q1 0:22
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+8
82.5%
Quinshon Judkins run for 8 yds to the OSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
83.3%
Quinshon Judkins run for 3 yds to the OSU 37Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+10
84.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 10 yds to the OSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
86.0%
Will Howard run for 6 yds to the TENN 47Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
86.3%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Emeka EgbukaSimilar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
86.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Will Howard for no gain to the TENN 47Similar
Q2 12:17
4TH & 4
OPP 47
+10
86.2%
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 10 yds to the TENN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
87.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the TENN 33Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+3
87.5%
Will Howard run for 3 yds to the TENN 30Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+10
87.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 10 yds to the TENN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
89.5%
Will Howard pass intercepted, touchback. Will Brooks return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8FG
11 plays · 62 yds · 3:2013% → 18%
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
86.9%
Nico Iamaleava run for 4 yds to the TENN 24Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+21
87.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for 21 yds to the TENN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
86.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Squirrel White for 17 yds to the OSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
86.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
86.6%
DeSean Bishop run for 4 yds to the OSU 34Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+15
86.5%
Ohio State Penalty, Roughing Passer (Kenyatta Jackson Jr.) to the OSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
85.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for 6 yds to the OSU 13Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 4
OPP 13
-5
86.1%
Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OSU 18Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
86.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 9
OPP 18
0
87.1%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Bru McCoySimilar
Q2 6:39
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+36
81.9%
Max Gilbert 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:1183% → 83%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
83.2%
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd to the OSU 26Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
83.3%
Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 8 yds to the OSU 34Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
83.4%
Emeka Egbuka run for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 33Similar
Q2 4:23
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
83.4%
Joe McGuire punt for 46 yds, downed at the TENN 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10TD
18 plays · 79 yds · 3:5616% → 22%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
84.1%
Peyton Lewis run for 6 yds to the TENN 27Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+2
83.7%
Nico Iamaleava run for 2 yds to the TENN 29Similar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+2
84.0%
Nico Iamaleava run for 2 yds to the TENN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
84.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Braylon Staley for 7 yds to the TENN 38Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+5
84.0%
Peyton Lewis run for 5 yds to the TENN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
84.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for 11 yds to the OSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
83.0%
Nico Iamaleava run for 4 yds to the OSU 42Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
83.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to DeSean BishopSimilar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+5
84.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 5 yds to the OSU 37Similar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+8
84.0%
DeSean Bishop run for 8 yds to the OSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
82.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for 14 yds to the OSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
82.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Braylon StaleySimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+8
82.9%
Nico Iamaleava run for 8 yds to the OSU 7Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+3
84.7%
Nico Iamaleava run for 3 yds to the OSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
83.6%
DeSean Bishop run for 2 yds to the OSU 2Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
78.0%
Nico Iamaleava run for 2 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11DOWNS
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:1582% → 83%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
82.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 15 yds to the OSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
82.3%
Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 7 yds to the OSU 47Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+15
82.4%
Will Howard pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 15 yds to the TENN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+56
83.1%
Jayden Fielding 56 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 2:2120% → 18%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
80.2%
DeSean Bishop run for 5 yds to the TENN 31Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+4
79.7%
Nico Iamaleava run for 4 yds to the TENN 35Similar
Q3 14:13
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+1
79.9%
DeSean Bishop run for 1 yd to the TENN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
79.9%
DeSean Bishop run for 3 yds to the TENN 39Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
79.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-5
80.3%
Peyton Lewis run for a loss of 5 yards to the TENN 34Similar
Q3 12:30
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
82.1%
Jackson Ross punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 3:0882% → 93%
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
82.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the OSU 35Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
82.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 8 yds to the OSU 43Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+7
82.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
50
+2
83.7%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the TENN 48Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+26
84.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 26 yds to the TENN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
93.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 22 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:089% → 8%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 2 yds to the TENN 27Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
91.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for 2 yds to the TENN 29Similar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
91.5%
Nico Iamaleava run for 8 yds to the TENN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
91.4%
Nico Iamaleava run for 5 yds to the TENN 42Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+1
91.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Peyton Lewis for 1 yd to the TENN 43Similar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
91.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Mike MatthewsSimilar
Q3 6:04
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+1
92.4%
Jackson Ross punt for 39 yds , Brandon Inniss returns for 1 yd to the OSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 4:4094% → 99%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
93.9%
Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the OSU 23Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+7
94.1%
Quinshon Judkins run for 7 yds to the OSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
94.4%
Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the OSU 35Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+10
94.6%
Will Howard run for 10 yds to the OSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
95.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 7 yds to the TENN 48Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+6
95.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the TENN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+18
95.3%
Will Howard pass complete to Carnell Tate for 18 yds to the TENN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
95.4%
Howard, Will pass incomplete to Smith, Jeremiah, PENALTY TENN substitution infraction 5 yards to the TENN19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 5
OPP 19
+15
95.4%
Howard, Will pass incomplete to Smith, Jeremiah, PENALTY TENN pass interference (McCoy, Jermod) 15 yards to the TENN4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OSU.Similar
Q3 1:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
95.4%
Will Howard pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 3 yds to the TENN 1Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.1%
Quinshon Judkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:521% → 1%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Peyton Lewis for 2 yds to the TENN 27Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
98.8%
Peyton Lewis run for 8 yds to the TENN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-8
98.8%
Nico Iamaleava sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 8 yards to the TENN 27Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 18
OWN 27
+4
98.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Peyton Lewis for 4 yds to the TENN 31Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+8
98.7%
Nico Iamaleava run for 8 yds to the TENN 39Similar
Q4 13:19
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
99.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 2:1499% → 100%
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
99.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the TENN 42Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+12
99.4%
Will Howard run for 12 yds to the TENN 30Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+6
99.4%
Will Howard run for 6 yds to the TENN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.5%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Gee Scott Jr.Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
99.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 24 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:030% → 0%
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-8
99.9%
Nico Iamaleava sacked by JT Tuimoloau for a loss of 8 yards to the TENN 17 Nico Iamaleava fumbled, recovered by TENN Dylan Sampson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Jackson Ross punt for 38 yds, downed at the OSU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:08100% → 100%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
99.8%
James Peoples run for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 44Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+6
99.9%
Devin Brown pass complete to Brandon Inniss for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:16
3RD & 5
50
+1
99.9%
James Peoples run for 1 yd to the TENN 49Similar
Q4 7:33
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Joe McGuire punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Boo Carter at the TENN 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:360% → 0%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
99.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Braylon Staley for 4 yds to the TENN 16Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 6
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Braylon StaleySimilar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 6
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Mike MatthewsSimilar
Q4 6:53
4TH & 6
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Jackson Ross punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:34100% → 100%
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
99.9%
James Peoples run for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 41Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+2
99.9%
James Peoples run for 2 yds to the OSU 43Similar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Julian Sayin pass incomplete to Bryson RodgersSimilar
Q4 5:22
4TH & 9
OWN 43
-5
99.9%
Ohio State Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OSU 38Similar
Q4 5:15
4TH & 14
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Joe McGuire punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Boo Carter at the TENN 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:150% → 0%
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Peyton Lewis run for 4 yds to the TENN 31Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+26
99.9%
Peyton Lewis run for 26 yds to the OSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
99.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 8 yds to the OSU 35Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+3
99.9%
Peyton Lewis run for 3 yds to the OSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+23
99.9%
Peyton Lewis run for 23 yds to the OSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
99.9%
Peyton Lewis run for 4 yds to the OSU 5Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.9%
Peyton Lewis run for 3 yds to the OSU 2Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
Nico Iamaleava run for 2 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 0
OPP 3
-5
99.7%
Tennessee Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OSU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:29100% → 100%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
99.8%
James Peoples run for 2 yds to the OSU 15Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 8
OWN 15
-3
99.8%
James Peoples run for a loss of 3 yards to the OSU 12Similar
Q4 0:18
3RD & 11
OWN 12
+6
99.8%
James Peoples run for 6 yds to the OSU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:16
Will Howard pass complete to Jeremiah Smith for 22 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
+9.3
FG · Q2 6:39
Max Gilbert 36 yd FG GOOD
-5.2
TD · Q2 0:20
Nico Iamaleava run for 2 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)
-4.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com