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CLEM

Clemson 24 at Texas 38

TEX
2024 · College Football Playoff First Round Game · Dec 21, 2024 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+8.2TEX 95.3%Jaydon Blue run for 77 yds for a TD(Bert Auburn KICK)AWAY 24 - HOME 38 · Q4 10:48
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Q4 10:48 · Jaydon Blue run for 77 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Pregame prior+6.0Home team on offense+23.8Score differential+11.0Garbage-time factor+11.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:26: Quintrevion Wisner run for 16 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +4.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:28: Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 19 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +5.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:29: Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jarvis Green for 25 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK) — CLEM win probability +8.1 pts (now 11%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:43: Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 7 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK) — CLEM win probability +9.4 pts (now 18%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:48: Jaydon Blue run for 77 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +8.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 5 of 6CLEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 2:43TEX 4th & 1 at CLEM 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    74.4%−1.0
    91% to make
    Punt
    71.8%−3.6
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:53CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:23CLEM 4th & 16 at TEX 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    18.5%−0.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:09TEX 4th & 1 at CLEM 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    85.3%−1.5
    80% to make
    Punt
    81.5%−5.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:19CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:33CLEM 4th & 5 at TEX 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−2.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:10TEX 4th & 4 at CLEM 4, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.2%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    90.3%−4.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:34CLEM 4th & 15 at CLEM 37, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:34TEX 4th & 10 at TEX 22, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:55TEX 4th & 2 at CLEM 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    92.6%−1.4
    42% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:43CLEM 4th & 6 at TEX 7, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    8.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−5.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:24CLEM 4th & 1 at TEX 1, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    6.0%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−4.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:43TEX 4th & 1 at CLEM 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%−0.6
    34% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:16CLEM 4th & 6 at TEX 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    3.2%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 4 of 5CLEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 8:14CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:04TEX Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:49TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:26TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:28TEX Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:29CLEM Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:43CLEM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.3%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:48TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:4120% → 24%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 2 yds to the CLEM 27Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
80.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 13 yds to the CLEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
80.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Bryant Wesco Jr.Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
80.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 8 yds to the CLEM 48Similar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+3
80.0%
Cade Klubnik run for 3 yds to the TEX 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
79.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 9 yds to the TEX 40Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+2
79.5%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the TEX 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
79.2%
Phil Mafah run for 7 yds to the TEX 31Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+6
78.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 6 yds to the TEX 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
78.7%
Cade Klubnik run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 26Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+4
78.4%
Cade Klubnik run for 4 yds to the TEX 22Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+22
76.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 22 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:0577% → 79%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
77.0%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 5 yds to the TEX 30Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
76.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 6 yds to the TEX 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
76.6%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 13 yds to the TEX 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
76.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 13 yds to the CLEM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
76.6%
Quinn Ewers sacked by Tre Williams for a loss of 10 yards to the CLEM 48Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 20
OPP 48
+10
75.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 10 yds to the CLEM 38Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+22
75.7%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 22 yds to the CLEM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
76.2%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 2 yds to the CLEM 14Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+6
75.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 6 yds to the CLEM 8Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+1
75.1%
Jaydon Blue run for 1 yd to the CLEM 7Similar
Q1 2:43
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+4
74.6%
Jerrick Gibson run for 4 yds to the CLEM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
78.6%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0624% → 24%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
76.5%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Barryn Sorrell for a loss of 5 yards to the CLEM 20Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+1
76.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 1 yd to the CLEM 21Similar
Q1 0:32
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+13
76.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 13 yds to the CLEM 34Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
76.0%
Aidan Swanson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Silas Bolden at the TEX 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:5877% → 81%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
76.9%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd to the TEX 36Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+12
76.9%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 12 yds to the TEX 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
77.5%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 7 yds to the CLEM 45Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+7
77.7%
Ryan Wingo run for 7 yds to the CLEM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
81.4%
Jaydon Blue run for 38 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:1220% → 19%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+41
80.2%
Adam Randall run for 41 yds to the TEX 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
78.9%
Adam Randall run for 4 yds to the TEX 36Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-10
78.8%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Ethan Burke for a loss of 10 yards to the TEX 46Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 16
OPP 46
0
80.9%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Bryant Wesco Jr.Similar
Q2 10:23
4TH & 16
OPP 46
0
81.4%
Aidan Swanson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Silas Bolden at the TEX 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 2:5781% → 87%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
80.7%
Clemson Penalty, Illegal Shift (5 Yards) to the TEX 18Similar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
80.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Silas Bolden for 9 yds to the TEX 27Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+2
81.3%
Jaydon Blue run for 2 yds to the TEX 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+43
81.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 43 yds to the CLEM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
82.3%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 6 yds to the CLEM 22Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+6
82.8%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 6 yds to the CLEM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
87.2%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 16 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2414% → 14%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
85.9%
Cade Klubnik run for 6 yds to the CLEM 26Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-3
85.8%
Adam Randall run for a loss of 3 yards to the CLEM 23Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+2
86.3%
Cade Klubnik pass intercepted Colin Simmons return for a loss of 2 yards to the CLEM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3988% → 87%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
87.6%
Jaydon Blue run for 8 yds to the CLEM 18Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+1
87.6%
Jaydon Blue run for 1 yd to the CLEM 17Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 1
OPP 17
0
87.5%
Jerrick Gibson run for no gain to the CLEM 17Similar
Q2 4:09
4TH & 1
OPP 17
-1
87.2%
Jaydon Blue run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4514% → 13%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
86.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 3 yds to the CLEM 21Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 7
OWN 21
0
86.6%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Antonio WilliamsSimilar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
86.8%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Bryant Wesco Jr.Similar
Q2 3:19
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
87.0%
Aidan Swanson punt for 37 yds , Silas Bolden returns for no gain to the TEX 42 Silas Bolden fumbled, recovered by TEX Silas BoldenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10INT
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:3188% → 88%
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-6
88.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for a loss of 6 yards to the TEX 36Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 16
OWN 36
-21
88.0%
Quinn Ewers pass intercepted for a 1ST down R.J. Mickens return for 6 yds to the CLEM 42 for a 1ST down Clemson Penalty, Illegal Block (Tre Williams) to the CLEM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 0:5914% → 16%
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+18
86.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 18 yds to the TEX 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
86.1%
Cade Klubnik run for 5 yds to the TEX 31Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+12
84.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 12 yds to the TEX 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
84.7%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Jake BriningstoolSimilar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+5
84.9%
Cade Klubnik run for 5 yds to the TEX 14Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
84.8%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Bryant Wesco Jr.Similar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+32
84.1%
Nolan Hauser 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 1:0186% → 92%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
85.8%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ryan WingoSimilar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+21
85.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 21 yds to the CLEM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
86.7%
Jaydon Blue run for 7 yds to the CLEM 37Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 3
OPP 37
0
87.0%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Gunnar HelmSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+11
86.6%
Quinn Ewers run for 11 yds to the CLEM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
87.2%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 7 yds to the CLEM 19Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+19
91.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 19 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:2310% → 7%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.0%
Jarvis Green run for 3 yds to the CLEM 28Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
89.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jarvis Green for 10 yds to the CLEM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
93.1%
Jarvis Green run for 4 yds to the CLEM 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14FG
16 plays · 71 yds · 6:4790% → 96%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.0%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Matthew GoldenSimilar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
90.0%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 7 yds to the TEX 32Similar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
91.6%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 6 yds to the TEX 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
92.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 9 yds to the TEX 47Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
92.9%
Quintrevion Wisner run for no gain to the TEX 47Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
93.0%
Arch Manning run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
50
+14
93.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 14 yds to the CLEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-4
93.9%
Quinn Ewers sacked by Tre Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the CLEM 40Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 14
OPP 40
+1
94.0%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd to the CLEM 39Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 13
OPP 39
+15
94.0%
Ewers, Quinn pass incomplete to Golden, Matthew, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Terrell, Avieon) 15 yards to the CLEMSON24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEX.Similar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+19
94.2%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 19 yds to the CLEM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
94.4%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds to the CLEM 2Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
94.6%
Arch Manning run for no gain to the CLEM 2Similar
Q3 8:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
94.7%
Jerrick Gibson run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLEM 4Similar
Q3 8:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
96.0%
Bert Auburn 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:324% → 3%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 8 yds to the CLEM 33Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
96.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 9 yds to the CLEM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-14
96.1%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Bill Norton for a loss of 14 yards to the CLEM 28 Cade Klubnik fumbled, forced by Bill Norton, recovered by CLEM Walker Parks , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 24
OWN 28
+9
96.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 9 yds to the CLEM 37Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 15
OWN 37
0
96.6%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Antonio WilliamsSimilar
Q3 5:34
4TH & 15
OWN 37
0
96.7%
Aidan Swanson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Silas Bolden at the TEX 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5597% → 97%
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
96.7%
Jaydon Blue run for no gain to the TEX 22Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
96.8%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ryan WingoSimilar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
96.8%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Quintrevion WisnerSimilar
Q3 4:34
4TH & 10
OWN 22
+9
96.6%
Michael Kern punt for 42 yds , Antonio Williams returns for 9 yds to the CLEM 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:003% → 11%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
97.0%
Adam Randall run for 2 yds to the CLEM 47Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+28
97.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 28 yds to the TEX 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
96.7%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Adam RandallSimilar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
88.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jarvis Green for 25 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:2792% → 94%
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
92.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 16 yds to the TEX 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
92.6%
Ewers, Quinn pass incomplete to Golden, Matthew, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Terrell, Avieon) 15 yards to the CLEMSON44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEX.Similar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
92.8%
Jaydon Blue run for 8 yds to the CLEM 36Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 2
OPP 36
-5
94.0%
Texas Penalty, False Start (Trevor Goosby) to the CLEM 41Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+2
94.0%
Jaydon Blue run for 2 yds to the CLEM 39Similar
Q3 1:37
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+3
94.2%
Jaydon Blue run for 3 yds to the CLEM 36Similar
Q3 0:55
4TH & 2
OPP 36
0
93.8%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Matthew GoldenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 4:0810% → 18%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
90.5%
Keith Adams Jr. run for 5 yds to the CLEM 41Similar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+12
90.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 12 yds to the TEX 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
91.1%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Bryant Wesco Jr.Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+18
91.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 18 yds to the TEX 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
90.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 7 yds to the TEX 22Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+11
90.1%
Cade Klubnik run for 11 yds to the TEX 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
90.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to T.J. MooreSimilar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+7
90.2%
Keith Adams Jr. run for 7 yds to the TEX 4Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 3
OPP 4
-3
91.1%
Cade Klubnik run for a loss of 3 yards to the TEX 7Similar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+7
81.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 7 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20TD
3 plays · 83 yds · 0:4487% → 95%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
87.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 6 yds to the TEX 23Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+77
95.3%
Jaydon Blue run for 77 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 73 yds · 3:197% → 5%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.8%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to T.J. MooreSimilar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 6 yds to the CLEM 31Similar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+29
92.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 29 yds to the TEX 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
92.3%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Adam RandallSimilar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+30
92.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 30 yds to the TEX 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 0
OPP 10
+5
90.7%
Klubnik, Cade pass incomplete to Moore, T.J., PENALTY TEX roughing passer (Simmons, Colin) 5 yards to the TEX5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q4 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
91.6%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Bryant Wesco Jr.Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
91.7%
Cade Klubnik run for 4 yds to the TEX 1Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.0%
Cade Klubnik run for no gain to the TEX 1Similar
Q4 7:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
95.1%
Keith Adams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22FUMBLE
16 plays · 55 yds · 5:3697% → 99%
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
96.6%
Jaydon Blue run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 1Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 11
OWN 1
+15
96.6%
Ewers, Quinn pass incomplete to Wingo, Ryan, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Terrell, Avieon) 15 yards to the TEX16, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEX.Similar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
96.8%
Jaydon Blue run for 1 yd to the TEX 17Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 9
OWN 17
0
97.0%
Quinn Ewers run for no gain to the TEX 17Similar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 9
OWN 17
+10
97.2%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 10 yds to the TEX 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
97.5%
Jerrick Gibson run for 3 yds to the TEX 30Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
97.9%
Jerrick Gibson run for no gain to the TEX 30Similar
Q4 2:44
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+21
98.1%
Jerrick Gibson run for 21 yds to the CLEM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
98.3%
Jerrick Gibson run for 5 yds to the CLEM 44Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+3
98.6%
Jerrick Gibson run for 3 yds to the CLEM 41Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+1
98.8%
Jerrick Gibson run for 1 yd to the CLEM 40Similar
Q4 1:43
4TH & 1
OPP 40
-3
98.6%
Arch Manning run for a loss of 3 yards to the CLEM 43 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TEX Arch ManningSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 31 yds · 0:172% → 2%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+27
98.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 27 yds to the TEX 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
98.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Keith Adams Jr. for 4 yds to the TEX 26Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
97.9%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Jake BriningstoolSimilar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
98.0%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Bryant Wesco Jr.Similar
Q4 1:16
4TH & 6
OPP 26
0
98.3%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to T.J. MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:3799% → 99%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TEX 24Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 12
OWN 24
-1
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:43
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 7 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)
-9.4
TD · Q4 10:48
Jaydon Blue run for 77 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)
+8.2
TD · Q3 3:29
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jarvis Green for 25 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)
-8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com