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MINN

Minnesota 24 at Virginia Tech 10

VT
2024 · Duke's Mayo Bowl · Jan 3, 2025 · Bank of America Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:48 · Peter Moore punt for 40 yds , Koi Perich returns for 11 yds to the MINN 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 72Pregame prior−12.9Home team on offense−7.0Score differential−2.0Garbage-time factor−2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:08: Collin Schlee run for 3 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +4.7 pts (now 41%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:18: Darius Taylor pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 10 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK) — MINN win probability +8.2 pts (now 67%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:13: Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 12 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK) — MINN win probability +7.3 pts (now 75%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:56: Darius Taylor run for 28 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK) — MINN win probability +5.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 11:59: Dragan Kesich 44 yd FG GOOD — MINN win probability +5.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 5 of 8MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:33VT 4th & 5 at VT 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:44VT 4th & 12 at MINN 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    27.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:45MINN 4th & 5 at MINN 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:39VT 4th & 1 at VT 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:15VT 4th & 20 at VT 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−1.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:48VT 4th & 12 at VT 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:26MINN 4th & 5 at VT 46, up 11
    Close callPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    77.6%−1.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.9%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:19VT 4th & 17 at VT 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−2.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:00MINN 4th & 1 at VT 22, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    80.5%−2.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    74.0%−8.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:59MINN 4th & 16 at VT 26, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−2.2
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    78.0%−5.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:51VT 4th & 7 at MINN 17, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.6 ptsWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%−1.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    9.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−5.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:24VT 4th & 14 at MINN 14, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.0 ptsWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.0%−2.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    7.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−4.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:30MINN 4th & 1 at VT 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%−0.6
    28% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MINN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 0:08VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:18MINN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:13MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:56MINN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2227% → 28%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
27.3%
William Watson III run for 4 yds to the VT 29Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
27.6%
Jeremiah Coney run for 1 yd to the VT 30Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
27.8%
William Watson III pass incomplete to Ayden GreeneSimilar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+30
27.8%
Peter Moore punt for 30 yds , Koi Perich returns for no gain to the MINN 40 Koi Perich fumbled, recovered by VT Jonathan PennixSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:1628% → 29%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-6
28.4%
William Watson III sacked by Maverick Baranowski and Devon Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the MINN 46Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 16
OPP 46
+6
28.6%
William Watson III pass complete to Ayden Greene for 6 yds to the MINN 40Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 10
OPP 40
-2
28.9%
William Watson III run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 42Similar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 12
OPP 42
0
28.7%
Peter Moore punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Koi Perich at the MINN 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5071% → 71%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
28.9%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Jacob SimpsonSimilar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+5
29.0%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Nick Kallerup for 5 yds to the MINN 16Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 5
OWN 16
0
29.3%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Darius TaylorSimilar
Q1 10:45
4TH & 5
OWN 16
0
29.5%
Mark Crawford punt for 52 yds , Ali Jennings returns for no gain to the VT 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5130% → 30%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
29.5%
William Watson III run for 1 yd to the VT 33Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+8
29.7%
William Watson III pass complete to Ayden Greene for 8 yds to the VT 41Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
30.2%
Jeremiah Coney run for no gain to the VT 41Similar
Q1 8:39
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
30.2%
Peter Moore punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Koi Perich at the MINN 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5MISSED FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 4:1070% → 68%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
30.2%
Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the MINN 32Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+11
30.4%
Darius Taylor run for 11 yds to the MINN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
30.2%
Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the MINN 46Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+15
30.6%
Drake Lindsey pass complete to Jameson Geers for 15 yds to the VT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
30.6%
Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the VT 35Similar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+26
30.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 26 yds to the VT 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
30.7%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 10Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
30.8%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Nick KallerupSimilar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 0
OPP 10
-5
31.0%
Minnesota Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VT 15Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
0
31.7%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Darius TaylorSimilar
Q1 4:05
4TH & 0
OPP 15
+33
31.9%
Dragan Kesich 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:5232% → 41%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
32.4%
Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the VT 25Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
32.9%
Collin Schlee run for 3 yds to the VT 28Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+5
32.8%
Tyler Mason run for 5 yds to the VT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-9
33.5%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Ayden Greene for 1 yd to the VT 34 Virginia Tech Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the VT 24Similar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 19
OWN 24
+6
33.5%
Tyler Mason run for 6 yds to the VT 30Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+67
34.0%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Ayden Greene for 67 yds to the MINN 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
36.4%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Stephen GosnellSimilar
Q1 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
41.1%
Collin Schlee run for 3 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:4361% → 67%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
39.3%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Elijah SpencerSimilar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
39.5%
Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the MINN 21Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+8
40.7%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (8 Yards) to the MINN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
40.2%
Jaren Mangham run for 13 yds to the MINN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
40.0%
Jaren Mangham run for 6 yds to the MINN 48Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+5
40.0%
Jaren Mangham run for 5 yds to the VT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
40.3%
Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the VT 46Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+1
40.9%
Max Brosmer run for 1 yd to the VT 45Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+35
41.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 35 yds to the VT 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
33.3%
Darius Taylor pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 10 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · -10 yds · 0:4038% → 36%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
38.4%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Benji GosnellSimilar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
38.3%
Tyler Mason run for no gain to the VT 38Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+5
37.4%
Minnesota Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the VT 43Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
38.7%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Chanz WigginsSimilar
Q2 9:24
4TH & 5
OWN 43
-15
37.3%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the VT 28Similar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 20
OWN 28
+4
36.2%
Peter Moore punt for 41 yds , Koi Perich returns for 4 yds to the MINN 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:3264% → 75%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
35.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 9 yds to the MINN 44Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+20
34.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 20 yds to the VT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
33.7%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Jameson Geers for 4 yds to the VT 32Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
33.0%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Kenric Lanier IISimilar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+18
34.2%
Jaren Mangham run for 18 yds to the VT 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
33.2%
Jaren Mangham run for no gain to the VT 14Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+2
32.6%
Le'Meke Brockington run for 2 yds to the VT 12Similar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+12
25.4%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 12 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 3:1228% → 26%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
27.9%
Jeremiah Coney run for no gain to the VT 17Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
27.7%
William Watson III pass incomplete to Ali JenningsSimilar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+14
26.9%
William Watson III pass complete to Keylen Adams for 14 yds to the VT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-6
28.5%
William Watson III sacked by Anthony Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the VT 25Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 16
OWN 25
-10
27.7%
William Watson III sacked by Jack Henderson for a loss of 10 yards to the VT 15Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 26
OWN 15
+5
26.7%
Minnesota Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the VT 20Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 21
OWN 20
+9
26.6%
William Watson III pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 9 yds to the VT 29Similar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 12
OWN 29
+11
26.2%
Peter Moore punt for 40 yds , Koi Perich returns for 11 yds to the MINN 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 0:4076% → 83%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
24.1%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 6 yds to the MINN 48Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+10
24.0%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 10 yds to the VT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
23.4%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Jameson GeersSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+19
23.7%
Darius Taylor run for 19 yds to the VT 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
22.9%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Cristian DriverSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-5
23.1%
Minnesota Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VT 28Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 15
OPP 28
+28
17.2%
Darius Taylor run for 28 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:5119% → 25%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
19.0%
Tyler Mason run for 9 yds to the VT 29Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
19.6%
William Watson III pass complete to Tyler Mason for no gain to the VT 29Similar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+7
19.0%
Tyler Mason run for 7 yds to the VT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
19.3%
William Watson III pass complete to Ayden Greene for 22 yds to the MINN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+60
24.7%
John Love 60 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 4:2476% → 78%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
23.6%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Darius Taylor for 3 yds to the MINN 28Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
23.4%
Jaren Mangham run for 6 yds to the MINN 34Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
23.4%
Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the MINN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
22.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Donielle Hayes for 13 yds to the MINN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
21.5%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Darius TaylorSimilar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
21.5%
Jaren Mangham run for 5 yds to the VT 46Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
21.6%
Darius Taylor run for no gain to the VT 46Similar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
21.7%
Mark Crawford punt for 45 yds, downed at the VT 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:4121% → 19%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+6
21.0%
William Watson III run for 6 yds to the VT 7Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 4
OWN 7
+11
20.9%
William Watson III pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 11 yds to the VT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
21.2%
Minnesota Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the VT 23Similar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 5
OWN 23
+2
21.6%
Jeremiah Coney run for 2 yds to the VT 25Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+5
21.7%
Jeremiah Coney run for 5 yds to the VT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
21.4%
William Watson III pass incomplete to Ja'Ricous HairstonSimilar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
21.0%
Jeremiah Coney run for 3 yds to the VT 33Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 7
OWN 33
-10
20.6%
William Watson III sacked by Danny Striggow for a loss of 10 yards to the VT 23Similar
Q3 6:19
4TH & 17
OWN 23
0
19.2%
Peter Moore punt for 69 yds, downed at the MINN 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 9:0179% → 91%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+26
21.2%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 26 yds to the MINN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
20.4%
Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd to the MINN 35Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+10
20.0%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Nick Kallerup for 10 yds to the MINN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
18.2%
Max Brosmer run for 4 yds to the MINN 49Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+6
18.2%
Darius Taylor run for 6 yds to the VT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
17.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Jaren Mangham for 7 yds to the VT 38Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+7
17.6%
Darius Taylor run for 7 yds to the VT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
16.9%
Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the VT 28Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 7
OPP 28
-3
15.3%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for a loss of 3 yards to the VT 31Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+9
15.7%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Donielle Hayes for 9 yds to the VT 22Similar
Q4 14:00
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+2
17.3%
Max Brosmer run for 2 yds to the VT 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
14.0%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Elijah SpencerSimilar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
14.3%
Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the VT 17Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 7
OPP 17
-9
14.1%
Max Brosmer sacked by Wilfried Pene for a loss of 9 yards to the VT 26Similar
Q4 11:59
4TH & 16
OPP 26
+44
8.8%
Dragan Kesich 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 58 yds · 2:4412% → 8%
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
11.7%
Tyler Mason run for 8 yds to the VT 33Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+47
12.1%
Keylen Adams run for 47 yds to the MINN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
12.5%
Ayden Greene run for 4 yds to the MINN 16Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 6
OPP 16
-2
12.3%
Tyler Mason run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 18Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+1
8.8%
Collin Schlee run for 1 yd to the MINN 17Similar
Q4 8:51
4TH & 7
OPP 17
0
7.6%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Stephen GosnellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1895% → 96%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
4.7%
Darius Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 15Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+4
4.7%
Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MINN 19Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 8
OWN 19
-17
4.4%
Max Brosmer pass intercepted Dante Lovett return for 17 yds to the MINN 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18INT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:267% → 4%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
6.7%
William Watson III pass complete to Ayden Greene for 11 yds to the MINN 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
6.3%
Jeremiah Coney run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 5Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-8
6.2%
William Watson III sacked by Jack Henderson for a loss of 8 yards to the MINN 13 William Watson III fumbled, forced by Jack Henderson, recovered by VT Jeremiah Coney , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 5:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
-1
5.5%
Ayden Greene run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 14Similar
Q4 4:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
-32
3.6%
William Watson III pass intercepted Za'Quan Bryan return for 32 yds to the MINN 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19END OF GAME
10 plays · 40 yds · 3:3097% → 99%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
3.2%
Darius Taylor run for 9 yds to the MINN 43Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+5
2.2%
Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the MINN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
2.1%
Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 8
50
+6
2.0%
Darius Taylor run for 6 yds to the VT 44Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+1
1.5%
Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the VT 43Similar
Q4 1:30
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+20
1.6%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Jameson Geers for 20 yds to the VT 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
1.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 25Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 12
OPP 25
-1
1.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:18
Darius Taylor pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 10 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)
-8.2
TD · Q2 5:13
Max Brosmer pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 12 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)
-7.3
TD · Q2 0:56
Darius Taylor run for 28 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)
-5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com