NT
North Texas 28 at Texas State 30
TS2024 · Week 1 · Jan 3, 2025 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Win probability · TS
modelTS aheadNT aheadconfidence bandkey play
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
Beckham Sunderland kickoff for 65 yds , Miles Coleman return for 21 yds to the UNT 21
0.0
Q1 14:47
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Wyatt Young
-1.7
Q1 14:30
Drew Mestemaker run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNT 17
-0.8
Q1 13:45
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Landon Sides for 14 yds to the UNT 31 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 13:40
Shane Porter run for 2 yds to the UNT 33
0.0
Q1 13:31
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Damon Ward Jr.
0.0
Q1 13:26
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Damon Ward Jr.
0.0
Q1 13:17
Sawyer Evans punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Beau Sparks at the TXST 26
0.0
Q1 12:50
Jaden Williams run for 9 yds to the TXST 35
+2.2
Q1 12:20
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 7 yds to the TXST 42 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 12:15
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 10 yds to the UNT 48 for a 1ST down
+0.5
Q1 11:25
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Konner Fox
+0.7
Q1 11:15
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Jaden Williams for 4 yds to the UNT 44
0.0
Q1 10:32
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Joey Hobert for 8 yds to the UNT 36 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q1 9:52
Lincoln Pare run for 5 yds to the UNT 31 for a 1ST down North Texas Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UNT 16 for a 1ST down
+0.4
Q1 9:43
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Jaden Williams
0.0
Q1 9:10
Lincoln Pare run for no gain to the UNT 16
+0.1
Q1 9:01
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete
-0.1
Q1 8:58
Mason Shipley 34 yd FG GOOD
+2.3
Q1 8:58
Beckham Sunderland kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-0.7
Q1 8:58
North Texas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNT 20
-1.3
Q1 8:53
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Makenzie McGill II
0.0
Q1 8:53
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Miles Coleman for 6 yds to the UNT 26
0.0
Q1 7:57
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 17 yds to the UNT 43 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 7:20
Drew Mestemaker run for 6 yds to the UNT 49
-0.7
Q1 6:52
Makenzie McGill II run for 5 yds to the TXST 46 for a 1ST down
-0.4
Q1 6:40
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Landon Sides
-0.2
Q1 6:33
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Miles Coleman for 46 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)
-10.0
Q1 6:33
Blake Ford kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+1.5
Q1 6:22
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 2 yds to the TXST 27
+1.7
Q1 5:44
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 2 yds to the TXST 29
-0.4
Q1 4:25
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Jaden Williams for 70 yds to the UNT 1 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 4:10
Jordan McCloud run for no gain to the UNT 1
+1.8
Q1 3:36
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UNT 1
-0.2
Q1 3:20
Texas State Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the UNT 5
-0.2
Q1 3:20
Timeout Texas State, clock 03:20
-1.7
Q1 3:14
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Lincoln Pare for 1 yd to the UNT 4
0.0
Q1 2:45
Mason Shipley 21 yd FG GOOD
+2.8
Q1 2:45
Beckham Sunderland kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-1.5
Q1 2:35
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Kiefer Sibley for 4 yds to the UNT 29
-2.4
Q1 2:10
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Kiefer Sibley for 8 yds to the UNT 37 for a 1ST down
-3.7
Q1 1:45
Kiefer Sibley run for 16 yds to the TXST 47 for a 1ST down
-0.7
Q1 1:45
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Brandon Young Jr. for 1 yd to the TXST 46
-1.5
Q1 0:58
Mestemaker, Drew pass incomplete to Sides, Landon, PENALTY NORTHTEXAS roughing passer 1 yards to the TEXSTATE47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHTEXAS. Harris, Justin ejected for targeting.
0.0
Q1 0:33
Nick Rempert run for 6 yds to the TXST 25 North Texas Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TXST 35
-0.5
Q1 0:25
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 27 yds to the TXST 8 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 0:01
TEAM run for no gain to the TXST 16 TEAM fumbled, recovered by UNT Drew Mestemaker
-0.1
Q2 14:54
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Landon Sides for 16 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)
-10.2
Q2 14:54
Blake Ford kickoff for 65 yds , Torrance Burgess Jr. return for 20 yds to the TXST 45 North Texas Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the TXST 35
+1.8
Q2 14:27
Lincoln Pare run for 3 yds to the TXST 38
-1.8
Q2 14:08
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Beau Sparks for 24 yds to the UNT 38 for a 1ST down
+0.4
Q2 13:28
Jordan McCloud sacked by Breylon Charles and Fatafehi Vailea II for a loss of 6 yards to the UNT 44
+2.2
Q2 13:10
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Beau Sparks for 14 yds to the UNT 30
-1.0
Q2 12:27
Lincoln Pare run for 3 yds to the UNT 27 for a 1ST down
+0.7
Q2 11:47
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete
+0.2
Q2 11:30
Lincoln Pare run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNT 30
0.0
Q2 11:07
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Joey Hobert
-0.2
Q2 11:02
Mason Shipley 47 yd FG GOOD
+10.4
Q2 11:02
Beckham Sunderland kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-1.9
Q2 10:57
Drew Mestemaker run for 2 yds to the UNT 27
-6.3
Q2 10:15
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Miles Coleman for 8 yds to the UNT 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 10:11
North Texas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNT 30
0.0
Q2 9:37
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Wyatt Young for 8 yds to the UNT 38
0.0
Q2 9:35
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Wyatt Young
-1.4
Q2 9:33
Timeout Texas State, clock 09:33
0.0
Q2 9:33
Drew Mestemaker run for 7 yds to the UNT 45 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 9:20
Wyatt Young run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNT 41
0.0
Q2 8:06
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Dalton Carnes
-2.6
Q2 8:04
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Dalton Carnes
0.0
Q2 8:00
Sawyer Evans punt for 39 yds , Beau Sparks returns for 2 yds to the TXST 22
+0.3
Q2 7:49
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Joey Hobert for a loss of 6 yards to the TXST 16
+7.7
Q2 7:19
McCloud, Jordan pass incomplete, PENALTY TEXSTATE offside 5 yards to the TEXSTATE11, NO PLAY.
0.0
Q2 7:00
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Torrance Burgess Jr. for 10 yds to the TXST 31
0.0
Q2 6:30
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the TXST 33 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 6:06
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Jaden Williams for 8 yds to the TXST 41
0.0
Q2 5:35
Deion Hankins run for 10 yds to the UNT 49 for a 1ST down
+0.6
Q2 5:00
Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the UNT 43
-1.1
Q2 4:25
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Beau Sparks for 8 yds to the UNT 35 for a 1ST down
+0.9
Q2 4:05
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Jaden Williams for 11 yds to the UNT 24 for a 1ST down
-0.5
Q2 3:33
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 3:27
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Jaden Williams for 24 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)
+17.4
Q2 3:27
Beckham Sunderland kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-1.0
Q2 3:20
Makenzie McGill II run for 8 yds to the UNT 33
-4.9
Q2 2:55
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Makenzie McGill II for 4 yds to the UNT 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 2:00
Makenzie McGill II run for 1 yd to the UNT 38
-0.7
Q2 1:52
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete
-0.6
Q2 1:44
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Miles Coleman for 10 yds to the UNT 48 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:30
Makenzie McGill II run for 9 yds to the TXST 43
-0.8
Q2 1:22
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Miles Coleman for 6 yds to the TXST 37 for a 1ST down
-0.5
Q2 1:15
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Miles Coleman for 28 yds to the TXST 9 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q2 1:12
Drew Mestemaker run for a loss of 6 yards to the TXST 15
0.0
Q2 1:11
Timeout North Texas, clock 01:11
-0.8
Q2 1:04
Drew Mestemaker pass intercepted Mannie Nunnery return for 16 yds to the TXST 34
0.0
Q2 0:56
Jordan McCloud run for 1 yd to the TXST 35
+5.4
Q2 0:48
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Chris Dawn Jr. for 13 yds to the TXST 48 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:41
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Chris Dawn Jr. for 3 yds to the UNT 49 Texas State Penalty, Personal Foul (Trenton Scott) to the TXST 36
+0.5
Q2 0:40
Timeout Texas State, clock 00:40
-2.1
Q2 0:35
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Joey Hobert for 11 yds to the TXST 47
0.0
Q2 0:20
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Lincoln Pare for 4 yds to the UNT 49
-0.8
Q2 0:08
Timeout North Texas, clock 00:08
-0.9
Q2 0:00
Lars Rau punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNT 11
0.0
Q3 15:00
Blake Ford kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+1.1
Q3 14:52
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 2 yds to the TXST 27
+4.2
Q3 14:20
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Jaden Williams for 14 yds to the TXST 41 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 13:55
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for no gain to the TXST 41
+0.4
Q3 13:16
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Lincoln Pare for 11 yds to the UNT 48 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q3 13:00
Lincoln Pare run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line
+0.4
Q3 12:22
Lincoln Pare run for 5 yds to the UNT 45
-0.2
Q3 11:36
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Beau Sparks for 8 yds to the UNT 37 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q3 11:12
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Jaden Williams
0.0
Q3 11:05
Pare, Lincoln rush for 6 yards to the NORTHTEXAS31, PENALTY TEXSTATE illegal shift 5 yards to the NORTHTEXAS42, NO PLAY.
-0.2
Q3 10:40
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Chris Dawn Jr. for 12 yds to the UNT 30
0.0
Q3 10:00
Lincoln Pare run for 1 yd to the UNT 29
-0.2
Q3 9:10
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Jaden Williams for 12 yds to the UNT 17 for a 1ST down
-0.5
Q3 8:35
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Lincoln Pare for 16 yds to the UNT 1 for a 1ST down
+0.6
Q3 8:04
Lincoln Pare run for 1 yd for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)
+11.0
Q3 8:04
Beckham Sunderland kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-0.2
Q3 8:00
Kiefer Sibley run for 2 yds to the UNT 27
-0.8
Q3 7:40
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Kiefer Sibley for 5 yds to the UNT 32
0.0
Q3 7:00
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 22 yds to the TXST 46 for a 1ST down
+1.1
Q3 6:32
Miles Coleman run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line
-0.2
Q3 5:54
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Landon Sides
+0.1
Q3 5:45
Shane Porter run for 3 yds to the TXST 47
0.0
Q3 5:13
Sawyer Evans punt for 47 yds for a touchback
+0.1
Q3 5:08
Lincoln Pare run for 2 yds to the TXST 22
0.0
Q3 4:32
Lincoln Pare run for 18 yds to the TXST 40 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q3 3:55
Jordan McCloud run for 6 yds to the TXST 46
0.0
Q3 3:35
Lincoln Pare run for no gain to the TXST 46
0.0
Q3 2:50
Jordan McCloud run for 1 yd to the TXST 47
0.0
Q3 2:01
Lars Rau punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Miles Coleman at the UNT 10
-0.2
Q3 1:51
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 57 yds to the TXST 33 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 1:20
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Shane Porter for 3 yds to the TXST 30
-0.6
Q3 0:40
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Landon Sides for 4 yds to the TXST 26
0.0
Q3 0:26
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Miles Coleman
0.0
Q3 0:22
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Brandon Young Jr. for 2 yds to the TXST 24
+0.3
Q3 0:22
North Texas Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Damon Ward Jr.) to the TXST 39 for a 1ST down
+0.5
Q3 0:12
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Chris Dawn Jr. for 3 yds to the TXST 42
0.0
Q4 14:48
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Titus Lyons for 6 yds to the TXST 48
0.0
Q4 14:10
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the TXST 48
-0.2
Q4 13:28
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q4 12:52
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Joey Hobert for 6 yds to the UNT 44
+0.2
Q4 12:16
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the UNT 41
+0.6
Q4 11:53
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Jaden Williams for 12 yds to the UNT 29 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q4 11:14
Timeout Texas State, clock 11:14
-0.6
Q4 11:05
Jordan McCloud pass intercepted Evan Jackson return for 14 yds to the UNT 22
0.0
Q4 10:59
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Landon Sides for 13 yds to the UNT 35 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q4 10:25
Makenzie McGill II run for 4 yds to the UNT 39
0.0
Q4 9:55
Drew Mestemaker sacked by Jo'Laison Landry for a loss of 1 yard to the UNT 38
-0.3
Q4 9:18
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 10 yds to the UNT 48 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q4 8:55
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Makenzie McGill II for 29 yds to the TXST 23 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q4 8:36
Drew Mestemaker sacked by Jordan Polk for a loss of 15 yards to the TXST 38 Drew Mestemaker fumbled, recovered by TXST Kalil Alexander , return for 0 yards
-0.2
Q4 8:26
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the UNT 42 for a 1ST down North Texas Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ethan Wesloski) to the UNT 43 for a 1ST down
+0.6
Q4 8:12
Lincoln Pare run for no gain to the UNT 43
+0.1
Q4 7:49
North Texas Penalty, Defensive Offside (Breylon Charles) to the UNT 38
-0.5
Q4 7:18
Lincoln Pare run for 4 yds to the UNT 34
+0.7
Q4 6:45
Lincoln Pare run for 2 yds to the UNT 32 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q4 6:00
Lincoln Pare run for 2 yds to the UNT 30
-0.1
Q4 5:28
Texas State Penalty, False Start (Emeka Obigbo) to the UNT 35
0.0
Q4 5:03
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete
+0.1
Q4 4:56
Jordan McCloud sacked by Fatafehi Vailea II for a loss of 7 yards to the UNT 42 Jordan McCloud fumbled, recovered by UNT Breylon Charles , return for 0 yards
0.0
Q4 4:51
Mestemaker, Drew pass incomplete to Sides, Landon, PENALTY TEXSTATE pass interference (Mills, Chris) 15 yards to the TEXSTATE43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHTEXAS.
+1.1
Q4 4:42
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Landon Sides for 42 yds to the TXST 1 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 3:55
Makenzie McGill II run for no gain to the TXST 1
0.0
Q4 3:20
Makenzie McGill II run for 1 yd for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)
-22.1
Q4 3:20
Blake Ford kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+2.4
Q4 3:20
Texas State Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TXST 20
+6.0
Q4 3:15
Jordan McCloud run for 7 yds to the TXST 27
0.0
Q4 2:25
Lincoln Pare run for 73 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)
+13.5
Q4 2:25
Texas State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Lincoln Pare) to the TXST 20
-12.6
Q4 2:25
Beckham Sunderland kickoff for 75 yds , Miles Coleman return for 23 yds to the UNT 28
+12.6
Q4 2:14
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Damon Ward Jr.
+0.4
Q4 2:00
Kiefer Sibley run for 2 yds to the UNT 30
-0.1
Q4 1:49
Drew Mestemaker run for 70 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)
-19.6
Q4 1:49
Blake Ford kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q4 1:42
Lincoln Pare run for 23 yds to the TXST 48 for a 1ST down
+7.9
Q4 1:42
Timeout North Texas, clock 01:42
-0.2
Q4 1:35
Lincoln Pare run for 3 yds to the UNT 49
+0.6
Q4 1:35
Timeout North Texas, clock 01:35
0.0
Q4 1:33
Lincoln Pare run for 2 yds to the UNT 47
0.0
Q4 1:31
Timeout North Texas, clock 01:31
-0.1
Q4 1:26
Lincoln Pare run for 1 yd to the UNT 46
0.0
Q4 0:47
Timeout Texas State, clock 00:47
+3.4
Q4 0:40
David Nunez punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Miles Coleman at the UNT 8
+1.0
Q4 0:35
Drew Mestemaker sacked by Kalil Alexander for a loss of 4 yards to the UNT 4
-9.6
Q4 0:18
Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Wyatt Young for 3 yds to the UNT 7
+0.5
Q4 0:12
Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete to Miles Coleman
+2.6
Q4 0:12
Timeout Texas State, clock 00:12
0.0
Q4 0:03
Drew Mestemaker pass intercepted Treylin Payne return for 17 yds to the UNT 6
+0.5
Q4 0:03
Texas State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the UNT 21
+10.2
Q4 0:00
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNT 24
+0.1
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:20
Makenzie McGill II run for 1 yd for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)
-22.1
TD · Q4 1:49
Drew Mestemaker run for 70 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)
-19.6
TD · Q2 3:27
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Jaden Williams for 24 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)
+17.4