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Duke 20 at Ole Miss 52
MISS2024 · Week 1 · Jan 3, 2025 · EverBank Stadium
Win probability · MISS
modelMISS aheadD aheadconfidence bandkey play
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
Cosme Salas kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q1 14:53
Jaxson Dart run for 4 yds to the MISS 29
+2.3
Q1 14:35
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the MISS 31
-0.2
Q1 14:10
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 3 yds to the MISS 34
0.0
Q1 13:36
JJ Pegues run for 7 yds to the MISS 41 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q1 13:08
Jaxson Dart run for 6 yds to the MISS 47
+0.8
Q1 12:42
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Dae'Quan Wright
+0.2
Q1 12:38
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Cayden Lee for 7 yds to the DUKE 46 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q1 12:12
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 30 yds to the DUKE 16 for a 1ST down
+0.8
Q1 11:49
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Cayden Lee for 2 yds to the DUKE 14
+0.3
Q1 11:26
Jaxson Dart run for a loss of 1 yard to the DUKE 15
0.0
Q1 10:44
Timeout Ole Miss, clock 10:44
-2.7
Q1 10:38
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Cayden Lee for 5 yds to the DUKE 10
0.0
Q1 9:51
Caden Davis pass intercepted Terry Moore return for 59 yds to the MISS 41
-0.3
Q1 9:45
Jaquez Moore pass incomplete
-7.1
Q1 9:40
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Eli Pancol for 9 yds to the MISS 32
0.0
Q1 9:20
Henry Belin IV pass incomplete to Jordan Moore
-0.2
Q1 9:12
Henry Belin IV pass incomplete to Jordan Moore
+0.7
Q1 9:05
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
+5.6
Q1 8:39
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Caden Prieskorn
+0.5
Q1 8:34
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 18 yds to the DUKE 32 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 8:07
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 32 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)
+11.0
Q1 8:07
Caden Davis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-0.5
Q1 8:05
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Jake Taylor for 1 yd to the DUKE 26
-0.1
Q1 7:23
Henry Belin IV pass incomplete to Eli Pancol
0.0
Q1 7:17
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for 2 yds to the DUKE 28
0.0
Q1 6:31
Kade Reynoldson punt for 38 yds, downed at the MISS 34
-0.7
Q1 6:25
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Logan Diggs for 6 yds to the MISS 40
+0.1
Q1 6:08
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Cayden Lee
+0.2
Q1 6:03
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Cayden Lee for 5 yds to the MISS 45 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q1 5:39
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 14 yds to the DUKE 41 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 5:01
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 3 yds to the DUKE 38
+0.3
Q1 4:34
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 11 yds to the DUKE 27 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 4:12
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 9 yds to the DUKE 18
0.0
Q1 3:47
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd to the DUKE 17 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q1 3:14
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 8 yds to the DUKE 9
0.0
Q1 2:51
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Cayden Lee for 8 yds to the DUKE 1 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 2:29
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)
+9.5
Q1 2:29
Caden Davis kickoff for 61 yds , Peyton Jones return for 16 yds to the DUKE 20
0.0
Q1 2:21
Jaquez Moore run for 2 yds to the DUKE 22
-2.8
Q1 1:40
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Eli Pancol for 18 yds to the DUKE 40 for a 1ST down Duke Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Eli Pancol) to the DUKE 25 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 1:19
Jaquez Moore run for a loss of 4 yards to the DUKE 21
0.0
Q1 0:35
Henry Belin IV run for 8 yds to the DUKE 29
-0.1
Q2 14:55
Henry Belin IV pass incomplete to Eli Pancol
0.0
Q2 14:49
Kade Reynoldson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the MISS 28
0.0
Q2 14:42
Jaxson Dart run for 13 yds to the MISS 41 for a 1ST down
+3.1
Q2 14:15
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for a loss of 2 yards to the MISS 39
+0.6
Q2 13:41
Jaxson Dart sacked by Cameron Bergeron for a loss of 7 yards to the MISS 32
0.0
Q2 13:01
Jaxson Dart run for 19 yds to the DUKE 49 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 12:35
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the DUKE 47
0.0
Q2 12:11
Jaxson Dart run for 12 yds to the DUKE 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 11:47
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Antwane Wells Jr.
0.0
Q2 11:42
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 22 yds to the DUKE 13 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 11:05
Ulysses Bentley IV run for a loss of 3 yards to the DUKE 16
0.0
Q2 10:29
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 5 yds to the DUKE 11
0.0
Q2 9:46
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Jordan Watkins
0.0
Q2 9:43
Caden Davis 28 yd FG GOOD
+1.3
Q2 9:43
Caden Davis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-0.1
Q2 9:38
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Jordan Moore for 12 yds to the DUKE 37 for a 1ST down
-1.0
Q2 9:05
Henry Belin IV run for 1 yd to the DUKE 38
0.0
Q2 8:17
Henry Belin IV pass incomplete to Jaquez Moore
0.0
Q2 8:13
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 7:31
Henry Belin IV pass incomplete to Jordan Moore
-0.2
Q2 7:25
Belin IV, Henry pass incomplete to Moore, Jordan, PENALTY MISS offside (Pegues, JJ) 5 yards to the MISS45, NO PLAY.
+0.2
Q2 7:20
Henry Belin IV run for 2 yds to the MISS 43
0.0
Q2 6:40
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for 27 yds to the MISS 16 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 5:54
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Javon Harvey for 16 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)
-6.9
Q2 5:54
Cosme Salas kickoff for 64 yds for a touchback
+0.7
Q2 5:49
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd to the MISS 26
+4.1
Q2 5:22
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 5:14
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 15 yds to the MISS 41 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 4:51
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Caden Prieskorn
+0.1
Q2 4:46
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Cayden Lee for 13 yds to the DUKE 46 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 4:16
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 20 yds to the DUKE 26 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 3:56
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Cayden Lee for 5 yds to the DUKE 21
0.0
Q2 3:24
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd to the DUKE 20
+0.2
Q2 2:48
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 4 yds to the DUKE 16 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q2 2:16
Ole Miss Penalty, False Start (Reece McIntyre) to the DUKE 21
0.0
Q2 2:00
Timeout Ole Miss, clock 02:00
0.0
Q2 1:52
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 21 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)
+2.9
Q2 1:52
Caden Davis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q2 1:46
Jaquez Moore run for 5 yds to the DUKE 30
-0.8
Q2 1:16
Jaquez Moore run for 2 yds to the DUKE 32
0.0
Q2 1:13
Timeout Ole Miss, clock 01:13
0.0
Q2 1:10
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 6 yds to the DUKE 38 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:57
Henry Belin IV pass incomplete
+0.1
Q2 0:52
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Jake Taylor for 6 yds to the DUKE 44
0.0
Q2 0:45
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 5 yds to the DUKE 49 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:34
Henry Belin IV pass incomplete
-0.2
Q2 0:29
Henry Belin IV pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 0:23
Henry Belin IV pass incomplete
-0.1
Q2 0:23
Timeout Duke, clock 00:23
0.0
Q2 0:11
Kade Reynoldson punt for 41 yds, downed at the MISS 10
-0.1
Q2 0:07
Domonique Thomas run for no gain to the MISS 10
+0.9
Q3 15:00
Caden Davis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+0.3
Q3 14:54
Henry Belin IV pass incomplete
-0.9
Q3 14:54
Timeout Duke, clock 14:54
0.0
Q3 14:46
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Jaquez Moore for a loss of 4 yards to the DUKE 21
0.0
Q3 13:59
Henry Belin IV pass incomplete to Sahmir Hagans
0.0
Q3 13:46
Kade Reynoldson punt for 51 yds, downed at the MISS 28
0.0
Q3 13:41
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Antwane Wells Jr.
+1.0
Q3 13:36
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 5 yds to the MISS 33
0.0
Q3 12:52
Jaxson Dart sacked by Tyshon Reed and Alex Howard for a loss of 6 yards to the MISS 27
+0.1
Q3 12:10
Fraser Masin punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the DUKE 28
0.0
Q3 12:04
Jaquez Moore run for 6 yds to the DUKE 34
-1.1
Q3 11:31
Jaquez Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the DUKE 33
0.0
Q3 10:56
Henry Belin IV run for 3 yds to the DUKE 36
+0.2
Q3 10:15
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Jake Taylor for 5 yds to the DUKE 41 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q3 9:33
Henry Belin IV run for 2 yds to the DUKE 43
0.0
Q3 9:03
Henry Belin IV run for no gain to the DUKE 43
0.0
Q3 8:18
Henry Belin IV pass intercepted Isaiah Hamilton return for 50 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)
+1.3
Q3 8:18
Caden Davis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+0.1
Q3 8:12
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Jordan Moore for 22 yds to the DUKE 47 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q3 7:40
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Eli Pancol for 11 yds to the MISS 42 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 7:05
Jaquez Moore run for 2 yds to the MISS 40
0.0
Q3 6:20
Peyton Jones run for 2 yds to the MISS 38
0.0
Q3 5:38
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Que'Sean Brown for 10 yds to the MISS 28 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 5:00
Henry Belin IV pass incomplete to Peyton Jones
0.0
Q3 4:56
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 4 yds to the MISS 24
+0.1
Q3 4:07
Jaquez Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the MISS 26
+0.1
Q3 3:22
Henry Belin IV pass incomplete to Sahmir Hagans
0.0
Q3 3:15
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 8 yds to the MISS 34
+0.1
Q3 2:52
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 12 yds to the MISS 46 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 2:15
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 51 yds to the DUKE 3 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 1:44
Ole Miss Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the DUKE 8
0.0
Q3 1:20
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 8 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)
+0.5
Q3 1:20
Caden Davis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q3 1:12
Henry Belin IV pass incomplete
-0.2
Q3 1:07
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 12 yds to the DUKE 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 0:47
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Eli Pancol for 4 yds to the DUKE 41
0.0
Q3 0:20
Henry Belin IV pass incomplete to Eli Pancol
0.0
Q3 0:15
Henry Belin IV pass incomplete to Que'Sean Brown
0.0
Q3 0:09
Kade Reynoldson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the MISS 16
0.0
Q3 0:04
Jaxson Dart run for 1 yd to the MISS 17 Ole Miss Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (-5 Yards) to the MISS 12
+0.2
Q4 14:53
Jaxson Dart sacked by David Anderson for a loss of 8 yards to the MISS 4
0.0
Q4 14:00
Jaxson Dart run for 8 yds to the MISS 12
0.0
Q4 13:28
Fraser Masin punt for 59 yds, downed at the DUKE 29
0.0
Q4 13:19
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Jordan Moore for 5 yds to the DUKE 34
-0.2
Q4 12:51
Peyton Jones run for 3 yds to the DUKE 37
0.0
Q4 12:19
Peyton Jones run for 1 yd to the DUKE 38
0.0
Q4 11:37
Jaquez Moore run for no gain to the DUKE 38
0.0
Q4 11:31
Antwane Wells Jr. run for 4 yds to the DUKE 34
+0.2
Q4 10:54
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 21 yds to the DUKE 13 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 10:35
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Cayden Lee for 12 yds to the DUKE 1 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 9:56
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 1 yd for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)
+0.2
Q4 9:56
Caden Davis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q4 9:51
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Peyton Jones for 13 yds to the DUKE 38 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q4 9:24
Peyton Jones run for no gain to the DUKE 38
0.0
Q4 8:45
Belin IV, Henry pass incomplete to Pancol, Eli, PENALTY MISS holding (Banks, TJ) 10 yards to the DUKE48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN DUKE.
0.0
Q4 8:42
Peyton Jones run for no gain to the DUKE 48
0.0
Q4 8:01
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Peyton Jones for 4 yds to the MISS 48
0.0
Q4 7:14
Henry Belin IV pass incomplete to Javon Harvey
0.0
Q4 7:07
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Eli Pancol for 15 yds to the MISS 33 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 6:32
Peyton Jones run for 3 yds to the MISS 30
0.0
Q4 5:39
Peyton Jones run for 7 yds to the MISS 23 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 5:13
Peyton Jones run for 2 yds to the MISS 21
0.0
Q4 4:26
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 1 yd to the MISS 20
0.0
Q4 3:43
Henry Belin IV pass complete to Jordan Moore for 20 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)
-0.3
Q4 3:43
Cosme Salas kickoff for 60 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q4 3:36
Antwane Wells Jr. run for 4 yds to the MISS 29
+0.2
Q4 3:00
Logan Diggs run for 15 yds to the MISS 44 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 2:21
Jaxson Dart run for 2 yds to the MISS 46
0.0
Q4 1:55
Ole Miss Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the MISS 31
0.0
Q4 1:27
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 69 yds for a TD (Mike Baker KICK)
+0.1
Q4 1:07
Sahmir Hagans 99 Yd Kickoff Return (Todd Pelino PAT blocked)
-0.1
Q4 1:07
Cosme Salas on-side kick recovered by Ole Miss at the DUKE 49
-0.2
Q4 1:02
Austin Acton run for 1 yd to the DUKE 48
+0.2
Q4 0:29
Jason Albritton run for 7 yds to the DUKE 41
0.0
Q4 0:00
Austin Simmons pass complete to Jordan Smart for 34 yds to the DUKE 7 for a 1ST down
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 8:07
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 32 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)
+11
TD · Q1 2:29
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)
+9.5
KEY PLAY · Q1 9:45
Jaquez Moore pass incomplete
-7.1