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SC

South Carolina 17 at Illinois 21

ILL
2024 · Cheez-It Citrus Bowl · Dec 31, 2024 · Camping World Stadium
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Win probability · ILL
modelILL aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playILL scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:13 · Kai Kroeger punt for 55 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 5 yds to the ILL 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginScore differential
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 45Pregame prior−19.4Home team on offense−0.6Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Blowout margin+0.1Score differential−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:50: Oscar Adaway III run for 36 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK) — SC win probability +13.6 pts (now 66%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:23: Josh McCray run for 3 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK) — ILL win probability +22.7 pts (now 67%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:56: LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 6 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK) — SC win probability +22.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:29: Josh McCray run for 9 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK) — ILL win probability +33.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:53: Aidan Laughery run for 6 yds to the ILL 13 — ILL win probability +14.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ILL made the numbers' call on 3 of 6SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:20ILL 4th & 18 at ILL 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:12ILL 4th & 18 at ILL 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:24SC 4th & 4 at ILL 10, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.0%−<0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    67.9%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:13SC 4th & 5 at SC 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:59SC 4th & 7 at ILL 13, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.8%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    59.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    54.5%−4.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:51ILL 4th & 3 at ILL 41, up 4
    Close callPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:42ILL 4th & 3 at ILL 41, up 4
    Close callPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:02SC 4th & 6 at ILL 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    48.8%−5.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00SC 4th & 6 at ILL 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    49.0%−5.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:04SC 4th & 21 at SC 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−3.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:14ILL 4th & 11 at ILL 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−1.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:50SC 4th & 1 at ILL 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    46.6%−3.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    46.2%−3.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:08SC 4th & 4 at ILL 7, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 5.4 ptsWent for it · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.1%−5.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    30.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−17.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:00ILL 4th & 5 at SC 20, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.1%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    82.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    81.6%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ILL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 0:00ILL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:50SC Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:23ILL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:56SC Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:29ILL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.2%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ILLDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · -8 yds · 1:3428% → 28%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
27.7%
Aidan Laughery run for 2 yds to the ILL 21Similar
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
27.7%
Aidan Laughery run for 2 yds to the ILL 21Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
27.8%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Aidan Laughery for no gain to the ILL 21Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
27.8%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Aidan Laughery for no gain to the ILL 21Similar
Q1 13:59
3RD & 8
OWN 21
-10
28.0%
Luke Altmyer sacked by Bryan Thomas Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the ILL 11Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 8
OWN 21
-10
28.0%
Luke Altmyer sacked by Bryan Thomas Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the ILL 11Similar
Q1 13:20
4TH & 18
OWN 11
0
28.2%
Fabrizio Pinton punt for 46 yds, downed at the SC 43Similar
Q1 13:12
4TH & 18
OWN 11
0
28.3%
Fabrizio Pinton punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Juju McDowell at the SC 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2FG
22 plays · 47 yds · 5:4872% → 70%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
28.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 8 yds to the ILL 49Similar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
28.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 8 yds to the ILL 49Similar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
28.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 8 yds to the ILL 49Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+1
28.4%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the ILL 48Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+1
28.4%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the ILL 48Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+4
28.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the ILL 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+4
28.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the ILL 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
28.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 14 yds Joshua Simon fumbled, recovered by SC , return for no gain to the ILL 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
28.7%
LaNorris Sellers run for 1 yd to the ILL 29Similar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
28.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 13 yds Joshua Simon fumbled, recovered by SC Oscar Adaway III O. Adaway III return for 1 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+7
29.0%
Oscar Adaway III run for 7 yds to the ILL 22Similar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
29.1%
LaNorris Sellers run for 1 yd to the ILL 29Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+7
29.2%
Oscar Adaway III run for 7 yds to the ILL 22Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+6
29.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for 6 yds to the ILL 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+6
29.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for 6 yds to the ILL 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
29.6%
Jawarn Howell run for 4 yds to the ILL 12Similar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
29.7%
Jawarn Howell run for 4 yds to the ILL 12Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 6
OPP 12
-1
29.7%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Dennis Briggs Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 13Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 6
OPP 12
-1
29.7%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Dennis Briggs Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 13Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+2
30.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 2 yds to the ILL 11Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+3
30.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 3 yds to the ILL 10Similar
Q1 7:24
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+29
30.3%
Alex Herrera 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 3FUMBLE
7 plays · 74 yds · 0:4530% → 32%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
30.4%
(07:24) ALTMYER, Luke pass to the right incomplete intended for FRANKLIN, Zakhari thrown to the ILL40, clock 07:21. PENALTY SC Pass Interference on COLLIER, Judge enforced 15 yards to the ILL40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
30.4%
South Carolina Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the ILL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+59
31.0%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 59 yds to the SC 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+59
31.1%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 59 yds to the SC 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 0
OPP 1
0
32.2%
Josh McCray run for no gain Josh McCray fumbled, recovered by SC Dylan StewartSimilar
Q1 6:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
31.9%
Josh McCray run for 1 yd Josh McCray fumbled, recovered by SC Dylan Stewart D. Stewart return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 1:3269% → 69%
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
30.8%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the SC 24Similar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
30.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the SC 24Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
30.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the SC 25Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
31.0%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the SC 25Similar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
31.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
31.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q1 5:13
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+5
31.9%
Kai Kroeger punt for 55 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 5 yds to the ILL 25Similar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
30.9%
South Carolina Penalty, Delay Of Game (Debo Williams) to the ILL 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 5TD
25 plays · 66 yds · 5:1331% → 38%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
30.9%
Illinois Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ILL 20Similar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 5
OWN 29
0
31.5%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
30.9%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-5
30.8%
Illinois Penalty, False Start (Tanner Arkin) to the ILL 15Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+15
30.9%
South Carolina Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+11
30.9%
Aidan Laughery run for 11 yds to the ILL 26Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
30.6%
South Carolina Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
50
+9
32.2%
Aidan Laughery run for 9 yds to the SC 41Similar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
50
+8
32.3%
Aidan Laughery run for 8 yds to the SC 42Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+4
32.6%
Aidan Laughery run for 4 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+3
32.7%
Aidan Laughery run for 3 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
32.9%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
33.0%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+11
32.9%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 11 yds to the SC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+11
33.0%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 11 yds to the SC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
33.6%
Aidan Laughery run for 5 yds to the SC 22Similar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
33.7%
Aidan Laughery run for 5 yds to the SC 22Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+3
33.9%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 3 yds to the SC 19Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+3
34.0%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 3 yds to the SC 19Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+2
33.1%
Jordan Anderson run for 2 yds to the SC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+2
33.2%
Jordan Anderson run for 2 yds to the SC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
34.1%
Josh McCray run for 2 yds to the SC 15Similar
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
34.2%
Josh McCray run for 2 yds to the SC 15Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+15
38.1%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 15 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6DOWNS
32 plays · 62 yds · 6:5564% → 58%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
36.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Michael Smith for 10 yds to the SC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
36.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Michael Smith for 10 yds to the SC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
36.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Nyck HarborSimilar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
36.4%
LaNorris Sellers run for 4 yds to the SC 39Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
36.6%
LaNorris Sellers run for 4 yds to the SC 39Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+9
36.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 9 yds to the SC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+9
36.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 9 yds to the SC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
35.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
35.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+15
36.0%
Jawarn Howell run for 15 yds to the ILL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+15
36.1%
Jawarn Howell run for 15 yds to the ILL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
35.7%
Jawarn Howell run for 6 yds to the ILL 31Similar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
35.8%
Jawarn Howell run for 6 yds to the ILL 31Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+3
35.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Gage Larvadain for 3 yds to the ILL 28Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+3
35.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Gage Larvadain for 3 yds to the ILL 28Similar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+1
36.1%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the ILL 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+1
36.2%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the ILL 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
37.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 7 yds to the ILL 20Similar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
37.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 7 yds to the ILL 20Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+1
37.4%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the ILL 19Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+1
37.6%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the ILL 19Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+3
38.7%
LaNorris Sellers run for 3 yds to the ILL 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+3
38.7%
LaNorris Sellers run for 3 yds to the ILL 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
38.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
38.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Michael SmithSimilar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
38.1%
Jawarn Howell run for 3 yds to the ILL 13Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
38.1%
Jawarn Howell run for 3 yds to the ILL 13Similar
Q2 8:06
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
40.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
40.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:59
4TH & 7
OPP 13
0
41.9%
Kai Kroeger pass incomplete to Alex HuntleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 7PUNT
12 plays · 28 yds · 3:1743% → 44%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+10
42.5%
Josh McCray run for 10 yds to the ILL 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+10
42.6%
Josh McCray run for 10 yds to the ILL 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
43.1%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Malik Elzy for 11 yds to the ILL 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
43.4%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Malik Elzy for 11 yds to the ILL 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
43.9%
Josh McCray run for 2 yds to the ILL 36Similar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
43.9%
Josh McCray run for 2 yds to the ILL 36Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
44.8%
Josh McCray run for no gain to the ILL 36Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
44.9%
Josh McCray run for no gain to the ILL 36Similar
Q2 5:31
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+5
44.2%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 5 yds to the ILL 41Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+5
44.4%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 5 yds to the ILL 41Similar
Q2 4:51
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
44.3%
Fabrizio Pinton punt for 25 yds, downed at the SC 34Similar
Q2 4:42
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
44.4%
Fabrizio Pinton punt for 25 yds, downed at the SC 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8DOWNS
25 plays · 43 yds · 4:3856% → 51%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
44.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 6 yds to the SC 40Similar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
44.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 6 yds to the SC 40Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+6
43.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 6 yds to the SC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+6
43.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 6 yds to the SC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
43.3%
Oscar Adaway III run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 44Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+2
45.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 2 yds to the SC 46Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+2
45.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 2 yds to the SC 46Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+15
45.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 15 yds to the ILL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+15
46.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 15 yds to the ILL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
44.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
43.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Nyck HarborSimilar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
43.9%
Juju McDowell run for 4 yds to the ILL 35Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
44.1%
Juju McDowell run for 4 yds to the ILL 35Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+8
44.3%
LaNorris Sellers run for 8 yds to the ILL 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+8
44.4%
LaNorris Sellers run for 8 yds to the ILL 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
42.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Juju McDowell for 2 yds to the ILL 25Similar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
42.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Juju McDowell for 2 yds to the ILL 25Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+4
42.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 4 yds to the ILL 21Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+4
42.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 4 yds to the ILL 21Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 4
OPP 21
-2
44.1%
LaNorris Sellers run for a loss of 2 yards to the ILL 23Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 4
OPP 21
-2
44.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for a loss of 2 yards to the ILL 23Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+41
49.1%
Alex Herrera 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+41
49.1%
Alex Herrera 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:4156% → 50%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
43.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 49Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+2
45.6%
Jared Brown run for 2 yds to the ILL 47Similar
Q3 13:55
3RD & 9
OPP 47
-12
46.1%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Mac Resetich for a loss of 12 yards to the SC 41Similar
Q3 13:04
4TH & 21
OWN 41
+12
50.2%
Kai Kroeger punt for 50 yds , Hank Beatty returns for 12 yds to the ILL 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:3149% → 47%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
49.4%
Aidan Laughery run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 20Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 11
OWN 20
0
49.3%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 11
OWN 20
0
47.8%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Collin DixonSimilar
Q3 12:14
4TH & 11
OWN 20
0
47.1%
Fabrizio Pinton punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SC 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 1:1053% → 66%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
47.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 13 yds to the ILL 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
45.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Nyck HarborSimilar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
45.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+9
48.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 9 yds to the ILL 36Similar
Q3 10:50
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+36
34.1%
Oscar Adaway III run for 36 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 12INT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:0536% → 37%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
35.5%
Josh McCray run for 6 yds to the ILL 31Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
37.6%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Malik ElzySimilar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+11
35.1%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 11 yds to the ILL 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
39.1%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Hank BeattySimilar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-14
37.3%
Luke Altmyer pass intercepted Jalon Kilgore return for 14 yds to the SC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13FUMBLE
5 plays · 33 yds · 2:0166% → 69%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
33.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 4 yds to the SC 34Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+3
32.9%
Jawarn Howell run for 3 yds to the SC 37Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+5
33.4%
Gage Larvadain run for 5 yds to the SC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
32.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 16 yds to the ILL 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
31.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Jawarn Howell for 5 yds Jawarn Howell fumbled, forced by Ezekiel Holmes, recovered by ILL Jaheim ClarkeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 14TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 4:0738% → 67%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
38.0%
Aidan Laughery run for 11 yds to the ILL 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
40.8%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Alexander Capka-Jones for 5 yds to the SC 47Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+4
41.7%
Aidan Laughery run for 4 yds to the SC 43Similar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
41.2%
Josh McCray run for 2 yds to the SC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
42.3%
Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Carson GodaSimilar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+8
42.1%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 8 yds to the SC 33Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+3
42.0%
Josh McCray run for 3 yds to the SC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+27
44.1%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Collin Dixon for 27 yds to the SC 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.8%
Josh McCray run for 3 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2343% → 71%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
57.1%
South Carolina Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SC 20Similar
Q3 1:49
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+60
57.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 60 yds to the ILL 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
49.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for 6 yds to the ILL 14Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+13
49.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 13 yds to the ILL 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
53.2%
Oscar Adaway III run for no gain to the ILL 1Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 0
OPP 1
-5
51.2%
South Carolina Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ILL 6Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
28.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 6 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 16TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 7:2438% → 78%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.5%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
37.1%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Aidan Laughery for 2 yds to the ILL 27Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
35.5%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 15 yds to the ILL 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
42.0%
Aidan Laughery run for 6 yds to the ILL 48Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+4
41.7%
Aidan Laughery run for 4 yds to the SC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
42.5%
Josh McCray run for 11 yds to the SC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
42.8%
Altmyer, Luke pass complete to Elzy, Malik for no gain to the SC37, PENALTY SC holding 10 yards to the SC27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ILL.Similar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
45.5%
Luke Altmyer run for 6 yds to the SC 21Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+5
40.7%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 5 yds to the SC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 4
OPP 21
0
43.2%
Aidan Laughery run for no gain to the SC 21Similar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
43.4%
Josh McCray run for 5 yds to the SC 11Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+2
44.6%
Aidan Laughery run for 2 yds to the SC 9Similar
Q4 7:29
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+9
78.2%
Josh McCray run for 9 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17DOWNS
11 plays · 68 yds · 3:5232% → 29%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
67.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for 6 yds to the SC 31Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+24
65.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 24 yds to the ILL 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
61.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 17 yds to the ILL 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
61.1%
LaNorris Sellers run for 4 yds to the ILL 24Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+4
61.2%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the ILL 20Similar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+7
66.3%
Oscar Adaway III run for 7 yds to the ILL 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
64.0%
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the ILL 11Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
65.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+4
67.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 4 yds to the ILL 7Similar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 4
OPP 7
0
70.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 72 yds · 2:5385% → 95%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
84.7%
Aidan Laughery run for 6 yds to the ILL 13Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+2
88.5%
Aidan Laughery run for 2 yds to the ILL 15Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+60
89.1%
Josh McCray run for 60 yds to the SC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
92.9%
Aidan Laughery run for 4 yds to the SC 21Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 6
OPP 21
-1
95.7%
Aidan Laughery run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 22Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+2
95.6%
Luke Altmyer run for 2 yds to the SC 20Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 20
-1
94.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:29
Josh McCray run for 9 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)
+33.6
TD · Q3 2:23
Josh McCray run for 3 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)
+22.7
TD · Q4 14:56
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 6 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)
-22.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com