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ALA

Alabama 13 at Michigan 19

MICH
2024 · ReliaQuest Bowl · Dec 31, 2024 · Raymond James Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadALA aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreALA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:49 · Jalen Milroe pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 156Pregame prior−0.7Home team on offense+15.4Garbage-time factor+4.9Score differential−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:15: Davis Warren pass complete to Fredrick Moore for 13 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK) — MICH win probability +4.5 pts (now 24%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 2:04: Dominic Zvada 21 yd FG GOOD — MICH win probability +3.1 pts (now 27%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:06: Jalen Milroe pass complete to Robbie Ouzts for 25 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK) — ALA win probability +6.6 pts (now 65%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 7:21: Dominic Zvada 37 yd FG GOOD — MICH win probability +11.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 4:38: Graham Nicholson 51 yd FG GOOD — ALA win probability +6.7 pts (now 24%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 6 of 10ALA made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 12:16ALA 4th & 4 at MICH 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    83.2%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    83.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:15MICH 4th & 7 at ALA 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:52MICH 4th & 3 at ALA 12, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.8%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:04MICH 4th & 3 at ALA 3, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.9%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−5.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:15ALA 4th & 15 at ALA 30, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:14MICH 4th & 7 at MICH 44, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:22ALA 4th & 18 at ALA 19, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%−2.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:56MICH 4th & 6 at MICH 33, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%−1.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:58MICH 4th & 3 at ALA 47, up 9
    Close callPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:04ALA 4th & 6 at MICH 6, down 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.6%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    43.3%−10.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:24MICH 4th & 11 at MICH 31, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−3.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:04ALA 4th & 9 at ALA 39, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−1.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:33MICH 4th & 15 at MICH 28, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−5.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:12ALA 4th & 16 at ALA 29, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−4.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:38ALA 4th & 7 at MICH 34, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    38.9%−0.9
    47% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−3.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:21MICH 4th & 1 at ALA 19, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.6%−3.9
    77% to make
    Punt
    68.5%−15.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:38ALA 4th & 11 at MICH 33, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.0%
    49% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−1.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:18MICH 4th & 8 at MICH 44, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:49ALA 4th & 10 at MICH 15, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    7.7%−4.4
    83% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−6.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ALA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:15MICH Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:06ALA Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:4488% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
11.7%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jam Miller for 3 yds to the ALA 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+11
11.7%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 11 yds to the ALA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
11.7%
Jalen Milroe run for no gain to the ALA 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
11.7%
Jam Miller run for 3 yds to the MICH 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+3
11.7%
Jalen Milroe run for 3 yds to the MICH 45Similar
Q1 12:16
4TH & 4
OPP 45
-11
12.8%
Jalen Milroe sacked by Derrick Moore for a loss of 11 yards to the ALA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2FG
7 plays · 17 yds · 4:0113% → 15%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
13.1%
Jordan Marshall run for 3 yds to the ALA 41Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+1
13.1%
Jordan Marshall run for 1 yd to the ALA 40Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+10
13.1%
Davis Warren pass complete to Hogan Hansen for 10 yds to the ALA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-13
13.1%
run for a loss of 13 yards to the ALA 43Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 23
OPP 43
+7
13.0%
Jordan Marshall run for 7 yds to the ALA 36Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 16
OPP 36
+9
13.0%
Davis Warren pass complete to Joe Taylor for 9 yds to the ALA 27Similar
Q1 8:15
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+45
15.3%
Dominic Zvada 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3FUMBLE
1 play · -6 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
15.4%
DaShawn Jones run for a loss of 6 yards to the ALA 19 Jalen Milroe fumbled, recovered by MICH Derrick Moore D. Moore return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:1816% → 18%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
15.7%
Benjamin Hall run for 1 yd to the ALA 18Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+3
15.7%
Fredrick Moore run for 3 yds to the ALA 15Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+3
15.6%
Benjamin Hall run for 3 yds to the ALA 12Similar
Q1 5:52
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+30
17.8%
Dominic Zvada 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:4582% → 82%
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
17.6%
Jalen Milroe run for no gain to the ALA 15Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-3
18.2%
Jalen Milroe pass intercepted Wesley Walker return for 3 yds to the ALA 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6TD
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:4819% → 24%
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
19.0%
Davis Warren pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
19.0%
Jordan Marshall run for 3 yds to the ALA 13Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+13
23.5%
Davis Warren pass complete to Fredrick Moore for 13 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7FUMBLE
1 play · -14 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-14
21.7%
Jalen Milroe sacked for a loss of 14 yards to the ALA 6 Jalen Milroe fumbled, recovered by MICH Cameron Brandt , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:0424% → 27%
Q1 4:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
23.9%
Benjamin Hall run for 1 yd to the ALA 5Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
23.9%
Alex Orji run for 3 yds to the ALA 2Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
23.6%
Davis Warren sacked by Tim Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 3Similar
Q1 2:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
26.7%
Dominic Zvada 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 2:4976% → 72%
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
24.0%
Jalen Milroe run for 8 yds to the ALA 33Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
23.5%
Jam Miller run for no gain to the ALA 33Similar
Q1 2:04
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
23.9%
Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the ALA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
23.9%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 34Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
26.6%
Jalen Milroe run for no gain to the ALA 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 34
-5
26.9%
Alabama Penalty, False Start (Ryan Williams) to the ALA 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+1
27.0%
Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the ALA 30Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
28.0%
James Burnip punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 5:0131% → 42%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
31.3%
Jordan Marshall run for 5 yds to the MICH 25Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
31.3%
Davis Warren pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 3 yds to the MICH 28Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+2
30.8%
Jordan Marshall run for 2 yds to the MICH 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
31.3%
Michigan Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MICH 25Similar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+7
31.2%
Jordan Marshall run for 7 yds to the MICH 32Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+9
31.3%
Davis Warren pass complete to Fredrick Moore for 9 yds to the MICH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
32.1%
Benjamin Hall run for 3 yds to the MICH 44Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
32.2%
Davis Warren pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
31.5%
Benjamin Hall run for no gain to the MICH 44Similar
Q2 9:14
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
42.1%
Hudson Hollenbeck punt for 40 yds , Ryan Williams returns for no gain to the ALA 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 3 yds · 1:5262% → 58%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
38.4%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Josh Cuevas for 5 yds to the ALA 21Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+4
38.3%
Richard Young run for 4 yds to the ALA 25Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+2
38.0%
Richard Young run for 2 yds to the ALA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-8
39.7%
Jalen Milroe sacked by Derrick Moore for a loss of 8 yards to the ALA 19Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 18
OWN 19
0
40.5%
Jalen Milroe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:39
3RD & 18
OWN 19
0
40.8%
Jalen Milroe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 18
OWN 19
0
41.6%
James Burnip punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Semaj Morgan at the MICH 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2647% → 48%
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
46.8%
Jordan Marshall run for 4 yds to the MICH 33Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
46.8%
Davis Warren pass complete to Semaj Morgan for no gain to the MICH 33Similar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
46.2%
Davis Warren pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
48.2%
Hudson Hollenbeck punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 13TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 1:5055% → 65%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+28
44.9%
Rico Scott run for 28 yds to the MICH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
42.7%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 7 yds CJ Dippre fumbled, recovered by ALA Elijah Pritchett E. Pritchett return for 8 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
41.2%
Jam Miller run for 3 yds to the MICH 25Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+25
34.6%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Robbie Ouzts for 25 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 3:0338% → 46%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
38.3%
Benjamin Hall run for 3 yds to the MICH 22Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+8
38.2%
Benjamin Hall run for 8 yds to the MICH 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
38.4%
Benjamin Hall run for 1 yd to the MICH 31Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+15
40.0%
Davis Warren pass complete to Fredrick Moore for 15 yds to the MICH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
42.0%
Benjamin Hall run for 1 yd to the MICH 47Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 9
OWN 47
-1
44.8%
Jordan Marshall run for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 46Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+7
45.5%
Davis Warren pass complete to Peyton O'Leary for 7 yds to the ALA 47Similar
Q2 0:58
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
45.7%
Hudson Hollenbeck punt for 43 yds, downed at the ALA 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 15FG
10 plays · 90 yds · 0:5452% → 60%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+7
47.6%
Jam Miller run for 7 yds to the ALA 11Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 3
OWN 11
+2
46.8%
Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the ALA 13Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 1
OWN 13
+41
47.2%
Jalen Milroe run for 41 yds to the MICH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+40
42.9%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 40 yds to the MICH 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
40.8%
Jalen Milroe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
40.8%
Jalen Milroe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
42.0%
Jalen Milroe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
39.9%
Graham Nicholson 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
42.7%
[SG] Kneel down by WARREN, Davis at MIC24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 5:3241% → 46%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
40.9%
Jordan Marshall run for 1 yd to the MICH 17Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+5
40.7%
Fredrick Moore run for 5 yds to the MICH 22Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+7
39.8%
Davis Warren pass complete to Marlin Klein for 7 yds to the MICH 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
41.1%
Jordan Marshall run for 2 yds to the MICH 31Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 8
OWN 31
-1
41.2%
Jordan Marshall run for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 30Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+15
39.7%
Alabama Penalty, Personal Foul (James Smith) to the MICH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
41.3%
Benjamin Hall run for 1 yd to the MICH 33Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 33
-3
41.0%
Alex Orji run for a loss of 3 yards to the MICH 30 Alex Orji fumbled, recovered by MICH Alex Orji A. Orji return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+1
39.6%
Benjamin Hall run for 1 yd to the MICH 31Similar
Q3 9:24
4TH & 11
OWN 31
0
45.6%
Hudson Hollenbeck punt for 69 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:2055% → 50%
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
45.0%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 18 yds to the ALA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
43.5%
Jam Miller run for no gain to the ALA 38Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-10
43.7%
Jalen Milroe sacked by Brandyn Hillman for a loss of 10 yards to the ALA 28Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 20
OWN 28
+11
46.8%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 11 yds to the ALA 39Similar
Q3 7:04
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
49.7%
James Burnip punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:3151% → 52%
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
51.1%
Jordan Marshall run for 13 yds to the MICH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-15
51.5%
MARSHALL, Jordan rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the MIC36 (CAMPBELL, Jihaad;MACK, King). PENALTY MIC Personal Foul on HANSEN, Hogan enforced 15 yards from the MIC33 to the MIC18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 25
OWN 18
+5
50.8%
Jordan Marshall run for 5 yds to the MICH 23Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 20
OWN 23
+1
50.5%
Benjamin Hall run for 1 yd to the MICH 24Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 19
OWN 24
+4
49.2%
Alex Orji pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 4 yds to the MICH 28Similar
Q3 4:33
4TH & 15
OWN 28
0
51.5%
Hudson Hollenbeck punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:2150% → 44%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
49.8%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for 4 yds to the ALA 39Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
47.4%
Jalen Milroe pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 6
OWN 39
-10
49.8%
Jalen Milroe sacked by Cameron Brandt for a loss of 10 yards to the ALA 29Similar
Q3 3:12
4TH & 16
OWN 29
0
55.6%
James Burnip punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Semaj Morgan at the MICH 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 21INT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:4959% → 64%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
59.3%
Jordan Marshall run for 7 yds to the MICH 37Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+5
61.2%
Jordan Marshall run for 5 yds to the MICH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
61.9%
Alex Orji pass complete to Semaj Morgan for a loss of 2 yards to the MICH 40Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 12
OWN 40
-1
60.5%
Alex Orji run for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 39Similar
Q3 0:23
3RD & 13
OWN 39
-2
64.0%
Alex Orji pass intercepted Zabien Brown return for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:2249% → 42%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+9
51.5%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Rico Scott for 9 yds to the MICH 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+4
50.8%
Jalen Milroe run for 4 yds to the MICH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
51.5%
Jalen Milroe run for no gain to the MICH 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
51.6%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Daniel Hill for 3 yds to the MICH 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
52.0%
Jalen Milroe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 7
OPP 34
0
57.7%
Jalen Milroe pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 23FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 5:1771% → 84%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
70.7%
Jordan Marshall run for 2 yds to the MICH 36Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+24
71.4%
Jordan Marshall run for 24 yds to the ALA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
73.8%
Benjamin Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALA 42Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+10
72.7%
Alex Orji run for 10 yds to the ALA 32Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+4
72.7%
Benjamin Hall run for 4 yds to the ALA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
74.3%
Jordan Marshall run for 2 yds to the ALA 26Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 8
OPP 26
-2
74.3%
Jordan Marshall run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALA 28Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+9
72.4%
Jordan Marshall run for 9 yds to the ALA 19Similar
Q4 7:21
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+37
84.3%
Dominic Zvada 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 24FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 2:4315% → 24%
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
85.1%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jam Miller for 8 yds to the ALA 33Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+10
82.8%
Jam Miller run for 10 yds to the ALA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
82.5%
Jalen Milroe run for 9 yds to the MICH 48Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+1
80.7%
Jam Miller run for 1 yd to the MICH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
81.3%
MILROE, Jalen pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BERNARD, Germie thrown to the MIC10. PENALTY MIC Roughing the Passer on WALKER, Amorion enforced 15 yards from the MIC47 to the MIC32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
80.0%
Jalen Milroe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-1
80.2%
Jam Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 33Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 11
OPP 33
0
82.2%
Jalen Milroe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:38
4TH & 11
OPP 33
+51
75.6%
Graham Nicholson 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:2086% → 93%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
86.0%
Alabama Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Justin Jefferson) to the MICH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
87.5%
Jordan Marshall run for no gain to the MICH 42Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
87.3%
Benjamin Hall run for no gain to the MICH 42Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+2
93.5%
Benjamin Hall run for 2 yds to the MICH 44Similar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 8
OWN 44
+38
92.9%
Hudson Hollenbeck punt for 50 yds , Ryan Williams returns for 38 yds to the ALA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 26DOWNS
11 plays · 41 yds · 1:1120% → 15%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
80.0%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for 5 yds to the ALA 49Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 49
0
78.3%
Jalen Milroe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+11
79.7%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 11 yds to the MICH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
77.3%
Jalen Milroe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+25
78.3%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jam Miller for 25 yds to the MICH 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
72.7%
Jalen Milroe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
72.7%
Jalen Milroe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
81.6%
Jalen Milroe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:49
4TH & 10
OPP 15
0
84.6%
Jalen Milroe pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:4996% → 96%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
96.0%
[SG] Kneel down by ORJI, Alex at MIC14 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 14
-1
96.1%
[SG] Kneel down by ORJI, Alex at MIC13 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 7:21
Dominic Zvada 37 yd FG GOOD
+11.9
FG · Q4 4:38
Graham Nicholson 51 yd FG GOOD
-6.7
TD · Q2 4:06
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Robbie Ouzts for 25 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)
-6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com