ALA
Alabama 13 at Michigan 19
MICH2024 · Week 1 · Dec 31, 2024 · Raymond James Stadium
Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadALA aheadconfidence bandkey play
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jam Miller for 3 yds to the ALA 38
0.0
Q1 15:00
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 11 yds to the ALA 49 for a 1ST down
-0.4
Q1 15:00
Jalen Milroe run for no gain to the ALA 49
-0.6
Q1 15:00
Jam Miller run for 3 yds to the MICH 48
0.0
Q1 15:00
Jalen Milroe run for 3 yds to the MICH 45
-0.1
Q1 12:16
Jalen Milroe sacked by Derrick Moore for a loss of 11 yards to the ALA 44
+0.1
Q1 12:16
Jordan Marshall run for 3 yds to the ALA 41
+3.3
Q1 12:16
Jordan Marshall run for 1 yd to the ALA 40
+0.2
Q1 12:16
Davis Warren pass complete to Hogan Hansen for 10 yds to the ALA 30 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q1 12:16
run for a loss of 13 yards to the ALA 43
+0.1
Q1 12:16
Jordan Marshall run for 7 yds to the ALA 36
0.0
Q1 12:16
Davis Warren pass complete to Joe Taylor for 9 yds to the ALA 27
-0.1
Q1 8:15
Dominic Zvada 45 yd FG GOOD
+3.0
Q1 8:10
DaShawn Jones run for a loss of 6 yards to the ALA 19 Jalen Milroe fumbled, recovered by MICH Derrick Moore D. Moore return for 0 yds
-2.2
Q1 8:10
Benjamin Hall run for 1 yd to the ALA 18
+2.8
Q1 8:10
Fredrick Moore run for 3 yds to the ALA 15
0.0
Q1 8:10
Benjamin Hall run for 3 yds to the ALA 12
-0.1
Q1 5:52
Dominic Zvada 30 yd FG GOOD
+3.9
Q1 5:48
Jalen Milroe run for no gain to the ALA 15
-3.8
Q1 5:03
Jalen Milroe pass intercepted Wesley Walker return for 3 yds to the ALA 16
+0.5
Q1 5:03
Davis Warren pass incomplete
+4.6
Q1 5:03
Jordan Marshall run for 3 yds to the ALA 13
0.0
Q1 4:15
Davis Warren pass complete to Fredrick Moore for 13 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)
+9.1
Q1 4:08
Jalen Milroe sacked for a loss of 14 yards to the ALA 6 Jalen Milroe fumbled, recovered by MICH Cameron Brandt , return for 0 yards
-3.1
Q1 4:08
Benjamin Hall run for 1 yd to the ALA 5
+3.4
Q1 4:08
Alex Orji run for 3 yds to the ALA 2
0.0
Q1 4:08
Davis Warren sacked by Tim Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 3
-0.2
Q1 2:04
Dominic Zvada 21 yd FG GOOD
+11.0
Q1 2:04
Jalen Milroe run for 8 yds to the ALA 33
-13.8
Q1 2:04
Jam Miller run for no gain to the ALA 33
0.0
Q1 2:04
Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the ALA 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 2:04
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 34
0.0
Q1 0:00
Jalen Milroe run for no gain to the ALA 34
+3.1
Q2 15:00
Alabama Penalty, False Start (Ryan Williams) to the ALA 29
0.0
Q2 15:00
Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the ALA 30
0.0
Q2 14:15
James Burnip punt for 50 yds
+0.5
Q2 14:15
Jordan Marshall run for 5 yds to the MICH 25
+15.9
Q2 14:15
Davis Warren pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 3 yds to the MICH 28
0.0
Q2 14:15
Jordan Marshall run for 2 yds to the MICH 30 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 14:15
Michigan Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MICH 25
0.0
Q2 14:15
Jordan Marshall run for 7 yds to the MICH 32
0.0
Q2 14:15
Davis Warren pass complete to Fredrick Moore for 9 yds to the MICH 41 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 14:15
Benjamin Hall run for 3 yds to the MICH 44
+0.1
Q2 14:15
Davis Warren pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 14:15
Benjamin Hall run for no gain to the MICH 44
-0.3
Q2 9:14
Hudson Hollenbeck punt for 40 yds , Ryan Williams returns for no gain to the ALA 16
+9.2
Q2 9:14
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Josh Cuevas for 5 yds to the ALA 21
-18.5
Q2 9:14
Richard Young run for 4 yds to the ALA 25
0.0
Q2 9:14
Richard Young run for 2 yds to the ALA 27 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 7:39
Timeout Michigan, clock 07:39
+0.3
Q2 7:39
Jalen Milroe sacked by Derrick Moore for a loss of 8 yards to the ALA 19
0.0
Q2 7:39
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 7:39
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 7:22
James Burnip punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Semaj Morgan at the MICH 29
0.0
Q2 7:22
Timeout Alabama, clock 07:22
+19.0
Q2 7:22
Jordan Marshall run for 4 yds to the MICH 33
0.0
Q2 7:22
Davis Warren pass complete to Semaj Morgan for no gain to the MICH 33
0.0
Q2 7:22
Davis Warren pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 5:56
Hudson Hollenbeck punt for 38 yds
+1.2
Q2 5:56
Rico Scott run for 28 yds to the MICH 43 for a 1ST down
-20.3
Q2 5:56
Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 7 yds CJ Dippre fumbled, recovered by ALA Elijah Pritchett E. Pritchett return for 8 yds for a 1ST down
-1.2
Q2 5:56
Jam Miller run for 3 yds to the MICH 25
-0.7
Q2 4:06
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Robbie Ouzts for 25 yds for a TD (Graham Nicholson KICK)
-7.8
Q2 4:01
Benjamin Hall run for 3 yds to the MICH 22
+3.4
Q2 4:01
Benjamin Hall run for 8 yds to the MICH 30 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 4:01
Benjamin Hall run for 1 yd to the MICH 31
0.0
Q2 1:57
Timeout Michigan, clock 01:57
+2.3
Q2 1:57
Davis Warren pass complete to Fredrick Moore for 15 yds to the MICH 46 for a 1ST down
-0.4
Q2 1:57
Benjamin Hall run for 1 yd to the MICH 47
+0.4
Q2 1:20
Timeout Alabama, clock 01:20
0.0
Q2 1:20
Jordan Marshall run for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 46
+0.4
Q2 1:07
Timeout Alabama, clock 01:07
-0.3
Q2 1:07
Davis Warren pass complete to Peyton O'Leary for 7 yds to the ALA 47
+0.4
Q2 0:58
Hudson Hollenbeck punt for 43 yds, downed at the ALA 4
-0.4
Q2 0:58
Jam Miller run for 7 yds to the ALA 11
-0.1
Q2 0:37
Timeout Michigan, clock 00:37
+0.1
Q2 0:37
Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the ALA 13
0.0
Q2 0:28
Timeout Michigan, clock 00:28
-1.0
Q2 0:28
Jalen Milroe run for 41 yds to the MICH 46 for a 1ST down
+0.8
Q2 0:28
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 40 yds to the MICH 6 for a 1ST down
-0.8
Q2 0:28
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete
-1.0
Q2 0:28
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 0:28
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 0:04
Graham Nicholson 24 yd FG GOOD
-5.9
Q2 0:00
[SG] Kneel down by WARREN, Davis at MIC24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
+4.4
Q3 14:56
Jordan Marshall run for 1 yd to the MICH 17
+1.2
Q3 14:56
Fredrick Moore run for 5 yds to the MICH 22
0.0
Q3 14:56
Davis Warren pass complete to Marlin Klein for 7 yds to the MICH 29 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 14:56
Jordan Marshall run for 2 yds to the MICH 31
0.0
Q3 14:56
Jordan Marshall run for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 30
0.0
Q3 14:56
Alabama Penalty, Personal Foul (James Smith) to the MICH 32 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 14:56
Benjamin Hall run for 1 yd to the MICH 33
0.0
Q3 14:56
Alex Orji run for a loss of 3 yards to the MICH 30 Alex Orji fumbled, recovered by MICH Alex Orji A. Orji return for 0 yds
0.0
Q3 14:56
Benjamin Hall run for 1 yd to the MICH 31
0.0
Q3 9:24
Hudson Hollenbeck punt for 69 yds for a touchback
+3.6
Q3 9:24
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 18 yds to the ALA 38 for a 1ST down
-5.0
Q3 9:24
Jam Miller run for no gain to the ALA 38
-0.5
Q3 9:24
Jalen Milroe sacked by Brandyn Hillman for a loss of 10 yards to the ALA 28
0.0
Q3 9:24
Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 11 yds to the ALA 39
+0.5
Q3 7:04
James Burnip punt for 61 yds for a touchback
+1.0
Q3 7:04
Jordan Marshall run for 13 yds to the MICH 33 for a 1ST down
+5.9
Q3 7:04
MARSHALL, Jordan rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the MIC36 (CAMPBELL, Jihaad;MACK, King). PENALTY MIC Personal Foul on HANSEN, Hogan enforced 15 yards from the MIC33 to the MIC18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
0.0
Q3 7:04
Jordan Marshall run for 5 yds to the MICH 23
0.0
Q3 7:04
Benjamin Hall run for 1 yd to the MICH 24
0.0
Q3 7:04
Alex Orji pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 4 yds to the MICH 28
0.0
Q3 4:33
Hudson Hollenbeck punt for 37 yds
+3.8
Q3 4:33
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for 4 yds to the ALA 39
-7.9
Q3 4:33
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete
-0.5
Q3 4:33
Jalen Milroe sacked by Cameron Brandt for a loss of 10 yards to the ALA 29
0.0
Q3 3:12
James Burnip punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Semaj Morgan at the MICH 30
+1.4
Q3 3:12
Jordan Marshall run for 7 yds to the MICH 37
+8.8
Q3 3:12
Jordan Marshall run for 5 yds to the MICH 42 for a 1ST down
+0.5
Q3 3:12
Alex Orji pass complete to Semaj Morgan for a loss of 2 yards to the MICH 40
+0.1
Q3 3:12
Alex Orji run for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 39
0.0
Q3 0:23
Alex Orji pass intercepted Zabien Brown return for 2 yds to the 50 yard line
+2.7
Q3 0:00
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Rico Scott for 9 yds to the MICH 41
-12.0
Q4 15:00
Jalen Milroe run for 4 yds to the MICH 37 for a 1ST down
-0.6
Q4 15:00
Jalen Milroe run for no gain to the MICH 37
-0.2
Q4 15:00
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Daniel Hill for 3 yds to the MICH 34
0.0
Q4 15:00
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 12:38
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete
+3.1
Q4 12:38
Jordan Marshall run for 2 yds to the MICH 36
+13.2
Q4 12:38
Jordan Marshall run for 24 yds to the ALA 40 for a 1ST down
+0.5
Q4 12:38
Benjamin Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALA 42
+1.1
Q4 12:38
Alex Orji run for 10 yds to the ALA 32
0.0
Q4 12:38
Benjamin Hall run for 4 yds to the ALA 28 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q4 12:38
Jordan Marshall run for 2 yds to the ALA 26
+0.3
Q4 12:38
Jordan Marshall run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALA 28
0.0
Q4 12:38
Jordan Marshall run for 9 yds to the ALA 19
-0.3
Q4 7:21
Dominic Zvada 37 yd FG GOOD
+13.3
Q4 7:21
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jam Miller for 8 yds to the ALA 33
-3.0
Q4 7:21
Jam Miller run for 10 yds to the ALA 43 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 7:21
Jalen Milroe run for 9 yds to the MICH 48
0.0
Q4 7:21
Jam Miller run for 1 yd to the MICH 47 for a 1ST down
-0.6
Q4 7:21
MILROE, Jalen pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BERNARD, Germie thrown to the MIC10. PENALTY MIC Roughing the Passer on WALKER, Amorion enforced 15 yards from the MIC47 to the MIC32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
0.0
Q4 7:21
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete
-1.1
Q4 7:21
Jam Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 33
0.0
Q4 7:21
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 4:38
Graham Nicholson 51 yd FG GOOD
-10.5
Q4 4:38
Alabama Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Justin Jefferson) to the MICH 42 for a 1ST down
+17.2
Q4 4:38
Jordan Marshall run for no gain to the MICH 42
+0.5
Q4 4:38
Benjamin Hall run for no gain to the MICH 42
0.0
Q4 2:34
Timeout Alabama, clock 02:34
+9.3
Q4 2:34
Benjamin Hall run for 2 yds to the MICH 44
0.0
Q4 2:18
Hudson Hollenbeck punt for 50 yds , Ryan Williams returns for 38 yds to the ALA 44
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Michigan, clock 02:00
-21.1
Q4 2:00
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for 5 yds to the ALA 49
+0.3
Q4 2:00
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete
-0.3
Q4 2:00
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 11 yds to the MICH 40 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 2:00
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete
-0.2
Q4 2:00
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jam Miller for 25 yds to the MICH 15 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 2:00
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete
-2.2
Q4 2:00
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 0:56
Timeout Alabama, clock 00:56
+2.0
Q4 0:56
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 0:49
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete
+3.0
Q4 0:49
[SG] Kneel down by ORJI, Alex at MIC14 (team loss of 1).
+19.9
Q4 0:00
[SG] Kneel down by ORJI, Alex at MIC13 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
+0.3
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:00
Timeout Michigan, clock 02:00
-21.1
KEY PLAY · Q2 5:56
Rico Scott run for 28 yds to the MICH 43 for a 1ST down
-20.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:49
[SG] Kneel down by ORJI, Alex at MIC14 (team loss of 1).
+19.9