Try the model
LT

Louisiana Tech 6 at Army 27

ARMY
2024 · Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl · Dec 28, 2024 · Independence Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:15 · Evan Bullock pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 133Pregame prior+0.8Home team on offense+32.4Score differential+23.4Garbage-time factor+8.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+3.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:28: Hayden Reed run for 12 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK) — ARMY win probability +3.1 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 14:15: Drew Henderson 27 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +1.7 pts (now 18%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:54: Bryson Daily run for 8 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK) — ARMY win probability +7.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:50: Timeout Louisiana Tech, clock 07:50 — ARMY win probability +4.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:56: Bryson Daily run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — ARMY win probability +2.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 6 of 6LT made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:37LT 4th & 10 at LT 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:07LT 4th & 9 at ARMY 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:07ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    82.6%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:15LT 4th & 5 at ARMY 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−3.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:15ARMY 4th & 3 at LT 42, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    82.8%−0.9
    30% to make
    Punt
    83.1%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:15ARMY 4th & 1 at LT 30, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.6%−0.9
    56% to make
    Punt
    82.0%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:15ARMY 4th & 1 at LT 9, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.5%−0.9
    89% to make
    Punt
    79.8%−3.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:22LT 4th & 12 at ARMY 47, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:44ARMY 4th & 9 at LT 35, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:11LT 4th & 22 at ARMY 26, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−1.5
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−2.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:31LT 4th & 2 at ARMY 2, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:12LT 4th & 6 at ARMY 40, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:11ARMY 4th & 7 at LT 11, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:15LT 4th & 5 at LT 25, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:32ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:28ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:54ARMY Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:56ARMY Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:2317% → 17%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
83.0%
Omiri Wiggins run for 3 yds to the LT 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+10
83.0%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 10 yds to the LT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
83.0%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
83.0%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
82.6%
Patrick Rea punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 4:0583% → 83%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
82.6%
Bryson Daily run for 7 yds to the ARMY 27Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+9
82.6%
Hayden Reed run for 9 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
82.7%
Hayden Reed run for 15 yds to the LT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
82.7%
Noah Short run for 17 yds to the LT 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
82.8%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+12
82.8%
Bryson Daily run for 12 yds to the LT 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
82.8%
Hayden Reed run for 5 yds to the LT 15Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+15
83.1%
Bryson Daily run for 15 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:1818% → 18%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
82.5%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Eli Finley for 8 yds to the LT 48Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+3
82.3%
Fred Robertson run for 3 yds to the ARMY 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
82.3%
Evan Bullock run for no gain to the ARMY 49Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
82.4%
Jimmy Holiday run for 1 yd to the ARMY 48Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
82.5%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:07
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
82.5%
Patrick Rea punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:3983% → 86%
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
82.6%
Hayden Reed run for 2 yds to the ARMY 22Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
82.5%
Noah Short run for 3 yds to the ARMY 25Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+4
82.4%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ARMY 29Similar
Q1 7:07
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+4
82.3%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ARMY 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
82.6%
Carson Smith run for 3 yds to the ARMY 36Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+16
82.8%
Tyrell Robinson run for 16 yds to the LT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
83.0%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Demarcus Griffin-Taylor) to the LT 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
83.0%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the LT 20Similar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 5
OPP 20
+3
83.0%
Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the LT 17Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+5
83.0%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the LT 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
86.1%
Hayden Reed run for 12 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5FG
7 plays · 56 yds · 2:1315% → 18%
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
84.6%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim for 7 yds to the LT 42Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+27
84.3%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Eli Finley for 27 yds to the ARMY 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+17
83.9%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 17 yds to the ARMY 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
83.8%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
83.9%
Marquis Crosby run for 4 yds to the ARMY 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+1
84.2%
Tru Edwards run for 1 yd to the ARMY 9Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+27
82.5%
Drew Henderson 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6TD
22 plays · 75 yds · 12:2183% → 91%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
83.2%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ARMY 26Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
83.2%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ARMY 27Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+13
82.8%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 13 yds to the ARMY 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
83.7%
Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the ARMY 46Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+5
83.8%
Hayden Reed run for 5 yds to the LT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
83.8%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the LT 48Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+2
83.8%
Carson Smith run for 2 yds to the LT 46Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+4
83.4%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the LT 42Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 3
OPP 42
+3
83.1%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the LT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
83.8%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
83.8%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the LT 37Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+5
83.5%
DAILY, Bryson pass to the right incomplete intended for REYNOLDS, Casey broken up by SHELBY JR., Jhamal at the TECH30. PENALTY TECH Offsides on FOSTER, Jakari enforced 5 yards from the TECH37 to the TECH32. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+2
83.5%
Hayden Reed run for 2 yds to the LT 30Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+2
83.2%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the LT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
83.9%
Noah Short run for a loss of 1 yard to the LT 29Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+5
83.8%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the LT 24Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+6
83.6%
Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the LT 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
83.8%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+3
83.8%
Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the LT 15Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+6
83.6%
Tyrell Robinson run for 6 yds to the LT 9Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+1
83.2%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the LT 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
90.9%
Bryson Daily run for 8 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 1:2210% → 9%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
89.8%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
90.0%
Amani Givens run for a loss of 1 yard to the LT 35Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+20
90.4%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim for 20 yds to the ARMY 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 2
OPP 37
-4
88.8%
Evan Bullock sacked by Deshontez Gray for a loss of 4 yards to the ARMY 41Similar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
89.5%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 8 yds to the ARMY 37Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 6
OPP 41
-6
89.5%
Evan Bullock sacked by Kalib Fortner for a loss of 6 yards to the ARMY 47Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
90.6%
Patrick Rea punt for 43 yds, downed at the ARMY 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
91.4%
Kneel down by DAILY, Bryson at ARMY3 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9DOWNS
14 plays · 40 yds · 7:1691% → 95%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.7%
Hayden Reed run for no gain to the ARMY 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.7%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the ARMY 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
90.4%
Hayden Reed run for 9 yds to the ARMY 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
91.0%
Hayden Reed run for 4 yds to the ARMY 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+5
91.0%
Hayden Reed run for 5 yds to the ARMY 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+3
90.6%
Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the LT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
91.1%
Jake Rendina run for 6 yds to the LT 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+2
90.9%
Tyrell Robinson run for 2 yds to the LT 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+5
90.5%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the LT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
91.1%
Noah Short run for no gain to the LT 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
91.0%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+1
95.5%
Tyrell Robinson run for 1 yd to the LT 35Similar
Q3 7:44
4TH & 9
OPP 35
0
95.1%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10FG
12 plays · 39 yds · 5:337% → 6%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
93.5%
Omiri Wiggins run for 3 yds to the LT 38Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+8
93.4%
Omiri Wiggins run for 8 yds to the LT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
93.4%
Omiri Wiggins run for 8 yds to the ARMY 46Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+6
93.0%
Omiri Wiggins run for 6 yds to the ARMY 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
93.2%
Omiri Wiggins run for 1 yd to the ARMY 39Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+2
93.2%
Marquis Crosby run for 2 yds to the ARMY 37Similar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+23
93.3%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 23 yds to the ARMY 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-10
92.5%
CROSBY, Marquis rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the ARMY9 (DIDOMENICO, Max;THOMAS, Andon). PENALTY TECH Holding on IBRAHIM, Abdul-Fatai enforced 10 yards from the ARMY14 to the ARMY24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 20
OPP 24
-4
92.9%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for a loss of 4 yards to the ARMY 28Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 24
OPP 28
+2
92.9%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 2 yds to the ARMY 26Similar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 22
OPP 26
0
93.5%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:11
4TH & 22
OPP 26
+44
93.6%
Drew Henderson 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:1595% → 99%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.9%
Hayden Reed run for 6 yds to the ARMY 31Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
95.0%
Bryson Daily run for 9 yds to the ARMY 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
95.2%
Hayden Reed run for 5 yds to the ARMY 45Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+52
95.7%
Bryson Daily pass complete to David Crossan for 52 yds to the LT 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.7%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12INT
10 plays · 62 yds · 4:192% → 1%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
98.4%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 17 yds to the ARMY 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
98.4%
Omiri Wiggins run for 4 yds to the ARMY 43Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+7
98.4%
Omiri Wiggins run for 7 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
98.4%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 5 yds to the ARMY 31Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+3
97.9%
Amani Givens run for 3 yds to the ARMY 28Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+26
98.1%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 26 yds to the ARMY 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.8%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.9%
Amani Givens run for no gain to the ARMY 2Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.1%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.8%
Evan Bullock pass intercepted, touchback. Jaydan Mayes return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:5499% → 99%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
98.9%
Hayden Reed run for 11 yds to the ARMY 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.0%
Hayden Reed run for 4 yds to the ARMY 35Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+7
99.0%
Bryson Daily run for 7 yds to the ARMY 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
99.1%
Miles Stewart run for 2 yds to the ARMY 44 Miles Stewart fumbled, recovered by LT Isaiah Mcelvane I. Mcelvane return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:251% → 1%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.0%
Marquis Crosby run for 4 yds to the ARMY 40Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
98.9%
Marquis Crosby run for no gain to the ARMY 40Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
99.0%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:12
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
99.1%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15MISSED FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 5:0199% → 100%
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.2%
Hayden Reed run for 6 yds to the ARMY 46Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+15
99.2%
DAILY, Bryson pass to the left incomplete intended for REYNOLDS, Casey thrown to the TECH43. PENALTY TECH Pass Interference on FIELDS, Jacob enforced 15 yards to the TECH39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.2%
Hayden Reed run for 5 yds to the LT 34Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+7
99.3%
Carson Smith run for 7 yds to the LT 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
99.3%
Bryson Daily run for 7 yds to the LT 20Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+6
99.3%
Carson Smith run for 6 yds to the LT 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
99.3%
Bryson Daily run for a loss of 2 yards to the LT 16Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+5
99.2%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the LT 11Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
99.2%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:11
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+28
99.5%
Trey Gronotte 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:561% → 1%
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.5%
Fred Robertson run for 2 yds to the LT 22Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
99.5%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+3
99.5%
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 3 yds to the LT 25Similar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Evan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17END OF GAME
3 plays · 4 yds · 1:15100% → 100%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.7%
Bryson Daily pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
99.7%
Carson Smith run for 3 yds to the LT 22Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+1
99.7%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the LT 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:54
Bryson Daily run for 8 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
+7.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 7:50
Timeout Louisiana Tech, clock 07:50
+4.1
TD · Q1 1:28
Hayden Reed run for 12 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
+3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com