ARDLINETry the model
LT

Louisiana Tech 6 at Army 27

A
2024 · Week 1 · Dec 29, 2024 · Independence Stadium
Win probability · A
modelA aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey play
Q1Q2Q3Q4KEY PLAYTDTDKEY PLAYFGKEY PLAYTDKEY PLAY
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
Omiri Wiggins run for 3 yds to the LT 38
0.0
Q1 15:00
Evan Bullock pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 10 yds to the LT 48 for a 1ST down
-0.7
Q1 15:00
Evan Bullock pass incomplete
-1.0
Q1 15:00
Evan Bullock pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 13:37
Patrick Rea punt for 52 yds for a touchback
-0.3
Q1 13:37
Bryson Daily run for 7 yds to the ARMY 27
+3.4
Q1 13:37
Hayden Reed run for 9 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 13:37
Hayden Reed run for 15 yds to the LT 49 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q1 13:37
Noah Short run for 17 yds to the LT 32 for a 1ST down
+1.0
Q1 13:37
Bryson Daily pass incomplete
+0.2
Q1 13:37
Bryson Daily run for 12 yds to the LT 20 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 13:37
Hayden Reed run for 5 yds to the LT 15
0.0
Q1 9:32
Bryson Daily run for 15 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
+6.4
Q1 9:25
Evan Bullock pass complete to Eli Finley for 8 yds to the LT 48
-1.2
Q1 9:25
Fred Robertson run for 3 yds to the ARMY 49 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q1 9:25
Evan Bullock run for no gain to the ARMY 49
-0.1
Q1 9:25
Jimmy Holiday run for 1 yd to the ARMY 48
0.0
Q1 9:25
Evan Bullock pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 7:07
Patrick Rea punt for 48 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q1 7:07
Hayden Reed run for 2 yds to the ARMY 22
+1.1
Q1 7:07
Noah Short run for 3 yds to the ARMY 25
0.0
Q1 7:07
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ARMY 29
0.0
Q1 7:07
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ARMY 33 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q1 7:07
Carson Smith run for 3 yds to the ARMY 36
+0.2
Q1 7:07
Tyrell Robinson run for 16 yds to the LT 48 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q1 7:07
Louisiana Tech Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Demarcus Griffin-Taylor) to the LT 25 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q1 7:07
Louisiana Tech Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the LT 20
0.0
Q1 7:07
Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the LT 17
0.0
Q1 7:07
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the LT 12 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 1:28
Hayden Reed run for 12 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
+6.2
Q1 1:28
Evan Bullock pass complete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim for 7 yds to the LT 42
-2.2
Q1 1:28
Evan Bullock pass complete to Eli Finley for 27 yds to the ARMY 31 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 1:28
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 17 yds to the ARMY 14 for a 1ST down
-0.5
Q1 1:28
Evan Bullock pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 0:00
Marquis Crosby run for 4 yds to the ARMY 10
-0.1
Q2 15:00
Tru Edwards run for 1 yd to the ARMY 9
0.0
Q2 14:15
Drew Henderson 27 yd FG GOOD
-2.9
Q2 14:15
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ARMY 26
+3.6
Q2 14:15
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ARMY 27
0.0
Q2 14:15
Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 13 yds to the ARMY 40 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 14:15
Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the ARMY 46
+0.1
Q2 14:15
Hayden Reed run for 5 yds to the LT 49 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 14:15
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the LT 48
0.0
Q2 14:15
Carson Smith run for 2 yds to the LT 46
0.0
Q2 14:15
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the LT 42
-0.1
Q2 14:15
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the LT 39 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 14:15
Bryson Daily pass incomplete
+0.1
Q2 14:15
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the LT 37
0.0
Q2 14:15
DAILY, Bryson pass to the right incomplete intended for REYNOLDS, Casey broken up by SHELBY JR., Jhamal at the TECH30. PENALTY TECH Offsides on FOSTER, Jakari enforced 5 yards from the TECH37 to the TECH32. NO PLAY (replay the down).
-0.1
Q2 14:15
Hayden Reed run for 2 yds to the LT 30
0.0
Q2 14:15
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the LT 28 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q2 14:15
Noah Short run for a loss of 1 yard to the LT 29
+0.1
Q2 14:15
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the LT 24
0.0
Q2 14:15
Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the LT 18 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q2 14:15
Bryson Daily pass incomplete
+0.1
Q2 14:15
Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the LT 15
0.0
Q2 14:15
Tyrell Robinson run for 6 yds to the LT 9
-0.1
Q2 14:15
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the LT 8 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q2 1:54
Bryson Daily run for 8 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
+3.8
Q2 1:44
Evan Bullock pass incomplete
-1.0
Q2 1:44
Amani Givens run for a loss of 1 yard to the LT 35
0.0
Q2 1:44
Evan Bullock pass complete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim for 20 yds to the ARMY 45 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:44
Timeout Louisiana Tech, clock 01:44
-0.2
Q2 1:44
Evan Bullock sacked by Deshontez Gray for a loss of 4 yards to the ARMY 41
0.0
Q2 0:44
Timeout Louisiana Tech, clock 00:44
+0.1
Q2 0:44
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 8 yds to the ARMY 37
0.0
Q2 0:32
Timeout Army, clock 00:32
-0.5
Q2 0:32
Evan Bullock sacked by Kalib Fortner for a loss of 6 yards to the ARMY 47
0.0
Q2 0:22
Patrick Rea punt for 43 yds, downed at the ARMY 4
-0.1
Q2 0:00
Kneel down by DAILY, Bryson at ARMY3 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
+1.5
Q3 15:00
Hayden Reed run for no gain to the ARMY 25
+0.1
Q3 15:00
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the ARMY 30
0.0
Q3 15:00
Hayden Reed run for 9 yds to the ARMY 39 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 15:00
Hayden Reed run for 4 yds to the ARMY 43
0.0
Q3 15:00
Hayden Reed run for 5 yds to the ARMY 48
0.0
Q3 15:00
Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the LT 49 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 15:00
Jake Rendina run for 6 yds to the LT 43
0.0
Q3 15:00
Tyrell Robinson run for 2 yds to the LT 41
0.0
Q3 15:00
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the LT 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 15:00
Noah Short run for no gain to the LT 36
0.0
Q3 15:00
Bryson Daily pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 7:50
Timeout Louisiana Tech, clock 07:50
+0.6
Q3 7:50
Tyrell Robinson run for 1 yd to the LT 35
0.0
Q3 7:44
Bryson Daily pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 7:44
Omiri Wiggins run for 3 yds to the LT 38
-1.0
Q3 7:44
Omiri Wiggins run for 8 yds to the LT 46 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 7:44
Omiri Wiggins run for 8 yds to the ARMY 46
0.0
Q3 7:44
Omiri Wiggins run for 6 yds to the ARMY 40 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 7:44
Omiri Wiggins run for 1 yd to the ARMY 39
0.0
Q3 7:44
Marquis Crosby run for 2 yds to the ARMY 37
0.0
Q3 7:44
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 23 yds to the ARMY 14 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 7:44
CROSBY, Marquis rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the ARMY9 (DIDOMENICO, Max;THOMAS, Andon). PENALTY TECH Holding on IBRAHIM, Abdul-Fatai enforced 10 yards from the ARMY14 to the ARMY24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
-0.1
Q3 7:44
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for a loss of 4 yards to the ARMY 28
0.0
Q3 7:44
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 2 yds to the ARMY 26
0.0
Q3 7:44
Evan Bullock pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 2:11
Drew Henderson 44 yd FG GOOD
-1.7
Q3 2:11
Hayden Reed run for 6 yds to the ARMY 31
+1.9
Q3 2:11
Bryson Daily run for 9 yds to the ARMY 40 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 2:11
Hayden Reed run for 5 yds to the ARMY 45
0.0
Q3 0:00
Bryson Daily pass complete to David Crossan for 52 yds to the LT 3 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q4 14:56
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+1.3
Q4 14:50
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 17 yds to the ARMY 47 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q4 14:50
Omiri Wiggins run for 4 yds to the ARMY 43
0.0
Q4 14:50
Omiri Wiggins run for 7 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 14:50
Evan Bullock pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 5 yds to the ARMY 31
0.0
Q4 14:50
Amani Givens run for 3 yds to the ARMY 28
0.0
Q4 14:50
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 26 yds to the ARMY 2 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 14:50
Evan Bullock pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 14:50
Amani Givens run for no gain to the ARMY 2
0.0
Q4 14:50
Evan Bullock pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 10:31
Evan Bullock pass intercepted, touchback. Jaydan Mayes return for no gain
0.0
Q4 10:31
Hayden Reed run for 11 yds to the ARMY 31 for a 1ST down
+0.4
Q4 10:31
Hayden Reed run for 4 yds to the ARMY 35
0.0
Q4 10:31
Bryson Daily run for 7 yds to the ARMY 42 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 8:37
Miles Stewart run for 2 yds to the ARMY 44 Miles Stewart fumbled, recovered by LT Isaiah Mcelvane I. Mcelvane return for 0 yds
0.0
Q4 8:37
Marquis Crosby run for 4 yds to the ARMY 40
-0.4
Q4 8:37
Marquis Crosby run for no gain to the ARMY 40
0.0
Q4 8:37
Evan Bullock pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 7:12
Evan Bullock pass incomplete
-0.1
Q4 7:12
Hayden Reed run for 6 yds to the ARMY 46
+0.6
Q4 7:12
DAILY, Bryson pass to the left incomplete intended for REYNOLDS, Casey thrown to the TECH43. PENALTY TECH Pass Interference on FIELDS, Jacob enforced 15 yards to the TECH39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
0.0
Q4 7:12
Hayden Reed run for 5 yds to the LT 34
0.0
Q4 7:12
Carson Smith run for 7 yds to the LT 27 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 7:12
Bryson Daily run for 7 yds to the LT 20
0.0
Q4 7:12
Carson Smith run for 6 yds to the LT 14 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 7:12
Bryson Daily run for a loss of 2 yards to the LT 16
0.0
Q4 7:12
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the LT 11
0.0
Q4 7:12
Bryson Daily pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 2:11
Trey Gronotte 28 yd FG MISSED
0.0
Q4 2:11
Fred Robertson run for 2 yds to the LT 22
-0.5
Q4 2:11
Evan Bullock pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 2:11
Evan Bullock pass complete to Tru Edwards for 3 yds to the LT 25
0.0
Q4 1:15
Evan Bullock pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 1:15
Bryson Daily pass incomplete
+0.5
Q4 1:15
Carson Smith run for 3 yds to the LT 22
0.0
Q4 0:00
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the LT 21
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 9:32
Bryson Daily run for 15 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
+6.4
TD · Q1 1:28
Hayden Reed run for 12 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
+6.2
TD · Q2 1:54
Bryson Daily run for 8 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
+3.8
YardLine · model v2Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com