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BC

Boston College 15 at Nebraska 20

NEB
2024 · Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl · Dec 28, 2024 · Yankee Stadium
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:25 · Grayson James pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 51Home team on offense+3.0Pregame prior+7.2Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential+1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:39: Kwinten Ives 2 Yd Run (John Hohl PAT blocked) — NEB win probability +6.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:02: Emmett Johnson 13 Yd pass from Dylan Raiola (John Hohl Kick) — NEB win probability +9.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:18: Jordan McDonald 2 Yd Run (Liam Connor Kick) — BC win probability +25.2 pts (now 29%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:11: Luca Lombardo kickoff for 61 yds , Jacory Barney Jr. return for 17 yds to the NEB 21 — NEB win probability +7.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:40: Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 15 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST down — NEB win probability +8.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 6BC made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 6:28BC 4th & 12 at NEB 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    38.7%−1.2
    average punt
  2. Q2 8:08BC 4th & 14 at NEB 37, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.2%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    31.8%
    40% to make
    Punt
    31.5%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:25BC 4th & 7 at NEB 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    31.9%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    30.9%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:39BC 4th & 1 at NEB 9, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    24.9%−1.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−6.2
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:27BC 4th & 8 at BC 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:25NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 45, up 11
    Close callWent for it · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.8%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    79.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:15NEB 4th & 5 at BC 5, up 11
    Close callWent for it · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    80.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    73.8%−6.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:02NEB 4th & 3 at BC 13, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    83.7%−0.5
    85% to make
    Punt
    78.7%−5.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:19BC 4th & 2 at NEB 2, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    -1.1%−7.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:03NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 17, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:22NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 31, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:00NEB 4th & 3 at BC 35, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    89.7%−1.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    88.2%−3.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:56NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:39NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:02NEB Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:11BC Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    6.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.7%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:18BC Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.8%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1INT
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:5462% → 62%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
62.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the NEB 31Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+29
62.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 29 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
62.2%
Emmett Johnson run for no gain to the BC 40Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+14
62.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 14 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
62.4%
Dylan Raiola pass intercepted KP Price return for no gain to the BC 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2MISSED FG
11 plays · 68 yds · 5:3738% → 38%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
62.0%
Kye Robichaux run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 5Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 12
OWN 5
0
62.0%
Kye Robichaux run for no gain to the BC 5Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 12
OWN 5
+50
62.1%
Grayson James pass complete to Turbo Richard for 50 yds to the NEB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
61.4%
Turbo Richard run for 1 yd to the NEB 44Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+10
61.3%
Grayson James pass complete to Reed Harris for 10 yds to the NEB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
61.2%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+11
61.0%
Kye Robichaux run for 11 yds to the NEB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
60.7%
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the NEB 21Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+3
60.5%
Grayson James pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 3 yds to the NEB 18Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 5
OPP 18
-7
60.7%
Grayson James sacked by Ty Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the NEB 25Similar
Q1 6:28
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+43
61.7%
Liam Connor 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:2462% → 68%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
61.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 27Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
61.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Janiran Bonner for 9 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
61.9%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+12
61.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 12 yds to the NEB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
62.5%
Rahmir Johnson run for 6 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 4
OPP 46
0
62.7%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+5
62.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
62.8%
Emmett Johnson run for no gain to the BC 41Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+14
62.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Luke Lindenmeyer for 14 yds to the BC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
63.3%
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+8
63.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Heinrich Haarberg for 8 yds to the BC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
63.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 6 yds to the BC 11Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+2
63.4%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 2 yds to the BC 9Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+5
62.9%
Rahmir Johnson run for 5 yds to the BC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
68.0%
Rahmir Johnson 4 Yd Run (John Hohl Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4DOWNS
13 plays · 40 yds · 6:2234% → 31%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
66.0%
Jordan McDonald run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 30Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+4
66.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 4 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+14
67.0%
Grayson James run for 14 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-8
65.5%
Grayson James sacked by Vincent Shavers Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the BC 40 Grayson James fumbled, forced by Vincent Shavers Jr., recovered by BC Grayson James , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 18
OWN 40
+5
66.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 5 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 13
OWN 45
+22
67.3%
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 22 yds to the NEB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
64.7%
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the NEB 31Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 8
OPP 31
-2
65.0%
Jordan McDonald run for a loss of 2 yards to the NEB 33Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 10
OPP 33
-12
65.7%
Grayson James pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 3 yds to the NEB 30 Boston College Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the NEB 45Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 22
OPP 45
+8
67.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Johnathan Montague Jr. for 8 yds to the NEB 37Similar
Q2 8:08
4TH & 14
OPP 37
+8
69.1%
Grayson James run for 8 yds to the NEB 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5FUMBLE
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
69.2%
Emmett Johnson run for 7 yds to the NEB 36 Emmett Johnson fumbled, forced by Omar Thornton, recovered by BC Josiah GriffinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6DOWNS
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0534% → 32%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
66.2%
Turbo Richard run for 3 yds to the NEB 33Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
64.8%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:19
3RD & 7
OPP 33
-5
66.5%
Boston College Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NEB 38Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+5
67.8%
Grayson James run for 5 yds to the NEB 33Similar
Q2 6:25
4TH & 7
OPP 33
0
68.0%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 2:1470% → 79%
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
69.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 13 yds to the NEB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
71.7%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jaylen Lloyd for 7 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 3
OPP 47
0
72.0%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
71.2%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:06
4TH & 3
OPP 47
+5
70.2%
Boston College Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+18
72.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 18 yds to the BC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+22
72.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for 22 yds to the BC 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
79.0%
Kwinten Ives 2 Yd Run (John Hohl PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8DOWNS
15 plays · 71 yds · 2:2125% → 24%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
74.7%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
75.3%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+15
76.2%
Grayson James pass complete to Reed Harris for 15 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
74.6%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
74.9%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+23
75.8%
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 23 yds to the NEB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
73.0%
Grayson James run for 11 yds to the NEB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
71.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 5 yds to the NEB 23Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+5
71.7%
Nebraska Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the NEB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
72.1%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+9
72.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 9 yds to the NEB 9Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 1
OPP 9
0
73.3%
Grayson James pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for no gain to the NEB 9Similar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 1
OPP 9
0
76.0%
Kye Robichaux run for no gain to the NEB 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
78.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0823% → 21%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
77.1%
Kye Robichaux run for 5 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 5
OWN 33
-3
76.9%
Kye Robichaux run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 30Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
78.3%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:27
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
79.0%
Liam Connor punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NEB 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11DOWNS
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:5580% → 81%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
80.0%
Emmett Johnson run for 7 yds to the NEB 47Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-15
80.3%
Nebraska Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (-15 Yards) to the NEB 32Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 18
OWN 32
+3
79.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 3 yds to the NEB 35Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 15
OWN 35
+10
78.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 10 yds to the NEB 45Similar
Q3 11:25
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+8
79.2%
Brian Buschini pass complete to Isaac Gifford for 8 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
81.6%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+34
82.2%
Emmett Johnson run for 34 yds to the BC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
82.7%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the BC 5Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
83.0%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
82.4%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
81.4%
Brian Buschini run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12FUMBLE
5 plays · 43 yds · 1:3419% → 21%
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+34
80.7%
Grayson James pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 34 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
79.3%
Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the BC 42Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+10
79.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 10 yds to the NEB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
78.4%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-2
78.9%
Grayson James sacked by John Bullock for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line Grayson James fumbled, forced by John Bullock, recovered by NEB Elijah Jeudy , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:4385% → 93%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
50
+1
84.5%
Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the BC 49Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+9
85.1%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 9 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+20
85.2%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 20 yds to the BC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
85.3%
Dylan Raiola pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
85.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 5 yds to the BC 15Similar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+2
85.5%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 2 yds to the BC 13Similar
Q3 3:02
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+13
92.9%
Emmett Johnson 13 Yd pass from Dylan Raiola (John Hohl Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14DOWNS
15 plays · 33 yds · 4:108% → 6%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
91.8%
Turbo Richard run for 2 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+11
92.0%
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 11 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
92.0%
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 5 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+8
92.1%
Grayson James pass complete to Kamari Morales for 8 yds to the NEB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
91.9%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+11
92.5%
Grayson James pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 11 yds to the NEB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-4
92.4%
Grayson James run for a loss of 4 yards to the NEB 39Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 14
OPP 39
+20
93.3%
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 5 yds to the NEB 34 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the NEB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
92.3%
Grayson James pass complete to Turbo Richard for 12 yds to the NEB 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
92.5%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
93.1%
Grayson James run for 5 yds to the NEB 2Similar
Q4 13:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
93.7%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
93.7%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:4798% → 99%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
97.9%
Emmett Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 1Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 11
OWN 1
+7
97.9%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 7 yds to the NEB 8Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+8
98.0%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Luke Lindenmeyer for 8 yds to the NEB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
98.5%
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the NEB 20Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 6
OWN 20
0
98.4%
Emmett Johnson run for no gain to the NEB 20Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 6
OWN 20
-3
98.5%
Dylan Raiola sacked by Daveon Crouch for a loss of 3 yards to the NEB 17Similar
Q4 9:03
4TH & 9
OWN 17
0
98.6%
Brian Buschini punt for 47 yds, downed at the BC 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 2:464% → 10%
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
95.9%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+21
96.1%
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 21 yds to the NEB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
95.9%
Nebraska Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the NEB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
95.3%
Grayson James pass complete to Jordan McDonald for 5 yds to the NEB 23Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+6
95.4%
Grayson James pass complete to Kamari Morales for 6 yds to the NEB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
95.5%
Grayson James pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 4 yds to the NEB 13Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
95.5%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+12
96.1%
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 12 yds to the NEB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 0
OPP 1
0
94.9%
Nebraska Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) to the NEB 1Similar
Q4 6:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.8%
Turbo Richard 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:3096% → 97%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.9%
Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the NEB 30Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
96.1%
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the NEB 31Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
96.3%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for no gain to the NEB 31Similar
Q4 4:22
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+17
96.6%
TEAM punt blocked by Victor Nelson blocked by Victor Nelson TEAM punt 0 yards to the NEB31, recovered by BOSTONCOLL Thornton, Omar at NEB19, Thornton, Omar for 17 yards to the NEB2 (blocked by Nelson, Victor). Omar Thornton return for 17 yds to the NEB 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q4 4:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
71.4%
Jordan McDonald 2 Yd Run (Liam Connor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19END OF GAME
13 plays · 45 yds · 3:4088% → 96%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
87.8%
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 15 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
88.8%
Dylan Raiola run for 5 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST down Boston College Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
90.6%
Rahmir Johnson run for 5 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+3
91.7%
Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+1
92.3%
Dylan Raiola run for 1 yd to the BC 35Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+11
94.0%
Rahmir Johnson run for 11 yds to the BC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
95.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 26Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 12
OPP 26
-5
95.7%
Nebraska Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BC 31Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 17
OPP 31
-2
96.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 33Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 19
OPP 33
-1
96.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:18
Jordan McDonald 2 Yd Run (Liam Connor Kick)
-25.2
TD · Q3 3:02
Emmett Johnson 13 Yd pass from Dylan Raiola (John Hohl Kick)
+9.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:40
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 15 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST down
+8.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com