ARDLINETry the model
BC

Boston College 15 at Nebraska 20

N
2024 · Week 1 · Dec 28, 2024 · Yankee Stadium
Win probability · N
modelN aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey play
Q1Q2Q3Q4KEY PLAYTDTDKEY PLAYKEY PLAYTDTDKEY PLAY
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 14:54
Luca Lombardo kickoff for 60 yds , Jeremiah Charles return for 23 yds to the NEB 28
0.0
Q1 14:30
Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the NEB 31
+2.4
Q1 14:06
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 29 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 13:23
Emmett Johnson run for no gain to the BC 40
+2.3
Q1 12:40
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 14 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 12:36
Dylan Raiola pass intercepted KP Price return for no gain to the BC 7
0.0
Q1 12:05
Kye Robichaux run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 5
-5.3
Q1 11:36
Kye Robichaux run for no gain to the BC 5
0.0
Q1 11:00
Grayson James pass complete to Turbo Richard for 50 yds to the NEB 45 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 10:30
Turbo Richard run for 1 yd to the NEB 44
-2.2
Q1 9:37
Grayson James pass complete to Reed Harris for 10 yds to the NEB 34 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 9:23
Grayson James pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 8:51
Kye Robichaux run for 11 yds to the NEB 23 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q1 8:00
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the NEB 21
0.0
Q1 7:23
Grayson James pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 3 yds to the NEB 18
0.0
Q1 6:37
Grayson James sacked by Ty Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the NEB 25
-0.7
Q1 6:28
Liam Connor 43 yd FG MISSED
+0.4
Q1 6:20
Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 27
+4.5
Q1 5:55
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Janiran Bonner for 9 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 5:30
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete
+0.2
Q1 4:50
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 12 yds to the NEB 48 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 4:45
Rahmir Johnson run for 6 yds to the BC 46
+0.8
Q1 4:17
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete
+0.9
Q1 3:40
Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST down
-1.0
Q1 3:20
Emmett Johnson run for no gain to the BC 41
+0.6
Q1 3:00
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Luke Lindenmeyer for 14 yds to the BC 27 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 2:20
Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the BC 25
0.0
Q1 1:20
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Heinrich Haarberg for 8 yds to the BC 17 for a 1ST down
+2.1
Q1 0:45
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 6 yds to the BC 11
0.0
Q1 0:25
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for 2 yds to the BC 9
0.0
Q1 0:00
Rahmir Johnson run for 5 yds to the BC 4 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q2 14:56
Rahmir Johnson 4 Yd Run (John Hohl Kick)
+15.5
Q2 14:50
Brian Buschini kickoff for 59 yds , Johnathan Montague Jr. return for 25 yds to the BC 31
-1.2
Q2 14:30
Jordan McDonald run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 30
-3.7
Q2 13:40
Grayson James pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 4 yds to the BC 34
0.0
Q2 12:55
Grayson James run for 14 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 12:30
Grayson James sacked by Vincent Shavers Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the BC 40 Grayson James fumbled, forced by Vincent Shavers Jr., recovered by BC Grayson James , return for 0 yards
-1.4
Q2 11:45
Grayson James pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 5 yds to the BC 45
+0.8
Q2 11:20
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 22 yds to the NEB 33 for a 1ST down
-0.9
Q2 10:25
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the NEB 31
-0.9
Q2 9:33
Jordan McDonald run for a loss of 2 yards to the NEB 33
0.0
Q2 9:33
Timeout Nebraska, clock 09:33
+1.8
Q2 9:30
Grayson James pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 3 yds to the NEB 30 Boston College Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the NEB 45
0.0
Q2 9:00
Grayson James pass complete to Johnathan Montague Jr. for 8 yds to the NEB 37
+0.4
Q2 8:08
Grayson James run for 8 yds to the NEB 29
+1.3
Q2 8:00
Emmett Johnson run for 7 yds to the NEB 36 Emmett Johnson fumbled, forced by Omar Thornton, recovered by BC Josiah Griffin
+4.5
Q2 7:30
Turbo Richard run for 3 yds to the NEB 33
-5.3
Q2 7:19
Grayson James pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 7:19
Boston College Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NEB 38
0.0
Q2 6:43
Grayson James run for 5 yds to the NEB 33
0.0
Q2 6:25
Grayson James pass incomplete
+0.8
Q2 5:53
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 13 yds to the NEB 46 for a 1ST down
+4.6
Q2 5:28
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jaylen Lloyd for 7 yds to the BC 47
+0.6
Q2 5:12
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete
+0.4
Q2 5:06
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete
-0.2
Q2 5:06
Boston College Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the BC 42 for a 1ST down
-0.7
Q2 4:30
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 18 yds to the BC 24 for a 1ST down
+1.2
Q2 4:12
Rahmir Johnson run for 22 yds to the BC 2 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 3:39
Kwinten Ives 2 Yd Run (John Hohl PAT blocked)
+12.8
Q2 3:34
Brian Buschini kickoff for 58 yds , Cameron Martinez return for 13 yds to the BC 20
-0.7
Q2 3:00
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 23
-4.0
Q2 2:41
Grayson James pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 2:13
Grayson James pass complete to Reed Harris for 15 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:54
Grayson James pass incomplete
-0.1
Q2 1:48
Grayson James pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 1:34
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 23 yds to the NEB 39 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:34
Grayson James run for 11 yds to the NEB 28 for a 1ST down
-1.1
Q2 1:24
Grayson James pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 5 yds to the NEB 23
-0.7
Q2 1:15
Nebraska Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the NEB 18 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:57
Grayson James pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 0:50
Grayson James pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 9 yds to the NEB 9
0.0
Q2 0:43
Grayson James pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for no gain to the NEB 9
0.0
Q2 0:43
Timeout Boston College, clock 00:43
+1.0
Q2 0:39
Kye Robichaux run for no gain to the NEB 9
0.0
Q2 0:00
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 8
+6.5
Q3 14:56
Brian Buschini kickoff for 50 yds , Cameron Martinez return for 13 yds to the BC 28
-2.6
Q3 14:35
Kye Robichaux run for 5 yds to the BC 33
-1.4
Q3 13:56
Kye Robichaux run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 30
0.0
Q3 13:35
Grayson James pass incomplete
-0.1
Q3 13:27
Liam Connor punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NEB 40
0.0
Q3 13:10
Emmett Johnson run for 7 yds to the NEB 47
+5.5
Q3 12:40
Nebraska Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (-15 Yards) to the NEB 32
0.0
Q3 12:05
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 3 yds to the NEB 35
+0.1
Q3 11:40
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 10 yds to the NEB 45
0.0
Q3 11:25
Brian Buschini pass complete to Isaac Gifford for 8 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST down
-0.6
Q3 10:25
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the BC 43
+0.8
Q3 9:33
Emmett Johnson run for 34 yds to the BC 9 for a 1ST down
+2.6
Q3 9:04
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the BC 5
0.0
Q3 8:29
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 8:24
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete
-0.2
Q3 8:15
Brian Buschini run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 7
-0.3
Q3 7:48
Grayson James pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 34 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST down
-2.1
Q3 7:15
Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the BC 42
0.0
Q3 6:40
Grayson James pass complete to Dino Tomlin for 10 yds to the NEB 48 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 6:22
Grayson James pass incomplete
-0.4
Q3 6:14
Grayson James sacked by John Bullock for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line Grayson James fumbled, forced by John Bullock, recovered by NEB Elijah Jeudy , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard line
0.0
Q3 5:45
Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the BC 49
+4.7
Q3 5:00
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 9 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 4:37
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 20 yds to the BC 20 for a 1ST down
+0.4
Q3 4:17
Dylan Raiola pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 3:42
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 5 yds to the BC 15
0.0
Q3 3:07
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Emmett Johnson for 2 yds to the BC 13
+1.7
Q3 3:07
Timeout Nebraska, clock 03:07
+0.1
Q3 3:02
Emmett Johnson 13 Yd pass from Dylan Raiola (John Hohl Kick)
+8.6
Q3 3:02
Brian Buschini kickoff for 37 yds fair catch by Josiah Griffin at the BC 28
-0.4
Q3 2:29
Turbo Richard run for 2 yds to the BC 30
-1.4
Q3 2:01
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 11 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q3 1:48
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 5 yds to the BC 46
0.0
Q3 1:30
Grayson James pass complete to Kamari Morales for 8 yds to the NEB 46 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 1:25
Timeout Nebraska, clock 01:25
0.0
Q3 1:17
Grayson James pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 1:04
Grayson James pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 11 yds to the NEB 35 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 0:37
Grayson James run for a loss of 4 yards to the NEB 39
-0.3
Q3 0:00
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 5 yds to the NEB 34 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the NEB 19 for a 1ST down
+0.4
Q4 14:50
Grayson James pass complete to Turbo Richard for 12 yds to the NEB 7 for a 1ST down
-0.7
Q4 14:30
Grayson James pass incomplete
+1.0
Q4 13:50
Grayson James run for 5 yds to the NEB 2
0.0
Q4 13:24
Grayson James pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 13:19
Grayson James pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 12:50
Emmett Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 1
+2.4
Q4 12:30
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 7 yds to the NEB 8
0.0
Q4 11:30
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Luke Lindenmeyer for 8 yds to the NEB 16 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q4 10:45
Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the NEB 20
0.0
Q4 10:30
Emmett Johnson run for no gain to the NEB 20
0.0
Q4 9:45
Dylan Raiola sacked by Daveon Crouch for a loss of 3 yards to the NEB 17
-1.2
Q4 9:03
Brian Buschini punt for 47 yds, downed at the BC 36
0.0
Q4 8:57
Grayson James pass incomplete
-2.3
Q4 8:40
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 21 yds to the NEB 43 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 8:20
Nebraska Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the NEB 28 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q4 8:00
Grayson James pass complete to Jordan McDonald for 5 yds to the NEB 23
-0.2
Q4 7:17
Grayson James pass complete to Kamari Morales for 6 yds to the NEB 17 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 7:07
Grayson James pass complete to Jeremiah Franklin for 4 yds to the NEB 13
0.0
Q4 6:58
Grayson James pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 6:27
Grayson James pass complete to Lewis Bond for 12 yds to the NEB 1 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 6:12
Nebraska Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) to the NEB 1
0.0
Q4 6:11
Turbo Richard 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-3.9
Q4 6:11
Luca Lombardo kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+0.4
Q4 5:52
Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the NEB 30
+0.6
Q4 5:00
Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the NEB 31
+0.2
Q4 4:31
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Jacory Barney Jr. for no gain to the NEB 31
0.0
Q4 4:31
Timeout Boston College, clock 04:31
+2.0
Q4 4:22
TEAM punt blocked by Victor Nelson blocked by Victor Nelson TEAM punt 0 yards to the NEB31, recovered by BOSTONCOLL Thornton, Omar at NEB19, Thornton, Omar for 17 yards to the NEB2 (blocked by Nelson, Victor). Omar Thornton return for 17 yds to the NEB 2
0.0
Q4 4:18
Jordan McDonald 2 Yd Run (Liam Connor Kick)
-27.1
Q4 4:11
Luca Lombardo kickoff for 61 yds , Jacory Barney Jr. return for 17 yds to the NEB 21
+4.6
Q4 3:40
Dylan Raiola pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 15 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST down
+12.4
Q4 3:20
Dylan Raiola run for 5 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST down Boston College Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the BC 44 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q4 3:01
Rahmir Johnson run for 5 yds to the BC 39
+0.2
Q4 3:01
Timeout Boston College, clock 03:01
+0.6
Q4 2:58
Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the BC 36
+0.4
Q4 2:58
Timeout Boston College, clock 02:58
0.0
Q4 2:35
Dylan Raiola run for 1 yd to the BC 35
0.0
Q4 2:00
Rahmir Johnson run for 11 yds to the BC 24 for a 1ST down
+3.5
Q4 1:29
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 26
+0.7
Q4 1:20
Nebraska Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BC 31
+0.2
Q4 0:40
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 33
+0.3
Q4 0:00
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 34
+0.3
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:18
Jordan McDonald 2 Yd Run (Liam Connor Kick)
-27.1
TD · Q2 14:56
Rahmir Johnson 4 Yd Run (John Hohl Kick)
+15.5
TD · Q2 3:39
Kwinten Ives 2 Yd Run (John Hohl PAT blocked)
+12.8
YardLine · model v2Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com