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TTU

Texas Tech 26 at Arkansas 39

ARK
2024 · AutoZone Liberty Bowl · Dec 27, 2024 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · ARK
modelARK aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playARK scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDSAFETYTDTDFGFGTDSAFETYFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:09 · Devin Bale punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Coy Eakin at the TTU 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 151Home team on offense+25.6Pregame prior−1.9Score differential+13.9Garbage-time factor+12.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:31: Taylen Green pass complete to Dazmin James for 94 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK) — ARK win probability +8.0 pts (now 57%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:15: J'Koby Williams run for 54 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK) — TTU win probability +7.5 pts (now 48%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:58: Jalin Conyers run for 2 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK) — TTU win probability +13.0 pts (now 54%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 10:52: Matthew Shipley 34 yd FG GOOD — ARK win probability +6.3 pts (now 68%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:07: Taylen Green pass complete to Tyrell Reed Jr. for 47 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK) — ARK win probability +15.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARK made the numbers' call on 5 of 6TTU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:57TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:19TTU 4th & 6 at ARK 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    52.1%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:54TTU 4th & 4 at ARK 4, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    49.7%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    47.1%−2.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:46TTU 4th & 10 at ARK 46, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    34.9%−2.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:59TTU 4th & 2 at ARK 37, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    39.2%−2.0
    40% to make
    Punt
    38.9%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:52ARK 4th & 1 at ARK 47, up 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:30ARK 4th & 1 at ARK 44, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    53.9%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:52ARK 4th & 8 at TTU 16, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    51.5%−9.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:24TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 34, down 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:49ARK 4th & 11 at ARK 45, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:13ARK 4th & 8 at ARK 37, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:39TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:09ARK 4th & 6 at ARK 24, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARK made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TTU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:28ARK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:14ARK Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:31ARK Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:15TTU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:58TTU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:07ARK Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:06TTU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 1:5661% → 61%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.6%
Will Hammond pass incomplete to Jalin ConyersSimilar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
38.6%
J'Koby Williams run for 11 yds to the TTU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
38.8%
J'Koby Williams run for 7 yds to the TTU 43Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 3
OWN 43
-5
38.7%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (Caleb Douglas) to the TTU 38Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
38.9%
Will Hammond pass incomplete to Caleb DouglasSimilar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+4
39.1%
Will Hammond pass complete to Coy Eakin for 4 yds to the TTU 42Similar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
39.2%
Jack Burgess punt for 42 yds , Bryce Stephens returns for no gain to the ARK 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 2TD
3 plays · 84 yds · 1:0939% → 42%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
39.4%
Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the ARK 18Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+70
39.5%
Rodney Hill run for 70 yds to the TTU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
41.5%
Taylen Green run for 12 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3FG
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:4659% → 58%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
41.2%
Will Hammond pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 12 yds to the TTU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+40
41.5%
Will Hammond pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 40 yds to the ARK 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
41.2%
Will Hammond pass incomplete to Caleb DouglasSimilar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+8
41.5%
J'Koby Williams run for 8 yds to the ARK 15Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+1
42.1%
Will Hammond run for 1 yd to the ARK 14Similar
Q1 8:39
4TH & 1
OPP 14
-5
42.6%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (Davion Carter) to the ARK 19Similar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+37
41.6%
Gino Garcia 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 4TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3742% → 46%
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
42.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 18 yds to the ARK 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+56
42.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 56 yds to the TTU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
45.8%
Braylen Russell run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5DOWNS
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:5155% → 52%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
44.7%
Will Hammond pass complete to J'Koby Williams for 8 yds to the TTU 29Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+4
44.6%
J'Koby Williams run for 4 yds to the TTU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
45.2%
J'Koby Williams run for 8 yds to the ARK 41 for a 1ST down Arkansas Penalty, Defensive Holding (Ian Geffrard) to the ARK 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+44
44.7%
Will Hammond pass complete to Mason Tharp for 44 yds to the ARK 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
44.6%
J'Koby Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 6Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
45.0%
Will Hammond pass incomplete to Caleb DouglasSimilar
Q1 4:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
45.6%
J'Koby Williams run for 2 yds to the ARK 4Similar
Q1 3:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
48.3%
Will Hammond pass incomplete to Coy EakinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 6TD
4 plays · 96 yds · 1:1249% → 57%
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
48.8%
Braylen Russell run for 1 yd to the ARK 5Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+6
49.1%
Braylen Russell run for 6 yds to the ARK 11Similar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 3
OWN 11
-5
49.1%
Arkansas Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Fernando Carmona) to the ARK 6Similar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 8
OWN 6
+94
57.2%
Taylen Green pass complete to Dazmin James for 94 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 2:3443% → 40%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
56.6%
Will Hammond pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 8 yds to the TTU 38Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+3
56.3%
Cameron Dickey run for 3 yds to the TTU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
57.2%
Cameron Dickey run for 6 yds to the TTU 47Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
57.6%
Will Hammond pass incomplete to Caleb DouglasSimilar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+7
57.9%
Will Hammond run for 7 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
58.0%
Will Hammond pass incomplete to Caleb DouglasSimilar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
58.5%
Cameron Dickey run for no gain to the ARK 46Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
60.0%
Will Hammond pass incomplete to Caleb DouglasSimilar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
60.4%
Jack Burgess punt for 44 yds, downed at the ARK 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 8SF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:3863% → 61%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
62.5%
Braylen Russell run for 1 yd to the ARK 3Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 9
OWN 3
-1
62.8%
Arkansas Penalty, Delay of Game (-1 Yards) to the ARK 2Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 2
-2
61.1%
Taylen Green sacked by Isaac Smith for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:0042% → 48%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
58.5%
Cameron Dickey run for 5 yds to the TTU 36Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+2
59.2%
Cameron Dickey run for 2 yds to the TTU 38Similar
Q2 12:18
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+5
59.2%
Will Hammond pass complete to Cameron Dickey for 5 yds to the TTU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
60.0%
Cameron Dickey run for 3 yds to the TTU 46Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+54
52.5%
J'Koby Williams run for 54 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 10FUMBLE
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:0754% → 57%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
54.4%
Rodney Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 24Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
54.6%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Dazmin JamesSimilar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+24
54.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Dazmin James for 24 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
56.8%
Rodney Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARK 45 Rodney Hill fumbled, forced by James Hansen, recovered by TTU Charles Esters IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3146% → 42%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
53.8%
J'Koby Williams run for 2 yds to the ARK 43Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+2
54.2%
J'Koby Williams run for 2 yds to the ARK 41Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+4
54.8%
Jalin Conyers run for 4 yds to the ARK 37Similar
Q2 7:59
4TH & 2
OPP 37
-1
57.8%
J'Koby Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3860% → 60%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
59.9%
Braylen Russell run for a loss of 4 yards to the ARK 34Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+12
58.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to CJ Brown for 12 yds to the ARK 46Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+1
60.3%
Braylen Russell run for 1 yd to the ARK 47Similar
Q2 5:52
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
60.1%
Devin Bale punt for 51 yds, downed at the TTU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 98 yds · 3:4738% → 54%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
62.3%
J'Koby Williams run for 2 yds to the TTU 4Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+7
62.7%
Cameron Dickey run for 7 yds to the TTU 11Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+15
63.7%
Cameron Dickey run for 15 yds to the TTU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
63.4%
Will Hammond pass complete to Coy Eakin for 10 yds to the TTU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
63.4%
Cameron Dickey run for 11 yds to the TTU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+47
62.7%
Will Hammond pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 47 yds to the ARK 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
60.7%
Cameron Dickey run for 4 yds to the ARK 2Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
45.6%
Jalin Conyers run for 2 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 14END OF HALF
14 plays · 53 yds · 1:4852% → 64%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to CJ Brown for 5 yds to the ARK 30Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
53.1%
Taylen Green run for 5 yds to the ARK 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
52.9%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Krosse JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
53.0%
Taylen Green run for 6 yds to the ARK 41Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
54.3%
Taylen Green run for 3 yds to the ARK 44Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
52.5%
Braylen Russell run for 2 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
54.4%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+13
53.3%
Taylen Green run for 13 yds to the TTU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
55.3%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Krosse JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+19
55.2%
Taylen Green pass complete to Dazmin James for 19 yds to the TTU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+40
63.8%
Matthew Shipley 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 15FG
11 plays · 78 yds · 3:5857% → 68%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
57.2%
Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the ARK 8Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+27
57.5%
Taylen Green run for 27 yds to the ARK 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
58.8%
Taylen Green run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
50
-1
61.3%
Braylen Russell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 49Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 11
OWN 49
0
60.2%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Braylen RussellSimilar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+33
58.7%
Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 33 yds to the TTU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
63.0%
Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the TTU 16Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
63.4%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Rodney HillSimilar
Q3 10:56
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
62.1%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Isaac TeSlaaSimilar
Q3 10:52
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+34
68.4%
Matthew Shipley 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2233% → 32%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.8%
Will Hammond pass incomplete to J'Koby WilliamsSimilar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
67.2%
J'Koby Williams run for 6 yds to the TTU 31Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
67.6%
Will Hammond pass complete to J'Koby Williams for 3 yds to the TTU 34Similar
Q3 9:24
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
68.4%
Jack Burgess punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Bryce Stephens at the ARK 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 17TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 1:5870% → 85%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
69.8%
Braylen Russell run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 21Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+1
69.7%
Braylen Russell run for 1 yd to the ARK 22Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 11
OWN 22
+31
69.8%
Taylen Green pass complete to CJ Brown for 31 yds to the TTU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
85.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Tyrell Reed Jr. for 47 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18INT
12 plays · 53 yds · 4:0318% → 17%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
82.4%
Cameron Dickey run for 2 yds to the TTU 27Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
82.6%
Will Hammond pass incomplete to Coy EakinSimilar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
83.5%
Will Hammond pass complete to Jordan Brown for 9 yds to the TTU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
82.0%
Cameron Dickey run for 2 yds to the TTU 38Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+9
82.4%
Will Hammond pass complete to Kelby Valsin for 9 yds to the TTU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
82.1%
Will Hammond pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 12 yds to the ARK 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
82.2%
Cameron Dickey run for 6 yds to the ARK 35Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+3
81.0%
Will Hammond pass complete to J'Koby Williams for 3 yds to the ARK 32Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+14
82.7%
J'Koby Williams run for 14 yds to the ARK 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-4
81.8%
Will Hammond pass complete to L.J. Johnson Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the ARK 22Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 14
OPP 22
-26
83.3%
Will Hammond pass intercepted Marquise Robinson return for 26 yds to the ARK 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:4190% → 91%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
90.4%
Rodney Hill run for 3 yds to the ARK 36Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+6
90.8%
Rodney Hill run for 6 yds to the ARK 42Similar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+4
91.0%
Taylen Green run for 4 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
91.8%
Braylen Russell run for 2 yds to the ARK 48Similar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+2
92.3%
Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:57
3RD & 6
50
0
92.1%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Braylen RussellSimilar
Q4 14:57
4TH & 6
50
-5
91.3%
Arkansas Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ARK 45Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
91.1%
Devin Bale punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Jordan Brown at the TTU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20SF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0910% → 7%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
90.1%
J'Koby Williams run for 5 yds to the TTU 7Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 5
OWN 7
-7
93.2%
Will Hammond sacked by Anton Juncaj for a loss of 7 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5794% → 94%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
94.1%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
94.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to CJ Brown for 2 yds to the ARK 37Similar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
94.7%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Isaac TeSlaaSimilar
Q4 13:13
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+32
94.2%
Devin Bale punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Coy Eakin at the TTU 26 Arkansas Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the TTU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:347% → 6%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
93.3%
Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (Caleb Rodkey) to the TTU 26Similar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+3
93.8%
Cameron Dickey run for 3 yds to the TTU 29Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+5
94.1%
Cameron Dickey run for 5 yds to the TTU 34Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
94.2%
Will Hammond pass incomplete to Kelby ValsinSimilar
Q4 11:39
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
94.5%
Jack Burgess punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Bryce Stephens at the ARK 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:2195% → 96%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
95.1%
Braylen Russell run for 7 yds to the ARK 27Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+1
95.5%
Braylen Russell run for 1 yd to the ARK 28Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
95.6%
Braylen Russell run for 1 yd to the ARK 29Similar
Q4 10:17
4TH & 1
OWN 29
-5
95.8%
Arkansas Penalty, False Start (Isaac TeSlaa) to the ARK 24Similar
Q4 10:09
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
95.8%
Devin Bale punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Coy Eakin at the TTU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24INT
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:254% → 5%
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
95.6%
Will Hammond run for 12 yds to the TTU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
95.4%
Will Hammond run for 1 yd to the TTU 37Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-47
95.5%
Will Hammond pass intercepted Miguel Mitchell return for 47 yds to the TTU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 25FG
9 plays · -1 yds · 3:4397% → 99%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
96.9%
Taylen Green run for 1 yd to the TTU 23Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+8
97.2%
Tyrell Reed Jr. run for 8 yds to the TTU 15Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+6
97.2%
Braylen Russell run for 6 yds to the TTU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
97.7%
Taylen Green run for 1 yd to the TTU 8Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 0
OPP 8
-5
98.1%
Arkansas Penalty, False Start (Kobe Branham) to the TTU 13Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+2
98.0%
Rodney Hill run for 2 yds to the TTU 11Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
-14
98.0%
Taylen Green sacked by Isaac Smith and Ashton Hampton for a loss of 14 yards to the TTU 25 Arkansas Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Taylen Green) to the TTU 25Similar
Q4 5:02
4TH & 0
OPP 25
+43
99.1%
Matthew Shipley 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 26TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 1:461% → 4%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+22
99.2%
Will Hammond pass complete to J'Koby Williams for 22 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
99.3%
Will Hammond pass complete to Kelby Valsin for 7 yds to the ARK 41Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+8
99.2%
Will Hammond pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 8 yds to the ARK 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+18
99.2%
Will Hammond pass complete to Coy Eakin for 18 yds to the ARK 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.2%
Will Hammond pass incomplete to J'Koby WilliamsSimilar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
96.0%
Will Hammond pass complete to Coy Eakin for 15 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 27END OF GAME
10 plays · 31 yds · 2:5898% → 99%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
98.1%
Braylen Russell run for 11 yds to the TTU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
98.2%
Braylen Russell run for 8 yds to the TTU 26Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+2
98.5%
Braylen Russell run for 2 yds to the TTU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
98.7%
Braylen Russell run for 6 yds to the TTU 18Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 4
OPP 18
0
98.7%
Braylen Russell run for no gain to the TTU 18Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+6
98.8%
Taylen Green run for 6 yds to the TTU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
98.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TTU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:07
Taylen Green pass complete to Tyrell Reed Jr. for 47 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)
+15.3
TD · Q2 1:58
Jalin Conyers run for 2 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)
-13
TD · Q1 2:31
Taylen Green pass complete to Dazmin James for 94 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)
+8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com