ARDLINETry the model
OKLA

Oklahoma 20 at Navy 21

N
2024 · Week 1 · Dec 27, 2024 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
Win probability · N
modelN aheadOKLA aheadconfidence bandkey play
Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDKEY PLAYKEY PLAYKEY PLAY
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
Lance Gossett kickoff for 40 yds
0.0
Q1 14:50
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 4 yds to the OU 39
-3.0
Q1 14:30
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Zion Ragins for 5 yds to the OU 44
-1.7
Q1 14:15
Gavin Sawchuk run for 3 yds to the OU 47 for a 1ST down
-0.8
Q1 13:50
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 5 yds to the NAVY 48
-0.3
Q1 13:15
Gavin Sawchuk run for 9 yds to the NAVY 39 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q1 12:55
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Jacob Jordan for 9 yds to the NAVY 30
-0.1
Q1 12:25
Gavin Sawchuk run for 4 yds to the NAVY 26 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 12:00
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Ivan Carreon for 5 yds to the NAVY 21
0.0
Q1 11:33
Gavin Sawchuk 21 Yd Run (Zach Schmit Kick)
-14.4
Q1 11:33
Zach Schmit kickoff for 57 yds , Isaiah Bryant return for 17 yds to the NAVY 25
+1.4
Q1 11:20
Alex Tecza run for 2 yds to the NAVY 27
+3.8
Q1 10:40
Blake Horvath run for no gain to the NAVY 27
0.0
Q1 10:00
Blake Horvath pass complete to Nathan Kent for 32 yds to the OU 41 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 9:20
Alex Tecza run for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 43
+2.4
Q1 8:43
Navy Penalty, False Start (Brent Self) to the OU 48
-0.2
Q1 8:20
Alex Tecza run for 7 yds to the OU 41
-0.4
Q1 7:50
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Eli Heidenreich
+0.4
Q1 7:39
Riley Riethman punt for 26 yds, downed at the OU 15
-0.4
Q1 7:35
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incomplete to Sam Franklin
-5.7
Q1 7:32
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incomplete to Sam Franklin
0.0
Q1 7:32
Timeout Oklahoma, clock 07:32
-1.3
Q1 7:20
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 16 yds to the OU 31 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 6:58
Hawkins Jr., Michael pass incomplete to Jordan, Jacob, PENALTY NAVY holding (Duhart, Andrew) 10 yards to the OU41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OU.
0.0
Q1 6:49
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incomplete to Zion Ragins
-1.3
Q1 6:41
Gavin Sawchuk run for 3 yds to the OU 44
0.0
Q1 5:56
Zion Kearney 56 Yd pass from Michael Hawkins Jr. (Zach Schmit Kick)
-6.4
Q1 5:56
Zach Schmit kickoff for 57 yds , Isaiah Bryant return for 29 yds to the NAVY 37
+0.7
Q1 5:45
Blake Horvath run for a loss of 4 yards to the NAVY 33
+0.6
Q1 5:00
Blake Horvath run for 37 yds to the OU 30 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 4:45
Daba Fofana run for 3 yds to the OU 27
+1.8
Q1 3:50
Blake Horvath pass complete to Brandon Chatman for 2 yds to the OU 25
0.0
Q1 3:10
Blake Horvath run for no gain to the OU 25
0.0
Q1 2:27
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Eli Heidenreich
-0.3
Q1 2:20
Taylor Tatum run for 5 yds to the OU 30
-1.4
Q1 1:55
Xavier Robinson run for 3 yds to the OU 33
-1.4
Q1 1:18
Timeout Oklahoma, clock 01:18
0.0
Q1 1:11
Xavier Robinson run for 3 yds to the OU 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 0:00
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Zion Ragins for 2 yds to the OU 38
-0.3
Q2 14:56
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incomplete to Zion Ragins
-0.4
Q2 14:50
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Zion Ragins for 5 yds to the OU 43
0.0
Q2 14:00
Luke Elzinga pass complete to Woodi Washington for 28 yds to the NAVY 29 for a 1ST down
-1.3
Q2 13:30
Michael Hawkins Jr. sacked by Justin Reed for a loss of 3 yards to the NAVY 32
-0.4
Q2 12:50
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Gavin Sawchuk for 4 yds to the NAVY 28 Oklahoma Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ivan Carreon) to the NAVY 38
0.0
Q2 12:15
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Ivan Carreon for 9 yds to the NAVY 29
0.0
Q2 12:00
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Ivan Carreon for 9 yds to the NAVY 20
0.0
Q2 11:46
Xavier Robinson run for no gain to the NAVY 20
-0.1
Q2 11:40
Alex Tecza run for 4 yds to the NAVY 24
+2.1
Q2 11:00
Blake Horvath run for a loss of 2 yards to the NAVY 22
-0.1
Q2 10:26
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Eli Heidenreich
-0.1
Q2 10:15
Riley Riethman punt for 70 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OU 8
0.0
Q2 10:00
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Ivan Carreon for 9 yds to the OU 17
-2.1
Q2 9:50
Gavin Sawchuk run for 4 yds to the OU 21 for a 1ST down
-0.9
Q2 9:21
Hawkins Jr., Michael pass incomplete to Ragins, Zion, PENALTY NAVY pass interference (Oniha, Irabonoise) 15 yards to the OU36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OU.
0.0
Q2 9:10
Gavin Sawchuk run for 3 yds to the OU 39
0.0
Q2 8:35
Gavin Sawchuk run for 6 yds to the OU 45
-0.4
Q2 7:50
Gavin Sawchuk run for no gain to the OU 45
-0.1
Q2 7:16
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for no gain to the OU 45
+0.2
Q2 7:12
Tecza, Alex rush for 1 yard to the OU44, PENALTY OU offside (Ford, Trace) 5 yards to the OU40, NO PLAY.
+3.3
Q2 6:55
Blake Horvath run for no gain to the OU 40
+0.5
Q2 6:15
Blake Horvath run for 4 yds to the OU 36
0.0
Q2 5:45
Blake Horvath pass complete to Cody Howard for 21 yds to the OU 15 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q2 4:50
Alex Tecza run for 1 yd to the OU 14
+0.1
Q2 4:15
Blake Horvath run for 3 yds to the OU 11
0.0
Q2 3:40
Alex Tecza 11 Yd Run (Nathan Kirkwood Kick)
+12.3
Q2 3:40
Lance Gossett kickoff for 64 yds
-2.3
Q2 3:34
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 1 yd to the OU 36
-3.6
Q2 3:14
Oklahoma Penalty, False Start (Zion Ragins) to the OU 31
-2.6
Q2 2:55
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Jacob Jordan for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 29
+0.5
Q2 2:53
Timeout Navy, clock 02:53
-0.2
Q2 2:47
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incomplete to Zion Ragins
0.0
Q2 2:41
Luke Elzinga punt for 11 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OU 40
0.0
Q2 2:30
Eli Heidenreich run for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 41
+8.4
Q2 1:54
Eli Heidenreich pass incomplete to Regis Velez
-0.4
Q2 1:47
Alex Tecza run for 3 yds to the OU 38
-0.2
Q2 1:47
Timeout Oklahoma, clock 01:47
-0.1
Q2 1:39
Riley Riethman punt for 31 yds, downed at the OU 7
0.0
Q2 1:30
Gavin Sawchuk run for 5 yds to the OU 12
-7.7
Q2 1:16
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incomplete to Zion Kearney
0.0
Q2 1:10
Xavier Robinson run for 9 yds to the OU 21 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:54
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 0:45
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incomplete to Zion Kearney
0.0
Q2 0:36
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 12 yds to the OU 33 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:36
Timeout Navy, clock 00:36
0.0
Q2 0:25
Michael Hawkins Jr. sacked by Griffen Willis for a loss of 3 yards to the OU 30
+0.3
Q2 0:07
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Xavier Robinson for 14 yds to the OU 44 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:00
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Xavier Robinson for 10 yds to the NAVY 46 for a 1ST down
-1.6
Q3 15:00
Zach Schmit kickoff for 63 yds , Isaiah Bryant return for 23 yds to the NAVY 25
+1.6
Q3 14:50
Alex Tecza run for 2 yds to the NAVY 27
+6.3
Q3 14:10
Alex Tecza run for 5 yds to the NAVY 32
0.0
Q3 13:20
Blake Horvath run for 2 yds to the NAVY 34
0.0
Q3 12:50
Horvath, Blake rush for 2 yards to the NAVY36, PENALTY OU offside (Lewis, Kip) 5 yards to the NAVY39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NAVY.
+0.1
Q3 12:20
Eli Heidenreich run for 9 yds to the NAVY 48
+0.3
Q3 11:53
Alex Tecza run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
+0.8
Q3 11:15
Alex Tecza run for no gain to the 50 yard line
0.0
Q3 10:45
Alex Tecza run for 1 yd to the OU 49
0.0
Q3 10:01
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Eli Heidenreich
+0.6
Q3 9:54
Riley Riethman punt for 49 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q3 9:50
Gavin Sawchuk run for 5 yds to the OU 25
-8.2
Q3 9:20
Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds to the OU 27
0.0
Q3 8:46
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 13 yds to the OU 40 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 8:25
Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds to the OU 42
-1.1
Q3 8:00
Xavier Robinson run for 4 yds to the OU 46
0.0
Q3 7:30
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 6:55
Zion Ragins run for 3 yds to the NAVY 47
0.0
Q3 6:25
Xavier Robinson run for 2 yds to the NAVY 45
0.0
Q3 5:40
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for no gain to the NAVY 45
-0.4
Q3 5:01
Luke Elzinga punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Rayuan Lane III at the NAVY 4
+0.2
Q3 4:55
Alex Tecza run for 1 yd to the NAVY 5
+8.3
Q3 3:49
Blake Horvath 95 Yd Run (Nathan Kirkwood Kick)
+19.9
Q3 3:49
Lance Gossett kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q3 3:40
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 1 yd to the OU 26 Michael Hawkins Jr. fumbled, forced by Colin Ramos, recovered by NAVY Andrew Duhart
-7.1
Q3 3:35
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Brandon Chatman
+9.6
Q3 3:30
Blake Horvath run for no gain to the OU 26
0.0
Q3 3:00
Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 6 yds to the OU 20
-0.3
Q3 2:11
Timeout Navy, clock 02:11
-0.3
Q3 2:07
Nathan Kirkwood 38 yd FG MISSED
0.0
Q3 1:59
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incomplete to Zion Ragins
-10.1
Q3 1:50
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Jacob Jordan for 4 yds to the OU 24
0.0
Q3 1:15
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Ivan Carreon for 21 yds to the OU 45 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 0:55
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Gavin Sawchuk for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 44
-1.7
Q3 0:30
Hawkins Jr., Michael rush for 56 yards to the NAVY0, PENALTY OU holding (Nwaiwu, Febechi) 10 yards to the OU34, NO PLAY.
0.0
Q3 0:00
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Kaden Helms for 10 yds to the OU 44
+1.7
Q4 14:50
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 11 yds to the NAVY 45 for a 1ST down
-1.7
Q4 14:35
Taylor Tatum run for 1 yd to the NAVY 44
-0.5
Q4 14:00
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Zion Kearney for 10 yds to the NAVY 34 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 13:15
Taylor Tatum run for no gain to the NAVY 34
-0.5
Q4 12:45
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Gavin Sawchuk for no gain to the NAVY 34
0.0
Q4 12:11
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incomplete to Gavin Sawchuk
0.0
Q4 12:06
Zach Schmit 52 yd FG MISSED
+0.7
Q4 12:00
Blake Horvath run for 4 yds to the NAVY 38
+10.2
Q4 11:15
Eli Heidenreich run for 8 yds to the NAVY 46 for a 1ST down
+0.6
Q4 10:40
Eli Heidenreich run for 7 yds to the OU 47
+0.5
Q4 9:55
Blake Horvath pass complete to Isaiah Bryant for 5 yds to the OU 42 for a 1ST down
+1.0
Q4 9:30
Alex Tecza run for 1 yd to the OU 41
+0.3
Q4 8:45
Blake Horvath run for 2 yds to the OU 39
0.0
Q4 8:00
Blake Horvath pass complete to Brandon Chatman for 10 yds to the OU 29 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q4 7:20
Blake Horvath run for 2 yds to the OU 27
+0.3
Q4 6:40
Daba Fofana run for 3 yds to the OU 24
0.0
Q4 6:00
Blake Horvath run for 2 yds to the OU 22
-0.3
Q4 5:15
Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 16 yds to the OU 6 for a 1ST down
-0.4
Q4 4:34
Blake Horvath 6 Yd Run (Nathan Kirkwood Kick)
+28.7
Q4 4:34
Lance Gossett kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-0.3
Q4 4:25
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 7 yds to the OU 32
-2.2
Q4 4:00
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Jacob Jordan for 5 yds to the OU 37 for a 1ST down
+0.7
Q4 3:40
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 1 yd to the OU 38
+1.7
Q4 3:12
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incomplete
+0.6
Q4 3:07
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incomplete to Jake Roberts
0.0
Q4 2:56
Luke Elzinga punt for 57 yds, downed at the NAVY 5
+0.1
Q4 2:49
Blake Horvath run for 1 yd to the NAVY 6
+1.7
Q4 2:49
Timeout Oklahoma, clock 02:49
+1.8
Q4 2:45
Alex Tecza run for 5 yds to the NAVY 11
0.0
Q4 2:00
Blake Horvath run for 3 yds to the NAVY 14
+0.7
Q4 1:47
Riley Riethman punt for 54 yds , Peyton Bowen returns for 13 yds to the OU 27 Oklahoma Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the OU 35
+0.5
Q4 1:38
Michael Hawkins Jr. sacked by Griffen Willis for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 34
-4.0
Q4 1:38
Timeout Oklahoma, clock 01:38
0.0
Q4 1:31
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Gavin Sawchuk for 5 yds to the OU 39
0.0
Q4 1:25
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incomplete to Jake Roberts
0.0
Q4 1:22
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Jake Roberts for 7 yds to the OU 46 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 1:15
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Ivan Carreon for 5 yds to the NAVY 49
-0.2
Q4 0:59
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 0:52
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Zion Ragins for 8 yds to the NAVY 41 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 0:43
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Gavin Sawchuk for 3 yds to the NAVY 38
-0.8
Q4 0:35
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Ivan Carreon for 14 yds to the NAVY 24 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 0:32
Michael Hawkins Jr. sacked by Kyle Jacob for a loss of 7 yards to the NAVY 31
-1.5
Q4 0:32
Timeout Oklahoma, clock 00:32
-0.1
Q4 0:27
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incomplete to Jacob Jordan
+0.3
Q4 0:20
Hawkins Jr., Michael pass incomplete to Ragins, Zion, PENALTY NAVY holding (Duhart, Andrew) 10 yards to the NAVY21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OU.
0.0
Q4 0:10
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Jacob Jordan for 11 yds to the NAVY 10 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 0:06
Jake Roberts 10 Yd pass from Michael Hawkins Jr. (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-18.9
Q4 0:06
Timeout Navy, clock 00:06
+18.9
Q4 0:06
Timeout Navy, clock 00:06
+2.4
Q4 0:06
Zach Schmit on-side kick recovered by Navy at the OU 44 Oklahoma Penalty, Illegal Touching (Yards) to the OU 44
-16.4
Q4 0:00
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 45
+18.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:34
Blake Horvath 6 Yd Run (Nathan Kirkwood Kick)
+28.7
TD · Q3 3:49
Blake Horvath 95 Yd Run (Nathan Kirkwood Kick)
+19.9
TD · Q4 0:06
Jake Roberts 10 Yd pass from Michael Hawkins Jr. (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-18.9
YardLine · model v2Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com