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RUTG

Rutgers 41 at Kansas State 44

KSU
2024 · Rate Bowl · Dec 26, 2024 · Chase Field
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kneel down by TEAM at RUT40 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:57: Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ja'shon Benjamin for 7 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK) — RUTG win probability +19.0 pts (now 79%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:39: Avery Johnson pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 13 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — KSU win probability +18.2 pts (now 52%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q4 14:02: Antwan Raymond run for 1 yd for a TD (Jai Patel KICK) — RUTG win probability +16.3 pts (now 84%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:03: Avery Johnson pass complete to Joe Jackson for 9 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK) — KSU win probability +26.2 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 4:15: Dylan Edwards run for 36 yds for a TD (Avery Johnson pass to Garrett Oakley for Two-Point Conversion) — KSU win probability +49.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6RUTG made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 14:23RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:21KSU 4th & 10 at RUTG 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    69.0%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:55RUTG 4th & 8 at KSU 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    28.7%−3.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:29KSU 4th & 8 at KSU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:04RUTG 4th & 7 at KSU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    50.6%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:19KSU 4th & 14 at KSU 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−2.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:38KSU 4th & 14 at KSU 15, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−2.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:56RUTG 4th & 20 at RUTG 22, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%−5.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:48RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 26, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−3.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:05KSU 4th & 8 at KSU 43, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−2.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:56KSU 4th & 3 at KSU 33, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.2%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    23.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:28RUTG 4th & 15 at RUTG 20, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%−6.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:55RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.6%−4.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6RUTG made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 4:15RUTG Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:56KSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:31RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:44KSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:45RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:57RUTG Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:45KSU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    34.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    34.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:39KSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    45.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    45.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:02RUTG Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:03KSU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 4:15KSU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 2.1 ptsWent for two · converted
    Kick
    68.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    65.8%−2.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3732% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.8%
Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the RUTG 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
67.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
67.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:23
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
67.8%
Jakob Anderson punt for 51 yds , Sterling Lockett returns for no gain to the KSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2FG
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:0268% → 68%
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
67.8%
Dylan Edwards run for 10 yds to the KSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
67.8%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 3 yds to the KSU 33Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
67.8%
Dylan Edwards run for no gain to the KSU 33Similar
Q1 14:23
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+13
67.7%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 13 yds to the KSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+43
67.8%
Dylan Edwards run for 43 yds to the RUTG 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
67.8%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
67.8%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:23
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
67.8%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:21
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+29
67.8%
Chris Tennant 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 7:0632% → 36%
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
67.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 15 yds to the RUTG 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
67.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 6 yds to the RUTG 46Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
67.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+10
67.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ben Black for 10 yds to the KSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
67.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 9 yds to the KSU 35Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+4
67.3%
Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the KSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
67.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+11
67.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 11 yds to the KSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
67.3%
Antwan Raymond run for 4 yds to the KSU 16Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+6
67.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 6 yds to the KSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-4
67.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Cody Stufflebean for a loss of 4 yards to the KSU 14Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+12
67.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 12 yds to the KSU 2Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
63.8%
Antwan Raymond run for 2 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:1965% → 68%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
64.5%
Dylan Edwards run for 8 yds to the KSU 33Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
65.3%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Joe Jackson for 3 yds to the KSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
64.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 18 yds to the RUTG 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
65.8%
Joe Jackson run for 2 yds to the RUTG 44Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+19
65.8%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 19 yds to the RUTG 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
66.2%
Avery Johnson run for 17 yds to the RUTG 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
66.2%
Dylan Edwards run for 2 yds to the RUTG 6Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
65.4%
Jayce Brown run for 4 yds to the RUTG 2Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
68.1%
Avery Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5FG
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:0133% → 36%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.2%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for no gain to the RUTG 25Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+60
67.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 60 yds to the KSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
65.1%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 2 yds to the KSU 13Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
65.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
65.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+31
64.2%
Jai Patel 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2666% → 64%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
65.7%
Dylan Edwards run for 3 yds to the KSU 28Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
65.8%
Avery Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 27Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
64.9%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
64.2%
Simon McClannan punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:5836% → 46%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.3%
Antwan Raymond run for no gain to the RUTG 25Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+65
64.4%
Antwan Raymond run for 65 yds to the KSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
61.9%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 7 yds to the KSU 3Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
53.8%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 3 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:4757% → 68%
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
56.5%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 1 yd to the KSU 26Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
56.4%
Dylan Edwards run for 3 yds to the KSU 29Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
56.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dante Cephas for 7 yds to the KSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+34
57.0%
Jayce Brown run for 34 yds to the RUTG 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
59.7%
Dylan Edwards run for 4 yds to the RUTG 26Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+26
67.7%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 26 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5938% → 51%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
62.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 14 yds to the RUTG 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
60.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+15
61.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 15 yds to the KSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
59.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+22
59.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 22 yds to the KSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
48.8%
Antwan Raymond run for 24 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10INT
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:0552% → 54%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.4%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
52.3%
Joe Jackson run for 4 yds to the KSU 29Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+16
51.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 16 yds to the KSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
54.4%
Joe Jackson run for 12 yds to the RUTG 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
55.5%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-15
53.7%
Avery Johnson pass intercepted Robert Longerbeam return for 15 yds to the RUTG 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11FG
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:5656% → 57%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
44.5%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 3 yds to the RUTG 45Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
44.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+22
44.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to KJ Duff for 22 yds to the KSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
43.1%
Antwan Raymond run for 1 yd to the KSU 32Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+2
42.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the KSU 30Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
43.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+48
43.2%
Jai Patel 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:0443% → 41%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
43.0%
Avery Johnson sacked by Dariel Djabome and Kyonte Hamilton for a loss of 3 yards to the KSU 22Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+8
42.7%
Dylan Edwards run for 8 yds to the KSU 30Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
41.1%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:4143% → 40%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.4%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
43.2%
Dylan Edwards run for no gain to the KSU 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-10
42.1%
JOHNSON, Avery scrambles to the left for a gain of 12 yards to the KSU37 (RAY, Malcolm). PENALTY KSU Holding on KILTY, Easton enforced 10 yards from the KSU25 to the KSU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+6
41.9%
Avery Johnson run for 6 yds to the KSU 21Similar
Q3 13:19
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
39.5%
Simon McClannan punt for 43 yds, downed at the RUTG 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 4:2259% → 79%
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
41.3%
Antwan Raymond run for 2 yds to the RUTG 38Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
40.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+10
41.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 10 yds to the RUTG 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
40.7%
Antwan Raymond run for 5 yds to the KSU 47Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+3
40.5%
Antwan Raymond run for 3 yds to the KSU 44Similar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+15
41.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Christian Dremel for 15 yds to the KSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
40.2%
Kansas State Penalty, Personal Foul (Keenan Garber) to the KSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
40.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
40.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
21.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ja'shon Benjamin for 7 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:1424% → 23%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-4
24.3%
Avery Johnson sacked by Shaquan Loyal for a loss of 4 yards to the KSU 15Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 14
OWN 15
0
24.0%
Dylan Edwards run for no gain to the KSU 15Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 14
OWN 15
0
23.8%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 14
OWN 15
0
22.5%
Simon McClannan punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Christian Dremel at the RUTG 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:4279% → 80%
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
21.3%
Antwan Raymond run for a loss of 2 yards to the RUTG 30Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 12
OWN 30
-3
21.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Desmond Purnell and Jack Fabris for a loss of 3 yards to the RUTG 27Similar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 15
OWN 27
0
22.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 15
OWN 27
-5
22.5%
Rutgers Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the RUTG 22Similar
Q3 5:56
4TH & 20
OWN 22
0
20.5%
Jakob Anderson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Sterling Lockett at the KSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17TD
1 play · 65 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
33.0%
Dylan Edwards run for 65 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18INT
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:5068% → 69%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
32.0%
Antwan Raymond run for a loss of 6 yards to the RUTG 19Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+10
31.5%
Kansas State Penalty, Illegal Block (Mikey Bergeron) to the RUTG 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:1634% → 52%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
34.3%
Dylan Edwards run for 2 yds to the RUTG 40Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
34.3%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+27
33.6%
Avery Johnson run for 27 yds to the RUTG 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
51.7%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 13 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5158% → 56%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
42.1%
Antwan Raymond run for 1 yd to the RUTG 26Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
42.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
43.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:48
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
44.5%
Jakob Anderson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Sterling Lockett at the KSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:4345% → 43%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
45.0%
Dylan Edwards run for 11 yds to the KSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
47.8%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
46.2%
Dylan Edwards run for 2 yds to the KSU 43Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
45.1%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:05
4TH & 8
OWN 43
+67
42.5%
Simon McClannan punt for 42 yds , Christian Dremel returns for 67 yds to the KSU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22TD
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:0367% → 84%
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
33.5%
Antwan Raymond run for 2 yds to the KSU 16Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 16
-1
32.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Damian Ilalio and Travis Bates for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+16
34.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Antwan Raymond for 16 yds to the KSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
32.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for no gain to the KSU 1Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
16.2%
Antwan Raymond run for 1 yd for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23TD
16 plays · 85 yds · 6:5322% → 44%
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
22.0%
Avery Johnson run for 2 yds to the KSU 17Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+5
22.0%
Joe Jackson run for 5 yds to the KSU 22Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+4
21.7%
Jayce Brown run for 4 yds to the KSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
22.5%
Joe Jackson run for 6 yds to the KSU 32Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+1
23.0%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 1 yd to the KSU 33Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
22.3%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:56
4TH & 3
OWN 33
+35
22.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Dante Cephas for 35 yds to the RUTG 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
26.8%
Dylan Edwards run for no gain to the RUTG 32Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
26.5%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 6 yds to the RUTG 26Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+5
25.4%
Avery Johnson run for 5 yds to the RUTG 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
27.1%
JOHNSON, Avery pass up the middle complete for 7 yards to JACKSON, Jadon caught at the RUT21 and advanced to the RUT14 (DJABOME, Dariel;MASCOE, Bo). PENALTY KSU Holding on PANZER, Hadley enforced 10 yards from the RUT21 to the RUT31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 20
OPP 31
+16
25.7%
Joe Jackson run for 16 yds to the RUTG 15Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 4
OPP 15
0
27.1%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+6
15.5%
Ty Bowman run for 6 yds to the RUTG 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
43.5%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Joe Jackson for 9 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:3574% → 73%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
26.3%
Ja'shon Benjamin run for 3 yds to the RUTG 28Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-8
26.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Chiddi Obiazor for a loss of 8 yards to the RUTG 20Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
28.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:28
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
27.5%
Jakob Anderson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Sterling Lockett at the KSU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 25TD
3 plays · 60 yds · 1:1336% → 83%
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
35.9%
Dylan Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 39Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+25
33.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Joe Jackson for 25 yds to the RUTG 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
83.3%
Dylan Edwards run for 36 yds for a TD (Avery Johnson pass to Garrett Oakley for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:2029% → 25%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
71.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dymere Miller for 16 yds to the RUTG 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
67.7%
Antwan Raymond run for 6 yds to the RUTG 47Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 4
OWN 47
-3
65.7%
Antwan Raymond run for a loss of 3 yards to the RUTG 44Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
68.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for no gain to the RUTG 44Similar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 7
OWN 44
+3
75.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ian Strong for 3 yds to the RUTG 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 27END OF GAME
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:4191% → 96%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
90.5%
Avery Johnson run for no gain to the RUTG 47Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
90.3%
Joe Jackson run for 5 yds to the RUTG 42Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+6
89.9%
Avery Johnson run for 6 yds to the RUTG 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
90.6%
Kneel down by TEAM at RUT38 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 38
-2
95.5%
Kneel down by TEAM at RUT40 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:15
Dylan Edwards run for 36 yds for a TD (Avery Johnson pass to Garrett Oakley for Two-Point Conversion)
+49.4
TD · Q4 7:03
Avery Johnson pass complete to Joe Jackson for 9 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)
+26.2
TD · Q3 8:57
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Ja'shon Benjamin for 7 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)
-19
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com