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CCU

Coastal Carolina 15 at UTSA 44

UTSA
2024 · Myrtle Beach Bowl · Dec 23, 2024 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Nathan Schuessler run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:00: Brandon High Jr. 9 Yd Run (Tate Sandell Kick) — CCU win probability +6.9 pts (now 47%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:36: Owen McCown 35 Yd Run (Tate Sandell Kick) — CCU win probability +9.5 pts (now 56%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:12: Patrick Overmyer 6 Yd pass from Owen McCown (Tate Sandell Kick) — CCU win probability +10.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 11:13: Tate Sandell 38 Yd Field Goal — CCU win probability +5.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 7:23: Tate Sandell 27 Yd Field Goal — CCU win probability +5.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 0 of 4CCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 10
  1. Q1 11:28CCU 4th & 22 at UTSA 32, tied
    Close callPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    38.3%
    51% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:50UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 36, tied
    Close callWent for it · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    61.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:01CCU 4th & 7 at CCU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:54UTSA 4th & 3 at CCU 8, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    61.4%−0.3
    90% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:13CCU 4th & 3 at UTSA 26, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    39.9%−0.3
    64% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:21CCU 4th & 16 at UTSA 28, up 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.1 ptsPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−1.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    46.3%
    60% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:16CCU 4th & 4 at UTSA 13, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 8.7 ptsPunted · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    58.5%−0.6
    85% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%−8.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:44CCU 4th & 13 at UTSA 22, up 24
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.8 ptsPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    90.5%
    72% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%−3.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:20CCU 4th & 7 at UTSA 28, up 27
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%
    60% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:23CCU 4th & 20 at CCU 44, up 27
    Close callWent for it · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.3%−0.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:18UTSA 4th & 7 at CCU 11, down 27
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.2 ptsPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    3.8%
    87% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%−2.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:33CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 45, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.0%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:11CCU 4th & 2 at UTSA 33, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:47UTSA 4th & 5 at UTSA 28, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q2 14:00CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:36CCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:12CCU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:52UTSA Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:40CCU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:43UTSA Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    1.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.1%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:28CCU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 7 yds · 3:3240% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
60.4%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the CCU 20Similar
Q1 14:59
1ST & 15
OPP 20
0
60.4%
Braydon Bennett run for no gain to the CCU 20Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 15
OPP 20
-5
60.4%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, False Start (Cane Berrong) to the CCU 15Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+17
60.4%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Kyre Duplessis for 17 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q1 13:51
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+12
60.3%
Tad Hudson run for 12 yds to the CCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
60.3%
Braydon Bennett run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 42Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 12
OPP 42
-7
60.2%
Tad Hudson sacked by Brandon Brown for a loss of 7 yards to the CCU 35Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 19
OPP 35
-3
60.4%
Alex Walker sacked by Vic Shaw for a loss of 3 yards to the CCU 32Similar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 22
OPP 32
0
60.6%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 50 yds, downed at the UTSA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2DOWNS
8 plays · 52 yds · 3:3861% → 60%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
61.0%
Owen McCown pass complete to Brandon High Jr. for 9 yds to the UTSA 27Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+3
61.0%
Brandon High Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
61.1%
Brandon High Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTSA 33Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+28
61.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 28 yds to the CCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-9
60.7%
Owen McCown sacked by Deamontae Diggs for a loss of 9 yards to the CCU 48Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 19
OWN 48
+4
60.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 4 yds to the CCU 44Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 15
OWN 44
+8
60.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Chris Carpenter for 8 yds to the CCU 36Similar
Q1 7:50
4TH & 7
OWN 36
+6
59.9%
Owen McCown run for 6 yds to the CCU 30 UTSA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:4941% → 40%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
59.3%
Braydon Bennett run for 10 yds to the CCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
59.3%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the CCU 44Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+4
59.3%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the CCU 48Similar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+4
59.4%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the UTSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
59.3%
Kyre Duplessis pass incomplete to Braydon BennettSimilar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
59.4%
Tad Hudson run for 5 yds to the UTSA 43Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 5
OWN 43
-2
59.5%
Braydon Bennett run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTSA 45Similar
Q1 4:01
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
60.2%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 44 yds, downed at the UTSA 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4FUMBLE
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0762% → 61%
Q1 4:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
61.7%
Bryson Donnell run for no gain to the UTSA 1Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
61.7%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Dan DishmanSimilar
Q1 3:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
61.3%
UTSA Penalty, Delay of Game (Yards) to the UTSA 1Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+7
61.3%
Bryson Donnell run for 7 yds to the UTSA 8 Coastal Carolina Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kamar Missouri) to the UTSA 8Similar
Q1 2:54
4TH & 3
OPP 8
-2
60.7%
Caile Hogan punt for 56 yds , Xakery Wiedner returns for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 34 Xakery Wiedner fumbled, recovered by CCU Tray Taylor Coastal Carolina Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (John Kirkpatrick) to the CCU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4142% → 41%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
58.3%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Senika McKieSimilar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
58.3%
Braydon Bennett run for no gain to the CCU 19Similar
Q1 2:04
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+7
58.4%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 7 yds to the CCU 26Similar
Q1 1:13
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+5
59.0%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 41 yds , Chris Carpenter returns for 5 yds to the UTSA 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:1362% → 53%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
61.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 15 yds to the CCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
61.6%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to David Amador IISimilar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
61.4%
Brandon High Jr. run for 5 yds to the CCU 42Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+12
60.9%
Brandon High Jr. run for 12 yds to the CCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
60.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 18 yds to the CCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
60.2%
Brandon High Jr. run for 3 yds to the CCU 9Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+9
53.4%
Brandon High Jr. 9 Yd Run (Tate Sandell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:3449% → 47%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+14
51.3%
Tad Hudson run for 14 yds to the CCU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-15
51.1%
Hudson, Tad pass incomplete to Tucker, Jameson, PENALTY COASTALCAR pass interference (Tucker, Jameson) 15 yards to the COASTALCAR19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
0
51.0%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Braydon BennettSimilar
Q2 13:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
0
51.0%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Cameron WrightSimilar
Q2 13:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 19
+9
51.6%
Braydon Bennett run for 9 yds to the CCU 28Similar
Q2 12:21
4TH & 16
OPP 28
+1
52.9%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 54 yds , Chris Carpenter returns for 1 yd to the UTSA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8TD
4 plays · 81 yds · 1:4556% → 44%
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+38
55.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 38 yds to the CCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
53.9%
Will Henderson III run for 3 yds to the CCU 40Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
53.7%
Willie McCoy run for 5 yds to the CCU 35Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+35
44.2%
Owen McCown 35 Yd Run (Tate Sandell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:1459% → 60%
Q2 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
41.4%
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds to the CCU 9Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+2
40.2%
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds to the CCU 11Similar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+2
39.7%
Tad Hudson run for 2 yds to the CCU 13Similar
Q2 8:16
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+5
39.9%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 49 yds , Chris Carpenter returns for 5 yds to the UTSA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10TD
4 plays · 57 yds · 1:0443% → 29%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+19
43.2%
Bryson Donnell run for 19 yds to the CCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+27
41.4%
David Amador II run for 16 yds to the CCU 22 for a 1ST down Coastal Carolina Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Juan Powell) to the CCU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
39.7%
Bryson Donnell run for 5 yds to the CCU 6Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+6
29.4%
Patrick Overmyer 6 Yd pass from Owen McCown (Tate Sandell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11DOWNS
20 plays · 60 yds · 5:2775% → 81%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
25.0%
Tad Hudson run for 2 yds to the CCU 37Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+4
24.7%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Senika McKie for 4 yds to the CCU 41Similar
Q2 6:01
3RD & 4
OPP 41
-5
24.5%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, False Start (Senika McKie) to the CCU 36Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+14
24.0%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
50
+20
22.5%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 20 yds to the UTSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
22.7%
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds to the UTSA 28Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+5
22.0%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Cane Berrong for 5 yds to the UTSA 23Similar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+3
22.2%
Braydon Bennett run for 3 yds to the UTSA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
21.0%
Braydon Bennett run for 5 yds to the UTSA 15Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+8
19.0%
Hudson, Tad pass incomplete to McKie, Senika, PENALTY UTSA pass interference (Dumas, Syrus) 8 yards to the UTSA7, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COASTALCAR.Similar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 0
OWN 7
-5
19.4%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTSA 12Similar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 0
OWN 12
+2
19.2%
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds to the UTSA 10Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 0
OWN 10
+4
17.7%
Tad Hudson run for 4 yds to the UTSA 6Similar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 0
OWN 6
+2
18.3%
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds to the UTSA 4Similar
Q2 1:38
4TH & 0
OWN 4
-1
19.1%
Braydon Bennett run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12END OF HALF
9 plays · 53 yds · 1:3832% → 26%
Q2 1:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
31.9%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Houston ThomasSimilar
Q2 1:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+6
32.0%
Brandon High Jr. run for 6 yds to the UTSA 11Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+17
25.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 17 yds to the UTSA 28 for a 1ST down Coastal Carolina Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
32.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 1 yd to the UTSA 29Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+8
32.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 8 yds to the UTSA 37Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+5
25.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 5 yds to the UTSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
31.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+8
30.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Chris Carpenter for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
50
+8
25.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 8 yds to the CCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 3:4725% → 13%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+18
24.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to Brandon High Jr. for 18 yds to the UTSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
23.9%
Brandon High Jr. run for 17 yds to the CCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
21.6%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Dan DishmanSimilar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
21.1%
Bryson Donnell run for 2 yds to the CCU 33Similar
Q3 13:08
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+9
20.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 9 yds to the CCU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
19.6%
Brandon High Jr. run for 2 yds to the CCU 22Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
19.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to Patrick Overmyer for 2 yds to the CCU 20Similar
Q3 11:23
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
18.3%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Patrick OvermyerSimilar
Q3 11:13
4TH & 6
OWN 20
+38
13.0%
Tate Sandell 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:2990% → 91%
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
10.0%
Braydon Bennett run for 5 yds to the CCU 30Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 5
OPP 30
-8
9.6%
Tad Hudson sacked by Brandon Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the CCU 22Similar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 13
OPP 22
0
9.4%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Senika McKieSimilar
Q3 9:44
4TH & 13
OPP 22
+2
9.1%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 36 yds , Chris Carpenter returns for 2 yds to the UTSA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15FG
6 plays · 47 yds · 2:2112% → 3%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+28
11.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 28 yds to the CCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
10.0%
Brandon High Jr. run for 15 yds to the CCU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
9.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 14Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+5
9.2%
Owen McCown run for 5 yds to the CCU 9Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 6
OWN 9
0
8.3%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Chris CarpenterSimilar
Q3 7:23
4TH & 6
OWN 9
+27
3.3%
Tate Sandell 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:5997% → 96%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
3.5%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Jameson TuckerSimilar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-2
3.6%
Tad Hudson run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 23Similar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 12
OPP 23
+5
3.4%
Hudson, Tad pass incomplete to Tucker, Jameson, PENALTY UTSA offside (Shaw, Vic) 5 yards to the COASTALCAR28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 7
OPP 28
0
3.4%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Cameron WrightSimilar
Q3 6:20
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+60
3.8%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 48 yds, downed at the UTSA 24 UTSA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Chris Carpenter) to the UTSA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:284% → 3%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
4.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Patrick Overmyer for 5 yds to the UTSA 17Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 5
OPP 17
-2
3.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Bryson Donnell for a loss of 2 yards to the UTSA 15Similar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
2.6%
Owen McCown pass intercepted Shane Bruce return for no gain to the UTSA 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18INT
4 plays · -10 yds · 2:2997% → 97%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-7
2.6%
Tad Hudson run for a loss of 7 yards to the UTSA 41Similar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 17
OWN 41
+1
2.3%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 1 yd to the UTSA 40Similar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 16
OWN 40
-4
2.3%
Tad Hudson sacked by Jamal Ligon for a loss of 4 yards to the UTSA 44 Tad Hudson fumbled, forced by Jamal Ligon, recovered by CCU Nick Del Grande , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 2:23
4TH & 20
OWN 44
-7
2.9%
Emile Sebafundi pass intercepted Jakevian Rodgers return for no gain to the UTSA 44 UTSA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (7 Yards) to the UTSA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:052% → 2%
Q3 2:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
2.2%
Brandon High Jr. run for 1 yd to the UTSA 9Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
2.1%
Bryson Donnell run for no gain to the UTSA 9Similar
Q3 1:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
1.9%
Bryson Donnell run for 2 yds to the UTSA 11Similar
Q3 0:18
4TH & 7
OPP 11
0
1.8%
Caile Hogan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tray Taylor at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 0:0898% → 96%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+5
1.8%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Kyre Duplessis for 5 yds to the UTSA 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-5
1.8%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, False Start (Cameron Wright) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
50
+50
4.0%
Bryson Graves 50 Yd pass from Tad Hudson (Kade Hensley Kick)Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-15
3.9%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Bryson Graves) to the CCU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 30 yds · 3:0798% → 99%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
1.6%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the CCU 29Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+17
0.8%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 17 yds to the CCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
0.7%
Jameson Tucker run for 1 yd to the CCU 47Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+3
0.7%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Xakery Wiedner for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 6
50
+5
0.7%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Zach Courtney for 5 yds to the UTSA 45Similar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
0.6%
Braydon Bennett run for no gain to the UTSA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23FG
7 plays · 44 yds · 3:261% → 0%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+22
0.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 22 yds to the CCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+21
0.5%
Will Henderson III run for 21 yds to the CCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
0.4%
Will Henderson III run for 3 yds to the CCU 9Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+3
0.3%
Will Henderson III run for 3 yds to the CCU 6Similar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 4
OWN 6
-5
0.3%
UTSA Penalty, False Start (Ben Rios) to the CCU 11Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 9
OWN 11
0
0.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to Patrick Overmyer for no gain to the CCU 11Similar
Q4 8:07
4TH & 9
OWN 11
+29
0.2%
Tate Sandell 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:23100% → 99%
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
0.3%
Braydon Bennett run for no gain to the CCU 25Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
0.3%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Bryson Graves for 3 yds to the CCU 28Similar
Q4 7:01
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+5
0.3%
Hudson, Tad pass incomplete to McKie, Senika, PENALTY UTSA offside (Wimberly, Daemian) 5 yards to the COASTALCAR33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+5
0.2%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Senika McKie for 5 yds to the CCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+19
0.2%
Tad Hudson run for 4 yds to the UTSA 42 for a 1ST down UTSA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Chidera Otutu) to the UTSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
0.2%
Jameson Tucker run for 18 yds to the UTSA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.2%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Brooks JohnsonSimilar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.2%
Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd to the UTSA 24Similar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+15
0.2%
Hudson, Tad pass incomplete to Graves, Bryson, PENALTY UTSA pass interference (Newell, Elijah) 15 yards to the UTSA9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COASTALCAR.Similar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 0
OWN 9
+9
1.0%
Senika McKie 9 Yd pass from Tad Hudson (Tad Hudson Pass to Brooks Johnson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-15
0.9%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Braydon Bennett) to the CCU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 25TD
2 plays · 51 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+51
0.1%
Will Henderson III 51 Yd Run (Michael Petro Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:17100% → 100%
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
0.2%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Senika McKie for 5 yds to the CCU 30Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+3
0.2%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 3 yds to the CCU 33Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 2
OPP 33
0
0.1%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Cameron WrightSimilar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 2
OPP 33
0
0.2%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Senika McKieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 27FUMBLE
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
0.1%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Elliott Brow for 2 yds to the CCU 31Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+3
0.1%
Dematrius Davis Jr. run for 3 yds to the CCU 28Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
0.0%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:47
4TH & 5
OWN 28
+4
0.0%
Eddie Lee Marburger run for 4 yds to the CCU 24 Eddie Lee Marburger fumbled, forced by Myles Woods, recovered by CCUSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 28END OF GAME
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:47100% → 100%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
0.1%
Matt Pack Jr. run for 4 yds to the CCU 28Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+10
0.1%
Matt Pack Jr. run for 10 yds to the CCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
0.1%
Matt Pack Jr. run for 1 yd to the CCU 39Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 39
-2
0.1%
Nathan Schuessler run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+99.9
TD · Q2 7:12
Patrick Overmyer 6 Yd pass from Owen McCown (Tate Sandell Kick)
-10.3
TD · Q2 10:36
Owen McCown 35 Yd Run (Tate Sandell Kick)
-9.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com