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OHIO

Ohio 30 at Jacksonville State 27

JXST
2024 · StaffDNA Cure Bowl · Dec 20, 2024 · Camping World Stadium
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Win probability · JXST
modelJXST aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playJXST scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:28 · Jack Wilson punt for 42 yds , Samario Rudolph returns for 3 yds to the JVST 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 49Home team on offense−3.6Pregame prior−11.7Score differential−1.3Garbage-time factor−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:12: Cam Vaughn 75 Yd pass from Tyler Huff (Jack Dawson Kick) — JXST win probability +5.6 pts (now 34%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:41: Parker Navarro pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for 11 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK) — OHIO win probability +7.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:36: Tyler Huff run for 7 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +13.2 pts (now 27%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:52: Tre Stewart run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — JXST win probability +10.6 pts (now 19%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:35: Tre Stewart run for 1 yd for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +32.7 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JXST made the numbers' call on 7 of 8OHIO made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 14:29OHIO 4th & 10 at OHIO 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:23JXST 4th & 12 at JXST 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:42OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:46JXST 4th & 6 at JXST 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:18JXST 4th & 9 at JXST 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:28OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:11JXST 4th & 15 at JXST 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:42OHIO 4th & 1 at JXST 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    65.8%−2.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    60.9%−7.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:57JXST 4th & 7 at OHIO 18, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    23.4%−3.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:27JXST 4th & 12 at JXST 48, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:19OHIO 4th & 13 at OHIO 7, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−2.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:56OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 34, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:19OHIO 4th & 17 at JXST 21, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%−3.5
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    80.1%−9.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:25JXST 4th & 8 at JXST 32, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:45JXST 4th & 1 at OHIO 6, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.5%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    11.7%−1.8
    91% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−7.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JXST made the numbers' call on 3 of 4OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 5:09OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:22OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:12JXST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:59OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:41OHIO Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:36JXST Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:52JXST Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    17.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    16.3%−0.8
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:35JXST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2066% → 66%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
34.3%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Coleman OwenSimilar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
34.4%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Coleman OwenSimilar
Q1 14:39
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
34.4%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Rodney Harris IISimilar
Q1 14:29
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
34.5%
Jack Wilson punt for 48 yds, downed at the JVST 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:5735% → 36%
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
34.5%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Jordan McCants for 6 yds to the JVST 30Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+3
34.6%
Tre Stewart run for 2 yds to the JVST 32Similar
Q1 13:59
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+14
34.7%
Tre Stewart run for 14 yds to the JVST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
34.9%
Tre Stewart run for a loss of 5 yards to the JVST 41 TEAM fumbled, recovered by JVST Tre StewartSimilar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+14
35.1%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 14 yards to the OHIO 45Similar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+1
35.4%
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd to the JVST 44Similar
Q1 11:23
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
35.6%
Jack Dawson punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3264% → 63%
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
35.7%
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the OHIO 23Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-2
36.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 21Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
36.5%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Coleman OwenSimilar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
36.8%
Jack Wilson punt for 41 yds, downed at the JVST 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4437% → 37%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
36.8%
Tre Stewart run for a loss of 4 yards to the JVST 34Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+3
36.6%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 3 yds to the JVST 37Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+5
36.4%
Huff, Tyler pass incomplete to Baldwin, Pearson, PENALTY OHIO offside 5 yards to the JAXVILLEST42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
36.9%
Tyler Huff pass incomplete to Jarod BowieSimilar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
36.5%
Jack Dawson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the OHIO 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 3:2163% → 67%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+34
36.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 34 yds to the JVST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
36.2%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 5 yds to the JVST 40Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 5
OPP 40
-2
36.2%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for a loss of 2 yards to the JVST 42Similar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+10
36.6%
Anthony Tyus III run for 10 yds to the JVST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
36.5%
Anthony Tyus III run for 10 yds to the JVST 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
36.6%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 5 yds to the JVST 17Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+17
33.4%
Parker Navarro run for 17 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4135% → 34%
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
34.6%
Tre Stewart run for 2 yds to the JVST 27Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
34.7%
Tre Stewart run for a loss of 1 yard to the JVST 26Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
34.2%
Tyler Huff pass incomplete to Michael PettwaySimilar
Q1 4:18
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+2
34.0%
Jack Dawson punt for 40 yds , Coleman Owen returns for 2 yds to the OHIO 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:4466% → 71%
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
33.8%
Parker Navarro run for 5 yds to the OHIO 41Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+29
33.5%
Parker Navarro run for 29 yds to the JVST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
33.2%
Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the JVST 28Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+9
33.0%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 9 yds to the JVST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
32.7%
Anthony Tyus III run for 11 yds to the JVST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
28.6%
Parker Navarro run for 8 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
29.1%
Jacksonville State Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 8TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
34.4%
Cam Vaughn 75 Yd pass from Tyler Huff (Jack Dawson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:3066% → 66%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
34.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 6 yds to the OHIO 29Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+4
33.4%
Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the OHIO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
33.5%
Anthony Tyus III run for no gain to the OHIO 33Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
33.7%
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the OHIO 36Similar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
33.6%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Coleman OwenSimilar
Q2 13:28
4TH & 7
OWN 36
+3
34.4%
Jack Wilson punt for 42 yds , Samario Rudolph returns for 3 yds to the JVST 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:0934% → 33%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
34.4%
Andrew Paul run for 7 yds to the JVST 32Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
35.3%
Andrew Paul run for 3 yds to the JVST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
34.7%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 4 yds to the JVST 39Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
35.6%
Tyler Huff run for 2 yds to the JVST 41Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-11
35.2%
Tyler Huff sacked by Ben McNaboe and Xander Karagosian for a loss of 11 yards to the JVST 30Similar
Q2 11:11
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
33.3%
Jack Dawson punt for 37 yds , Coleman Owen returns for no gain to the OHIO 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 6:0267% → 74%
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
33.4%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 16 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
32.4%
Parker Navarro run for 4 yds to the JVST 47Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+1
31.9%
Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the JVST 46Similar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+15
32.2%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 15 yds to the JVST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
31.6%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase HendricksSimilar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-5
31.7%
Ohio Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the JVST 36Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+17
31.1%
Anthony Tyus III run for 17 yds to the JVST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-3
30.2%
Parker Navarro run for a loss of 3 yards to the JVST 22Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 13
OPP 22
+8
30.3%
Parker Navarro run for 8 yds to the JVST 14Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+4
30.4%
Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the JVST 10Similar
Q2 5:42
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+3
31.3%
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the JVST 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
26.0%
Parker Navarro run for 7 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 12MISSED FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 2:5527% → 27%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
26.9%
Tre Stewart run for a loss of 5 yards to the JVST 20Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+27
26.6%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Brock Rechsteiner for 27 yds to the JVST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
28.0%
Tyler Huff run for no gain to the JVST 47Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
27.9%
Tyler Huff run for 1 yd to the JVST 48Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+31
27.1%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 31 yds to the OHIO 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
29.3%
Tre Stewart run for 4 yds to the OHIO 17Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+4
29.2%
Tyler Huff run for 4 yds to the OHIO 13Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 2
OPP 13
-5
27.9%
Tyler Huff sacked by Blake Leake and Bradley Weaver for a loss of 5 yards to the OHIO 18Similar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+35
27.1%
Garrison Rippa 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 1:1076% → 91%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
24.2%
Parker Navarro run for 12 yds to the OHIO 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
24.1%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Coleman OwenSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+14
24.1%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Caleb Gossett for 14 yds to the OHIO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+18
22.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 18 yds to the JVST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
22.4%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 3 yds to the JVST 33Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+28
20.3%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 28 yds to the JVST 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-6
20.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the JVST 11 TEAM fumbled, recovered by OHIO Anthony Tyus IIISimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
9.4%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for 11 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:1418% → 18%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
18.2%
Tyler Huff pass incomplete to Michael PettwaySimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
18.0%
Tyler Huff pass incomplete to Cam VaughnSimilar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-1
17.5%
Tyler Huff sacked by Marcel Walker-Burgess for a loss of 1 yard to the JVST 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:1516% → 14%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
16.1%
Jarod Bowie run for 11 yds to the JVST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
16.8%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Jarod Bowie for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
50
-10
18.5%
Stewart, Tre rush for 8 yards to the OHIO42, PENALTY JAXVILLEST holding 10 yards to the JAXVILLEST40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+8
17.4%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 8 yds to the JVST 48Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 12
OWN 48
-8
17.7%
Tyler Huff sacked by Kadin Schmitz for a loss of 8 yards to the JVST 40Similar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 20
OWN 40
+8
15.3%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 8 yds to the JVST 48Similar
Q3 12:27
4TH & 12
OWN 48
+62
13.9%
Jack Dawson punt for 52 yds for a touchback Ohio Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:5589% → 90%
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
11.3%
Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the OHIO 12Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+5
10.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the OHIO 17Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 3
OWN 17
-5
10.1%
Ohio Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OHIO 12Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 8
OWN 12
0
9.5%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 8
OWN 12
-5
9.7%
Ohio Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OHIO 7Similar
Q3 10:19
4TH & 13
OWN 7
0
10.2%
Jack Wilson punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OHIO 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 17TD
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:3514% → 27%
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
13.7%
Tre Stewart run for 5 yds to the OHIO 15Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+8
13.3%
Jarod Bowie run for 8 yds to the OHIO 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
26.5%
Tyler Huff run for 7 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3180% → 81%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
19.7%
Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the OHIO 27Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-4
19.1%
Parker Navarro sacked by Curley Young Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the OHIO 23Similar
Q3 8:09
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+11
19.3%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for 11 yds to the OHIO 34Similar
Q3 7:56
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
18.7%
Jack Wilson punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Samario Rudolph at the JVST 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · -12 yds · 0:0521% → 21%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
21.0%
Tyler Huff pass incomplete to Fred PerrySimilar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-12
20.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the JVST 22 TEAM fumbled, recovered by OHIO Bradley WeaverSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20FUMBLE
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
15.6%
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the JVST 19 Anthony Tyus III fumbled, recovered by JVSTSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 21INT
7 plays · 48 yds · 1:2421% → 21%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+58
20.6%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Jarod Bowie for 58 yds to the OHIO 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
23.7%
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd to the OHIO 22Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 9
OPP 22
-1
23.6%
Tyler Huff run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 23Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 10
OPP 23
-10
21.5%
Huff, Tyler pass incomplete to Vaughn, Cam, PENALTY JAXVILLEST pass interference 10 yards to the OHIO33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN JAXVILLEST.Similar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
23.0%
Tyler Huff pass incomplete to Cam VaughnSimilar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
22.9%
Tyler Huff pass incomplete to Cam VaughnSimilar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 10
OPP 33
-8
21.1%
Tyler Huff pass intercepted Blake Leake return for 8 yds to the OHIO 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22FG
16 plays · 62 yds · 7:2085% → 92%
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-8
15.1%
Tyus III, Anthony rush for 23 yards to the OHIO40, PENALTY OHIO holding 8 yards to the OHIO9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 18
OWN 9
+15
15.3%
Navarro, Parker rush for no gain to the OHIO9, PENALTY OHIO holding 4 yards to the OHIO5, NO PLAY, PENALTY JAXVILLEST personal foul 15 yards to the OHIO20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIO.Similar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
14.9%
Navarro, Parker pass incomplete to Owen, Coleman, PENALTY JAXVILLEST pass interference 15 yards to the OHIO35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIO.Similar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
14.3%
Parker Navarro sacked by Curley Young Jr. and J-Rock Swain for a loss of 6 yards to the OHIO 29Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 16
OWN 29
+6
13.8%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 6 yds to the OHIO 35Similar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+17
13.6%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 17 yds to the JVST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
11.9%
Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the JVST 44Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-10
11.8%
Navarro, Parker pass complete to Tyus III, Anthony for 17 yards to the JAXVILLEST27, PENALTY OHIO holding 10 yards to the OHIO46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 16
OWN 46
+14
12.1%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Eian Pugh for 14 yds to the JVST 40Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+4
11.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the JVST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
10.9%
Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the JVST 34Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+20
10.6%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 20 yds to the JVST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
10.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the JVST 13Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 9
OPP 13
-6
9.9%
Anthony Tyus III run for a loss of 6 yards to the JVST 19Similar
Q4 13:58
3RD & 15
OPP 19
-2
10.7%
Parker Navarro sacked by Curley Young Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the JVST 21Similar
Q4 13:19
4TH & 17
OPP 21
+38
8.5%
Gianni Spetic 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 23TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:1311% → 19%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
10.9%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Tre Stewart for 7 yds to the JVST 32Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
11.5%
Michael Pettway run for 2 yds to the JVST 34Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
10.6%
Tyler Huff run for 2 yds to the JVST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
10.4%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Brock Rechsteiner for 5 yds to the JVST 41Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+15
10.5%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 15 yds to the OHIO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
10.2%
Tyler Huff pass incomplete to Cam VaughnSimilar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
10.0%
Tyler Huff pass incomplete to Jarod BowieSimilar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+26
9.9%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Tre Stewart for 26 yds to the OHIO 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
9.2%
Tre Stewart run for 3 yds to the OHIO 15Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+12
8.3%
Tyler Huff run for 12 yds to the OHIO 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
19.0%
Tre Stewart run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24INT
8 plays · 78 yds · 2:5886% → 91%
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+18
13.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 18 yds to the OHIO 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
13.2%
Anthony Tyus III run for 10 yds to the OHIO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+33
12.3%
Parker Navarro run for 33 yds to the JVST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
10.4%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Coleman OwenSimilar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+15
10.8%
Jacksonville State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the JVST 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
9.6%
Parker Navarro run for 2 yds to the JVST 15Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
9.1%
Parker Navarro pass intercepted Ky'won McCray return for no gain to the JVST 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 25TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 2:5212% → 44%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
11.7%
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd to the JVST 31Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
10.9%
Tyler Huff pass incomplete to Jarod BowieSimilar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+1
10.0%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Tre Stewart for 1 yd to the JVST 32Similar
Q4 5:25
4TH & 8
OWN 32
+26
8.7%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 26 yds to the OHIO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+27
12.1%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Jarod Bowie for 27 yds to the OHIO 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
14.6%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Brock Rechsteiner for 4 yds to the OHIO 11Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 6
OPP 11
0
14.2%
Tyler Huff pass incomplete to P.J. WellsSimilar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+5
12.7%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Jarod Bowie for 5 yds to the OHIO 6Similar
Q4 3:45
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+5
11.2%
Tre Stewart run for 5 yds to the OHIO 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.9%
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 26END OF GAME
11 plays · 47 yds · 3:0575% → 93%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
24.9%
Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the OHIO 12Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+30
21.8%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 30 yds to the OHIO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
17.8%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 1 yd to the OHIO 43Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
16.2%
Anthony Tyus III run for no gain to the OHIO 43Similar
Q4 2:02
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+13
17.9%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for 13 yds to the JVST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-3
10.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the JVST 47Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 13
OPP 47
-3
8.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 16
50
+5
6.9%
Jacksonville State Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the JVST 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:35
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
+32.7
TD · Q3 9:36
Tyler Huff run for 7 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
+13.2
TD · Q4 9:52
Tre Stewart run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+10.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com