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GASO

Georgia Southern 26 at Sam Houston 31

SHSU
2024 · R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl · Dec 19, 2024 · Caesars Superdome
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Win probability · SHSU
modelSHSU aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playSHSU scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:44 · JC French run for 6 yds to the SHSU 44 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 169Home team on offense+25.9Pregame prior−0.1Garbage-time factor+7.8Score differential+11.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:46: Hunter Watson pass complete to Simeon Evans for 33 yds for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK) — SHSU win probability +10.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:09: Hunter Watson run for 2 yds for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK) — SHSU win probability +9.2 pts (now 71%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:14: Jalen White run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — GASO win probability +14.9 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 11:37: Hunter Watson run for 1 yd for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK) — SHSU win probability +16.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:09: JC French run for 1 yd for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GASO win probability +17.3 pts (now 21%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SHSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8GASO made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:09SHSU 4th & 4 at SHSU 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:54GASO 4th & 18 at GASO 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:27SHSU 4th & 8 at GASO 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    45.8%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:52GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:03SHSU 4th & 22 at SHSU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−1.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:31GASO 4th & 1 at SHSU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    45.4%−2.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    45.5%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:48GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:04SHSU 4th & 5 at SHSU 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:05GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−1.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:07SHSU 4th & 17 at SHSU 30, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−3.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:01SHSU 4th & 4 at SHSU 49, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%−1.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:05GASO 4th & 10 at SHSU 31, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    32.6%−3.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:22SHSU 4th & 10 at SHSU 18, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−1.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:57SHSU 4th & 4 at GASO 4, up 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.2%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    92.0%−2.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:44GASO 4th & 2 at midfield, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.0%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SHSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 12:02SHSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:15GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:46SHSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:09SHSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:14GASO Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    39.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    38.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:37SHSU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:09GASO Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.8%−7.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SHSUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:3340% → 41%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
40.3%
Jay Ducker run for 5 yds to the SHSU 15Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+7
40.4%
Hunter Watson run for 7 yds to the SHSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
40.6%
Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the SHSU 25Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 7
OWN 25
-5
40.7%
Jay Ducker run for a loss of 5 yards to the SHSU 20Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 12
OWN 20
+8
40.8%
Hunter Watson run for 8 yds to the SHSU 28Similar
Q1 12:09
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
41.0%
Jadon Cardell punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GASO 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-29
42.1%
Jaylon Jimmerson 29 Yd Interception Return (Christian Pavon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:4958% → 56%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
42.4%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GASO 23Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 9
OWN 23
-4
43.0%
JC French pass complete to Jalen White for a loss of 4 yards to the GASO 19Similar
Q1 10:32
3RD & 13
OWN 19
-5
43.4%
JC French sacked by Issiah Nixon for a loss of 5 yards to the GASO 14Similar
Q1 9:54
4TH & 18
OWN 14
+16
44.0%
Alex Smith punt for 47 yds , Ife Adeyi returns for 16 yds to the GASO 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1345% → 45%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
44.6%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
44.7%
Hunter Watson run for 5 yds to the GASO 40Similar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 5
OPP 40
-3
44.9%
Hunter Watson sacked by Justin Meyers for a loss of 3 yards to the GASO 43Similar
Q1 8:27
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
44.8%
Jadon Cardell punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Josh Dallas at the GASO 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:2855% → 53%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
44.9%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GASO 12Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+18
45.4%
Jalen White run for 18 yds to the GASO 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
45.4%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-4
45.7%
JC French sacked by Briceon Hayes for a loss of 4 yards to the GASO 26Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 14
OWN 26
+6
46.5%
Jalen White run for 6 yds to the GASO 32Similar
Q1 5:52
4TH & 8
OWN 32
+2
47.0%
Alex Smith punt for 44 yds , Ife Adeyi returns for 2 yds to the SHSU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 3:2747% → 48%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
47.1%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Simeon Evans for 5 yds to the SHSU 31Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+2
47.4%
Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the SHSU 33Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+10
47.2%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Michael Phoenix II for 10 yds to the SHSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
48.9%
Noah Smith run for 2 yds to the SHSU 45Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+5
49.3%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Noah Smith for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 3
50
-10
49.1%
Sam Houston Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SHSU 40Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 13
OWN 40
-9
48.5%
Hunter Watson sacked by Elhadj Fall for a loss of 9 yards to the SHSU 31Similar
Q1 2:03
4TH & 22
OWN 31
+9
48.2%
Jadon Cardell punt for 49 yds , Josh Dallas returns for 9 yds to the GASO 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:3351% → 50%
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
48.7%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 17 yds to the GASO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
48.0%
JC French sacked by Richard Outland Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the GASO 41Similar
Q1 0:36
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+5
49.6%
David Mbadinga run for 5 yds to the GASO 46Similar
Q1 0:21
3RD & 10
OWN 46
-12
49.6%
JC French pass intercepted Kavian Gaither return for 12 yds to the GASO 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:3452% → 53%
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
52.0%
Jay Ducker run for 3 yds to the GASO 43Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+19
52.0%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Qua'Vez Humphreys for 19 yds to the GASO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
52.5%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Michael Phoenix II for 4 yds Michael Phoenix II fumbled, forced by Tracy Hill Jr., recovered by GASO Ayden JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:0649% → 57%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
50.6%
Jalen White run for 9 yds to the GASO 29Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+4
49.8%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GASO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
50.8%
Jalen White run for 18 yds to the SHSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
49.8%
JC French pass incomplete to Jalen WhiteSimilar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
50.5%
David Mbadinga run for no gain to the SHSU 49Similar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+9
51.5%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 9 yds to the SHSU 40Similar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+2
51.5%
JC French run for 2 yds to the SHSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
50.8%
JC French run for 12 yds to the SHSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
49.9%
JC French run for 4 yds to the SHSU 22Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+5
50.5%
David Mbadinga run for 5 yds to the SHSU 17Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+17
43.1%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 17 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1847% → 61%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
47.3%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Noah Smith for 6 yds to the SHSU 31Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
48.4%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Simeon Evans for 5 yds to the SHSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
48.2%
Noah Smith run for 4 yds to the SHSU 40Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+16
49.3%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Ife Adeyi for 16 yds to the GASO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
50.1%
Hunter Watson run for 7 yds to the GASO 37Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 3
OPP 37
0
50.4%
DJ McKinney run for no gain to the GASO 37Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+4
50.1%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Lonnie Adkism for 4 yds to the GASO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
60.5%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Simeon Evans for 33 yds for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:3943% → 41%
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
57.3%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GASO 22Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
57.8%
JC French pass incomplete to Jalen WhiteSimilar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 9
OWN 22
-20
58.9%
JC French pass intercepted Jaylon Jimmerson return for 20 yds to the GASO 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:3161% → 71%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
61.4%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Ife Adeyi for 6 yds to the GASO 7Similar
Q2 4:03
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+6
61.9%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Elijah Sohn for 6 yds to the GASO 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
62.2%
Jay Ducker run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 2Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
71.4%
Hunter Watson run for 2 yds for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:1232% → 29%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
68.5%
Josh Dallas run for 13 yds to the GASO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
68.5%
JC French pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
-5
70.2%
Georgia Southern Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GASO 34Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 14
OWN 34
+4
71.1%
Terrance Gibbs run for 4 yds to the GASO 38Similar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 10
OWN 38
+25
71.1%
Alex Smith punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ife Adeyi at the SHSU 22 Georgia Southern Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the SHSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5670% → 72%
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
69.8%
JC French run for 1 yd to the GASO 39Similar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
73.3%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Qua'Vez Humphreys for 4 yds to the SHSU 41Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+1
73.9%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Noah Smith for 1 yd to the SHSU 42Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
73.4%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+7
72.1%
Jadon Cardell punt for 51 yds , Josh Dallas returns for 7 yds to the GASO 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15END OF HALF
13 plays · 55 yds · 0:5628% → 33%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
71.6%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GASO 17Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+7
70.8%
Jalen White run for 7 yds to the GASO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
72.1%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 11 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
71.1%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 2 yds to the GASO 37Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+6
70.6%
JC French run for 6 yds to the GASO 43Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+9
71.5%
JC French run for 9 yds to the SHSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
70.8%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 10 yds to the SHSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
70.3%
JC French pass complete to David Mbadinga for 7 yds to the SHSU 31Similar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 3
OPP 31
0
68.8%
JC French pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+49
67.1%
Gavin Stewart 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:4031% → 27%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
68.8%
Jalen White run for 5 yds to the GASO 20Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+6
69.1%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 6 yds to the GASO 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
69.2%
Jalen White run for no gain to the GASO 26Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-3
70.0%
JC French pass complete to Tyler Fromm for a loss of 3 yards to the GASO 23Similar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 13
OWN 23
+3
71.8%
David Mbadinga run for 3 yds to the GASO 26Similar
Q3 12:05
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
72.7%
Alex Smith punt for 37 yds, downed at the SHSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:5373% → 72%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
73.0%
Hunter Watson run for a loss of 5 yards to the SHSU 32 Hunter Watson fumbled, recovered by SHSU Jaylen PhillipsSimilar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+4
72.7%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Simeon Evans for 4 yds to the SHSU 36Similar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 11
OWN 36
-6
72.7%
Hunter Watson sacked by Davon Gilmore for a loss of 6 yards to the SHSU 30Similar
Q3 10:07
4TH & 17
OWN 30
+10
72.0%
Jadon Cardell punt for 36 yds , Josh Dallas returns for 10 yds to the GASO 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 2:4429% → 46%
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
70.8%
David Mbadinga run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 43Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+9
72.1%
Dalen Cobb run for 9 yds to the SHSU 48Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+4
71.0%
David Mbadinga run for 4 yds to the SHSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+43
71.3%
JC French pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 43 yds to the SHSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 0
OPP 1
0
68.7%
Sam Houston Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) to the SHSU 1Similar
Q3 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.8%
Jalen White run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:5763% → 64%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
62.7%
DJ McKinney run for 2 yds to the SHSU 16Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+7
63.0%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Noah Smith for 7 yds to the SHSU 23Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+20
62.6%
Hunter Watson pass complete to DJ McKinney for 20 yds to the SHSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
66.2%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to DJ McKinneySimilar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-3
65.5%
Zach Hrbacek run for a loss of 3 yards to the SHSU 40Similar
Q3 4:49
3RD & 13
OWN 40
+9
62.9%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Noah Smith for 9 yds to the SHSU 49Similar
Q3 4:01
4TH & 4
OWN 49
+31
64.3%
Jadon Cardell punt for 39 yds , Josh Dallas returns for 31 yds to the GASO 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20FG
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:4842% → 44%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
58.5%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 2 yds to the GASO 45Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+3
57.8%
JC French run for 3 yds to the GASO 48Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+6
57.0%
JC French pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 6 yds to the SHSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
56.2%
David Mbadinga run for 15 yds to the SHSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
54.8%
Dalen Cobb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
55.0%
JC French run for no gain to the SHSU 31Similar
Q3 0:40
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
57.6%
JC French run for no gain to the SHSU 31Similar
Q3 0:05
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+49
56.3%
Gavin Stewart 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 21TD
10 plays · 88 yds · 3:1858% → 84%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
58.4%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Ife Adeyi for 2 yds to the SHSU 14Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+15
58.1%
Georgia Southern Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the SHSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
59.4%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Simeon Evans for 2 yds to the SHSU 31Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+9
59.4%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Ife Adeyi for 9 yds to the SHSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
64.5%
Jay Ducker run for 20 yds to the GASO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
66.6%
Hunter Watson run for 8 yds to the GASO 32Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+31
67.8%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Simeon Evans for 31 yds to the GASO 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
67.9%
Jay Ducker run for no gain to the GASO 1Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.1%
Hunter Watson run for 1 yd for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22INT
14 plays · 52 yds · 4:5517% → 15%
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.0%
Jalen White run for no gain to the GASO 25Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
83.6%
JC French pass incomplete to Dalen CobbSimilar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.1%
Sam Houston Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the GASO 30Similar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
83.4%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 8 yds to the GASO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
84.1%
JC French run for 1 yd to the GASO 39Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+11
84.9%
Jalen White run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
50
0
83.2%
JC French pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 10
50
+4
84.1%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the SHSU 46Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+11
84.8%
JC French pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 11 yds to the SHSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
84.1%
JC French pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 10 yds to the SHSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
84.1%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 2 yds to the SHSU 23Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
85.0%
JC French pass intercepted Briceon Hayes return for no gain to the SHSU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 23FUMBLE
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5990% → 89%
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
90.2%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Michael Phoenix IISimilar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
90.2%
Hunter Watson run for no gain to the SHSU 18Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
89.8%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to John GentrySimilar
Q4 5:22
4TH & 10
OWN 18
+2
89.0%
Jadon Cardell punt for 52 yds , Josh Dallas returns for 2 yds to the GASO 32 Josh Dallas fumbled, forced by CJ Johnson, recovered by SHSU CJ JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 24FG
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:0292% → 98%
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-4
92.3%
Hunter Watson sacked by Davion Rhodes for a loss of 4 yards to the GASO 36Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 14
OPP 36
+15
91.8%
Georgia Southern Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the GASO 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
92.3%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Simeon Evans for 5 yds to the GASO 16Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+1
92.9%
Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the GASO 15Similar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+5
93.9%
Hunter Watson run for 5 yds to the GASO 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
94.3%
Hunter Watson run for 7 yds to the GASO 3Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
94.3%
Jay Ducker run for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 5Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
96.3%
Hunter Watson run for 1 yd to the GASO 4Similar
Q4 1:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
98.0%
Christian Pavon 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 25TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 1:413% → 21%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
97.4%
Sam Houston Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the GASO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
97.3%
JC French pass complete to Josh Dallas for 9 yds to the SHSU 49Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 1
OPP 49
-10
97.0%
Georgia Southern Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the GASO 41Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 11
OWN 41
0
97.4%
JC French pass incomplete to Dalen CobbSimilar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+9
97.7%
JC French pass complete to Jalen White for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:44
4TH & 2
50
+6
97.5%
JC French run for 6 yds to the SHSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+40
97.3%
JC French pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 40 yds to the SHSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
96.6%
JC French pass incomplete to Jalen WhiteSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
96.7%
JC French run for 3 yds to the SHSU 1Similar
Q4 0:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.3%
JC French run for 1 yd for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 26Uncategorized
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
96.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:09
JC French run for 1 yd for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)
-17.3
TD · Q4 11:37
Hunter Watson run for 1 yd for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK)
+16.2
TD · Q3 7:14
Jalen White run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-14.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com