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MEM

Memphis 42 at West Virginia 37

WVU
2024 · Scooter's Coffee Frisco Bowl · Dec 17, 2024 · Toyota Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:08 · (00:08) [SG] Kneel down by TEAM at MEM18 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:10: Mario Anderson Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK) — MEM win probability +13.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:15: Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 10 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — WVU win probability +11.0 pts (now 28%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:02: CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK) — WVU win probability +16.8 pts (now 35%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:49: Brandon Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK) — MEM win probability +21.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:17: CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK) — WVU win probability +20.9 pts (now 33%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6MEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 13:23WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:37MEM 4th & 3 at WVU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    60.1%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:56WVU 4th & 2 at WVU 10, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.9%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:56MEM 4th & 8 at WVU 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    60.1%−3.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:03WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.1%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:30MEM 4th & 7 at WVU 24, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    66.3%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00WVU 4th & 4 at MEM 28, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.7%−0.5
    60% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−4.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:57MEM 4th & 2 at MEM 45, up 12
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:09WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 39, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:02WVU 4th & 1 at MEM 1, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    16.0%−2.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−11.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:56MEM 4th & 2 at WVU 31, up 5
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.0%−0.4
    54% to make
    Punt
    85.4%−2.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5MEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 5:06MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:46MEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:28WVU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:44WVU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:55MEM Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    74.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:10MEM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:15WVU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    22.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    22.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:02WVU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:49MEM Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:17WVU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3740% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
39.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVU 26 fumbled, recovered by WVU return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
39.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Jahiem White for 3 yds to the WVU 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
39.6%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:40
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+44
39.9%
STRAW, Oliver punt 44 yards to the MEM27, fair catch by DRAKE, Koby, clock 13:32. PENALTY Before the snap, WVU Illegal Formation MEM Holding , Offsetting penalties [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 13:23
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
40.0%
Oliver Straw punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 3:4660% → 59%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
40.1%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 1 yd to the MEM 31Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+3
40.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 3 yds to the MEM 34Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+14
40.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 14 yds to the MEM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
39.9%
Seth Henigan run for 3 yds to the WVU 49Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-2
39.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the MEM 49Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+6
40.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 6 yds to the WVU 45Similar
Q1 9:37
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
41.1%
Joshua Sloan punt for 43 yds, downed at the WVU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 5:3640% → 41%
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
40.1%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVU 6Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+4
40.0%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVU 10Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 2
OWN 10
0
40.0%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:56
4TH & 2
OWN 10
+13
41.3%
Oliver Straw punt for 48 yds , Koby Drake returns for 13 yds to the WVU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 2:4959% → 62%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
41.0%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 12 yds to the WVU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
40.9%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 31Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+4
41.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 4 yds to the WVU 27Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+23
41.4%
Seth Henigan run for 23 yds to the WVU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
37.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 4 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:1139% → 40%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
39.0%
Jahiem White run for 3 yds to the WVU 28Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
39.1%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for 6 yds to the WVU 34Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
39.3%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
39.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to CJ Donaldson Jr. for 6 yds to the WVU 42Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 4
OWN 42
-1
40.1%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 41 fumbled, recovered by MEM Mond Cole M. Cole return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6FG
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:4763% → 63%
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
37.4%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
37.3%
Seth Henigan run for 3 yds to the WVU 38Similar
Q1 1:58
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+20
37.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 20 yds to the WVU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
36.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for no gain to the WVU 18Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+2
36.6%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 16Similar
Q1 0:03
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
36.7%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+34
36.9%
Tristian Vandenberg 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:5336% → 35%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
36.2%
Jahiem White run for 1 yd to the WVU 26Similar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-4
36.0%
Garrett Greene run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVU 22Similar
Q2 13:48
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+15
34.8%
Garrett Greene run for 15 yds to the WVU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
35.8%
Jahiem White run for 2 yds to the WVU 39Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+7
35.8%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 7 yds to the WVU 46Similar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
35.4%
Jahiem White run for no gain to the WVU 46Similar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
35.1%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8TD
1 play · 46 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
24.2%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 46 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:1828% → 36%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
27.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 6 yds to the WVU 31Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+16
27.7%
Jahiem White run for 16 yds to the WVU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
28.5%
Jahiem White run for 2 yds to the WVU 49Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-5
28.1%
West Virginia Penalty, False Start (Nick Malone) to the WVU 44Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+19
27.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 19 yds to the MEM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
27.7%
Jahiem White run for 4 yds to the MEM 33Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+33
36.0%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 33 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 4:5867% → 72%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
33.4%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 4 yds to the MEM 29Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
32.8%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 8 yds to the MEM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
32.3%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 36Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+2
32.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 2 yds to the MEM 38Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+25
32.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 25 yds to the WVU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
31.3%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+10
31.3%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 10 yds to the WVU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
30.8%
Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the WVU 23Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-1
30.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 24Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 7
OPP 24
0
30.8%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:30
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+42
28.3%
Tristian Vandenberg 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:4429% → 37%
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
28.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Ric'Darious Farmer for 6 yds to the WVU 31Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+13
29.0%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 13 yds to the WVU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
28.6%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+56
37.1%
Garrett Greene run for 56 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:4766% → 79%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
34.4%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 4 yds to the MEM 29Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
33.7%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+50
34.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 35 yds to the WVU 36 for a 1ST down West Virginia Penalty, Roughing the Passer on MULBAH, Fatorma enforced (Fatorma Mulbah) to the WVU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
30.6%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 18Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+18
20.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 18 yds for a TD (Seth Henigan pass to Demeer Blankumsee for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 0:5124% → 29%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
23.7%
Garrett Greene run for 7 yds to the WVU 32Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+23
24.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 23 yds to the MEM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
25.7%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 11 yds to the MEM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
26.3%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
26.0%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+6
25.1%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 6 yds to the MEM 28Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+46
28.5%
Michael Hayes II 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:5071% → 87%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+48
29.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 48 yds to the WVU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
27.4%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVU 22Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+6
27.2%
Seth Henigan run for 6 yds to the WVU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
26.8%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVU 15Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
26.4%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+9
26.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 9 yds to the WVU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
25.8%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 3Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
12.6%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5216% → 28%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
16.0%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 8 yds to the WVU 33Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
16.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
16.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for 20 yds to the MEM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
17.1%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+12
16.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 12 yds to the MEM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
17.2%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the MEM 26Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+6
17.1%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 6 yds to the MEM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
16.9%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the MEM 15Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+5
16.7%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 5 yds to the MEM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
27.7%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 10 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:1379% → 80%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.3%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
21.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Brandon Thomas for 12 yds to the MEM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
20.3%
Seth Henigan run for 5 yds to the MEM 42Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+3
19.3%
Brandon Thomas run for 3 yds to the MEM 45Similar
Q3 5:04
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
19.0%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:57
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
20.0%
Joshua Sloan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17TD
21 plays · 90 yds · 7:4922% → 35%
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
22.1%
(04:51) DONALDSON JR, CJ rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the WVU16 (WATTS, AJ), out of bounds, clock 04:47. PENALTY WVU Holding on WILLIAMS IV, Johnny enforced half the distance from the goal, 5 yards from the WVU10 to the WVU5 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+4
21.9%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVU 9Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+3
21.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Ric'Darious Farmer for 3 yds to the WVU 12Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+9
20.3%
Garrett Greene run for 9 yds to the WVU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
20.9%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 13 yds to the WVU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
21.4%
Garrett Greene run for 8 yds to the WVU 42Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 2
OWN 42
0
21.7%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 2
OWN 42
-3
20.8%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVU 39Similar
Q3 1:09
4TH & 5
OWN 39
+8
19.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 8 yds to the WVU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
21.1%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
20.6%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVU 48Similar
Q4 14:59
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+37
19.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 37 yds to the MEM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
22.2%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 7 yds to the MEM 8Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 3
OPP 8
-10
22.0%
(13:54) QB Keeper GREENE, Garrett rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the MEM5 (MARSH, Kourtlan), out of bounds, clock 13:51. PENALTY WVU Holding on RIMAC, Tomas enforced 10 yards from the MEM8 to the MEM18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 13
OPP 18
+9
20.8%
(13:31) GREENE, Garrett pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CLEMENT, Hudson thrown to the MEM0, clock 13:25. PENALTY MEM Holding on ROSS, Davion enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the MEM18 to the MEM9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
21.9%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for no gain to the MEM 9Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
21.8%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 6 yds to the MEM 3Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
20.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Preston Fox for 2 yds to the MEM 1Similar
Q4 12:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
35.3%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18TD
2 plays · 90 yds · 1:0470% → 92%
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+89
30.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 89 yds to the WVU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
8.5%
Brandon Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:2616% → 33%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
15.7%
(10:43) QB Keeper GREENE, Garrett rush to the right for a gain of 14 yards to the WVU39 (RUBIN, Greg), out of bounds, clock 10:42. PENALTY Before the snap, WVU Illegal Shift on FOX, Preston enforced 5 yards from the WVU25 to the WVU20. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
13.4%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for 2 yds to the WVU 22Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+17
13.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Jarel Williams for 17 yds to the WVU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
14.4%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for 4 yds to the WVU 43Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+13
14.6%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 13 yds to the MEM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
14.5%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
14.0%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 2 yds to the MEM 42Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+27
11.5%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for 27 yds to the MEM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
14.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the MEM 11Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+5
13.3%
Garrett Greene pass complete to CJ Donaldson Jr. for 5 yds to the MEM 6Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+4
11.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 4 yds to the MEM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
12.5%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd to the MEM 1Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.4%
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20MISSED FG
12 plays · 40 yds · 3:1582% → 95%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
17.9%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 3 yds to the MEM 32Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+10
16.6%
Seth Henigan run for 10 yds to the MEM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
11.7%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for no gain to the MEM 42Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+19
7.9%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 19 yds to the WVU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
6.9%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVU 41Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+7
7.0%
Seth Henigan run for 7 yds to the WVU 34Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+3
6.3%
Mario Anderson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WVU 31Similar
Q4 0:56
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+50
5.1%
Tristian Vandenberg 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21INT
4 plays · 32 yds · 0:2814% → 17%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+23
14.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 23 yds to the MEM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
17.7%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 5 yds to the MEM 41Similar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+4
21.7%
Garrett Greene run for 4 yds to the MEM 37Similar
Q4 0:17
3RD & 1
OPP 37
-5
17.2%
Garrett Greene pass intercepted Elijah Herring return for 5 yds to the MEM 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-3
5.9%
(00:08) [SG] Kneel down by TEAM at MEM18 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:49
Brandon Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Tristian Vandenberg KICK)
-21.6
TD · Q4 4:17
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)
+20.9
TD · Q4 12:02
CJ Donaldson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Hayes II KICK)
+16.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com