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WKU

Western Kentucky 17 at James Madison 27

JMU
2024 · Boca Raton Bowl · Dec 18, 2024 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · JMU
modelJMU aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playJMU scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:31 · Ryan Hanson punt for 25 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 36Pregame prior+12.4Home team on offense+2.3Garbage-time factor+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score differential+0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:34: Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Moussa Barry for 17 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK) — WKU win probability +5.1 pts (now 39%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:51: Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 11 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK) — WKU win probability +13.0 pts (now 58%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:09: JC Evans pass complete to Kyi Wright for 1 yd for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK) — JMU win probability +20.6 pts (now 66%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 14:13: Lucas Carneiro 31 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +9.3 pts (now 43%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:20: Billy Atkins pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 21 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK) — JMU win probability +21.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:38JMU 4th & 5 at JMU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:51WKU 4th & 7 at WKU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:14WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:07JMU 4th & 1 at JMU 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    71.4%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:31JMU 4th & 2 at JMU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:33JMU 4th & 7 at WKU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    65.0%−2.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:06WKU 4th & 4 at JMU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%−1.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:46JMU 4th & 4 at JMU 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:05WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−1.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:44JMU 4th & 1 at WKU 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.4%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    42.7%−4.8
    91% to make
    Punt
    29.8%−17.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:25JMU 4th & 4 at WKU 10, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.2%−0.6
    88% to make
    Punt
    50.7%−12.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:13WKU 4th & 13 at JMU 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−3.2
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−11.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:32WKU 4th & 15 at WKU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−2.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:07JMU 4th & 11 at JMU 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−2.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:38WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.4%−4.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:57JMU 4th & 4 at WKU 7, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.5%−0.4
    91% to make
    Punt
    89.6%−4.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:50WKU 4th & 10 at JMU 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:03JMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:34WKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:51WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:09JMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:20JMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2266% → 66%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
66.0%
George Pettaway run for 2 yds to the JMU 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
66.0%
Jobi Malary run for 3 yds to the JMU 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
66.0%
Billy Atkins pass incomplete to Omarion DollisonSimilar
Q1 13:38
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
65.8%
Ryan Hanson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:4734% → 34%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
65.9%
Elijah Young run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKU 26Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+1
65.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 1 yd to the WKU 27Similar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 12
OWN 27
+5
66.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 5 yds to the WKU 32Similar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
65.9%
Cole Maynard punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the JMU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 3:4866% → 69%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
65.8%
JC Evans run for 4 yds to the JMU 27Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+27
65.8%
JC Evans run for 27 yds to the WKU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
66.2%
Western Kentucky Penalty, Personal Foul (Devonte' Mathews) to the WKU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
66.2%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Yamir Knight for 9 yds to the WKU 19Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+5
66.2%
JC Evans run for 5 yds to the WKU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
66.2%
George Pettaway run for 7 yds to the WKU 7Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+7
68.5%
JC Evans run for 7 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4932% → 32%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Kisean JohnsonSimilar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.7%
Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the WKU 27Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
67.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Easton MesserSimilar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
68.3%
Cole Maynard punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the JMU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 5DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:0768% → 68%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
68.1%
PENALTY JMU False Start (Sweazie,Carter) 5 yards from JMU33 to JMU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+7
68.0%
JC Evans run for 7 yds to the JMU 35Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+6
68.0%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Wayne Knight for 6 yds to the JMU 41Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+1
68.3%
Jobi Malary run for 1 yd to the JMU 42Similar
Q1 5:07
4TH & 1
OWN 42
-1
68.2%
Jobi Malary run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 26 yds · 2:0233% → 32%
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+17
67.2%
Elijah Young run for 17 yds to the JMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
66.6%
Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the JMU 20Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+6
66.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 6 yds to the JMU 26Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 12
OPP 26
+11
67.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 11 yds K.D. Hutchinson fumbled, recovered by JMU Jacob DobbsSimilar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 12
OPP 26
+11
67.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 11 yds K.D. Hutchinson fumbled, recovered by JMU Jacob DobbsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3469% → 68%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
68.6%
George Pettaway run for 6 yds to the JMU 21Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+2
68.7%
George Pettaway run for 2 yds to the JMU 23Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 2
OWN 23
0
68.3%
Billy Atkins pass incomplete to Wayne KnightSimilar
Q1 1:31
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
67.8%
Ryan Hanson punt for 25 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 48 yds · 2:5733% → 39%
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
67.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 7 yds to the JMU 41Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+1
67.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 1 yd to the JMU 40Similar
Q1 1:31
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+2
67.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 2 yds to the JMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
67.3%
K.D. Hutchinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+17
67.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 17 yds to the JMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
66.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 1 yd to the JMU 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+4
66.4%
George Hart III run for 4 yds to the JMU 17Similar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+17
61.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Moussa Barry for 17 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 9MISSED FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:5365% → 65%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
64.8%
JC Evans run for 8 yds to the JMU 44Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+10
65.8%
George Pettaway run for 10 yds to the WKU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
66.0%
George Pettaway run for 4 yds to the WKU 42Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+10
66.0%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 10 yds to the WKU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
66.3%
Wayne Knight run for 6 yds to the WKU 26Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 4
OPP 26
-3
66.3%
Wayne Knight run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKU 29Similar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
65.7%
Billy Atkins pass incomplete to Cam RossSimilar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+47
64.5%
Noe Ruelas 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:2738% → 41%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
61.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Dalvin SmithSimilar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-1
62.2%
Elijah Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 28Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+20
63.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 20 yds to the WKU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
60.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Young,Elijah rush right for 0 yards to the WKU48 (Flowe,KJ) PENALTY JMU Offside 5 yards from WKU48 to JMU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 5
OPP 47
-3
59.6%
K.D. Hutchinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 8
50
+6
60.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 6 yds to the JMU 44Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 2
OPP 44
-2
59.9%
Elijah Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the JMU 46Similar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
59.2%
Cole Maynard punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the JMU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 3:2063% → 63%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
63.1%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 8 yds to the JMU 23Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+1
63.5%
Wayne Knight run for 1 yd to the JMU 24Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+17
62.6%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Wayne Knight for 17 yds to the JMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
65.0%
Billy Atkins pass incomplete to Taylor ThompsonSimilar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
64.2%
George Pettaway run for 4 yds to the JMU 45Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+2
64.1%
Wayne Knight run for 2 yds to the JMU 47Similar
Q2 2:46
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
62.6%
Ryan Hanson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 1:5541% → 58%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
59.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Michael Mathison for 4 yds to the WKU 21Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+30
59.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 30 yds to the JMU 49 for a 1ST down James Madison Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
56.1%
George Hart III run for 2 yds to the JMU 47Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+36
56.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 36 yds to the JMU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
54.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Noah MeyersSimilar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
54.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Michael MathisonSimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+11
41.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 11 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 13MISSED FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:3848% → 50%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
47.7%
Billy Atkins pass incomplete to Omarion DollisonSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+9
46.9%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Yamir Knight for 9 yds to the JMU 35Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+5
48.1%
George Pettaway run for 5 yds to the JMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+22
46.8%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 22 yds to the WKU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+56
50.3%
Noe Ruelas 56 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Deante McCray (00:00) Ruelas,Noe field goal attempt from 56 yards NO GOOD blocked by McCray,Deante (H: Hanson,Ryan, LS: Mowrey,Jack), clock 00:00 recovered by WKU Swanson,Keyshawn at JMU14, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5355% → 53%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Kisean JohnsonSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
45.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Elijah YoungSimilar
Q3 14:31
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+2
46.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 2 yds to the WKU 27Similar
Q3 14:05
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+3
47.0%
Cole Maynard punt for 47 yds , Yamir Knight returns for 3 yds to the JMU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 5:4847% → 66%
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
47.3%
JC Evans run for 3 yds to the JMU 32Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+3
46.9%
George Pettaway run for 3 yds to the JMU 35Similar
Q3 12:37
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+14
45.5%
George Pettaway run for 14 yds to the JMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
48.4%
Billy Atkins pass incomplete to Omarion DollisonSimilar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
47.9%
Wayne Knight run for 3 yds to the WKU 48Similar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+33
47.5%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 33 yds to the WKU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
50.0%
JC Evans run for no gain to the WKU 15Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
49.8%
Wayne Knight run for 5 yds to the WKU 10Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+4
47.6%
Jobi Malary run for 4 yds to the WKU 6Similar
Q3 8:44
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+5
45.8%
Jobi Malary run for 5 yds to the WKU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.4%
JC Evans pass complete to Kyi Wright for 1 yd for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:1142% → 46%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
58.3%
Elijah Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 24Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+11
58.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Michael Mathison for 11 yds to the WKU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
57.2%
Elijah Young run for 16 yds to the JMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-11
54.0%
Dalvin Smith run for a loss of 11 yards to the WKU 40 Dalvin Smith fumbled, recovered by JMU Gannon WeathersbySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 17FG
8 plays · 30 yds · 4:0265% → 68%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
65.4%
Taji Hudson run for 11 yds to the WKU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
66.4%
Wayne Knight run for 4 yds to the WKU 25Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+5
66.4%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 5 yds to the WKU 20Similar
Q3 4:54
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+4
64.5%
Wayne Knight run for 4 yds to the WKU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
66.0%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Wayne Knight for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 17Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+1
65.9%
JC Evans run for 1 yd to the WKU 16Similar
Q3 3:01
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+6
64.4%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Yamir Knight for 6 yds to the WKU 10Similar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+28
68.3%
Noe Ruelas 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18FG
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:0632% → 43%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Elijah YoungSimilar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
67.9%
Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the WKU 31Similar
Q3 1:32
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+65
67.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 65 yds to the JMU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
60.7%
Elijah Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 5Similar
Q3 0:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-15
60.7%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Veltkamp,Caden pass complete short left to Johnson,Kisean caught at JMU00, for 5 yards to the JMU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:29 PENALTY WKU Pass Interference (Mathison,Michael) 15 yards from JMU05 to JMU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
-6
62.8%
Caden Veltkamp sacked by Eric O'Neill for a loss of 6 yards to the JMU 26Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 26
+13
65.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 13 yds to the JMU 13Similar
Q4 14:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
56.6%
Lucas Carneiro 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:4360% → 87%
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
59.8%
Billy Atkins run for 3 yds to the JMU 28Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
60.1%
Yamir Knight run for 1 yd to the JMU 29Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
58.4%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Yamir Knight for 14 yds to the JMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
63.2%
George Pettaway run for 15 yds to the WKU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
64.8%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 4 yds to the WKU 38Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+15
64.8%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Dylan Williams for 15 yds to the WKU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
66.2%
Billy Atkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+2
65.7%
JC Evans run for 2 yds to the WKU 21Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+21
87.4%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 21 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:4119% → 14%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
81.3%
(09:15) No Huddle-Shotgun Veltkamp,Caden pass incomplete short right to Meyers,Noah thrown to WKU34 PENALTY WKU Holding (Wilkins,Stacey) 10 yards from WKU25 to WKU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:04
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
81.5%
Caden Veltkamp run for no gain to the WKU 15Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 20
OWN 15
-1
82.2%
Caden Veltkamp sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 14Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+6
83.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 6 yds to the WKU 20Similar
Q4 7:32
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
86.4%
Cole Maynard punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 2:1888% → 88%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
87.5%
Wayne Knight run for 2 yds to the JMU 36Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-6
88.7%
Wayne Knight run for a loss of 6 yards to the JMU 30Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 14
OWN 30
+3
88.4%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Wayne Knight for 3 yds to the JMU 33Similar
Q4 5:07
4TH & 11
OWN 33
0
88.3%
Ryan Hanson punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22FUMBLE
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:5816% → 16%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
84.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Kisean JohnsonSimilar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
85.9%
Elijah Young run for no gain to the WKU 30Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+9
87.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Moussa Barry for 9 yds to the WKU 39Similar
Q4 3:38
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+2
85.4%
Caden Veltkamp run for 2 yds to the WKU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-7
84.4%
Caden Veltkamp sacked by Khairi Manns for a loss of 7 yards to the WKU 34 Caden Veltkamp fumbled, recovered by JMU Khairi Manns , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 23FG
10 plays · 27 yds · 0:5794% → 98%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+21
94.2%
George Pettaway run for 21 yds to the WKU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
94.8%
George Pettaway run for 4 yds to the WKU 9Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+3
94.8%
Billy Atkins run for 3 yds to the WKU 6Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 3
OPP 6
-5
96.6%
PENALTY JMU Illegal Snap (Morris,Tanner) 5 yards from WKU06 to WKU11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+4
96.9%
Wayne Knight run for 4 yds to the WKU 7Similar
Q4 1:57
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+25
97.7%
Noe Ruelas 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:375% → 5%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
95.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 9 yds to the WKU 27Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+6
94.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 6 yds to the WKU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
94.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 18 yds to the JMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
94.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Kisean JohnsonSimilar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
93.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Easton MesserSimilar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
94.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to K.D. HutchinsonSimilar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
95.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Easton MesserSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:3598% → 98%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
98.4%
(00:43) Kneel down by James Madison at JMU47 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 47
-2
98.3%
(00:27) Kneel down by James Madison at JMU45 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:20
Billy Atkins pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 21 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)
+21.7
TD · Q3 8:09
JC Evans pass complete to Kyi Wright for 1 yd for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)
+20.6
TD · Q2 0:51
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 11 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)
-13
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com