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USA

South Alabama 30 at Western Michigan 23

WMU
2024 · IS4S Salute to Veterans Bowl · Dec 14, 2024 · Cramton Bowl
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+1.2WMU 38.8%Luka Zurak 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 16 - HOME 13 · Q2 0:13
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:13 · Luka Zurak 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 79Home team on offense−2.9Pregame prior−6.7Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:29: Bishop Davenport pass complete to Jeremiah Webb for 52 yds for a TD (Hamilton DiBoyan KICK) — USA win probability +9.6 pts (now 59%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:50: Bishop Davenport pass complete to Jeremiah Webb for 45 yds for a TD (Hamilton DiBoyan PAT MISSED) — USA win probability +10.5 pts (now 69%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:18: Bishop Davenport run for 50 yds for a TD (Hamilton DiBoyan KICK) — USA win probability +14.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:17: Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 7 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK) — WMU win probability +24.4 pts (now 38%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:42: Kentrel Bullock run for 22 yds for a TD (Hamilton DiBoyan KICK) — USA win probability +20.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8USA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:07USA 4th & 6 at USA 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:13USA 4th & 2 at WMU 4, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.6%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    58.2%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:13WMU 4th & 2 at USA 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:50WMU 4th & 9 at USA 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    42.6%−3.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:15USA 4th & 6 at WMU 6, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    46.0%−5.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:04WMU 4th & 16 at WMU 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−1.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:46WMU 4th & 5 at WMU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:46USA 4th & 1 at WMU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    58.5%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:13WMU 4th & 10 at USA 10, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−1.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−5.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:22WMU 4th & 23 at USA 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−3.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    39.4%−0.8
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:54WMU 4th & 11 at USA 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−1.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    19.9%−2.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:24USA 4th & 7 at USA 40, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:31USA 4th & 1 at WMU 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    70.4%−6.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    53.4%−23.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:11WMU 4th & 13 at USA 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−1.4
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−2.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2USA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:31WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:29USA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:50USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    66.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:18USA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:17WMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.6 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.2%−1.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.9%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:42USA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:5363% → 62%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
36.9%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Anthony Eager for 12 yds to the USA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
36.9%
Bishop Davenport run for 5 yds to the USA 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-1
36.9%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Anthony Eager for a loss of 1 yard to the USA 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
36.9%
Bishop Davenport pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+7
37.7%
Aleksi Pulkkinen punt for 37 yds , Jordin Parker returns for 7 yds to the WMU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 2:3638% → 41%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+23
37.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 23 yds to the USA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
37.9%
Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the USA 49Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+36
37.8%
South Alabama Penalty, Personal Foul (36 Yards) to the USA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
37.9%
Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds to the USA 1Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.8%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3MISSED FG
9 plays · 71 yds · 4:1860% → 57%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
40.1%
Kentrel Bullock run for 5 yds to the USA 30Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+26
40.0%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Jeremiah Webb for 26 yds to the WMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
39.7%
Anthony Eager run for 11 yds to the WMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
39.5%
Bishop Davenport run for 7 yds to the WMU 26Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+14
39.4%
Kentrel Bullock run for 14 yds to the WMU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
39.4%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Shamar Sandgren for 5 yds to the WMU 7Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
39.4%
Bishop Davenport run for no gain to the WMU 7Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+3
42.0%
Kentrel Bullock run for 3 yds to the WMU 4Similar
Q1 6:13
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+22
42.8%
Davis Little 22 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4FG
13 plays · 61 yds · 10:2341% → 48%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
40.6%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 11 yds to the WMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
40.6%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the WMU 32Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+11
40.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for 11 yds to the WMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
40.9%
Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the WMU 45Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+1
41.0%
Jaden Nixon run for 1 yd to the WMU 46Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+5
40.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 5 yds to the USA 49Similar
Q1 10:13
4TH & 2
OPP 49
+10
40.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kadinn Morris for 10 yds to the USA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
48.6%
South Alabama Penalty, Personal Foul (Lardarius Webb Jr.) to the USA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
48.7%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 7 yds to the USA 13Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 13
-6
49.3%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for a loss of 6 yards to the USA 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
48.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+37
48.1%
Luka Zurak 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5FG
12 plays · 69 yds · 2:3551% → 52%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.7%
Bishop Davenport pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+35
48.9%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Jeremiah Webb for 35 yds to the WMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
47.2%
Bishop Davenport pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+17
47.9%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Shamar Sandgren for 17 yds to the WMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+18
46.9%
Jeremiah Webb run for 18 yds to the WMU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
46.9%
Bishop Davenport pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
46.9%
South Alabama Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WMU 10Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
47.3%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 1 yd to the WMU 9Similar
Q2 13:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
49.0%
Bishop Davenport run for 3 yds to the WMU 6Similar
Q2 12:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
48.0%
Hamilton DiBoyan 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:1155% → 53%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
54.5%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-6
54.1%
Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 6 yards to the WMU 37 Jaden Nixon fumbled, recovered by WMU Jaden Nixon J. Nixon return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 16
OWN 37
0
52.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:04
4TH & 16
OWN 37
+3
53.0%
Ryan Millmore punt for 46 yds , Devin Voisin returns for 3 yds to the USA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:3550% → 59%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+28
50.2%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Devin Voisin for 28 yds to the USA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
40.6%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Jeremiah Webb for 52 yds for a TD (Hamilton DiBoyan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4345% → 44%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
44.5%
Jalen Buckley run for 4 yds to the WMU 31Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+1
44.8%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the WMU 32Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
43.9%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:46
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
44.1%
Ryan Millmore punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:5657% → 69%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
42.6%
Kentrel Bullock run for 12 yds to the USA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
42.0%
Bishop Davenport pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
42.5%
Bishop Davenport run for 6 yds to the USA 38Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+5
41.6%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Jeremiah Webb for 5 yds to the USA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
40.8%
Bishop Davenport pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+8
41.4%
Anthony Eager run for 8 yds to the WMU 49Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+1
41.0%
Bishop Davenport run for 1 yd to the WMU 48Similar
Q2 8:46
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+3
42.0%
Bishop Davenport run for 3 yds to the WMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
31.5%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Jeremiah Webb for 45 yds for a TD (Hamilton DiBoyan PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10INT
5 plays · 39 yds · 2:1935% → 37%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
35.4%
Jaden Nixon run for 17 yds to the WMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
36.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 10 yds to the WMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
37.4%
Jaden Nixon run for no gain to the WMU 47Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+12
37.1%
WOLFF, Hayden pass to the right incomplete intended for TOUDLE, Christopher thrown to the USA39. PENALTY USA Pass Interference on BROOKS, Lamondre enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards to the USA41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
37.0%
South Alabama Penalty, Personal Foul (Aakil Washington) to the USA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:5466% → 61%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
33.6%
Bishop Davenport run for 3 yds to the USA 14Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+19
39.5%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Jeremiah Webb for 19 yds to the USA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
38.1%
South Alabama Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USA 28Similar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 15
OWN 28
-21
39.2%
Bishop Davenport pass intercepted Josh Franklin return for 21 yds to the USA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12FG
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:1239% → 39%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
39.0%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 12 yds to the USA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
39.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
39.0%
Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the USA 10Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
37.5%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+29
38.8%
Luka Zurak 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
37.6%
[NH] Kneel down by DAVENPORT, Bishop at USA19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 6:3842% → 40%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
41.8%
Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds to the WMU 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+4
43.4%
Jalen Buckley run for 4 yds to the WMU 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+2
43.0%
Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the WMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
42.9%
Jaden Nixon run for 6 yds to the WMU 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
-3
44.6%
Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMU 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+15
42.0%
South Alabama Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Ty Goodwill) to the USA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
46.4%
Western Michigan Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the USA 36Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 18
OPP 36
+1
43.6%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the USA 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 35
-10
44.2%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Ed Smith IV for a loss of 10 yards to the USA 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 27
OPP 45
+4
41.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 4 yds to the USA 41Similar
Q3 8:22
4TH & 23
OPP 41
0
40.0%
Ryan Millmore punt for 31 yds, downed at the USA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 4:0461% → 80%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+13
38.9%
Kentrel Bullock run for 13 yds to the USA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
38.6%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Devin Voisin for 9 yds to the USA 32Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 1
OWN 32
-1
36.7%
Kentrel Bullock run for a loss of 1 yard to the USA 31Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+4
37.6%
Kentrel Bullock run for 4 yds to the USA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
37.3%
Kentrel Bullock run for 4 yds to the USA 39Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+13
35.9%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 13 yds to the WMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
35.1%
Braylon McReynolds run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 12
50
+50
20.3%
Bishop Davenport run for 50 yds for a TD (Hamilton DiBoyan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:2422% → 16%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
22.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 19 yds to the USA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
24.1%
Western Michigan Penalty, Illegal Block (Kenneth Womack) to the WMU 48Similar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 17
OWN 48
+8
22.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for 8 yds to the USA 44Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+4
23.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the USA 40Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 5
OPP 40
-6
23.8%
Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 6 yards to the USA 46Similar
Q3 0:54
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
16.1%
Ryan Millmore punt for 40 yds, downed at the USA 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 4:3078% → 83%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+8
21.7%
Kentrel Bullock run for 8 yds to the USA 14Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 14
+5
21.2%
Kentrel Bullock run for 5 yds to the USA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
20.9%
Anthony Eager run for 9 yds to the USA 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+9
19.9%
PJ Martin run for 9 yds to the USA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
19.5%
PJ Martin run for 1 yd to the USA 38Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+5
18.2%
QB Keeper DAVENPORT, Bishop rush up the middle for a loss of 10 yards, DAVENPORT, Bishop fumbled at USA33 forced by NELSON, Mason, recovered by WMU THOMPSON, Anterio at the USA28, returned 0 yards to the USA28, End of Play, clock 12:53. PENALTY WMU Offsides on ROBERSON, Damari enforced 5 yards from the USA38 to the USA43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+2
17.9%
Bishop Davenport run for 2 yds to the USA 45Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 2
OWN 45
-5
18.1%
South Alabama Penalty, False Start (Malachi Carney) to the USA 40Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
18.3%
Bishop Davenport pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:24
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+3
17.2%
Aleksi Pulkkinen punt for 38 yds , Jordin Parker returns for 3 yds to the WMU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 5:0713% → 38%
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
12.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 39 yds to the USA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
15.2%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the USA 35Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
16.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+12
12.2%
Hayden Wolff run for 12 yds to the USA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
13.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 7 yds to the USA 16Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+5
13.6%
Broc Lowry run for 5 yds to the USA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
13.6%
Broc Lowry run for 1 yd to the USA 10Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+3
13.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 3 yds to the USA 7Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+7
38.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 7 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3568% → 95%
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
32.5%
Kentrel Bullock run for 2 yds to the USA 27Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
32.2%
Western Michigan Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Donald Willis) to the USA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
26.0%
Kentrel Bullock run for 17 yds to the WMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
24.8%
Kentrel Bullock run for 4 yds to the WMU 32Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
22.7%
Bishop Davenport pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+5
25.1%
Bishop Davenport run for 5 yds to the WMU 27Similar
Q4 3:31
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+5
25.1%
Kentrel Bullock run for 5 yds to the WMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
4.9%
Kentrel Bullock run for 22 yds for a TD (Hamilton DiBoyan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 1:315% → 9%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
4.5%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
4.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 7 yds to the WMU 37Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+21
3.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 21 yds to the USA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
3.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 15 yds to the USA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
4.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam for 4 yds to the USA 23Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 23
0
4.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 6
OPP 23
-7
3.5%
Western Michigan Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Hayden Wolff) to the USA 30Similar
Q4 1:11
4TH & 13
OPP 30
+48
9.0%
Luka Zurak 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21END OF GAME
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:1196% → 97%
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
4.2%
Kentrel Bullock run for 8 yds to the WMU 33Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+5
3.9%
Kentrel Bullock run for 5 yds to the WMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
3.8%
(01:01) [NHSG] Kneel down by DAVENPORT, Bishop at WMU29 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 29
-1
3.4%
[NHSG] Kneel down by DAVENPORT, Bishop at WMU30 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:17
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 7 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)
+24.4
TD · Q4 2:42
Kentrel Bullock run for 22 yds for a TD (Hamilton DiBoyan KICK)
-20.2
TD · Q3 4:18
Bishop Davenport run for 50 yds for a TD (Hamilton DiBoyan KICK)
-14.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com