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UNLV

UNLV 7 at Boise State 21

BOIS
2024 · Week 15 · Dec 6, 2024 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:03 · James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jacob De Jesus at the UNLV 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 76Home team on offense+21.0Score differential+15.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1Pregame prior+6.1Garbage-time factor+7.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:40: Maddux Madsen run for 14 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +6.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:36: (02:36) JAMES, Kylin rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards to the NLV47 (BENEFIELD, Ty), out of bounds, clock 02:30. PENALTY NLV Holding on SU'A, Mathyus enforced 10 yards from the NLV41 to the NLV31 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). — UNLV win probability +6.6 pts (now 23%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:29: Ashton Jeanty run for 75 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +7.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:06: Greg Burrell run for 31 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK) — UNLV win probability +8.1 pts (now 9%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:06: Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 5 yds to the BOIS 30 — BOIS win probability +7.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UNLV made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 12:27UNLV 4th & 23 at UNLV 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:25BOIS 4th & 7 at UNLV 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    61.2%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:24UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:28UNLV 4th & 18 at UNLV 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−1.0
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:48BOIS 4th & 23 at UNLV 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−1.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    65.7%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:17UNLV 4th & 6 at BOIS 30, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.9%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    31.8%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:54BOIS 4th & 1 at UNLV 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    67.8%−2.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    68.6%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:23UNLV 4th & 6 at UNLV 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:03BOIS 4th & 1 at BOIS 30, up 21
    Close callPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:27UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.1%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:56UNLV 4th & 8 at UNLV 37, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:13BOIS 4th & 10 at UNLV 43, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:29UNLV 4th & 10 at BOIS 10, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−3.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:51BOIS 4th & 7 at BOIS 23, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:05UNLV 4th & 8 at UNLV 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:44BOIS 4th & 6 at UNLV 42, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:06UNLV 4th & 1 at BOIS 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:52BOIS 4th & 1 at BOIS 34, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%−0.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:14UNLV 4th & 21 at BOIS 21, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−1.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNLV made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 3:51BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:40BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:29BOIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:06UNLV Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:2637% → 37%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
63.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 14 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
63.2%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 10 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
63.2%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 4 yds to the BOIS 49Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+4
63.1%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 4 yds to the BOIS 45Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 2
OPP 45
-5
63.0%
UNLV Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:59
3RD & 7
50
-16
63.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams sacked by Rodney Robinson and Andrew Simpson for a loss of 16 yards to the UNLV 34Similar
Q1 12:27
4TH & 23
OWN 34
0
63.3%
Marshall Nichols punt for 43 yds , Cooper Jones returns for no gain to the BOIS 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:5863% → 63%
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+18
63.2%
Ashton Jeanty run for 18 yds to the BOIS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
63.4%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 7 yds to the BOIS 48Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+2
63.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 1
50
+2
63.4%
Maddux Madsen run for 2 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
63.6%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 5 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 5
OPP 43
-2
63.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 45Similar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
63.4%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:25
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
62.8%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jacob De Jesus at the UNLV 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5437% → 37%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
63.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 8 Hajj-Malik Williams fumbled, recovered by UNLV return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+9
63.2%
Jacob De Jesus run for 9 yds to the UNLV 17 fumbled, recovered by UNLV Ricky White III R. White III return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 2
OWN 17
-2
63.0%
Jai'Den Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 15Similar
Q1 6:24
4TH & 4
OWN 15
+6
63.0%
Marshall Nichols punt for 46 yds , Cooper Jones returns for 6 yds to the BOIS 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 2:3363% → 67%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+40
63.4%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 40 yds to the UNLV 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-10
63.8%
(05:43) JEANTY, Ashton rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the NLV10 (BALDWIN, Johnathan;NICHOLS, Marshall), clock 05:38. PENALTY BSU Holding on DOOLEY, Ben enforced 10 yards from the NLV15 to the NLV25 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:17
1ST & 20
OPP 25
+2
63.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 2 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 18
OPP 23
+1
63.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the UNLV 22Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 17
OPP 22
+22
67.0%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 22 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:1834% → 33%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
66.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 26Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 11
OWN 26
0
66.6%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 11
OWN 26
-7
67.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams sacked by Seyi Oladipo for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 19Similar
Q1 2:28
4TH & 18
OWN 19
0
67.2%
Marshall Nichols punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 3:3370% → 70%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
70.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+5
70.6%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ben Ford for 5 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+7
70.2%
Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
71.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the UNLV 32Similar
Q2 14:59
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-6
71.3%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Bates for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 38Similar
Q2 14:26
3RD & 16
OPP 38
-7
70.5%
Maddux Madsen sacked by Fisher Camac and TEAM for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 45Similar
Q2 13:48
4TH & 23
OPP 45
0
69.6%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7MISSED FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 4:2333% → 32%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
67.2%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 3 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+8
67.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 8 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
67.1%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+3
67.1%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+29
67.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Corey Thompson Jr. for 29 yds to the BOIS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
65.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 2 yds to the BOIS 32Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 8
OPP 32
-1
65.1%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 33Similar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+3
66.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Corey Thompson Jr. for 3 yds to the BOIS 30Similar
Q2 9:17
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+48
67.6%
Caden Chittenden 48 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8TD
12 plays · 69 yds · 6:3374% → 84%
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
73.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BOIS 32Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+13
73.3%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 13 yds to the BOIS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
75.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the BOIS 45Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
75.1%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Wagner for 2 yds to the BOIS 47Similar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+7
74.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 7 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q2 5:54
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+2
74.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
76.9%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+8
76.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 8 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+9
76.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 9 yds to the UNLV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
77.0%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 1 yd to the UNLV 26Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+12
77.2%
Ashton Jeanty run for 12 yds to the UNLV 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
84.1%
Maddux Madsen run for 14 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 1:1323% → 17%
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
77.5%
(02:36) JAMES, Kylin rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards to the NLV47 (BENEFIELD, Ty), out of bounds, clock 02:30. PENALTY NLV Holding on SU'A, Mathyus enforced 10 yards from the NLV41 to the NLV31 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+9
80.9%
Kylin James run for 9 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 11
OWN 40
-4
80.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 36Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 15
OWN 36
+9
82.2%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 9 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
83.5%
Marshall Nichols punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:4786% → 94%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
86.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the BOIS 25Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+75
93.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 75 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:059% → 9%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
91.2%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
91.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass intercepted Jeremiah Earby return for no gain to the BOIS 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
92.9%
(00:06) [SG] Kneel down by MADSEN, Maddux at BSU31 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5192% → 93%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
92.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 9 yds to the BOIS 30Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 1
OWN 30
-3
92.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 3 yards to the BOIS 27Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+3
92.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 3 yds to the BOIS 30Similar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
92.7%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jacob De Jesus at the UNLV 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:018% → 7%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jai'Den Thomas for 6 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
91.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Kaleo Ballungay for 3 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q3 11:27
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
92.3%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.6%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
92.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
92.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:56
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
93.5%
Marshall Nichols punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 37 yds · 3:3894% → 96%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
94.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 9 yds to the BOIS 29Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+3
94.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
95.6%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+12
95.6%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 12 yds to the BOIS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
95.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BOIS 45Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+12
95.9%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 12 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
96.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the UNLV 43Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
96.4%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:17
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
96.2%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:13
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
95.9%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 34 yds, downed at the UNLV 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · 81 yds · 2:375% → 4%
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+86
95.0%
Kylin James run for 86 yds to the BOIS 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
94.0%
UNLV Penalty, Delay Of Game (Hajj-Malik Williams) to the BOIS 10Similar
Q3 4:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
94.8%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd to the BOIS 9Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
94.9%
Hajj-Malik Williams sacked by Marco Notarainni for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 10Similar
Q3 3:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
95.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
0
95.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:3498% → 98%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
97.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 10 yds to the BOIS 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.5%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
97.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 23Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
98.3%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:51
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+5
98.3%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 40 yds , Jacob De Jesus returns for 5 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:373% → 3%
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
96.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 7 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
97.1%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
97.1%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:05
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
97.3%
Marshall Nichols punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:1599% → 99%
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
98.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 6 yds to the BOIS 28Similar
Q3 0:14
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+2
98.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the BOIS 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+9
98.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 9 yds to the BOIS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
98.9%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 15 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
99.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+2
99.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
99.5%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:44
4TH & 6
OPP 42
+9
99.4%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 32 yds , Jacob De Jesus returns for 9 yds to the UNLV 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 3:301% → 9%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
98.6%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+6
98.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 6 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+2
98.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
98.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+31
98.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 31 yds to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
98.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Kaleo Ballungay for 6 yds to the BOIS 34Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
98.5%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:37
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+3
98.6%
Greg Burrell run for 3 yds to the BOIS 31Similar
Q4 9:06
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+31
90.6%
Greg Burrell run for 31 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1498% → 98%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.0%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 5 yds to the BOIS 30Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
98.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 4 yds to the BOIS 34Similar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
98.2%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:52
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
98.1%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jacob De Jesus at the UNLV 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 22DOWNS
17 plays · 58 yds · 5:316% → 4%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
93.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+15
93.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 15 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
94.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams sacked by Sheldon Newton for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 34Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+5
94.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ricky White III for 5 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+7
94.5%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 7 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
94.4%
Greg Burrell run for no gain to the UNLV 46Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
94.4%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 9 yds to the BOIS 45Similar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+17
94.3%
Greg Burrell run for 17 yds to the BOIS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
94.8%
Hajj-Malik Williams sacked by Marco Notarainni for a loss of 5 yards to the BOIS 33Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+8
95.2%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 8 yds to the BOIS 25Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+17
95.2%
Hajj-Malik Williams run for 17 yds to the BOIS 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
95.0%
UNLV Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the BOIS 13Similar
Q4 3:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
-4
95.3%
Greg Burrell run for a loss of 4 yards to the BOIS 17Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
-4
95.3%
Hajj-Malik Williams sacked by Jayden Virgin-Morgan for a loss of 4 yards to the BOIS 21Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 21
0
95.7%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 21
0
96.0%
Hajj-Malik Williams pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 23END OF GAME
10 plays · 23 yds · 1:4499% → 100%
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the BOIS 21Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+11
99.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 11 yds to the BOIS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
99.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 36Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+5
99.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the BOIS 41Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+4
99.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
99.5%
(00:25) Kneel down by TEAM at BSU44 (team loss of 1), clock 00:22.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:06
Greg Burrell run for 31 yds for a TD (Caden Chittenden KICK)
-8.1
TD · Q2 0:29
Ashton Jeanty run for 75 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+7.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 9:06
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 5 yds to the BOIS 30
+7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com