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OHIO

Ohio 38 at Miami (OH) 3

M-OH
2024 · Week 15 · Dec 7, 2024 · Ford Field
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:27 · Alec Bevelhimer punt for 49 yds , Coleman Owen returns for a loss of 6 yards to the OHIO 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Home team on offense−46.5Score differential−30.1Garbage-time factor−13.4Pregame prior+3.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:16: Parker Navarro 4 Yd Run (Gianni Spetic Kick) — OHIO win probability +3.5 pts (now 42%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:29: Parker Navarro 1 Yd Run (Gianni Spetic Kick) — OHIO win probability +9.1 pts (now 58%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:52: Mason Williams 21 Yd pass from Parker Navarro (Gianni Spetic Kick) — OHIO win probability +15.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:41: Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 17 — M-OH win probability +13.0 pts (now 35%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:39: Coleman Owen 25 Yd pass from Parker Navarro (Gianni Spetic Kick) — OHIO win probability +13.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 5 of 7OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:53M-OH 4th & 1 at OHIO 11, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.4%−0.3
    87% to make
    Punt
    57.5%−1.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:43M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:19M-OH 4th & 6 at M-OH 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  4. Q3 10:15M-OH 4th & 19 at M-OH 23, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−3.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  5. Q3 3:35OHIO 4th & 27 at M-OH 35, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.0%
    45% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 2:27M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 27, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:50OHIO 4th & 10 at OHIO 36, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:52M-OH 4th & 2 at OHIO 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 2:03M-OH 4th & 4 at OHIO 43, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 3:16OHIO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:29OHIO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:52OHIO Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:39OHIO Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:45OHIO Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 6:0262% → 63%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
62.2%
Keyon Mozee run for 7 yds to the M-OH 32Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+12
62.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 12 yds to the M-OH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
62.4%
Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 43Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+3
62.3%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the M-OH 46Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+15
62.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 15 yds to the OHIO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+19
62.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 19 yds to the OHIO 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
62.7%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
62.7%
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the OHIO 17Similar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+6
62.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 6 yds to the OHIO 11Similar
Q1 8:53
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+29
62.7%
Dom Dzioban 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:2537% → 42%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
62.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 17 yds to the OHIO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
62.2%
Parker Navarro run for 5 yds to the OHIO 47Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+7
62.1%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 7 yds to the M-OH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
62.0%
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the M-OH 41Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+14
61.8%
Anthony Tyus III run for 14 yds to the M-OH 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
61.5%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase HendricksSimilar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
61.6%
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the M-OH 22Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+7
61.8%
Parker Navarro run for 7 yds to the M-OH 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
61.3%
Anthony Tyus III run for 6 yds to the M-OH 9Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+5
61.2%
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the M-OH 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
57.7%
Parker Navarro 4 Yd Run (Gianni Spetic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:1459% → 58%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
59.2%
Brett Gabbert run for 7 yds to the M-OH 26Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+5
59.3%
Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the M-OH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
59.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
58.9%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Andre JohnsonSimilar
Q1 1:26
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+3
58.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 3 yds to the M-OH 34Similar
Q1 0:43
4TH & 7
OWN 34
+47
57.8%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 47 yds , Coleman Owen returns for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4TD
20 plays · 82 yds · 10:0841% → 58%
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
58.6%
Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the OHIO 22Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+8
58.3%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 8 yds to the OHIO 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
58.0%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for 7 yds to the OHIO 37Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+5
57.3%
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the OHIO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
56.8%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 2
50
+4
56.0%
Parker Navarro run for 4 yds to the M-OH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
55.6%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Coleman OwenSimilar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
55.6%
Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the M-OH 45Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+13
55.8%
Anthony Tyus III run for 13 yds to the M-OH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
54.4%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 4 yds to the M-OH 28Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+7
53.8%
Anthony Tyus III run for 7 yds to the M-OH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-3
53.1%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the M-OH 24Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+9
53.4%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 9 yds to the M-OH 15Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+8
53.4%
Parker Navarro run for 8 yds to the M-OH 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
51.1%
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the M-OH 4Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
50.8%
Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the M-OH 3Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 0
OPP 3
+2
51.4%
Navarro, Parker rush for loss of 7 yards to the M-OH10, PENALTY M-OH face mask (Washington, Nasir) 2 yards to the M-OH1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIO.Similar
Q2 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
51.5%
Anthony Tyus III run for no gain to the M-OH 1Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
42.4%
Parker Navarro 1 Yd Run (Gianni Spetic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5644% → 41%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
43.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andre Johnson for 7 yds to the M-OH 35Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 3
OWN 35
-3
43.4%
Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 3 yards to the M-OH 32Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
42.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
41.4%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the OHIO 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:1957% → 80%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
43.1%
Parker Navarro run for 1 yd to the OHIO 26Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
42.3%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 8 yds to the OHIO 34Similar
Q2 2:53
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
41.4%
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the OHIO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
40.1%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 9 yds to the OHIO 46Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+3
38.7%
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
38.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 7 yds to the M-OH 44Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+8
37.3%
Parker Navarro run for 8 yds to the M-OH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
36.3%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase HendricksSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+15
36.1%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for 15 yds to the M-OH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
19.8%
Mason Williams 21 Yd pass from Parker Navarro (Gianni Spetic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7END OF HALF
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:4135% → 33%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
35.2%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 17Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 17
-1
33.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1476% → 94%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
23.6%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 11 yds to the OHIO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
22.5%
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the OHIO 41Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+23
21.8%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 23 yds to the M-OH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
21.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 9 yds to the M-OH 27Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+2
20.1%
Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the M-OH 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
6.3%
Coleman Owen 25 Yd pass from Parker Navarro (Gianni Spetic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 2:136% → 3%
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
6.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 10 yds to the M-OH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
5.9%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 33Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+5
5.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 5 yds to the M-OH 38Similar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
5.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:23
4TH & 4
OWN 38
-15
4.6%
Miami (OH) Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the M-OH 23Similar
Q3 10:15
4TH & 19
OWN 23
0
3.3%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OHIO 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10FG
13 plays · 31 yds · 6:3395% → 97%
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
4.9%
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the OHIO 39Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+1
4.5%
Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the OHIO 40Similar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+7
4.0%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 7 yds to the OHIO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
3.6%
Parker Navarro run for 13 yds to the M-OH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
3.6%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 11 yds to the M-OH 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
3.2%
Parker Navarro run for 4 yds to the M-OH 25Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+7
2.8%
Anthony Tyus III run for 7 yds to the M-OH 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
2.6%
Navarro, Parker pass incomplete to Owen, Coleman, PENALTY OHIO holding (Heidecker, Carson) 10 yards to the M-OH28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 20
OPP 28
0
2.6%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Coleman OwenSimilar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 20
OPP 28
-10
2.6%
Navarro, Parker rush for 10 yards to the M-OH18, PENALTY OHIO holding (Atkinson, Christophe) 10 yards to the M-OH38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 30
OPP 38
+9
2.5%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 9 yds to the M-OH 29Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 21
OPP 29
-6
2.2%
Parker Navarro sacked by Ty Wise for a loss of 6 yards to the M-OH 35Similar
Q3 3:35
4TH & 27
OPP 35
+53
3.5%
Gianni Spetic 53 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:002% → 2%
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.2%
Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the M-OH 25Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
2.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Keyon Mozee for 2 yds to the M-OH 27Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
1.8%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-6
1.7%
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 49 yds , Coleman Owen returns for a loss of 6 yards to the OHIO 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:3197% → 97%
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
2.7%
Anthony Tyus III run for 7 yds to the OHIO 25Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+11
2.3%
Parker Navarro run for 11 yds to the OHIO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
2.4%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase HendricksSimilar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
2.4%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Coleman OwenSimilar
Q3 0:58
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
2.4%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:50
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
2.7%
Jack Wilson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13INT
14 plays · 59 yds · 3:212% → 1%
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
1.5%
Keyon Mozee run for 8 yds to the M-OH 35Similar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+14
1.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 14 yds to the M-OH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
1.5%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Shay Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 48Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+14
1.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 14 yds to the OHIO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
1.5%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 8 yds to the OHIO 30Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 2
OPP 30
0
1.3%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 2
OPP 30
0
1.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:52
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+3
0.9%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 3 yds to the OHIO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
0.9%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+9
0.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 9 yds to the OHIO 18Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+4
0.6%
Keyon Mozee run for 4 yds to the OHIO 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
0.6%
Brett Gabbert pass intercepted, touchback. Tank Pearson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 5:3099% → 100%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
0.7%
Anthony Tyus III run for 9 yds to the OHIO 29Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+5
0.6%
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the OHIO 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
0.5%
Coleman Owen run for 4 yds to the OHIO 38Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+5
0.4%
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the OHIO 43Similar
Q4 9:28
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+6
0.4%
Anthony Tyus III run for 6 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+20
0.3%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Max Rodarte for 20 yds to the M-OH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
0.3%
Parker Navarro run for 7 yds to the M-OH 24Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+3
0.2%
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the M-OH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
0.2%
Anthony Tyus III 21 Yd Run (Gianni Spetic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15DOWNS
10 plays · 29 yds · 4:340% → 0%
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.2%
Jordan Brunson run for 7 yds to the M-OH 32Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
0.1%
Jordan Brunson run for 4 yds to the M-OH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
0.1%
Jordan Brunson run for 9 yds to the M-OH 45Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
0.1%
Kevin Davis run for no gain to the M-OH 45Similar
Q4 4:26
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+6
0.1%
Kevin Davis run for 6 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
0.1%
Nate Milanowski run for 2 yds to the OHIO 47Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+1
0.1%
Henry Hesson run for 1 yd to the OHIO 46Similar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+3
0.1%
Henry Hesson run for 3 yds to the OHIO 43Similar
Q4 2:03
4TH & 4
OPP 43
-3
0.1%
Jordan Brunson run for a loss of 3 yards to the OHIO 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16END OF GAME
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:34100% → 100%
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
0.1%
Nolan McCormick run for 9 yds to the M-OH 45Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+5
0.1%
Nolan McCormick run for 5 yds to the M-OH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
0.1%
TEAM run for no gain to the M-OH 40Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:52
Mason Williams 21 Yd pass from Parker Navarro (Gianni Spetic Kick)
-15.8
TD · Q3 12:39
Coleman Owen 25 Yd pass from Parker Navarro (Gianni Spetic Kick)
-13.8
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:41
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 17
+13
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com