O
Ohio 38 at Miami (OH) 3
M(2024 · Week 15 · Dec 7, 2024 · Ford Field
Win probability · M(
modelM( aheadO aheadconfidence bandkey play
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:24 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 41
No driver breakdown computed for this play yet.
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
Gianni Spetic kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q1 14:55
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete
+2.9
Q1 14:47
Keyon Mozee run for 7 yds to the M-OH 32
0.0
Q1 14:00
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 12 yds to the M-OH 44 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q1 13:21
Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 43
+1.1
Q1 12:40
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the M-OH 46
0.0
Q1 11:54
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 15 yds to the OHIO 39 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q1 11:12
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 19 yds to the OHIO 20 for a 1ST down
+1.6
Q1 10:31
Timeout Miami (OH), clock 10:31
-1.5
Q1 10:26
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete
0.0
Q1 10:19
Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the OHIO 17
0.0
Q1 9:28
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 6 yds to the OHIO 11
0.0
Q1 8:53
Dom Dzioban 29 Yd Field Goal
+4.7
Q1 8:53
Kellan McLaughlin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-1.4
Q1 8:41
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 17 yds to the OHIO 42 for a 1ST down
-1.6
Q1 8:19
Parker Navarro run for 5 yds to the OHIO 47
-1.1
Q1 7:43
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 7 yds to the M-OH 46 for a 1ST down
-0.8
Q1 7:08
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the M-OH 41
-0.3
Q1 6:29
Anthony Tyus III run for 14 yds to the M-OH 27 for a 1ST down
-0.7
Q1 6:10
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase Hendricks
-0.4
Q1 6:03
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the M-OH 22
+0.2
Q1 5:18
Parker Navarro run for 7 yds to the M-OH 15 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 4:33
Anthony Tyus III run for 6 yds to the M-OH 9
0.0
Q1 3:47
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the M-OH 4 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 3:16
Parker Navarro 4 Yd Run (Gianni Spetic Kick)
-15.7
Q1 3:16
Gianni Spetic kickoff for 65 yds , Kevin Davis return for 19 yds to the M-OH 19
+1.7
Q1 2:57
Brett Gabbert run for 7 yds to the M-OH 26
+5.3
Q1 2:18
Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the M-OH 31 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 1:38
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete
+1.4
Q1 1:34
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Andre Johnson
0.0
Q1 1:26
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 3 yds to the M-OH 34
0.0
Q1 0:43
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 47 yds , Coleman Owen returns for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 18
0.0
Q1 0:37
Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the OHIO 22
-6.6
Q1 0:01
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 8 yds to the OHIO 30 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q2 14:50
Parker Navarro pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for 7 yds to the OHIO 37
+0.1
Q2 14:16
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the OHIO 42 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q2 13:46
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 8 yds to the 50 yard line
-0.9
Q2 13:09
Parker Navarro run for 4 yds to the M-OH 46 for a 1ST down
-0.5
Q2 12:33
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Coleman Owen
0.0
Q2 12:27
Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the M-OH 45
0.0
Q2 11:50
Anthony Tyus III run for 13 yds to the M-OH 32 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q2 11:07
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 4 yds to the M-OH 28
-0.1
Q2 10:20
Anthony Tyus III run for 7 yds to the M-OH 21 for a 1ST down
-0.8
Q2 9:34
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the M-OH 24
0.0
Q2 8:58
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 9 yds to the M-OH 15
0.0
Q2 8:15
Parker Navarro run for 8 yds to the M-OH 7 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 7:33
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the M-OH 4
-1.8
Q2 6:59
Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the M-OH 3
0.0
Q2 6:22
Timeout Ohio, clock 06:22
+0.1
Q2 6:17
Navarro, Parker rush for loss of 7 yards to the M-OH10, PENALTY M-OH face mask (Washington, Nasir) 2 yards to the M-OH1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIO.
0.0
Q2 5:50
Anthony Tyus III run for no gain to the M-OH 1
+0.1
Q2 5:29
Parker Navarro 1 Yd Run (Gianni Spetic Kick)
-11.9
Q2 5:29
Gianni Spetic kickoff for 58 yds , Kevin Davis return for 21 yds to the M-OH 28
+1.3
Q2 5:15
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andre Johnson for 7 yds to the M-OH 35
+0.8
Q2 4:46
Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 3 yards to the M-OH 32
-0.2
Q2 4:25
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 4:19
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the OHIO 25
0.0
Q2 4:11
Parker Navarro run for 1 yd to the OHIO 26
-0.6
Q2 3:27
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 8 yds to the OHIO 34
0.0
Q2 2:53
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the OHIO 37 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q2 2:00
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 9 yds to the OHIO 46
-1.1
Q2 1:56
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST down
-0.6
Q2 1:56
Timeout Miami (OH), clock 01:56
0.0
Q2 1:47
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 7 yds to the M-OH 44
0.0
Q2 1:23
Parker Navarro run for 8 yds to the M-OH 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:18
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase Hendricks
-0.3
Q2 1:08
Parker Navarro pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for 15 yds to the M-OH 21 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:01
Timeout Miami (OH), clock 01:01
0.0
Q2 0:52
Mason Williams 21 Yd pass from Parker Navarro (Gianni Spetic Kick)
-7.3
Q2 0:52
Gianni Spetic kickoff for 64 yds , Kevin Davis return for 15 yds to the M-OH 16
+0.6
Q2 0:41
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 17
+0.2
Q2 0:00
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 16
-0.3
Q3 15:00
Kellan McLaughlin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-0.2
Q3 14:53
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 11 yds to the OHIO 36 for a 1ST down
-0.5
Q3 14:35
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the OHIO 41
-0.3
Q3 13:58
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 23 yds to the M-OH 36 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q3 13:38
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 9 yds to the M-OH 27
-0.2
Q3 13:20
Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the M-OH 25 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q3 12:39
Coleman Owen 25 Yd pass from Parker Navarro (Gianni Spetic Kick)
-3.1
Q3 12:39
Gianni Spetic kickoff for 58 yds , Kevin Davis return for 15 yds to the M-OH 22
0.0
Q3 12:28
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 10 yds to the M-OH 32 for a 1ST down
-0.9
Q3 12:03
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 33
0.0
Q3 11:22
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 5 yds to the M-OH 38
-0.2
Q3 10:43
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 10:23
Miami (OH) Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the M-OH 23
0.0
Q3 10:15
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OHIO 34
0.0
Q3 10:08
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the OHIO 39
+0.6
Q3 9:28
Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the OHIO 40
0.0
Q3 8:41
Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 7 yds to the OHIO 47 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q3 8:07
Parker Navarro run for 13 yds to the M-OH 40 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 7:38
Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 11 yds to the M-OH 29 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 6:59
Parker Navarro run for 4 yds to the M-OH 25
0.0
Q3 6:18
Anthony Tyus III run for 7 yds to the M-OH 18 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 5:35
Navarro, Parker pass incomplete to Owen, Coleman, PENALTY OHIO holding (Heidecker, Carson) 10 yards to the M-OH28, NO PLAY.
-0.2
Q3 5:30
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Coleman Owen
0.0
Q3 5:22
Navarro, Parker rush for 10 yards to the M-OH18, PENALTY OHIO holding (Atkinson, Christophe) 10 yards to the M-OH38, NO PLAY.
0.0
Q3 4:52
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 9 yds to the M-OH 29
0.0
Q3 4:15
Parker Navarro sacked by Ty Wise for a loss of 6 yards to the M-OH 35
-0.1
Q3 3:35
Gianni Spetic 53 Yd Field Goal
-1.9
Q3 3:35
Gianni Spetic kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q3 3:27
Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the M-OH 25
+0.9
Q3 3:06
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Keyon Mozee for 2 yds to the M-OH 27
0.0
Q3 2:40
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete
-0.1
Q3 2:27
Alec Bevelhimer punt for 49 yds , Coleman Owen returns for a loss of 6 yards to the OHIO 18
0.0
Q3 2:21
Anthony Tyus III run for 7 yds to the OHIO 25
-0.8
Q3 1:42
Parker Navarro run for 11 yds to the OHIO 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 1:08
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase Hendricks
0.0
Q3 1:04
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Coleman Owen
0.0
Q3 0:58
Parker Navarro pass incomplete
0.0
Q3 0:50
Jack Wilson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 27
0.0
Q3 0:43
Keyon Mozee run for 8 yds to the M-OH 35
+0.6
Q3 0:10
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 14 yds to the M-OH 49 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 0:00
Brett Gabbert sacked by Shay Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 48
0.0
Q4 14:54
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 14 yds to the OHIO 38 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 14:31
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 8 yds to the OHIO 30
0.0
Q4 14:06
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete
+0.2
Q4 14:06
Timeout Ohio, clock 14:06
+0.2
Q4 14:01
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 14:01
Timeout Miami (OH), clock 14:01
0.0
Q4 13:52
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 3 yds to the OHIO 27 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 13:28
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete
0.0
Q4 13:19
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 9 yds to the OHIO 18
0.0
Q4 12:59
Keyon Mozee run for 4 yds to the OHIO 14 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 12:22
Brett Gabbert pass intercepted, touchback. Tank Pearson return for no gain
0.0
Q4 12:15
Anthony Tyus III run for 9 yds to the OHIO 29
-1.9
Q4 11:36
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the OHIO 34 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 10:53
Coleman Owen run for 4 yds to the OHIO 38
0.0
Q4 10:09
Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the OHIO 43
+0.1
Q4 9:28
Anthony Tyus III run for 6 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 8:49
Parker Navarro pass complete to Max Rodarte for 20 yds to the M-OH 31 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 8:12
Parker Navarro run for 7 yds to the M-OH 24
0.0
Q4 7:27
Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the M-OH 21 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 6:45
Anthony Tyus III 21 Yd Run (Gianni Spetic Kick)
-0.8
Q4 6:45
Gianni Spetic kickoff for 61 yds fair catch by Kevin Davis at the M-OH 4
0.0
Q4 6:37
Jordan Brunson run for 7 yds to the M-OH 32
+2.5
Q4 6:05
Jordan Brunson run for 4 yds to the M-OH 36 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q4 5:35
Jordan Brunson run for 9 yds to the M-OH 45
0.0
Q4 5:01
Kevin Davis run for no gain to the M-OH 45
-0.3
Q4 4:26
Kevin Davis run for 6 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 3:51
Nate Milanowski run for 2 yds to the OHIO 47
0.0
Q4 3:20
Henry Hesson run for 1 yd to the OHIO 46
0.0
Q4 2:43
Henry Hesson run for 3 yds to the OHIO 43
0.0
Q4 2:03
Jordan Brunson run for a loss of 3 yards to the OHIO 46
+0.2
Q4 1:58
Nolan McCormick run for 9 yds to the M-OH 45
-2.5
Q4 1:53
Nolan McCormick run for 5 yds to the M-OH 40 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 1:06
TEAM run for no gain to the M-OH 40
0.0
Q4 0:24
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 41
+0.1
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 3:16
Parker Navarro 4 Yd Run (Gianni Spetic Kick)
-15.7
TD · Q2 5:29
Parker Navarro 1 Yd Run (Gianni Spetic Kick)
-11.9
TD · Q2 0:52
Mason Williams 21 Yd pass from Parker Navarro (Gianni Spetic Kick)
-7.3