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WKU

Western Kentucky 12 at Jacksonville State 52

JXST
2024 · Week 15 · Dec 6, 2024 · AmFirst Stadium
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Win probability · JXST
modelJXST aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playJXST scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:10 · Cole Maynard punt for 26 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 60Home team on offense+4.8Score differential+2.1Pregame prior+6.3Blowout margin+0.5Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:39: Tyler Huff pass complete to Sean Brown for 6 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +1.5 pts (now 62%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:21: Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 26 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +3.5 pts (now 66%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:47: Tre Stewart run for 4 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +7.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:19: Tre Stewart run for 6 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +3.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:12: Tyler Huff run for 3 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +4.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JXST made the numbers' call on 2 of 5WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 10:39WKU 4th & 12 at JXST 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.3%
    42% to make
    Punt
    37.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:16WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    36.1%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:17JXST 4th & 5 at WKU 37, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    63.9%−0.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    63.8%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:05WKU 4th & 5 at WKU 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:27JXST 4th & 1 at JXST 32, up 11
    Close callPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:09JXST 4th & 6 at WKU 24, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    67.8%−4.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:10WKU 4th & 8 at JXST 41, down 11
    Close callPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    27.3%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:20WKU 4th & 23 at WKU 14, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−3.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:21JXST 4th & 3 at WKU 9, up 29
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:25WKU 4th & 5 at JXST 49, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:47WKU 4th & 5 at WKU 34, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:00JXST 4th & 10 at WKU 10, up 33
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JXST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7WKU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 7:39JXST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:21JXST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:47JXST Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:19JXST Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:12JXST Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:16WKU Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    1.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:01JXST Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:00JXST Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 4:0040% → 40%
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
60.0%
Elijah Young run for 8 yds to the WKU 37Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+10
59.9%
Elijah Young run for 10 yds to the WKU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
59.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+19
59.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 19 yds to the JVST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
59.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Noah Meyers for 5 yds to the JVST 29Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 5
OPP 29
-5
59.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for a loss of 5 yards to the JVST 34Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 10
OPP 34
-2
59.7%
Elijah Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the JVST 36Similar
Q1 10:39
4TH & 12
OPP 36
+54
59.8%
Lucas Carneiro 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 2TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5860% → 62%
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
59.6%
Tre Stewart run for a loss of 1 yard to the JVST 24Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+14
59.5%
Tyler Huff run for 14 yds to the JVST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
59.7%
(09:49) STEWART, Tre rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the JSU41 (MATTHEWS, Chandler;WHEELER, Hosea), clock 09:42. PENALTY Before the snap, JSU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the JSU38 to the JSU33. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+11
59.4%
Tyler Huff run for 11 yds to the JVST 44Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+48
60.0%
Tyler Huff run for 48 yds to the WKU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
60.3%
Tyler Huff run for 2 yds to the WKU 6Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
61.8%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Sean Brown for 6 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:1539% → 39%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
60.9%
Elijah Young run for no gain to the WKU 33Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
61.1%
Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the WKU 34Similar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+8
61.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 8 yds to the WKU 42Similar
Q1 5:16
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
60.9%
Caden Veltkamp run for no gain to the WKU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 4TD
6 plays · 42 yds · 1:4062% → 66%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
62.4%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
62.3%
Tre Stewart run for 5 yds to the WKU 37Similar
Q1 4:27
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
62.1%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:17
4TH & 5
OPP 37
+7
61.7%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Tre Stewart for 7 yds to the WKU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
62.7%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Jordan McCants for 4 yds to the WKU 26Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+26
66.1%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 26 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:1535% → 34%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
65.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
65.5%
Jacksonville State Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the WKU 30Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
65.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:05
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+1
65.6%
Cole Maynard punt for 48 yds , Samario Rudolph returns for 1 yd to the JVST 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2965% → 70%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
65.0%
Tre Stewart run for 5 yds to the JVST 28Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+2
65.1%
Tre Stewart run for 2 yds to the JVST 30Similar
Q1 2:14
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+2
64.8%
Tyler Huff run for 2 yds to the JVST 32Similar
Q1 1:27
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
70.0%
Jack Dawson punt for 53 yds, downed at the WKU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7FUMBLE
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:2234% → 35%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
65.9%
Michael Mathison run for 11 yds to the WKU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
65.9%
George Hart III run for 2 yds to the WKU 28Similar
Q1 0:09
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+6
66.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 6 yds to the WKU 34Similar
Q2 14:59
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+8
66.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Michael Mathison for 8 yds to the WKU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
65.8%
Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the WKU 43Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+14
66.4%
Elijah Young run for 14 yds to the JVST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
65.8%
Jacksonville State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jawaun Campbell) to the JVST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
65.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-22
65.5%
Caden Veltkamp run for a loss of 22 yards to the 50 yard line Caden Veltkamp fumbled, recovered by JVST Ky'won McCray , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 8MISSED FG
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:4575% → 75%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
50
+11
74.8%
Tyler Huff run for 11 yds to the WKU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
75.1%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+11
75.1%
Tyler Huff run for 11 yds to the WKU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
75.6%
Tyler Huff run for 1 yd to the WKU 27Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 9
OPP 27
-3
75.8%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Tre Stewart for a loss of 3 yards to the WKU 30Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 12
OPP 30
+6
75.7%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Jacob Barrick for 6 yds to the WKU 24Similar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+43
75.4%
Garrison Rippa 43 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:5331% → 31%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
68.7%
Elijah Young run for 8 yds to the WKU 32Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+5
68.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 5 yds to the WKU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
68.7%
Elijah Young run for 20 yds to the JVST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
67.6%
Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the JVST 41Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
67.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
68.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:10
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
69.2%
Cole Maynard punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 10TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 4:1076% → 85%
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
75.9%
Tyler Huff run for 3 yds to the JVST 18Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
75.9%
Tyler Huff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+13
75.3%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 13 yds to the JVST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
76.5%
Tyler Huff run for 7 yds to the JVST 38Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+5
77.3%
Tre Stewart run for 5 yds to the JVST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
77.5%
Tyler Huff run for 9 yds to the WKU 48Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+2
77.9%
Tre Stewart run for 2 yds to the WKU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
78.5%
Tyler Huff run for 8 yds to the WKU 38Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+34
76.8%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 34 yds to the WKU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
84.6%
Tre Stewart run for 4 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 1:2220% → 17%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-10
80.4%
Caden Veltkamp sacked by Antonio Carter Ii for a loss of 10 yards to the WKU 17Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 20
OWN 17
-3
81.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for a loss of 3 yards to the WKU 14Similar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 23
OWN 14
0
82.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:20
4TH & 23
OWN 14
0
82.6%
Cole Maynard punt for 43 yds, downed at the JVST 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 12TD
4 plays · 57 yds · 0:5087% → 88%
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
86.9%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 18 yds to the WKU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
84.8%
Tre Stewart run for 2 yds to the WKU 37Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+31
84.7%
Tre Stewart run for 31 yds to the WKU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
88.3%
Tre Stewart run for 6 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 1:1818% → 12%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
81.9%
Elijah Young run for 12 yds to the WKU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
80.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-5
81.1%
Western Kentucky Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WKU 32Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+14
81.8%
Elijah Young run for 14 yds to the WKU 46Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+8
77.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 8 yds to the JVST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
85.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
85.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 5 yds to the JVST 41Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+15
86.9%
(00:03) VELTKAMP, Caden sacked for a loss of 7 yards at the JSU48 (JOSEPH, Morven), clock 00:00. PENALTY JSU Face mask on JOSEPH, Morven enforced 15 yards from the JSU41 to the JSU26 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+44
88.2%
Lucas Carneiro 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 14TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:4792% → 99%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.2%
Tre Stewart run for 4 yds to the JVST 29Similar
Q3 14:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
92.5%
Tre Stewart run for 4 yds to the JVST 33Similar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
92.5%
Tyler Huff run for 3 yds to the JVST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
92.9%
Tre Stewart run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
50
+3
93.4%
Tyler Huff run for 3 yds to the WKU 47Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+15
93.6%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Michael Pettway for 15 yds to the WKU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
93.9%
Tyler Huff run for 9 yds to the WKU 23Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+5
94.1%
Tre Stewart run for 5 yds to the WKU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
94.3%
Tre Stewart run for 15 yds to the WKU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
94.4%
Tre Stewart run for no gain to the WKU 3Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.7%
Tyler Huff run for 3 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:291% → 1%
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
98.8%
Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the JVST 36Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 9
OPP 36
0
98.8%
(09:38) VELTKAMP, Caden pass to the left incomplete intended for SMITH, Dalvin thrown to the JSU30, clock 09:34. PENALTY JSU Offsides declined JSU Pass Interference on LATIMER, Geimere enforced 15 yards to the JSU21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-9
98.7%
Caden Veltkamp sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the JVST 30 Caden Veltkamp fumbled, recovered by JVST J-Rock Swain , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 16FG
7 plays · 61 yds · 3:0599% → 99%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
98.9%
Tre Stewart run for 4 yds to the JVST 34Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+50
98.9%
Tyler Huff pass complete to Tre Stewart for 50 yds to the WKU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
99.2%
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd to the WKU 15Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+1
99.2%
Tyler Huff run for 1 yd to the WKU 14Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 8
OPP 14
0
99.3%
(07:19) HUFF, Tyler pass to the right incomplete intended for BARRICK, Jacob thrown to the WKU0, clock 07:15. PENALTY WKU Pass Interference on HERARD, Dave JSU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on RUDOLPH, Samario , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+5
99.3%
Tyler Huff run for 5 yds to the WKU 9Similar
Q3 6:21
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+27
99.3%
Garrison Rippa 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:032% → 1%
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Michael Mathison for 6 yds to the WKU 31Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+15
97.8%
(05:56) VELTKAMP, Caden pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MATHISON, Michael thrown to the JSU40, clock 05:50. PENALTY JSU Pass Interference on BAKER, Marco enforced 15 yards to the WKU46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
97.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 6
50
-5
97.9%
Western Kentucky Penalty, False Start (Michael Mathison) to the WKU 45Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 11
OWN 45
-15
98.4%
(05:04) VELTKAMP, Caden pass short to the left complete for 38 yards to MEYERS, Noah caught at the WKU48 and advanced to the JSU17 (LATIMER, Geimere), clock 04:56. PENALTY WKU Pass Interference on MATHISON, Michael enforced 15 yards to the WKU30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 26
OWN 30
0
98.6%
Elijah Young run for no gain to the WKU 30Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 26
OWN 30
+21
99.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 21 yds to the JVST 49Similar
Q3 3:25
4TH & 5
OPP 49
+21
99.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 21 yds to the JVST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
99.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Michael Mathison for 3 yds to the JVST 25Similar
Q3 2:16
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+25
99.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 25 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 18TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 6:1399% → 100%
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.2%
Andrew Paul run for 2 yds to the JVST 27Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
99.2%
Tyler Huff run for 3 yds to the JVST 30Similar
Q3 1:21
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+11
99.3%
Tre Stewart run for 11 yds to the JVST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.4%
Tre Stewart run for 5 yds to the JVST 46Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+12
99.4%
Tre Stewart run for 12 yds to the WKU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
99.5%
Tyler Huff run for 4 yds to the WKU 38Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+5
99.6%
Tyler Huff run for 5 yds to the WKU 33Similar
Q4 12:36
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+1
99.6%
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd to the WKU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
99.6%
Tyler Huff run for 3 yds to the WKU 29Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+29
99.8%
Tre Stewart run for 29 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:140% → 0%
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
99.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 6 yds to the WKU 35Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 4
OWN 35
-1
99.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 34Similar
Q4 9:53
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:47
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Cole Maynard punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Samario Rudolph at the JVST 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 20TD
10 plays · 61 yds · 6:39100% → 100%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
99.8%
Tre Stewart run for 7 yds to the JVST 46Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+10
99.9%
Tre Stewart run for 10 yds to the WKU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
99.9%
Tre Stewart run for 1 yd to the WKU 43Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+17
99.9%
Tre Stewart run for 17 yds to the WKU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
99.9%
Tyler Huff run for 1 yd to the WKU 25Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+8
99.9%
Western Kentucky Penalty, Face mask (8 yards) (Alex Ford) to the WKU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
99.9%
Andrew Paul run for 1 yd to the WKU 7Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
99.9%
Andrew Paul run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKU 11Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+1
99.9%
Andrew Paul run for 1 yd to the WKU 10Similar
Q4 3:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Logan Smothers run for 10 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21END OF GAME
5 plays · 27 yds · 2:140% → 0%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
99.9%
Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the WKU 35Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the WKU 37Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+8
99.9%
Elijah Young run for 8 yds to the WKU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
100.0%
Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the WKU 48Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+8
100.0%
George Hart III run for 8 yds to the JVST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:47
Tre Stewart run for 4 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
+7.8
TD · Q3 10:12
Tyler Huff run for 3 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
+4.3
TD · Q2 1:19
Tre Stewart run for 6 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
+3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com