Try the model
ISU

Iowa State 19 at Arizona State 45

ASU
2024 · Week 15 · Dec 7, 2024 · AT&T Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:39 · Kanyon Floyd punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 67Home team on offense+5.8Score differential+1.6Blowout margin−0.6Garbage-time factor+1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Pregame prior−2.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:46: Sam Leavitt 3 Yd Run (Carston Kieffer Kick) — ASU win probability +2.7 pts (now 51%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:49: Cam Skattebo 3 Yd Run (Carston Kieffer Kick) — ASU win probability +6.3 pts (now 59%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:27: Cam Skattebo 2 Yd Run (Carston Kieffer Kick) — ASU win probability +8.3 pts (now 75%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:38: Xavier Guillory 8 Yd pass from Sam Leavitt (Carston Kieffer Kick) — ASU win probability +10.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:27: Xavier Guillory 21 Yd pass from Sam Leavitt (Carston Kieffer Kick) — ASU win probability +4.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6ISU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:51ASU 4th & 3 at ISU 15, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.0%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    50.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:50ASU 4th & 1 at ASU 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    49.4%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:13ISU 4th & 8 at ASU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    32.4%−4.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:39ASU 4th & 23 at ISU 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−1.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    63.2%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:40ISU 4th & 6 at ISU 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−1.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:05ASU 4th & 6 at ISU 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    80.3%−1.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    80.5%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q4 12:04ISU 4th & 5 at ASU 5, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q4 9:51ASU 4th & 4 at ASU 33, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:00ISU 4th & 3 at midfield, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:21ASU 4th & 17 at ISU 29, up 26
    Close callWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:39ISU 4th & 6 at ISU 27, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ISU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:30ISU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:46ASU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:49ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:27ASU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:38ASU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:27ASU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:57ASU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:27ISU Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1FG
8 plays · 60 yds · 2:3847% → 48%
Q1 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
46.5%
Cam Skattebo run for 28 yds to the ISU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
46.6%
Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds to the ISU 44Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+22
47.0%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 22 yds to the ISU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
47.3%
Kyson Brown run for no gain to the ISU 22Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
47.3%
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Xavier GuillorySimilar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+7
47.3%
Sam Leavitt run for 7 yds to the ISU 15Similar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+32
47.6%
Carston Kieffer 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:1853% → 54%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.5%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jayden HigginsSimilar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
47.6%
Abu Sama III run for 10 yds to the ISU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
47.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 5 yds to the ISU 40Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+21
47.4%
Carson Hansen run for 6 yds to the ASU 46 for a 1ST down Arizona State Penalty, Personal Foul (Keyshaun Elliott) to the ASU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
47.4%
Carson Hansen run for 11 yds to the ASU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
47.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for 7 yds to the ASU 21Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+2
47.6%
Abu Sama III run for 2 yds to the ASU 19Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+1
48.1%
Rocco Becht run for 1 yd to the ASU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
47.9%
Rocco Becht run for 5 yds to the ASU 13Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+7
48.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 7 yds to the ASU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 0
OPP 6
+3
47.9%
Hansen, Carson rush for 3 yards to the ASU3, PENALTY ASU substitution infraction 3 yards to the ASU3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
45.7%
Carson Hansen 3 Yd pass from Rocco Becht (Kyle Konrardy Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1847% → 51%
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
46.6%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 5 yds to the ASU 30Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
46.8%
Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ASU 34Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
47.0%
Cam Skattebo run for no gain to the ASU 34Similar
Q1 3:50
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+63
46.3%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 63 yds to the ISU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
48.5%
Cam Skattebo pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
48.6%
Cam Skattebo run for no gain to the ISU 3Similar
Q1 2:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
51.3%
Sam Leavitt 3 Yd Run (Carston Kieffer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 3:2950% → 52%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
50.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 19 yds to the ISU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
49.1%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Gabe BurkleSimilar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+17
49.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 17 yds to the ASU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
49.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 14 yds to the ASU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
48.3%
Carson Hansen run for 4 yds to the ASU 21Similar
Q1 0:19
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+12
48.3%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 12 yds to the ASU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
48.4%
Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ASU 8Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
48.4%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jayden HigginsSimilar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 0
OPP 8
-5
48.6%
Iowa State Penalty, False Start (Jayden Higgins) to the ASU 13Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
-5
49.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for a loss of 5 yards to the ASU 18Similar
Q2 13:51
4TH & 0
OPP 18
+36
47.9%
Kyle Konrardy 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:5650% → 59%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+47
49.9%
Cam Skattebo run for 47 yds to the ISU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
52.8%
Kyson Brown run for 2 yds to the ISU 26Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+9
52.9%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Kyson Brown for 9 yds to the ISU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
53.1%
Sam Leavitt run for 14 yds to the ISU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
59.4%
Cam Skattebo 3 Yd Run (Carston Kieffer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6MISSED FG
13 plays · 47 yds · 5:0343% → 40%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
57.1%
Carson Hansen run for 9 yds to the ISU 34Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
55.7%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jayden HigginsSimilar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
56.8%
Carson Hansen run for 5 yds to the ISU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
56.5%
Jaylon Jackson run for 9 yds to the ISU 48Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 1
OWN 48
0
55.8%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jayden HigginsSimilar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
56.4%
Rocco Becht run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
50
+3
56.9%
Abu Sama III run for 3 yds to the ASU 47Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+17
57.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 17 yds to the ASU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
56.1%
Carson Hansen run for no gain to the ASU 30Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+2
56.7%
Jaylin Noel run for 2 yds to the ASU 28Similar
Q2 5:16
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
58.2%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Carson BrownSimilar
Q2 5:13
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+46
59.7%
Kyle Konrardy 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:5862% → 61%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+43
62.0%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Malik McClain for 43 yds to the ISU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
64.6%
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Xavier GuillorySimilar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
64.7%
Cam Skattebo run for no gain to the ISU 29Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 10
OPP 29
-8
64.0%
Sam Leavitt sacked by Domonique Orange for a loss of 8 yards to the ISU 37Similar
Q2 2:46
4TH & 18
OPP 37
-5
61.3%
Arizona State Penalty, Delay of Game (TEAM) to the ISU 42Similar
Q2 2:39
4TH & 23
OPP 42
0
61.4%
Kanyon Floyd punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4238% → 36%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
62.3%
Jaylon Jackson run for no gain to the ISU 10Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+4
62.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 4 yds to the ISU 14Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 6
OWN 14
0
63.8%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 6
OWN 14
0
64.5%
Tyler Perkins punt for 48 yds , Melquan Stovall returns for no gain to the ASU 14 Arizona State Penalty, Illegal Block (Kyan McDonald) to the ASU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 0:3364% → 75%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+53
63.7%
Cam Skattebo run for 53 yds to the ISU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
66.9%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 5 yds to the ISU 14Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+12
67.0%
Sam Leavitt run for 12 yds to the ISU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
75.3%
Cam Skattebo 2 Yd Run (Carston Kieffer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · 24 yds · 0:1426% → 27%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
74.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 8 yds to the ISU 33Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+16
72.9%
Abu Sama III run for 16 yds to the ISU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11FUMBLE
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:5024% → 24%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.1%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jaylin NoelSimilar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
76.7%
Abu Sama III run for 2 yds to the ISU 27Similar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
77.3%
Rocco Becht run for 10 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
76.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 6 yds to the ISU 43Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
75.6%
Abu Sama III run for no gain to the ISU 43 Abu Sama III fumbled, forced by Javan Robinson, recovered by ASU Jeff ClarkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 43 yds · 5:0780% → 94%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
80.2%
Cam Skattebo run for 6 yds to the ISU 37Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+2
80.9%
Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ISU 35Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 2
OPP 35
-4
80.8%
Sam Leavitt run for a loss of 4 yards to the ISU 39Similar
Q3 11:05
4TH & 6
OPP 39
+9
80.0%
Sam Leavitt run for 9 yds to the ISU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
82.0%
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Melquan StovallSimilar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
82.1%
Cam Skattebo run for 7 yds to the ISU 23Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+4
82.6%
Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ISU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
83.3%
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Chamon MetayerSimilar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+7
84.2%
Cam Skattebo run for 7 yds to the ISU 12Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+4
83.9%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Kyson Brown for 4 yds to the ISU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
94.1%
Xavier Guillory 8 Yd pass from Sam Leavitt (Carston Kieffer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13INT
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:207% → 6%
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
93.4%
Iowa State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ISU 17Similar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 15
OWN 17
-8
93.6%
Rocco Becht pass intercepted Keith Abney II return for 8 yds to the ISU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14TD
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:4894% → 99%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
94.3%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
94.5%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 5 yds to the ISU 21Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+21
99.2%
Xavier Guillory 21 Yd pass from Sam Leavitt (Carston Kieffer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15FUMBLE
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:451% → 1%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.1%
Carson Hansen run for 9 yds to the ISU 34Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
99.1%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jaylin NoelSimilar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.1%
Carson Hansen run for 3 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
99.3%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 8 yds to the ISU 45Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 2
OWN 45
-7
99.2%
Abu Sama III run for a loss of 7 yards to the ISU 38 Abu Sama III fumbled, forced by Clayton Smith, recovered by ASU Justin WodtlySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 38 yds · 0:5399% → 100%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
99.4%
Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ISU 34Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+1
99.5%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 1 yd to the ISU 33Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+33
99.5%
Cam Skattebo 33 Yd pass from Sam Leavitt (Carston Kieffer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17FG
17 plays · 70 yds · 5:250% → 0%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 14 yds to the ISU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
99.6%
Carson Hansen run for 5 yds to the ISU 44Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-4
99.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for a loss of 4 yards to the ISU 40Similar
Q3 0:44
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+18
99.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 18 yds to the ASU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.7%
Carson Hansen run for no gain to the ASU 42Similar
Q3 0:02
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
99.7%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Beni NgoyiSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+7
99.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 7 yds to the ASU 35Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+15
99.6%
Becht, Rocco pass sacked for loss of 10 yards to the ASU45 (Simmons, Shamari), PENALTY ASU personal foul (Simmons, Shamari) 15 yards to the ASU20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWAST.Similar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
99.7%
Aiden Flora run for a loss of 2 yards to the ASU 22Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 12
OPP 22
+2
99.7%
Connor Moberly run for 2 yds to the ASU 20Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+11
99.8%
Moberly, Connor pass incomplete to Noel, Jaylin, PENALTY ASU pass interference (Robinson, Javan) 11 yards to the ASU9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWAST.Similar
Q4 12:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.8%
Jaylon Jackson run for no gain to the ASU 9Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
99.8%
Connor Moberly run for 4 yds to the ASU 5Similar
Q4 12:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.8%
Connor Moberly pass incomplete to Jayden HigginsSimilar
Q4 12:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+24
99.7%
Kyle Konrardy 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:29100% → 100%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
99.8%
DeCarlos Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 26Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+3
99.8%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 3 yds to the ASU 29Similar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+4
99.8%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 4 yds to the ASU 33Similar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Kanyon Floyd punt for 35 yds, downed at the ISU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 2:210% → 0%
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jayden HigginsSimilar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
99.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 6 yds to the ISU 38Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+5
99.9%
Rocco Becht run for 5 yds to the ISU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Carson BrownSimilar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Brett EskildsenSimilar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+7
99.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 3
50
+25
99.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 25 yds to the ASU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
99.8%
Jaylin Noel 25 Yd pass from Rocco Becht (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 32 yds · 4:39100% → 100%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.7%
Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 5
50
+5
99.8%
Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the ISU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
99.8%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 11 yds to the ISU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
99.8%
Jeff Sims run for 12 yds to the ISU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
99.8%
DeCarlos Brooks run for a loss of 5 yards to the ISU 27Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 15
OPP 27
+4
99.8%
Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the ISU 23Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 11
OPP 23
-1
99.8%
Jeff Sims run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 24Similar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 12
OPP 24
-5
99.8%
Arizona State Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ISU 29Similar
Q4 2:21
4TH & 17
OPP 29
+6
99.8%
Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the ISU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:210% → 0%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
99.9%
Connor Moberly run for 4 yds to the ISU 27Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Connor Moberly pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Connor Moberly pass incomplete to Tripp WalshSimilar
Q4 1:39
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Tyler Perkins punt for 57 yds, downed at the ASU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:05100% → 100%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 15Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 11
OWN 15
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 14Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 12
OWN 14
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:38
Xavier Guillory 8 Yd pass from Sam Leavitt (Carston Kieffer Kick)
+10.2
TD · Q2 0:27
Cam Skattebo 2 Yd Run (Carston Kieffer Kick)
+8.3
TD · Q2 10:49
Cam Skattebo 3 Yd Run (Carston Kieffer Kick)
+6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com