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TULN

Tulane 14 at Army 35

ARMY
2024 · Week 15 · Dec 6, 2024 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:25 · Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 9 yds to the TULN 28 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 79Home team on offense+16.5Score differential+7.0Pregame prior−6.4Garbage-time factor+5.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0Blowout margin−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:48: Bryson Daily run for 5 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK) — ARMY win probability +4.1 pts (now 44%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:18: Bryson Daily run for 3 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK) — ARMY win probability +11.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:40: Bryson Daily run for 4 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK) — ARMY win probability +15.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:44: Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 42 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK) — TULN win probability +17.8 pts (now 31%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:29: Bryson Daily run for 7 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK) — ARMY win probability +11.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 10:24TULN 4th & 2 at ARMY 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    59.8%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    59.2%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:22ARMY 4th & 1 at TULN 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    41.7%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    41.5%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:44TULN 4th & 19 at ARMY 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−1.6
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    44.2%−3.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:59ARMY 4th & 1 at TULN 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.0%−2.9
    58% to make
    Punt
    55.4%−8.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:59ARMY 4th & 3 at TULN 4, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.7%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    66.4%−1.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    58.6%−9.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:25ARMY 4th & 5 at TULN 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    79.3%−1.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    79.0%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:25TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 44, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.9%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:13TULN 4th & 8 at ARMY 16, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−4.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:52ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 25, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.9%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:29TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 43, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TULN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 3:48ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:18ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:40ARMY Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:44TULN Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:29ARMY Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:29ARMY Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:10TULN Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1DOWNS
10 plays · 48 yds · 4:2365% → 64%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
34.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 28Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+9
34.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 9 yds to the TULN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
35.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 6 yds to the TULN 43Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+30
35.2%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 30 yds to the ARMY 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
35.3%
(12:27) PENALTY TUL False Start (Brown,Yulkeith) 5 yards from ARMY27 to ARMY32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:57
1ST & 15
OPP 32
+2
35.5%
Yulkeith Brown run for 2 yds to the ARMY 30Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 13
OPP 30
0
35.7%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Dontae FlemingSimilar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+11
36.0%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 11 yds to the ARMY 19Similar
Q1 10:24
4TH & 2
OPP 19
-9
36.2%
Brice Busch run for a loss of 9 yards to the ARMY 28 Brice Busch fumbled, recovered by TULN Brice BuschSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 6:2837% → 44%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+17
36.6%
Noah Short run for 17 yds to the ARMY 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
37.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 5
50
+6
37.7%
Kanye Udoh run for 6 yds to the TULN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
37.9%
Noah Short run for 3 yds to the TULN 41Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+1
38.2%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the TULN 40Similar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+5
38.3%
PENALTY TUL Offside (Petersen,Parker) 5 yards from TUL40 to TUL35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
38.5%
Kanye Udoh run for no gain to the TULN 35Similar
Q1 6:22
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+4
38.4%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the TULN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+21
39.5%
Bryson Daily run for 11 yds to the TULN 20 for a 1ST down Tulane Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (Sam Howard) to the TULN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
39.8%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the TULN 7Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
40.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the TULN 5Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
44.2%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3MISSED FG
14 plays · 46 yds · 6:5157% → 51%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
43.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the TULN 36Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+1
43.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 37Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+13
43.9%
Darian Mensah run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
50
+2
43.0%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 2 yds to the ARMY 48Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+11
43.6%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Alex Bauman for 11 yds to the ARMY 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
44.1%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 9 yds to the ARMY 28Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+5
43.3%
Darian Mensah run for 5 yds to the ARMY 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
43.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 12 yds to the ARMY 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
44.1%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
44.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the ARMY 7Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 6
OPP 7
-5
45.5%
PENALTY TUL False Start (Murphy,Vincent) 5 yards from ARMY07 to ARMY12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 11
OPP 12
-8
46.1%
Darian Mensah sacked by Elo Modozie for a loss of 8 yards to the ARMY 20Similar
Q2 11:44
4TH & 19
OPP 20
+38
48.9%
Patrick Durkin 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:2149% → 61%
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
48.9%
Noah Short run for 5 yds to the ARMY 25Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+72
49.6%
Kanye Udoh run for 72 yds to the TULN 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
60.9%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 5DOWNS
11 plays · 34 yds · 6:0061% → 65%
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
61.1%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the TULN 35Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+4
62.0%
Noah Short run for 4 yds to the TULN 31Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+2
62.2%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the TULN 29Similar
Q2 7:59
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+2
61.0%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the TULN 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
63.4%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the TULN 25Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+14
64.2%
Noah Short run for 14 yds to the TULN 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
65.0%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the TULN 8Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+2
65.9%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the TULN 6Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+2
65.9%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the TULN 4Similar
Q2 3:59
4TH & 3
OPP 4
0
65.4%
Tyrell Robinson run for no gain to the TULN 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6INT
3 plays · 16 yds · 1:0934% → 34%
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+9
65.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 9 yds to the TULN 13Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 1
OWN 13
+7
65.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 7 yds to the TULN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-16
66.4%
Darian Mensah pass intercepted Andon Thomas return for 16 yds to the TULN 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 7TD
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:5270% → 88%
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
69.7%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the TULN 19Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+11
69.1%
Bryson Daily run for 11 yds to the TULN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
71.5%
Kanye Udoh run for 1 yd to the TULN 7Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
73.2%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the TULN 4Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
87.9%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 0:4112% → 31%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
87.7%
Darian Mensah run for 8 yds to the TULN 48Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+10
84.0%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 10 yds to the ARMY 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
87.3%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Dontae FlemingSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+42
69.5%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 42 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
74.4%
Jake Rendina run for 4 yds to the ARMY 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:2573% → 93%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
72.8%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 29Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
73.5%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ARMY 32Similar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
73.6%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
75.6%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Noah Short for 8 yds to the ARMY 44Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+14
76.8%
Kanye Udoh run for 14 yds to the TULN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
77.6%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the TULN 39Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+2
78.2%
Noah Short run for 2 yds to the TULN 37Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
78.7%
Noah Short run for no gain to the TULN 37Similar
Q3 9:25
4TH & 5
OPP 37
+9
78.6%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 9 yds to the TULN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+21
81.0%
Bryson Daily run for 21 yds to the TULN 7 for a 1ST down Tulane Penalty, Defensive Offside (Patrick Jenkins) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
92.8%
Bryson Daily run for 7 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11DOWNS
15 plays · 44 yds · 6:049% → 5%
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
91.5%
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 39Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+6
91.9%
Darian Mensah run for 6 yds to the TULN 45Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 5
OWN 45
-1
92.2%
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 44Similar
Q3 6:25
4TH & 6
OWN 44
+16
92.7%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Shazz Preston for 16 yds to the ARMY 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
92.6%
PENALTY TUL False Start (Bauman,Alex) 5 yards from ARMY40 to ARMY45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+11
92.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Alex Bauman for 11 yds to the ARMY 34Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+3
92.1%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 3 yds to the ARMY 31Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+1
93.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the ARMY 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
93.1%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 12 yds to the ARMY 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-15
93.1%
Tulane Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the ARMY 25Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 17
OPP 25
+9
93.6%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 9 yds to the ARMY 16Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
94.3%
Darian Mensah run for no gain to the ARMY 16Similar
Q3 2:13
4TH & 8
OPP 16
0
95.2%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Yulkeith BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12TD
16 plays · 84 yds · 10:3697% → 100%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
96.6%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ARMY 19Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+5
97.3%
Noah Short run for 5 yds to the ARMY 24Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+1
97.8%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ARMY 25Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 1
OWN 25
+6
97.6%
Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the ARMY 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
98.1%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ARMY 32Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+11
98.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 11 yds to the ARMY 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
98.6%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 45Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+17
98.7%
Kanye Udoh run for 17 yds to the TULN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
98.8%
Bryson Daily run for 11 yds to the TULN 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
98.9%
Kanye Udoh run for 1 yd to the TULN 26Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+10
98.9%
Bryson Daily run for 10 yds to the TULN 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
99.0%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the TULN 11Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+2
99.1%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the TULN 9Similar
Q4 7:40
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+3
99.2%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the TULN 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Kanye Udoh run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13TD
19 plays · 80 yds · 4:520% → 1%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
99.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 14 yds to the TULN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
99.9%
Darian Mensah run for a loss of 3 yards to the TULN 31 Darian Mensah fumbled, recovered by TULN Darian MensahSimilar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 3 yds to the TULN 34Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+9
99.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 9 yds to the TULN 43Similar
Q4 2:29
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+7
99.9%
Darian Mensah run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
50
+9
99.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 9 yds to the ARMY 41Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 1
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+4
99.9%
Arnold Barnes III run for 4 yds to the ARMY 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Reggie BrownSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Darian Mensah run for no gain to the ARMY 37Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+13
99.9%
Darian Mensah run for 13 yds to the ARMY 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+9
99.9%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 9 yds to the ARMY 15Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+7
99.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 7 yds to the ARMY 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
99.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 6 yds to the ARMY 2Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.3%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Alex Bauman for 2 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
99.8%
D. Coleman takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 46
-1
99.8%
D. Coleman takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:44
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 42 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)
-17.8
TD · Q2 1:40
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
+15.4
TD · Q3 8:29
Bryson Daily run for 7 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
+11.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com