ARDLINETry the model
T

Tulane 14 at Army 35

A
2024 · Week 15 · Dec 7, 2024 · Michie Stadium
Win probability · A
modelA aheadT aheadconfidence bandkey play
Q1Q2Q3Q4KEY PLAYTDKEY PLAYTDTDKEY PLAYTDTD
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:00 · D. Coleman takes a knee
No driver breakdown computed for this play yet.
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 14:55
Trey Gronotte kickoff for 59 yds , Rayshawn Pleasant return for 18 yds to the TULN 24
0.0
Q1 14:47
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 28
-2.7
Q1 14:17
Makhi Hughes run for 9 yds to the TULN 37 for a 1ST down
-0.6
Q1 13:39
Makhi Hughes run for 6 yds to the TULN 43
-0.2
Q1 12:59
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 30 yds to the ARMY 27 for a 1ST down
-1.1
Q1 12:21
(12:27) PENALTY TUL False Start (Brown,Yulkeith) 5 yards from ARMY27 to ARMY32. NO PLAY.
-1.1
Q1 11:57
Yulkeith Brown run for 2 yds to the ARMY 30
0.0
Q1 11:16
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Dontae Fleming
0.0
Q1 11:01
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 11 yds to the ARMY 19
0.0
Q1 10:24
Brice Busch run for a loss of 9 yards to the ARMY 28 Brice Busch fumbled, recovered by TULN Brice Busch
+0.7
Q1 10:16
Noah Short run for 17 yds to the ARMY 45 for a 1ST down
+5.2
Q1 9:32
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line
+1.1
Q1 9:03
Kanye Udoh run for 6 yds to the TULN 44 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q1 8:24
Noah Short run for 3 yds to the TULN 41
+0.9
Q1 7:42
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the TULN 40
+0.4
Q1 7:11
PENALTY TUL Offside (Petersen,Parker) 5 yards from TUL40 to TUL35. NO PLAY.
-0.2
Q1 6:54
Kanye Udoh run for no gain to the TULN 35
0.0
Q1 6:22
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the TULN 31 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q1 5:38
Bryson Daily run for 11 yds to the TULN 20 for a 1ST down Tulane Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (Sam Howard) to the TULN 10 for a 1ST down
+0.6
Q1 5:09
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the TULN 7
+0.3
Q1 4:26
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the TULN 5
0.0
Q1 3:48
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
+13.8
Q1 3:41
Trey Gronotte kickoff for 55 yds , Rayshawn Pleasant return for 24 yds to the TULN 34
-0.8
Q1 3:35
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the TULN 36
-4.7
Q1 2:56
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 37
0.0
Q1 2:13
Darian Mensah run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 1:41
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 2 yds to the ARMY 48
-1.7
Q1 0:52
Darian Mensah pass complete to Alex Bauman for 11 yds to the ARMY 37 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q1 0:00
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 9 yds to the ARMY 28
-0.5
Q2 14:49
Darian Mensah run for 5 yds to the ARMY 23 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q2 14:08
Makhi Hughes run for 12 yds to the ARMY 11 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 13:24
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Mario Williams
0.0
Q2 13:14
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the ARMY 7
0.0
Q2 12:45
PENALTY TUL False Start (Murphy,Vincent) 5 yards from ARMY07 to ARMY12. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q2 12:16
Darian Mensah sacked by Elo Modozie for a loss of 8 yards to the ARMY 20
0.0
Q2 11:44
Patrick Durkin 38 yd FG MISSED
+0.8
Q2 11:39
Noah Short run for 5 yds to the ARMY 25
+7.2
Q2 10:59
Kanye Udoh run for 72 yds to the TULN 3 for a 1ST down
+0.8
Q2 10:18
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
+13.4
Q2 10:08
Trey Gronotte kickoff for 62 yds , Rayshawn Pleasant return for 35 yds to the TULN 38 Rayshawn Pleasant fumbled, recovered by TULN Tommy Zitiello
-0.3
Q2 9:59
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the TULN 35
+0.3
Q2 9:17
Noah Short run for 4 yds to the TULN 31
0.0
Q2 8:38
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the TULN 29
-0.2
Q2 7:59
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the TULN 27 for a 1ST down
-1.1
Q2 7:21
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the TULN 25
+0.5
Q2 6:42
Noah Short run for 14 yds to the TULN 11 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 5:58
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the TULN 8
+0.1
Q2 5:13
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the TULN 6
+2.0
Q2 4:38
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the TULN 4
0.0
Q2 3:59
Tyrell Robinson run for no gain to the TULN 4
-0.3
Q2 3:49
Makhi Hughes run for 9 yds to the TULN 13
+0.2
Q2 3:21
Makhi Hughes run for 7 yds to the TULN 20 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 2:40
Darian Mensah pass intercepted Andon Thomas return for 16 yds to the TULN 21
+0.3
Q2 2:32
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the TULN 19
+1.1
Q2 2:00
Timeout Army, clock 02:00
+0.3
Q2 1:54
Bryson Daily run for 11 yds to the TULN 8 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:51
Timeout Tulane, clock 01:51
+2.1
Q2 1:47
Kanye Udoh run for 1 yd to the TULN 7
0.0
Q2 1:47
Timeout Tulane, clock 01:47
0.0
Q2 1:43
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the TULN 4
0.0
Q2 1:43
Timeout Tulane, clock 01:43
-4.2
Q2 1:40
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
+20.3
Q2 1:36
Trey Gronotte kickoff for 37 yds , Alex Bauman return for 12 yds to the TULN 40
-0.3
Q2 1:25
Darian Mensah run for 8 yds to the TULN 48
-6.4
Q2 1:03
Darian Mensah pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 10 yds to the ARMY 42 for a 1ST down
+1.1
Q2 0:54
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Dontae Fleming
-0.3
Q2 0:44
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 42 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)
-14.7
Q2 0:41
Patrick Durkin kickoff for 52 yds , Tyrell Robinson return for 12 yds to the ARMY 25
+1.5
Q2 0:00
Jake Rendina run for 4 yds to the ARMY 29
+1.6
Q3 15:00
Ethan Head kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+2.2
Q3 14:54
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 29
-1.8
Q3 14:13
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ARMY 32
+0.2
Q3 13:33
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 12:49
Bryson Daily pass complete to Noah Short for 8 yds to the ARMY 44
+1.3
Q3 12:17
Kanye Udoh run for 14 yds to the TULN 42 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q3 11:40
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the TULN 39
+0.4
Q3 10:59
Noah Short run for 2 yds to the TULN 37
0.0
Q3 10:10
Noah Short run for no gain to the TULN 37
-0.6
Q3 9:25
Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 9 yds to the TULN 28 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q3 8:49
Bryson Daily run for 21 yds to the TULN 7 for a 1ST down Tulane Penalty, Defensive Offside (Patrick Jenkins) declined for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 8:29
Bryson Daily run for 7 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
+16.6
Q3 8:22
Trey Gronotte kickoff for 54 yds , Rayshawn Pleasant return for 29 yds to the TULN 40
-0.2
Q3 8:17
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 39
-4.7
Q3 7:44
Darian Mensah run for 6 yds to the TULN 45
0.0
Q3 7:08
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 44
0.0
Q3 6:25
Darian Mensah pass complete to Shazz Preston for 16 yds to the ARMY 40 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q3 6:13
PENALTY TUL False Start (Bauman,Alex) 5 yards from ARMY40 to ARMY45. NO PLAY.
-0.1
Q3 5:42
Darian Mensah pass complete to Alex Bauman for 11 yds to the ARMY 34
+0.4
Q3 5:23
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 3 yds to the ARMY 31
-0.1
Q3 5:01
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the ARMY 30 for a 1ST down
+1.0
Q3 4:31
Timeout Army, clock 04:31
-0.7
Q3 4:11
Darian Mensah pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 12 yds to the ARMY 18 for a 1ST down
+0.9
Q3 3:54
Tulane Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the ARMY 25
0.0
Q3 3:32
Darian Mensah pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 9 yds to the ARMY 16
0.0
Q3 2:45
Darian Mensah run for no gain to the ARMY 16
0.0
Q3 2:13
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Yulkeith Brown
+0.4
Q3 2:05
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ARMY 19
+4.7
Q3 1:27
Noah Short run for 5 yds to the ARMY 24
+0.1
Q3 0:00
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ARMY 25
+0.4
Q4 14:52
Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the ARMY 31 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q4 14:12
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ARMY 32
+1.2
Q4 13:30
Kanye Udoh run for 11 yds to the ARMY 43 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 12:45
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 45
0.0
Q4 12:02
Kanye Udoh run for 17 yds to the TULN 38 for a 1ST down
+0.5
Q4 11:16
Bryson Daily run for 11 yds to the TULN 27 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 10:40
Kanye Udoh run for 1 yd to the TULN 26
0.0
Q4 9:56
Bryson Daily run for 10 yds to the TULN 16 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 9:08
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the TULN 11
+0.1
Q4 8:22
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the TULN 9
0.0
Q4 7:40
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the TULN 6 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 6:59
Timeout Army, clock 06:59
+0.6
Q4 6:29
Kanye Udoh run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
+0.7
Q4 6:23
Trey Gronotte kickoff for 65 yds , Rayshawn Pleasant return for 20 yds to the TULN 20
0.0
Q4 6:02
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 14 yds to the TULN 34 for a 1ST down
-3.0
Q4 5:29
Darian Mensah run for a loss of 3 yards to the TULN 31 Darian Mensah fumbled, recovered by TULN Darian Mensah
0.0
Q4 5:19
Darian Mensah pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 3 yds to the TULN 34
0.0
Q4 2:37
Darian Mensah pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 9 yds to the TULN 43
+0.3
Q4 2:29
Darian Mensah run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 2:29
Darian Mensah pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 9 yds to the ARMY 41
0.0
Q4 2:23
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Mario Williams
-0.1
Q4 2:01
Arnold Barnes III run for 4 yds to the ARMY 37 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q4 2:00
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Reggie Brown
0.0
Q4 2:00
Darian Mensah run for no gain to the ARMY 37
0.0
Q4 2:00
Darian Mensah run for 13 yds to the ARMY 24 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 2:00
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Mario Williams
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Army, clock 02:00
-0.3
Q4 1:47
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 9 yds to the ARMY 15
0.0
Q4 1:32
Makhi Hughes run for 7 yds to the ARMY 8 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 1:18
Makhi Hughes run for 6 yds to the ARMY 2
0.0
Q4 1:18
Timeout Tulane, clock 01:18
0.0
Q4 1:10
Darian Mensah pass complete to Alex Bauman for 2 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)
-1.7
Q4 0:07
Jacob Barnes kickoff for 9 yds
+0.4
Q4 0:00
D. Coleman takes a knee
+4.7
Q4 0:00
D. Coleman takes a knee
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:40
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
+20.3
TD · Q3 8:29
Bryson Daily run for 7 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
+16.6
TD · Q2 0:44
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 42 yds for a TD (Patrick Durkin KICK)
-14.7
YardLine · model v2Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com