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2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadEIU aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scoreEIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:21 · Jay Pearson run for 10 yds to the EIU 19 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:37: Pierce Holley pass complete to Eli Mirza for 13 yds for a TD (Drew Schiller KICK) — EIU win probability +3.1 pts (now 13%) (top driver: EIU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 3:56: Pierce Holley run for 6 yds to the NU 49 — EIU win probability +3.3 pts (now 17%) (top driver: EIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:14: Joseph Himon II 32 Yd Run (Jack Olsen Kick) — NU win probability +4.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:14: Luke Akers kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — NU win probability +3.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:39: Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK) — NU win probability +1.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7EIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:50NU 4th & 1 at EIU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    93.7%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:26EIU 4th & 2 at EIU 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:48NU 4th & 10 at NU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:19EIU 4th & 8 at EIU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:12EIU 4th & 4 at NU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    8.0%−0.4
    27% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:41NU 4th & 9 at NU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:43EIU 4th & 5 at EIU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:43NU 4th & 1 at EIU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    86.7%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:02NU 4th & 3 at EIU 24, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.1%−0.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    83.9%−2.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:47EIU 4th & 7 at NU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    14.5%−3.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:03EIU 4th & 8 at EIU 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:18NU 4th & 10 at EIU 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    91.3%−2.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:06EIU 4th & 12 at NU 21, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−2.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:29EIU 4th & 9 at EIU 26, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:55NU 4th & 6 at EIU 44, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3EIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 1:22NU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:37EIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:14NU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:58NU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NUDrive 1DOWNS
10 plays · 39 yds · 4:0295% → 94%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
94.9%
pass incomplete to Bryce KirtzSimilar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
94.8%
Cam Porter run for 11 yds to the NU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
94.7%
Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the NU 33 Cam Porter fumbled, recovered by NU Caleb TiernanSimilar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+17
94.6%
Joseph Himon II run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
50
-5
94.5%
Jack Lausch run to the 50 yard line Northwestern Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the NU 45Similar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+12
94.4%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 12 yds to the EIU 43Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 3
OPP 43
0
94.3%
Jack Lausch pass incomplete to Bryce Kirtz, broken up by Zay GentrySimilar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+2
94.2%
Jack Lausch run for 2 yds to the EIU 41Similar
Q1 10:50
4TH & 1
OPP 41
0
94.0%
Porter,Cam rush middle (Tolbert,Elijawah;Gentry,Zay).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:196% → 6%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
93.9%
Pierce Holley pass complete to Terrance Gipson for 8 yds to the EIU 49Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 2
OWN 49
0
93.7%
pass incomplete to Terrance GipsonSimilar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 2
OWN 49
0
93.7%
Flowers,MJ rush middle (Uihlein,Mac).Similar
Q1 9:26
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
93.6%
Jacob Horvath punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3094% → 93%
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
93.6%
Himon II,Joseph rush middle (Porter,Phoenix;Oliveira-Chace,Nicholas).Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
93.4%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for no gain to the NU 10Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 10
OWN 10
0
93.1%
pass incomplete to Hayden Eligon IISimilar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 10
OWN 10
0
93.0%
Luke Akers punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:257% → 7%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
93.0%
Pierce Holley pass complete to MJ Flowers for 7 yds to the NU 46Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 3
OPP 46
-5
92.7%
Pierce Holley sacked by Aidan Hubbard for a loss of 5 yards to the EIU 49Similar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
92.6%
Pierce Holley pass incomplete to Terrance Gipson, broken up by Xander MuellerSimilar
Q1 6:19
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
92.8%
Jacob Horvath punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 5TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:5393% → 93%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
92.8%
pass incomplete to Bryce KirtzSimilar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-6
92.7%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 24 for a 1ST down Northwestern Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
92.7%
Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the NU 39Similar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+10
92.7%
Jack Lausch run for 10 yds to the NU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
92.5%
Cam Porter run for 8 yds to the EIU 43Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 2
OPP 43
0
92.4%
pass incomplete to Marshall LangSimilar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+4
92.3%
Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the EIU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
92.0%
Northwestern Penalty, off-side (Thomas Gordon) to the EIU 44Similar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+26
91.8%
Jack Lausch run for 26 yds to the EIU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
92.1%
pass incomplete to Bryce KirtzSimilar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+17
92.0%
Jack Lausch run for 17 yds to the EIU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.1%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 6TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:417% → 13%
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
92.6%
Pierce Holley pass complete to Cooper Willman for 13 yds to the EIU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
92.4%
Pierce Holley pass complete to CJ Nelson for a loss of 2 yards to the EIU 36Similar
Q1 0:27
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+5
92.5%
MJ Flowers run for 5 yds to the EIU 41Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+9
92.3%
Pierce Holley pass complete to Cooper Willman for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
50
+4
91.8%
Pierce Holley pass complete to Eli Mirza for 4 yds to the NU 46Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+2
91.7%
Jay Pearson run for 2 yds to the NU 44Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
91.6%
pass incomplete to CJ NelsonSimilar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 4
OPP 44
+6
91.8%
Pierce Holley run for 6 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
91.3%
Flowers,MJ rush middle (Mueller,Xander).Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+10
91.1%
Pierce Holley pass incomplete to Eli Mirza for a 1ST down Northwestern Penalty, Defensive holding (Devin Turner) to the NU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
90.7%
Pierce Holley pass complete to Cooper Willman for 9 yds to the NU 19Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+6
90.6%
MJ Flowers run for 6 yds to the NU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
87.5%
Pierce Holley pass complete to Eli Mirza for 13 yds for a TD (Drew Schiller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4590% → 88%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
89.6%
Jack Lausch pass incomplete to Bryce Kirtz, broken up by Luke WagnerSimilar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
89.3%
Caleb Komolafe run for 1 yd to the NU 41Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
88.9%
pass incomplete to Marshall LangSimilar
Q2 9:41
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
88.4%
Luke Akers punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5112% → 12%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
88.1%
pass incomplete to Eli MirzaSimilar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
88.1%
Pierce Holley pass incomplete to Terrance Gipson, broken up by Theran JohnsonSimilar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+5
88.5%
Jay Pearson run for 5 yds to the EIU 23Similar
Q2 8:43
4TH & 5
OWN 23
+16
88.3%
Jacob Horvath punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NU 44 , A.J. Henning returns for 16 yds to the NU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 9MISSED FG
10 plays · 32 yds · 4:3289% → 87%
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
89.1%
Cam Porter run for 7 yds to the EIU 49Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 3
OPP 49
-5
89.1%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for a loss of 5 yards to the NU 46Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+7
87.8%
Jack Lausch run for 7 yds to the EIU 47Similar
Q2 6:43
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+3
87.8%
Marshall Lang run for 3 yds to the EIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
88.3%
Cam Porter run for 13 yds to the EIU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
88.3%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the EIU 28Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
88.1%
pass incomplete to Bryce KirtzSimilar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 7
OPP 28
-5
87.6%
Northwestern Penalty, false start (Caleb Tiernan) to the EIU 33Similar
Q2 4:43
3RD & 12
OPP 33
+9
87.0%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 9 yds to the EIU 24Similar
Q2 4:02
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+42
86.6%
Jack Olsen 42 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 10MISSED FG
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:0917% → 18%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
83.3%
Pierce Holley run for 6 yds to the NU 49Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+5
82.4%
Pierce Holley pass incomplete to Terrance Gipson, broken up by Evan Smith Northwestern Penalty, illegal formation (5 Yards) to the EIU 46Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+32
82.8%
Pierce Holley pass complete to Anthony Manaves for 32 yds to the NU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
81.1%
pass incomplete to CJ NelsonSimilar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+3
81.2%
Pierce Holley pass complete to MJ Flowers for 3 yds to the NU 19Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 7
OPP 19
0
80.8%
pass incomplete to Cooper WillmanSimilar
Q2 1:47
4TH & 7
OPP 19
+36
82.0%
Drew Schiller 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 0:3484% → 91%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
84.2%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 4 yds to the NU 24Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
84.4%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 4 yds to the NU 28Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+19
83.7%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Marshall Lang for 19 yds to the NU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
85.4%
Jack Lausch pass incomplete to Calvin Johnson II, broken up by Moses AlexanderSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+11
85.1%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 11 yds to the EIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
85.8%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 10 yds to the EIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
86.2%
pass incomplete to Calvin Johnson IISimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+32
90.7%
Joseph Himon II 32 Yd Run (Jack Olsen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.5%
MJ Flowers run for 2 yds to the NU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:467% → 6%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
93.4%
MJ Flowers run for 2 yds to the EIU 34Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
93.4%
pass incomplete to MJ FlowersSimilar
Q3 14:06
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
93.6%
pass incomplete to Terrance GipsonSimilar
Q3 14:03
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
93.8%
Drew Schiller punt for 49 yds , A.J. Henning returns for no gain to the NU 34 Northwestern Penalty, Offensive holding (Braydon Brus) to the NU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 14FG
9 plays · 64 yds · 5:3294% → 94%
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
93.9%
Joseph Himon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 7Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+45
93.9%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 45 yds to the EIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
94.3%
Jack Lausch run for 5 yds to the EIU 43Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+3
94.4%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the EIU 40Similar
Q3 10:56
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+12
94.1%
Cam Porter run for 12 yds to the EIU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
94.5%
Jack Lausch sacked by Nicholas Oliveira-Chace for a loss of 5 yards to the EIU 33Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+1
94.5%
Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the EIU 32Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 14
OPP 32
+4
94.2%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Cam Porter for 4 yds to the EIU 28Similar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+46
94.0%
Jack Olsen 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 15INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:247% → 7%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.4%
Pierce Holley pass complete to CJ Nelson for 9 yds to the EIU 34Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
92.6%
MJ Flowers run for 2 yds to the EIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
92.9%
Pierce Holley pass incomplete to Jordan Sprycha, broken up by Xander MuellerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 42 yds · 4:0795% → 97%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
95.0%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 8 yds to the EIU 34Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+4
95.0%
Caleb Komolafe run for 4 yds to the EIU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
95.0%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 2 yds to the EIU 28Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+6
95.1%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 6 yds to the EIU 22Similar
Q3 3:57
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+4
95.1%
Caleb Komolafe run for 4 yds to the EIU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
95.3%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 15 yds to the EIU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.9%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 17DOWNS
13 plays · 51 yds · 6:234% → 3%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
96.1%
pass incomplete to Anthony ManavesSimilar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+19
96.3%
Pierce Holley pass complete to Cooper Willman for 19 yds to the EIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
96.1%
Pierce Holley pass complete to Cooper Willman for 8 yds to the NU 45Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+2
96.0%
Jay Pearson run for 2 yds to the NU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
96.3%
Pierce Holley sacked by Michael Kilbane for a loss of 5 yards to the NU 48Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+9
96.5%
Pierce Holley pass complete to MJ Flowers for 9 yds to the NU 39Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+8
96.7%
Pierce Holley pass complete to Cooper Willman for 8 yds to the NU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
96.2%
Pierce Holley pass complete to Terrance Gipson for 12 yds to the NU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-8
96.2%
Pierce Holley sacked by Dylan Roberts for a loss of 8 yards to the NU 27Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 18
OPP 27
+6
96.5%
Pierce Holley pass complete to Terrance Gipson for 6 yds to the NU 21Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 12
OPP 21
0
96.9%
Pierce Holley pass incomplete to Terrance Gipson, broken up by Theran JohnsonSimilar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 12
OPP 21
0
97.0%
pass incomplete to Cooper WillmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 4:0397% → 99%
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
97.4%
Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 24Similar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 7
OWN 24
-5
97.4%
Northwestern Penalty, false start (Cooper Lovelace) to the NU 19Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+46
97.4%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 46 yds to the EIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+16
97.7%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Calvin Johnson II for 16 yds to the EIU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
97.8%
Jack Lausch pass complete to A.J. Henning for 9 yds to the EIU 10Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+1
97.8%
Joseph Himon II run for 1 yd to the EIU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.3%
Jack Lausch pass complete to Marshall Lang for 9 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:241% → 1%
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Pearson,Jay rush right (Metz,Greyson).Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.4%
Jay Pearson run for 1 yd to the EIU 26Similar
Q4 5:37
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.5%
pass incomplete to Cooper WillmanSimilar
Q4 5:29
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.5%
Jacob Horvath punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 3:3199% → 100%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
99.4%
Caleb Komolafe run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 32Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+20
99.3%
Mike Wright pass complete to Hunter Welcing for 20 yds to the EIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
99.4%
Caleb Komolafe run for 4 yds to the EIU 44Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+1
99.5%
Caleb Komolafe run for 1 yd to the EIU 43Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 5
OPP 43
-1
99.5%
Caleb Komolafe run for a loss of 1 yard to the EIU 44Similar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
99.5%
Hunter Renner punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 21Uncategorized
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:241% → 1%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
99.5%
Jay Pearson run for 1 yd to the EIU 11Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+8
99.5%
Jay Pearson run for 8 yds to the EIU 19Similar
Q4 0:21
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+10
99.5%
Jay Pearson run for 10 yds to the EIU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:14
Joseph Himon II 32 Yd Run (Jack Olsen Kick)
+4.5
KEY PLAY · Q2 3:56
Pierce Holley run for 6 yds to the NU 49
-3.3
TD · Q2 10:37
Pierce Holley pass complete to Eli Mirza for 13 yds for a TD (Drew Schiller KICK)
-3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com