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2024 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2024 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
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Win probability · ILL
modelILL aheadEIU aheadconfidence bandkey playILL scoreEIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kendi Young run for no gain to the EIU 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:15: Pat Bryant 15 Yd pass from Luke Altmyer (David Olano Kick) — ILL win probability +0.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:43: Tanner Arkin 5 Yd pass from Luke Altmyer (David Olano Kick) — ILL win probability +1.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 10:10: David Olano 26 yd FG GOOD — ILL win probability +0.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:13: Pat Bryant 28 Yd pass from Luke Altmyer (David Olano Kick) — ILL win probability +1.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:30: Malik Elzy 34 Yd pass from Luke Altmyer (David Olano Kick) — ILL win probability +1.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ILL made the numbers' call on 4 of 5EIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 12:37ILL 4th & 6 at ILL 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:32EIU 4th & 6 at EIU 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:10ILL 4th & 8 at EIU 8, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:38EIU 4th & 8 at EIU 17, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:31ILL 4th & 9 at EIU 44, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    95.2%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:29EIU 4th & 7 at EIU 28, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:06EIU 4th & 1 at EIU 34, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:44EIU 4th & 7 at midfield, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:18EIU 4th & 8 at ILL 39, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:59EIU 4th & 10 at EIU 25, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:15ILL 4th & 8 at ILL 43, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:04EIU 4th & 6 at EIU 42, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:53ILL 4th & 11 at EIU 40, up 45
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ILL made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 4:15ILL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:43ILL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:13ILL Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:30ILL Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:04ILL Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:51ILL Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ILLDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:1796% → 95%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.6%
Aidan Laughery run for 9 yds to the ILL 34Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
95.5%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Aidan Laughery for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
95.4%
Aidan Laughery run for 2 yds to the ILL 43Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+2
95.3%
Aidan Laughery run for 2 yds to the ILL 45Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
95.2%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:37
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
95.1%
Hugh Robertson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Cooper Willman at the EIU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 2FUMBLE
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:065% → 6%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
95.1%
(12:34) No Huddle-Shotgun Flowers,MJ rush middle for 2 yards loss to the EIU15 (Bailey,Matthew) PENALTY ILL Offside (Jacas,Gabe) 5 yards from EIU17 to EIU22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 5
OWN 22
0
95.1%
Pierce Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+2
95.0%
MJ Flowers run for 2 yds to the EIU 24Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+3
94.8%
Pierce Holley pass complete to Eli Mirza for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
94.8%
Pierce Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+11
94.8%
MJ Flowers run for 11 yds to the EIU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
94.6%
Pierce Holley pass complete to Jay PearsonSimilar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+27
94.4%
Pierce Holley pass complete to Eli Mirza for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
94.3%
Jay Pearson run for 5 yds to the ILL 23 Jay Pearson fumbled, recovered by ILL Seth ColemanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 3TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 5:0394% → 94%
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
94.4%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
94.3%
Kaden Feagin run for 3 yds to the ILL 38Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
94.2%
Kaden Feagin run for 3 yds to the ILL 41Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+8
94.0%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
94.0%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat BryantSimilar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+29
93.9%
Kaden Feagin run for 29 yds to the EIU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
93.9%
Kaden Feagin run for 5 yds to the EIU 17Similar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+7
93.6%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Kenari Wilcher for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
93.6%
PENALTY ILL False Start (Gesky,Josh) 5 yards from EIU10 to EIU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
0
93.4%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
94.3%
Pat Bryant 15 Yd pass from Luke Altmyer (David Olano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:276% → 6%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
94.0%
Eli Mirza run for 3 yds to the EIU 8Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+1
94.0%
MJ Flowers run for 1 yd to the EIU 9Similar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 6
OWN 9
0
93.9%
Pierce Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:32
4TH & 6
OWN 9
+30
93.9%
Jacob Horvath punt for 46 yds , Mac Resetich returns for 30 yds to the EIU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 5TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:4494% → 95%
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
94.0%
Josh McCray run for 5 yds to the EIU 20Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+16
93.9%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
93.8%
Josh McCray run for 1 yd to the EIU 5Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
95.2%
Tanner Arkin 5 Yd pass from Luke Altmyer (David Olano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 6INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:056% → 6%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.5%
MJ Flowers run for 2 yds to the EIU 27Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
94.5%
Pierce Holley pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 7FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:3895% → 96%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+22
95.1%
Kaden Feagin run for 22 yds to the EIU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
95.1%
Luke Altmyer run for 9 yds to the EIU 30Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 1
OPP 30
0
95.1%
Kaden Feagin run for no gain to the EIU 30Similar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+3
95.0%
Luke Altmyer run for 3 yds to the EIU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
95.0%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Aidan LaugherySimilar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+18
95.0%
Aidan Laughery run for 18 yds to the EIU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
95.3%
Aidan Laughery run for 1 yd to the EIU 8Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
95.2%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
95.2%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
96.1%
David Olano 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:215% → 5%
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
95.5%
MJ Flowers run for no gain to the EIU 15Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+2
95.5%
MJ Flowers run for 2 yds to the EIU 17Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
95.5%
Pierce Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:38
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
95.5%
Jacob Horvath punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:5596% → 96%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
96.4%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank BeattySimilar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+1
96.1%
Kaden Feagin run for 1 yd to the EIU 47Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+3
96.0%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank BeattySimilar
Q2 6:31
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
95.9%
Hugh Robertson punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 10INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:335% → 5%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
95.2%
Pierce Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
95.2%
Jay Pearson run for 5 yds to the EIU 25Similar
Q2 5:33
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+5
95.2%
(05:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Holley,Pierce pass incomplete short middle to Mirza,Eli thrown to EIU29 PENALTY ILL Offside (Coleman,Seth) 5 yards from EIU25 to EIU30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
95.1%
Jay Pearson run for 1 yd to the EIU 31Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
95.1%
Pierce Holley pass intercepted Torrie Cox Jr. return for no gain to the EIU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 11TD
2 plays · 29 yds · 0:3396% → 98%
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
96.3%
Josh McCray run for 1 yd to the EIU 28Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+28
97.8%
Pat Bryant 28 Yd pass from Luke Altmyer (David Olano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:383% → 3%
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.3%
Pierce Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.3%
Pierce Holley pass complete to MJ FlowersSimilar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
97.2%
Pierce Holley run for 3 yds to the EIU 33Similar
Q2 2:51
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-5
97.2%
PENALTY EIU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from EIU33 to EIU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:29
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
97.4%
Jacob Horvath punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 13TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 0:4698% → 99%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
97.8%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Malik Elzy to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
50
+4
98.1%
Aidan Laughery run for 4 yds to the EIU 46Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+12
98.1%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
99.3%
Malik Elzy 34 Yd pass from Luke Altmyer (David Olano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:181% → 1%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
Jay Pearson run for 3 yds to the EIU 28Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.4%
Jay Pearson run for 2 yds to the EIU 30Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.4%
Jay Pearson run for 4 yds to the EIU 34Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+4
99.3%
Jacob Horvath punt for 45 yds , Mac Resetich returns for 4 yds to the ILL 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.2%
L. Altmyer takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:111% → 0%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.3%
MJ Flowers run for no gain to the EIU 35Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-3
99.5%
Pierce Holley pass complete to MJ FlowersSimilar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+5
99.5%
(13:56) No Huddle-Shotgun Holley,Pierce sacked for loss of 2 yards to the EIU30 (Jacas,Gabe) PENALTY ILL Offside (Bryant,Alec) 5 yards from EIU32 to EIU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+10
99.6%
Pierce Holley pass complete to DeAirious Smith for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.6%
Pierce Holley pass complete to Cooper WillmanSimilar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
99.5%
Pierce Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+2
99.6%
Pierce Holley run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:44
4TH & 7
50
0
99.6%
Jacob Horvath punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Mac Resetich at the ILL 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 17TD
10 plays · 86 yds · 4:32100% → 100%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
99.5%
Aidan Laughery run for 4 yds to the ILL 18Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+15
99.6%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Collin Dixon for a 1ST down Eastern Illinois Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Joel Barrows) to the ILL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.6%
Aidan Laughery run for 1 yd to the ILL 41Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+29
99.7%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Ashton Hollins for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
99.7%
(09:36) Shotgun Laughery,Aidan rush middle for 0 yards to the EIU30 (Porter,Phoenix) PENALTY ILL Holding (Davis,J.C.) 10 yards from EIU30 to EIU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 20
OPP 40
+7
99.7%
Kaden Feagin run for 7 yds to the EIU 33Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 13
OPP 33
+11
99.7%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Kenari Wilcher for a 1ST down Eastern Illinois Penalty, Personal Foul (Nick Coates) to the EIU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
99.7%
Aidan Laughery run for 9 yds to the EIU 2Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+1
99.7%
Kaden Feagin run for 1 yd for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Kaden Feagin run for 1 yd for a TD (David Olano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 18FUMBLE
12 plays · 62 yds · 3:390% → 0%
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
MJ Flowers run for 3 yds to the EIU 28Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
99.8%
Pierce Holley pass complete to Cooper WillmanSimilar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
99.8%
(06:04) No Huddle Holley,Pierce rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EIU35 (Briggs Jr.,Dennis) PENALTY EIU False Start (Tanelus,Elkhanan) 5 yards from EIU34 to EIU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
99.8%
Pierce Holley pass complete to Eli Mirza for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.8%
Pierce Holley pass complete to DeAirious SmithSimilar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+15
99.8%
(04:45) No Huddle-Shotgun Holley,Pierce pass incomplete deep left to Smith,DeAirious thrown to ILL25 PENALTY ILL Pass Interference (Patterson,Kaleb) 15 yards from EIU44 to ILL41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
99.8%
Pierce Holley sacked by Joe Barna for a loss of 5 yards to the ILL 46Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 15
OPP 46
+7
99.8%
MJ Flowers run for 7 yds to the ILL 39Similar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Pierce Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:18
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Pierce Holley pass complete to DeAirious Smith DeAirious Smith fumbled, recovered by ILL Kaleb PattersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 19TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 4:20100% → 100%
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+29
99.8%
Aidan Laughery run for 29 yds to the ILL 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
99.8%
Luke Altmyer run for 15 yds to the EIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
99.8%
Kaden Feagin run for 9 yds to the EIU 34Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+12
99.8%
Kaden Feagin run for 12 yds to the EIU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
99.8%
Kaden Feagin run for 2 yds to the EIU 20Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
99.8%
Luke Altmyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+9
99.8%
Luke Altmyer pass complete to Josh McCray for a 1ST down Eastern Illinois Penalty, Illegal Use Of Hands (Joel Barrows) to the EIU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
99.9%
Josh McCray run for 2 yds to the EIU 6Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Josh McCray run for 6 yds for a TD (David Olano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:400% → 0%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Kendi Young run for no gain to the EIU 25Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Pierce Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Pierce Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:59
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jacob Horvath punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:38100% → 100%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
Kaden Feagin run for 3 yds to the ILL 29Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+6
99.9%
Kaden Feagin run for 6 yds to the ILL 35Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+6
99.9%
Kaden Feagin run for 6 yds to the ILL 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Donovan Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.9%
Jordan Anderson run for 2 yds to the ILL 43Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Donovan Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Hugh Robertson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cooper Willman at the EIU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
99.9%
Pierce Holley pass complete to Kendi YoungSimilar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 5
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Pierce Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+17
99.9%
Pierce Holley pass complete to CJ Nelson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Pierce Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.9%
Pierce Holley pass complete to CJ NelsonSimilar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Pierce Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:04
4TH & 6
OWN 42
+4
99.9%
Jacob Horvath punt for 48 yds , Mac Resetich returns for 4 yds to the ILL 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 23PUNT
11 plays · 46 yds · 5:52100% → 100%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+16
99.9%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 16 yds to the ILL 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.9%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 1 yd to the ILL 31Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+11
99.9%
Donovan Leary pass complete to Ashton Hollins for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
99.9%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 1 yd to the ILL 41Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+2
99.9%
Ca'Lil Valentine run for 2 yds to the ILL 43Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+18
99.9%
Donovan Leary pass complete to Carson Goda for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
100.0%
Jordan Anderson run for 1 yd to the EIU 38Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
100.0%
Donovan Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+2
100.0%
Jordan Anderson run for 2 yds to the EIU 40Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
100.0%
Hugh Robertson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Cooper Willman at the EIU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:460% → 0%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
100.0%
Kendi Young run for 2 yds to the EIU 9Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+11
100.0%
Pierce Holley pass complete to DeAirious Smith for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Pierce Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
100.0%
Pierce Holley pass complete to DeAirious SmithSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Kendi Young run for no gain to the EIU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:13
Pat Bryant 28 Yd pass from Luke Altmyer (David Olano Kick)
+1.5
TD · Q1 0:43
Tanner Arkin 5 Yd pass from Luke Altmyer (David Olano Kick)
+1.3
TD · Q2 1:30
Malik Elzy 34 Yd pass from Luke Altmyer (David Olano Kick)
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com