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NAVY

Navy 31 at Army 13

ARMY
2024 · Week 16 · Dec 14, 2024 · Northwest Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadNAVY aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreNAVY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGEnd of GameFG+4ARMY 30.8%Trey Gronotte 31 yd FG GOODAWAY 21 - HOME 13 · Q4 14:44
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:44 · Trey Gronotte 31 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Home team on offense−14.1Pregame prior+4.7Score differential−6.1Garbage-time factor−5.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:30: Blake Horvath pass complete to Brandon Chatman for 18 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK) — NAVY win probability +8.2 pts (now 51%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:29: Bryson Daily pass complete to Hayden Reed for 23 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK) — ARMY win probability +10.8 pts (now 59%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 8:15: Trey Gronotte 39 yd FG GOOD — ARMY win probability +6.2 pts (now 55%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:34: Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 52 yds for a TD Navy Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Eli Heidenreich) to the ARMY 0 (Nathan Kirkwood KICK) — NAVY win probability +15.9 pts (now 69%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:50: Blake Horvath run for 1 yd for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK) — NAVY win probability +8.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 6 of 6NAVY made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 5:20ARMY 4th & 7 at ARMY 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:12NAVY 4th & 12 at NAVY 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:52ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    58.7%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:34ARMY 4th & 3 at NAVY 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    45.3%−1.4
    23% to make
    Punt
    46.1%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:05NAVY 4th & 13 at ARMY 36, up 7
    Close callPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−0.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    48.5%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:25ARMY 4th & 9 at ARMY 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−1.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:25NAVY 4th & 6 at NAVY 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:15ARMY 4th & 9 at NAVY 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−1.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    33.4%−11.0
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:44ARMY 4th & 9 at NAVY 14, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    16.5%−8.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:37NAVY 4th & 5 at NAVY 47, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    78.0%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:45NAVY 4th & 8 at ARMY 10, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−3.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 1 of 1NAVY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 11:30NAVY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:29ARMY Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:34NAVY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:50NAVY Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NAVYDrive 1TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:5731% → 35%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
69.2%
Blake Horvath run for 5 yds to the NAVY 40Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
69.1%
Alex Tecza run for 3 yds to the NAVY 43Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+2
68.9%
Amin Hassan run for 2 yds to the NAVY 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
68.8%
Alex Tecza run for 2 yds to the NAVY 47Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
68.7%
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Nathan KentSimilar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+31
68.7%
Blake Horvath pass complete to Alex Tecza for 31 yds Alex Tecza fumbled, recovered by NAVY Alex Tecza for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
68.4%
Alex Tecza run for 5 yds to the ARMY 17Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+6
68.1%
Blake Horvath run for 6 yds to the ARMY 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
67.9%
Alex Tecza run for 2 yds to the ARMY 9Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+2
67.8%
Luke Hutchison run for 2 yds to the ARMY 7Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+7
67.0%
Blake Horvath run for 7 yds for a TDSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.5%
Blake Horvath run for 1 yd for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 3:2966% → 64%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
66.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the ARMY 30Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
66.0%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ARMY 34Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
65.7%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ARMY 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
65.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 1 yd to the ARMY 36Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+2
65.0%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 38Similar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
64.5%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Hayden ReedSimilar
Q1 5:20
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
64.1%
James Wagenseller punt for 37 yds , Rayuan Lane III returns for no gain to the NAVY 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:4636% → 38%
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
63.9%
Eli Heidenreich run for 5 yds to the NAVY 29Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+3
63.4%
Eli Heidenreich run for 3 yds to the NAVY 32Similar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+6
63.0%
Blake Horvath run for 6 yds to the NAVY 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-14
61.8%
Blake Horvath run for a loss of 14 yards to the NAVY 24 Blake Horvath fumbled, recovered by NAVY Blake HorvathSimilar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 24
OWN 24
+8
62.5%
Blake Horvath run for 8 yds to the NAVY 32Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 16
OWN 32
+4
62.3%
Blake Horvath run for 4 yds to the NAVY 36Similar
Q1 1:12
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
62.0%
Riley Riethman punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4INT
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:2262% → 59%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
61.6%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Hayden ReedSimilar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+5
61.5%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Noah Short for 5 yds to the ARMY 17Similar
Q1 0:24
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+4
60.7%
Noah Short run for 4 yds to the ARMY 21Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+4
60.5%
Noah Short run for 4 yds to the ARMY 21Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 1
OWN 21
+1
60.2%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ARMY 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
60.6%
Kanye Udoh run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARMY 21Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+3
60.1%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ARMY 24Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 8
OWN 24
-2
59.1%
Bryson Daily pass intercepted Dashaun Peele return for 2 yds to the ARMY 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 5TD
3 plays · 44 yds · 1:0942% → 51%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
57.7%
Blake Horvath run for 5 yds to the ARMY 39Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+21
57.2%
Blake Horvath run for 21 yds to the ARMY 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
49.0%
Blake Horvath pass complete to Brandon Chatman for 18 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:5451% → 59%
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
51.2%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ARMY 38Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+9
51.2%
Noah Short run for 9 yds to the ARMY 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
50.9%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 7
50
-1
50.1%
Bryson Daily run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARMY 49Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+5
49.0%
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the NAVY 46Similar
Q2 7:34
4TH & 3
OPP 46
+18
47.9%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 18 yds to the NAVY 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
48.5%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the NAVY 23Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+23
59.3%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Hayden Reed for 23 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:1547% → 47%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
53.0%
Blake Horvath run for 5 yds to the NAVY 30Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+37
52.4%
Blake Horvath run for 37 yds to the ARMY 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
50.3%
Eli Heidenreich run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARMY 36Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 13
OPP 36
0
50.9%
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Brandon ChatmanSimilar
Q2 4:05
3RD & 13
OPP 36
0
51.4%
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Nathan KentSimilar
Q2 4:05
4TH & 13
OPP 36
0
53.1%
Riley Riethman punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 2:3053% → 48%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
53.3%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the ARMY 13Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+3
53.2%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ARMY 16Similar
Q2 2:36
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+2
51.6%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
52.0%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Parker Poloskey for 4 yds to the ARMY 22Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+2
50.4%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 24 Bryson Daily fumbled, recovered by NAVY Bryson DailySimilar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 4
OWN 24
-5
49.3%
PENALTY ARMY False Start (Gennarelli,Paolo) 5 yards from ARMY24 to ARMY19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 9
OWN 19
0
48.6%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Cam SchurrSimilar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 9
OWN 19
+3
47.9%
James Wagenseller punt for 49 yds , Rayuan Lane III returns for 3 yds to the NAVY 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:5453% → 53%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
47.5%
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Brandon ChatmanSimilar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
47.9%
Blake Horvath run for 10 yds to the NAVY 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
45.6%
Blake Horvath sacked by Elo Modozie for a loss of 2 yards to the NAVY 43Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+6
46.5%
Blake Horvath pass complete to Nathan Kent for 6 yds to the NAVY 49Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
45.6%
Blake Horvath pass incomplete to Alex TeczaSimilar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
47.0%
Riley Riethman punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Robinson at the ARMY 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
48.6%
B. Daily takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11FG
13 plays · 47 yds · 6:3350% → 55%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
49.7%
Kanye Udoh run for 12 yds to the ARMY 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
51.1%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 46Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+3
51.4%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ARMY 49Similar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+2
50.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the NAVY 49Similar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+15
48.7%
(12:05) Daily,Bryson pass incomplete deep middle to Short,Noah thrown to NAVY20, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NAVY Pass Interference (Duhart,Andrew) 15 yards from NAVY49 to NAVY34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
52.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the NAVY 30Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+5
52.0%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the NAVY 25Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+1
49.9%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the NAVY 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
51.2%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Hayden Reed for 1 yd to the NAVY 23Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 9
OPP 23
0
50.8%
Bryson Daily run for no gain to the NAVY 23Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
48.4%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Noah ShortSimilar
Q3 8:15
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+39
54.6%
Trey Gronotte 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 12TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 1:2651% → 69%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
49.4%
Blake Horvath run for 3 yds to the NAVY 45Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+3
47.2%
Alex Tecza run for 3 yds to the NAVY 48Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+52
31.3%
Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 52 yds for a TD Navy Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Eli Heidenreich) to the ARMY 0 (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13FG
16 plays · 45 yds · 6:3635% → 31%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
35.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 45Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-2
35.1%
Noah Short run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARMY 43Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+2
32.0%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the ARMY 45Similar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
32.4%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Hayden Reed for 5 yds to the NAVY 35Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+4
33.5%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the NAVY 31Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+3
31.6%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the NAVY 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
32.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the NAVY 25Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+4
31.7%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the NAVY 21Similar
Q3 0:40
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+6
29.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 6 yds to the NAVY 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
30.3%
Noah Short run for 1 yd to the NAVY 14Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 9
OPP 14
0
30.2%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Casey ReynoldsSimilar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 9
OPP 14
0
26.8%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Noah ShortSimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+31
30.8%
Trey Gronotte 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 14TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:4273% → 94%
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
26.7%
Blake Horvath run for 7 yds to the NAVY 32Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
24.4%
Blake Horvath run for 10 yds to the NAVY 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
21.0%
Alex Tecza run for 2 yds to the NAVY 44Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+1
19.5%
Eli Heidenreich run for 1 yd to the NAVY 45Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+2
19.2%
Blake Horvath run for 2 yds to the NAVY 47Similar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 5
OWN 47
+29
20.0%
Landon Robinson run for 29 yds to the ARMY 24 Landon Robinson fumbled, recovered by NAVY Colin Ramos for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+19
16.1%
Blake Horvath run for 19 yds to the ARMY 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
15.3%
Blake Horvath run for 4 yds to the ARMY 1Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
14.8%
Blake Horvath run for no gain to the ARMY 1Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
6.0%
Blake Horvath run for 1 yd for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15INT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:087% → 6%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
7.3%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Cam Schurr for 9 yds to the ARMY 30Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+5
7.2%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the ARMY 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
6.7%
Noah Short run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARMY 32Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 13
OWN 32
0
6.3%
Bryson Daily pass intercepted Kroy Myers return for no gain to the NAVY 48Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 13
OWN 32
0
6.3%
Navy Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Yards) to the NAVY 48Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+15
6.3%
Navy Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the NAVY 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 16FG
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:3194% → 98%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
5.7%
Blake Horvath run for 7 yds to the NAVY 40Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+48
4.9%
Blake Horvath run for 48 yds to the ARMY 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-10
4.2%
(05:46) No Huddle Heidenreich,Eli rush right for 12 yards gain to the ARMY00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 05:39 PENALTY NAVY Holding (Chatman,Brandon) 10 yards from ARMY12 to ARMY22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 20
OPP 22
+2
4.2%
Alex Tecza run for 2 yds to the ARMY 20Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 18
OPP 20
+5
3.8%
Alex Tecza run for 5 yds to the ARMY 15Similar
Q4 4:29
3RD & 13
OPP 15
+5
3.6%
Blake Horvath run for 5 yds to the ARMY 10Similar
Q4 3:45
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+27
1.7%
Nathan Kirkwood 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
1.0%
Bryson Daily pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 18END OF 4TH QUARTER
7 plays · 4 yds · 3:2899% → 99%
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
1.3%
Daba Fofana run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARMY 40Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 13
OPP 40
+8
1.3%
Eli Heidenreich run for 8 yds to the ARMY 32Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+5
0.9%
Eli Heidenreich run for 5 yds to the ARMY 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
0.8%
B. Horvath takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 12
OPP 29
-2
0.7%
B. Horvath takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 31
-2
0.7%
B. Horvath takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:34
Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 52 yds for a TD Navy Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Eli Heidenreich) to the ARMY 0 (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)
-15.9
TD · Q2 6:29
Bryson Daily pass complete to Hayden Reed for 23 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
+10.8
TD · Q4 8:50
Blake Horvath run for 1 yd for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)
-8.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com