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UNT

North Texas 24 at Temple 17

TEM
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:00 · Sawyer Evans punt for 35 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 125Pregame prior−11.2Home team on offense−6.5Garbage-time factor−0.9Score differential−3.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:19: Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 14 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK) (Kali Nguma KICK) — UNT win probability +0.6 pts (now 77%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 4:55: Maddux Trujillo 44 Yd Field Goal — TEM win probability +0.2 pts (now 25%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:52: Makenzie McGill II 51 Yd Run (Kali Nguma Kick) — UNT win probability +0.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:46: Evan Simon run for 1 yd for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK) (Maddux Trujillo KICK) — TEM win probability +0.4 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:08: run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNT 6 — UNT win probability +18.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 11 of 14UNT made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 12:00UNT 4th & 10 at TEM 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    74.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:02TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:13UNT 4th & 7 at UNT 27, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:20TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:16UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 16, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:55TEM 4th & 11 at UNT 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    25.1%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:20TEM 4th & 2 at TEM 29, down 4
    Close callPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:05TEM 4th & 8 at TEM 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:01UNT 4th & 9 at UNT 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:03TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 26, down 4
    Close callPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:50TEM 4th & 5 at UNT 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    31.6%−<0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−5.0
    average punt
  12. Q2 5:20TEM 4th & 6 at UNT 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    27.4%−4.8
    average punt
  13. Q2 5:01UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−0.9
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  14. Q2 2:34UNT 4th & 2 at UNT 33, up 4
    Close callPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q2 0:12UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−1.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%
    average punt
  16. Q3 10:50TEM 4th & 5 at UNT 42, down 4
    Close callPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    34.4%−1.8
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q3 7:00UNT 4th & 5 at UNT 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−1.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  18. Q3 4:01TEM 4th & 14 at TEM 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−4.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  19. Q3 2:10UNT 4th & 6 at UNT 48, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 14:58TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  21. Q4 12:38UNT 4th & 4 at TEM 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    68.0%−2.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    66.1%−4.0
    average punt
  22. Q4 11:47TEM 4th & 12 at TEM 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−3.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  23. Q4 5:32UNT 4th & 7 at TEM 11, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    59.4%−14.7
    average punt
  24. Q4 3:08TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.5%−4.3
    average punt
  25. Q4 2:04UNT 4th & 26 at UNT 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−5.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.1%
    average punt
  26. Q4 1:09TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.1%−5.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:19UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4077% → 77%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
22.6%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Miles Coleman for 16 yds to the UNT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
22.8%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 7 yds to the UNT 48Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+2
23.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Miles Coleman for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 1
50
+10
23.7%
Shane Porter run for 10 yds to the TEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
23.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Miles Coleman for no gain to the TEM 40Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+21
23.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 21 yds to the TEM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
23.6%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Miles Coleman for 5 yds to the TEM 14Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+14
23.0%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 14 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK) (Kali Nguma KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1177% → 77%
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
23.0%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Miles Coleman, broken up by Jamel JohnsonSimilar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
23.0%
pass incomplete to Brandon Young Jr.Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 10
OPP 18
0
23.0%
pass incomplete to Miles ColemanSimilar
Q1 12:00
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+36
23.1%
Kali Nguma 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5523% → 23%
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
23.2%
Evan Simon pass complete to Antonio Jones for 3 yds to the TEM 29Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+2
23.3%
Joquez Smith run for 2 yds to the TEM 31Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+1
23.2%
Evan Simon pass complete to Antonio Jones for 1 yd to the TEM 32Similar
Q1 10:02
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
23.4%
Dante Atton punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4677% → 76%
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
23.4%
pass incomplete to Blair ConwrightSimilar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
23.5%
pass incomplete to Damon Ward Jr.Similar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+3
23.6%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Makenzie McGill II for 3 yds to the UNT 27Similar
Q1 9:13
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
23.8%
Sawyer Evans punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4424% → 24%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
23.9%
Joquez Smith run for 3 yds to the TEM 46Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
23.9%
pass incomplete to Joquez SmithSimilar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
23.8%
pass incomplete to Joquez SmithSimilar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
23.6%
Dante Atton punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0476% → 76%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
23.6%
Kiefer Sibley run for 3 yds to the UNT 13Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+3
23.7%
Kiefer Sibley run for 3 yds to the UNT 16Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 4
OWN 16
0
23.8%
pass incomplete to Dalton CarnesSimilar
Q1 7:16
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
24.0%
Sawyer Evans punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7FG
5 plays · 27 yds · 2:0524% → 25%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+28
24.3%
Tyler Stewart run for 28 yds to the UNT 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
24.8%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Ashton Allen, broken up by Ridge TexadaSimilar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-4
24.8%
Evan Simon pass complete to Antonio Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the UNT 29Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 14
OPP 29
+3
24.4%
Evan Simon pass complete to James Della Pesca for 3 yds to the UNT 26Similar
Q1 4:55
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+44
24.6%
Maddux Trujillo 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:5174% → 74%
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
26.3%
Shane Porter run for 4 yds to the UNT 29Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
26.2%
Shane Porter run for 2 yds to the UNT 31Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
26.5%
Shane Porter run for 6 yds to the UNT 37 for a 1ST down Temple Penalty, substitution infraction (Yards) to the UNT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
26.3%
Makenzie McGill II run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
50
+11
25.9%
Makenzie McGill II run for 11 yds to the TEM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
26.1%
pass incomplete to Blair ConwrightSimilar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+39
26.1%
Makenzie McGill II 39 Yd Run (Kali Nguma Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4027% → 27%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
26.8%
pass incomplete to Ashton AllenSimilar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+2
26.9%
Tyler Douglas run for 2 yds to the TEM 23Similar
Q1 1:59
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+6
26.7%
Evan Simon run for 6 yds to the TEM 29Similar
Q1 1:20
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
27.0%
Dante Atton punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 15:0877% → 73%
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+5
22.6%
Temple Penalty, off-side (Elijah Deravil) to the UNT 49Similar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
26.8%
Shane Porter run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNT 38Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+6
27.5%
Shane Porter run for 6 yds to the UNT 44Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+51
27.3%
Makenzie McGill II 51 Yd Run (Kali Nguma Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4628% → 27%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
28.0%
Terrez Worthy run for 2 yds to the TEM 27Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
28.3%
pass incomplete to John AdamsSimilar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
27.6%
pass incomplete to Joquez SmithSimilar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
27.4%
Dante Atton punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:5372% → 71%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
28.4%
Shane Porter run for 2 yds to the UNT 21Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+12
28.6%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 12 yds to the UNT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
28.4%
Kiefer Sibley run for 11 yds to the UNT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
27.6%
Kiefer Sibley run for 1 yd to the UNT 45Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
27.8%
pass incomplete to Miles ColemanSimilar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
28.4%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Landon Sides, broken up by Jamel JohnsonSimilar
Q2 12:01
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
29.5%
Sawyer Evans punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5329% → 29%
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
29.1%
Terrez Worthy run for a loss of 2 yards to the TEM 18Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+5
29.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Ashton Allen for 5 yds to the TEM 23Similar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+3
28.8%
Evan Simon pass complete to Jamar Taylor Jr. for 3 yds to the TEM 26Similar
Q2 10:03
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+40
28.7%
Dante Atton punt for 36 yds , Miles Coleman returns for no gain to the UNT 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14DOWNS
5 plays · 27 yds · 2:0032% → 31%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+18
32.4%
Evan Simon pass complete to Daniel Evert for 18 yds to the UNT 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
32.7%
Daniel Evert run for 2 yds to the UNT 14Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+3
33.1%
Joquez Smith run for 3 yds to the UNT 11Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 5
OPP 11
0
31.6%
pass incomplete to Kajiya HollawayneSimilar
Q2 7:50
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+4
30.6%
Evan Simon pass complete to Kajiya Hollawayne for 4 yds to the UNT 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:3070% → 70%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
29.7%
Makenzie McGill II run for 7 yds to the UNT 14Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+23
29.6%
Makenzie McGill II run for 23 yds to the UNT 37 Makenzie McGill II fumbled, recovered by TEM Demerick MorrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16MISSED FG
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:4732% → 32%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
32.3%
Evan Simon pass complete to John Adams for 13 yds to the UNT 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
33.3%
Tyler Stewart run for 2 yds to the UNT 22Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+2
33.6%
Terrez Worthy run for 2 yds to the UNT 20Similar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
32.8%
pass incomplete to Tyler DouglasSimilar
Q2 5:20
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+38
31.5%
Maddux Trujillo 38 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1170% → 68%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
30.1%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Kiefer Sibley, broken up by Elijah DeravilSimilar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
30.3%
pass incomplete to Shane PorterSimilar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
31.3%
pass incomplete to Blair ConwrightSimilar
Q2 5:01
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
32.0%
Sawyer Evans punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 0:4933% → 35%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+35
32.6%
Evan Simon pass complete to John Adams for 35 yds to the UNT 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+22
34.4%
Joquez Smith run for 22 yds to the UNT 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
34.6%
Joquez Smith run for 1 yd for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK) (Maddux Trujillo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2570% → 70%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
30.5%
Shane Porter run for 2 yds to the UNT 27Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
30.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Brandon Young Jr. for 4 yds to the UNT 31Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
30.0%
Makenzie McGill II run for 2 yds to the UNT 33Similar
Q2 2:34
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
30.5%
Sawyer Evans punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 1:4231% → 37%
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
31.3%
Evan Simon pass complete to Ashton Allen for 10 yds to the TEM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+31
34.3%
Evan Simon pass complete to Tyler Stewart for 31 yds to the UNT 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
36.2%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Ashton Allen, broken up by Quinton HammondsSimilar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+4
36.3%
Evan Simon run for 4 yds to the UNT 9Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 6
OPP 9
-5
34.5%
Evan Simon pass intercepted for a 1ST down North Texas Penalty, roughing passer (Breylon Charles) to the UNT 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
36.4%
Joquez Smith run for 3 yds to the UNT 1Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
36.8%
Evan Simon run for 1 yd for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK) (Maddux Trujillo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:4170% → 68%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
30.3%
Shane Porter run for 2 yds to the UNT 28Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+4
30.3%
Shane Porter run for 4 yds to the UNT 32Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
30.6%
pass incomplete to Dalton CarnesSimilar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
31.9%
Sawyer Evans punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
31.9%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNT 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 4:0332% → 35%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
32.0%
Joquez Smith run for 3 yds to the TEM 23Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+9
32.2%
Evan Simon pass complete to Jamar Taylor Jr. for 9 yds to the TEM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
32.9%
Joquez Smith run for 2 yds to the TEM 34Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+4
32.9%
Evan Simon pass complete to Tyler Stewart for 4 yds to the TEM 38Similar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+15
33.9%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Antonio Jones, broken up by Quinton Hammonds for a 1ST down North Texas Penalty, roughing passer (Jaylen Smith) to the UNT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
36.0%
Evan Simon pass complete to Terrez Worthy for 3 yds to the UNT 44Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
36.4%
pass incomplete to James Della PescaSimilar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+2
35.9%
Evan Simon pass complete to Tyler Stewart for 2 yds to the UNT 42Similar
Q3 10:50
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
34.5%
Dante Atton punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:3767% → 68%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+7
32.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Miles Coleman for 7 yds to the UNT 10Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 3
OWN 10
+6
32.7%
Makenzie McGill II run for 6 yds to the UNT 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
32.4%
Makenzie McGill II run for 4 yds to the UNT 20Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 6
OWN 20
-1
32.7%
Makenzie McGill II run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNT 19Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+17
34.1%
Kiefer Sibley run for 17 yds to the UNT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
31.8%
Kiefer Sibley run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNT 34Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+6
33.2%
Chandler Morris run for 6 yds to the UNT 40Similar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+1
31.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 1 yd to the UNT 41Similar
Q3 7:00
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
32.4%
Sawyer Evans punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:5433% → 31%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
33.3%
Tyler Douglas run for 9 yds to the TEM 33Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+2
35.9%
Evan Simon run for 2 yds to the TEM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
34.1%
Tyler Douglas run for 1 yd to the TEM 36Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
34.7%
Evan Simon pass complete to Ashton Allen for 5 yds to the TEM 41Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-10
35.4%
Evan Simon sacked by Jake Shipley for a loss of 10 yards to the TEM 31Similar
Q3 4:01
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
31.0%
Dante Atton punt for 36 yds , Miles Coleman returns for no gain to the UNT 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 26Uncategorized
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:4771% → 70%
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
29.5%
pass incomplete to Damon Ward Jr.Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
30.0%
pass incomplete to Damon Ward Jr.Similar
Q3 3:48
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+11
31.6%
Chandler Morris run for 11 yds to the UNT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
27.6%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Miles Coleman, broken up by Jamel JohnsonSimilar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
28.2%
Makenzie McGill II run for 1 yd to the UNT 45Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+3
29.1%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 3 yds to the UNT 48Similar
Q3 2:10
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
30.0%
Sawyer Evans punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:0433% → 31%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
32.5%
Evan Simon pass complete to John Adams for 12 yds to the TEM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
33.3%
Tyler Douglas run for 4 yds to the TEM 31Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+3
33.8%
Tyler Douglas run for 3 yds to the TEM 34Similar
Q3 0:17
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+1
34.1%
Tyler Douglas run for 1 yd to the TEM 35Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 35
-5
32.0%
Temple Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the TEM 30Similar
Q4 14:58
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
30.6%
Dante Atton punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 28DOWNS
5 plays · 36 yds · 2:1371% → 70%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+30
28.9%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 30 yds to the TEM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
26.4%
Kiefer Sibley run for 7 yds to the TEM 32Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
24.9%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to DT Sheffield, broken up by Diwun BlackSimilar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 3
OPP 32
-1
26.4%
Kiefer Sibley run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEM 33Similar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 4
OPP 33
0
29.6%
pass incomplete to Damon Ward Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:4434% → 31%
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
34.4%
Tyler Stewart run for a loss of 2 yards to the TEM 31Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 12
OWN 31
0
33.6%
pass incomplete to Joquez SmithSimilar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 12
OWN 31
0
32.2%
pass incomplete to John AdamsSimilar
Q4 11:47
4TH & 12
OWN 31
0
31.0%
Dante Atton punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 30MISSED FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 5:4771% → 76%
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
29.2%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Miles Coleman for a loss of 2 yards to the UNT 22Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+23
29.9%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Landon Sides for 23 yds to the UNT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
25.1%
Makenzie McGill II run for 3 yds to the UNT 48Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
25.1%
Makenzie McGill II run for no gain to the UNT 48Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+19
25.8%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 19 yds to the TEM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
23.4%
pass incomplete to Damon Ward Jr.Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+8
23.6%
Miles Coleman run for 8 yds to the TEM 25Similar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+11
23.3%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Xzavior Kautai for 11 yds to the TEM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
21.4%
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for no gain to the TEM 14Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+7
19.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Miles Coleman for 7 yds to the TEM 7Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 3
OPP 7
-4
20.9%
Makenzie McGill II run for a loss of 4 yards to the TEM 11Similar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+29
24.0%
Kali Nguma 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 31DOWNS
5 plays · 25 yds · 2:2433% → 29%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
33.2%
Evan Simon pass complete to Tyler Stewart for 21 yds to the TEM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
34.3%
Tyler Douglas run for a loss of 2 yards to the TEM 39Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 12
OWN 39
-14
31.9%
Evan Simon sacked by Ethan Wesloski for a loss of 14 yards to the TEM 25Similar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 26
OWN 25
+20
28.1%
Evan Simon pass complete to Ashton Allen for 20 yds to the TEM 45Similar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
28.5%
pass incomplete to Tyler StewartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 32PUNT
6 plays · -16 yds · 1:0186% → 82%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
14.4%
Shane Porter run for no gain to the TEM 45Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-10
14.1%
Kiefer Sibley run for no gain to the UNT 45 North Texas Penalty, Offensive holding (Tyler Mercer) to the UNT 45Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 20
OWN 45
+2
15.7%
Kiefer Sibley run for 2 yds to the UNT 47Similar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 18
OWN 47
-3
16.8%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Miles Coleman for a loss of 3 yards to the UNT 44Similar
Q4 2:06
4TH & 21
OWN 44
-5
18.5%
North Texas Penalty, false start (Jace Ruder) to the UNT 39Similar
Q4 2:04
4TH & 26
OWN 39
0
18.4%
Sawyer Evans punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 33INT
10 plays · 52 yds · 1:4728% → 30%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
27.7%
Evan Simon pass incomplete to Daniel Evert, broken up by Shane WhitterSimilar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
26.4%
pass incomplete to Joquez SmithSimilar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+17
24.7%
Evan Simon pass complete to Ashton Allen for 17 yds to the TEM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
30.9%
Evan Simon pass complete to Joquez Smith for 2 yds to the TEM 47Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
31.1%
pass incomplete to John AdamsSimilar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+2
27.8%
Evan Simon pass complete to James Della Pesca for 2 yds to the TEM 49Similar
Q4 1:09
4TH & 6
OWN 49
+23
23.4%
Evan Simon pass complete to James Della Pesca for 23 yds to the UNT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
38.8%
Evan Simon pass complete to Ashton Allen for 5 yds to the UNT 23Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+3
37.8%
Evan Simon pass complete to John Adams for 3 yds to the UNT 20Similar
Q4 0:13
3RD & 2
OPP 20
0
30.2%
Evan Simon pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 34Uncategorized
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-4
11.8%
run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNT 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:08
run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNT 6
-18.5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-11.8
TD · Q1 12:19
Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 14 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK) (Kali Nguma KICK)
-0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com