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FAU

Florida Atlantic 63 at Tulsa 16

TLSA
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Chapman Stadium
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Win probability · TLSA
modelTLSA aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playTLSA scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDSAFETYTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:36 · Angus Davies punt for 44 yds , Omari Hayes returns for 7 yds to the FAU 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 56Home team on offense−6.2Score differential−2.3Garbage-time factor−1.7Pregame prior+6.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:29: Tyriq Starks pass complete to Kahlil Brantley for 28 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK) — FAU win probability +2.1 pts (now 44%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. SAFETY · Q1 5:38: CJ Campbell Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETY — TLSA win probability +1.6 pts (now 57%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:52: Cooper Legas pass intercepted Daedae Hill return for 16 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK) — FAU win probability +7.2 pts (now 53%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:03: Gemari Sands run for 22 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK) — FAU win probability +14.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:07: Tyriq Starks pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 78 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK) — FAU win probability +10.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TLSA made the numbers' call on 10 of 13FAU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:21TLSA 4th & 17 at TLSA 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:30TLSA 4th & 3 at TLSA 32, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.5%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    49.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:03FAU 4th & 8 at TLSA 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    51.0%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:42TLSA 4th & 3 at FAU 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    48.8%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:21TLSA 4th & 8 at TLSA 31, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:24FAU 4th & 12 at FAU 32, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−1.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:47TLSA 4th & 19 at TLSA 15, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−2.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:59FAU 4th & 4 at FAU 45, up 5
    Close callPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:36TLSA 4th & 4 at TLSA 31, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:09TLSA 4th & 12 at FAU 22, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    25.1%−4.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:51TLSA 4th & 10 at TLSA 41, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:55TLSA 4th & 10 at FAU 28, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:08TLSA 4th & 3 at TLSA 32, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:27TLSA 4th & 4 at TLSA 38, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:36FAU 4th & 8 at TLSA 31, up 40
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:55TLSA 4th & 9 at TLSA 32, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:03FAU 4th & 2 at TLSA 4, up 40
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:30TLSA 4th & 5 at FAU 21, down 47
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TLSA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2FAU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 9:29FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:52FAU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:03FAU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:07FAU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:38FAU Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:12FAU Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:10TLSA Touchdown, down 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:04FAU Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 7:18TLSA Touchdown, down 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 5:02FAU Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 5:03FAU Touchdown, up 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TLSADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:2759% → 59%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
58.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 6 yds to the TLSA 31Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-13
58.8%
Cooper Legas sacked by Wendol Philord for a loss of 13 yards to the TLSA 18Similar
Q1 13:59
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
58.8%
Anthony Watkins run for no gain to the TLSA 18Similar
Q1 13:21
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
58.7%
Angus Davies punt for 53 yds , Omari Hayes returns for no gain to the FAU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:4141% → 44%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-4
58.8%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the FAU 24Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 14
OWN 24
+19
58.9%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 19 yds to the FAU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
58.6%
Tyriq Starks run for 4 yds to the FAU 47Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 6
OWN 47
-3
58.6%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the FAU 44Similar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+15
58.7%
(11:03) Shotgun Starks,Tyriq pass incomplete deep middle to Smith, Jr.,Jabari thrown to TLS17 PENALTY TLS Pass Interference (Jones,Malachai) 15 yards from FAU44 to TLS41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
58.4%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 3 yds to the TLSA 38Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+10
58.4%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 10 yds to the TLSA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
56.3%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to Kahlil Brantley for 28 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 3DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5057% → 56%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
56.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 7 yds to the TLSA 32Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
56.8%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Anthony WatkinsSimilar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
56.4%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Kamdyn BenjaminSimilar
Q1 8:30
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+1
56.2%
Ethan Hall run for 1 yd to the TLSA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4MISSED FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2145% → 45%
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
55.5%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for no gain to the TLSA 33Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
55.3%
Tyriq Starks pass incomplete to Zeke MooreSimilar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+2
55.4%
Gemari Sands run for 2 yds to the TLSA 31Similar
Q1 7:03
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+49
55.5%
Carter Davis 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:1256% → 56%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
56.2%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 16 yds to the TLSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
56.7%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Joseph WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
56.6%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+7
56.0%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Viron Ellison Jr. for 7 yds to the FAU 46Similar
Q1 5:42
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
55.5%
Angus Davies punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6SF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-2
57.1%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0157% → 56%
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
56.6%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 3 yds to the TLSA 32Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-1
56.5%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the TLSA 31Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
56.0%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Kamdyn BenjaminSimilar
Q1 4:21
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
55.7%
Angus Davies punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FAU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:4643% → 43%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
56.6%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to Xavier Terrell for 5 yds to the FAU 15Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+11
56.7%
Tyriq Starks run for 11 yds to the FAU 26Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+8
56.3%
Tyriq Starks run for 8 yds to the FAU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
55.6%
Tyriq Starks pass incomplete to Elijah BrownSimilar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-2
55.8%
Tyriq Starks sacked by Zach Neilsen for a loss of 2 yards to the FAU 32Similar
Q1 1:31
3RD & 12
OWN 32
0
56.4%
Tyriq Starks pass incomplete to Omari HayesSimilar
Q1 1:24
4TH & 12
OWN 32
0
56.7%
Logan Lupo punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kamdyn Benjamin at the TLSA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:2555% → 54%
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
55.0%
Cooper Legas run for 2 yds to the TLSA 26Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
55.0%
Anthony Watkins run for no gain to the TLSA 26Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 26
-11
54.0%
Cooper Legas sacked by Jackson Ambush for a loss of 11 yards to the TLSA 15Similar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 19
OWN 15
0
53.5%
Angus Davies punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FAU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4146% → 45%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
54.3%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 8 yds to the FAU 47Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+1
53.9%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to Zeke Moore for 1 yd to the FAU 48Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 1
OWN 48
-3
54.1%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the FAU 45Similar
Q2 12:59
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
54.7%
Logan Lupo punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kamdyn Benjamin at the TLSA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 11INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-16
47.5%
Cooper Legas pass intercepted Daedae Hill return for 16 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0848% → 47%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
47.6%
Lloyd Avant run for 2 yds to the TLSA 27Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
47.3%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Joseph Williams for 4 yds to the TLSA 31Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
46.8%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Joseph WilliamsSimilar
Q2 11:36
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+7
46.5%
Angus Davies punt for 44 yds , Omari Hayes returns for 7 yds to the FAU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 2:2656% → 73%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
44.5%
Tyriq Starks run for 7 yds to the FAU 39Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+13
43.5%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 13 yds to the TLSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
42.5%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to Zeke Moore for 3 yds to the TLSA 45Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+23
42.2%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 23 yds to the TLSA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
27.4%
Gemari Sands run for 22 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 14MISSED FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:4436% → 34%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
35.7%
Kirk Francis pass complete to Grayson Tempest for 43 yds to the FAU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
38.3%
Kirk Francis run for 4 yds to the FAU 28Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+8
38.1%
Kirk Francis pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 8 yds to the FAU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
37.7%
(07:34) No Huddle-Shotgun Carpenter,Tim rush right for 12 yards gain to the FAU08 (Johnson,Lawrence; Ambush,Jackson) PENALTY TLS Holding (McGary,Luke) 10 yards from FAU20 to FAU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 20
OPP 30
+5
36.3%
Kirk Francis pass complete to Ethan Hall for 5 yds to the FAU 25Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 15
OPP 25
0
35.8%
Kirk Francis pass incomplete to Kamdyn BenjaminSimilar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 15
OPP 25
+3
34.7%
Kirk Francis pass complete to Anthony Watkins for 3 yds to the FAU 22Similar
Q2 6:09
4TH & 12
OPP 22
+40
33.7%
Seth Morgan 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15TD
3 plays · 78 yds · 0:5774% → 84%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
26.5%
Tyriq Starks pass incomplete to Dominique HenrySimilar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
26.5%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for no gain to the FAU 22Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+78
16.0%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 78 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:0512% → 12%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
11.5%
Kirk Francis pass complete to Joseph Williams for 16 yds to the TLSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
11.8%
Kirk Francis pass incomplete to Luke McGarySimilar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
11.4%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for no gain to the TLSA 41Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
12.9%
Kirk Francis pass incomplete to Kamdyn BenjaminSimilar
Q2 3:51
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
12.4%
Angus Davies punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17TD
2 plays · 93 yds · 0:0088% → 89%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+93
12.2%
Xavier Terrell run for 93 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
10.6%
PENALTY FAU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Richardson,Daughtry) 15 yards from FAU35 to FAU20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 18INT
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:579% → 8%
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
8.9%
Kirk Francis pass complete to Viron Ellison Jr. for 3 yds to the TLSA 45Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+4
8.3%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 4 yds to the TLSA 49Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+3
8.0%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 3 yds to the FAU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
8.2%
Kirk Francis pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19TD
1 play · 76 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+76
8.0%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to Jabari Smith for 76 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 20TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 1:556% → 5%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
5.6%
Anthony Watkins run for no gain to the TLSA 25Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
5.2%
Anthony Watkins run for 7 yds to the TLSA 32Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
4.7%
Anthony Watkins run for 4 yds to the TLSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
5.1%
Kirk Francis pass incomplete to Jacob EmmersSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
4.5%
Kirk Francis pass complete to Anthony Watkins for 5 yds to the TLSA 41Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+24
4.2%
Kirk Francis pass complete to Luke McGary for 24 yds to the FAU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
4.9%
Kirk Francis pass complete to Viron Ellison Jr. for 5 yds to the FAU 30Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+9
4.3%
Kirk Francis pass complete to Viron Ellison Jr. for 9 yds to the FAU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
4.5%
Kirk Francis pass complete to Luke McGary for 4 yds to the FAU 17Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+7
4.1%
Kirk Francis pass complete to Connor Vaughn for 7 yds to the FAU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
5.0%
Kirk Francis pass incomplete to Joseph WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
5.2%
Kirk Francis pass complete to Luke McGary for 10 yds for a TD (Seth Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
5.8%
Kneel down by Fla. Atlantic at FAU16 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22FUMBLE
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:4594% → 96%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
6.5%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the FAU 24Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
6.0%
Tyriq Starks run for 6 yds to the FAU 30Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
5.6%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to George Johnson III for 8 yds to the FAU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
5.0%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 2 yds to the FAU 40Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
4.5%
Gemari Sands run for no gain to the FAU 40 Gemari Sands fumbled, recovered by TLSA Chris ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 23MISSED FG
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:096% → 5%
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
6.1%
Kirk Francis pass complete to Anthony Watkins for 8 yds to the FAU 32Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+4
6.1%
Anthony Watkins run for 4 yds to the FAU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
5.0%
Kirk Francis pass incomplete to Joseph WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
4.8%
Kirk Francis pass incomplete to Zion SteptoeSimilar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
4.6%
Kirk Francis pass incomplete to Joseph WilliamsSimilar
Q3 10:55
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+46
4.5%
Seth Morgan 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 1:4296% → 97%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-6
4.0%
Tyriq Starks sacked by Chris Thompson for a loss of 6 yards to the FAU 22Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 16
OWN 22
+58
3.7%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 58 yds to the TLSA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
3.3%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 15 yds to the TLSA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
2.6%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to Wyatt Sullivan for 5 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 25TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:393% → 3%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
2.5%
Braylin Presley run for 8 yds to the TLSA 38Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 2
OWN 38
0
2.3%
Kirk Francis pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for no gain to the TLSA 38Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+4
2.2%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 4 yds to the TLSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+37
2.3%
Kirk Francis pass complete to Joseph Williams for 37 yds to the FAU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
2.2%
Kirk Francis pass incomplete to Kamdyn BenjaminSimilar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
3.2%
Kirk Francis pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 21 yds for a TD (Seth Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 26TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:0897% → 98%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
2.7%
Tyriq Starks run for 12 yds to the FAU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
2.2%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for no gain to the FAU 37Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+8
2.0%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to Dominique Henry for 8 yds to the FAU 45Similar
Q3 5:02
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+55
1.7%
Xavier Terrell run for 55 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:411% → 1%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
1.2%
Kirk Francis pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 7 yds to the TLSA 32Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
1.1%
Braylin Presley run for no gain to the TLSA 32Similar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
1.1%
Kirk Francis pass incomplete to Kamdyn BenjaminSimilar
Q3 4:08
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
1.1%
Scott Stanford punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FAU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 28INT
6 plays · 37 yds · 3:2099% → 99%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
1.5%
Gemari Sands run for 2 yds to the FAU 37Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
1.4%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to Leon Washington Jr. for no gain to the FAU 37Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+24
1.3%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to Gemari Sands for 24 yds to the TLSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
1.1%
Gemari Sands run for no gain to the TLSA 39Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+11
1.0%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to George Johnson III for 11 yds to the TLSA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
1.0%
Tyriq Starks pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 29FUMBLE
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:051% → 1%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
0.7%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 15 yds to the TLSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
0.6%
Tulsa Penalty, Personal Foul (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+11
0.6%
Kirk Francis pass complete to Zion Steptoe for 11 yds to the TLSA 38Similar
Q4 14:34
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
0.6%
Kirk Francis pass incomplete to Zion SteptoeSimilar
Q4 14:27
4TH & 4
OWN 38
-5
0.5%
Kirk Francis sacked by Jordan Church for a loss of 5 yards to the TLSA 33 Kirk Francis fumbled, recovered by FAU Jordan Church , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 30MISSED FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4299% → 99%
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
0.8%
CJ Campbell Jr. run for 2 yds to the TLSA 31Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+1
0.8%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 1 yd to the TLSA 30Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 7
OPP 30
-1
0.7%
Tyriq Starks run for a loss of 1 yard to the TLSA 31Similar
Q4 12:36
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+49
0.7%
Carter Davis 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 31PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:350% → 0%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
0.4%
Anthony Watkins run for 1 yd to the TLSA 32Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
0.4%
Kirk Francis pass incomplete to Kamdyn BenjaminSimilar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
0.4%
Kirk Francis pass incomplete to Kamdyn BenjaminSimilar
Q4 11:55
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
0.4%
Scott Stanford punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FAU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 32TD
14 plays · 60 yds · 6:41100% → 100%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
0.5%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 8 yds to the FAU 48Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 2
OWN 48
0
0.5%
Tyriq Starks pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+7
0.5%
Tyriq Starks run for 7 yds to the TLSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
0.4%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 9 yds to the TLSA 36Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 1
OPP 36
0
0.4%
Tyriq Starks pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+9
0.3%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 9 yds to the TLSA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
0.3%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 2 yds to the TLSA 25Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
0.3%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to Leon Washington Jr. for no gain to the TLSA 25Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+13
0.3%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to George Johnson III for 13 yds to the TLSA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
0.2%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 3 yds to the TLSA 9Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+4
0.2%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 4 yds to the TLSA 5Similar
Q4 5:48
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+1
0.2%
Kaden Shields-Dutton run for 1 yd to the TLSA 4Similar
Q4 5:03
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+4
0.3%
Tyriq Starks pass complete to Kahlil Brantley for 4 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 33FUMBLE
7 plays · 59 yds · 2:230% → 0%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.1%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 2 yds to the TLSA 27Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+47
0.1%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 32 yds to the FAU 41 for a 1ST down Florida Atlantic Penalty, Personal Foul (Fabian Scott) to the FAU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
0.1%
Cooper Legas run for 5 yds to the FAU 21Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 5
OPP 21
0
0.1%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Joseph WilliamsSimilar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 5
OPP 21
0
0.1%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for no gain to the FAU 21Similar
Q4 2:30
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+5
0.1%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Viron Ellison Jr. for 5 yds Viron Ellison Jr. fumbled, recovered by FAU Eric Brantley Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 34FUMBLE
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:24100% → 100%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
0.2%
Tremonte Underwood Jr. run for 6 yds to the FAU 22Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+10
0.1%
Tremonte Underwood Jr. run for 10 yds to the FAU 32 Tremonte Underwood Jr. fumbled, recovered by TLSA Georderrial WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 35END OF GAME
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
0.1%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Jacob EmmersSimilar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
0.1%
Cooper Legas run for no gain to the FAU 32Similar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+5
0.1%
PENALTY FAU Offside (Ifeanyi,Chisom) 5 yards from FAU32 to FAU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:43
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+8
0.1%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Joseph Williams for 8 yds to the FAU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
0.1%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Joseph WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+8
0.1%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Zion Steptoe for 8 yds to the FAU 11Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+2
0.0%
Stephen Kittleman pass complete to Ethan Hall for 2 yds to the FAU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:03
Gemari Sands run for 22 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)
-14.8
TD · Q2 5:07
Tyriq Starks pass complete to CJ Campbell Jr. for 78 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)
-10.5
TD · Q2 12:52
Cooper Legas pass intercepted Daedae Hill return for 16 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)
-7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com