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UTSA

UTSA 24 at Army 29

ARMY
2024 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:03 · Noah Short run for 4 yds to the UTSA 41 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 13Pregame prior+14.5Home team on offense+0.4Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Blowout margin−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:13: Devin McCuin 23 Yd pass from Owen McCown (Tate Sandell Kick) — UTSA win probability +12.2 pts (now 50%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 1:34: Trey Gronotte 22 yd FG GOOD — ARMY win probability +6.0 pts (now 56%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q4 12:19: Bryson Daily run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — ARMY win probability +18.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:26: Bryson Daily run for 42 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK) — ARMY win probability +12.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:10: Brandon High Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK) — UTSA win probability +29.3 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 8 of 9UTSA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:09ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    67.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:37ARMY 4th & 4 at ARMY 42, tied
    Close callWent for it · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    67.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:03ARMY 4th & 3 at UTSA 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    66.8%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    67.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:25ARMY 4th & 3 at UTSA 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    66.0%−0.2
    72% to make
    Punt
    63.9%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:34UTSA 4th & 14 at UTSA 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:29ARMY 4th & 14 at ARMY 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:22UTSA 4th & 8 at UTSA 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:17ARMY 4th & 11 at UTSA 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    59.2%−4.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:39UTSA 4th & 6 at ARMY 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    28.3%−6.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:13UTSA 4th & 1 at ARMY 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    32.3%−2.6
    70% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−10.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:34ARMY 4th & 5 at UTSA 5, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    34.5%−12.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:56UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 16, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    43.4%−4.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:50ARMY 4th & 1 at UTSA 32, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    85.2%−3.8
    51% to make
    Punt
    82.4%−6.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:56ARMY 4th & 10 at UTSA 30, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    87.2%−2.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UTSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:23ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:45UTSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:13UTSA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:19ARMY Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    73.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:26ARMY Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:10UTSA Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARMYDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 7:3466% → 69%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.4%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Noah ShortSimilar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
66.3%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ARMY 28Similar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+7
66.3%
Noah Short run for 7 yds to the ARMY 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
66.1%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
66.3%
Kanye Udoh run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARMY 35Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 11
OWN 35
-1
66.1%
Tyrell Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARMY 34Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+8
65.9%
Bryson Daily run for 8 yds to the ARMY 42Similar
Q1 10:37
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+6
65.9%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Noah Short for 6 yds to the ARMY 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
66.4%
Jake Rendina run for 1 yd to the ARMY 49Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+1
66.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 8
50
+5
66.0%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the UTSA 45Similar
Q1 8:03
4TH & 3
OPP 45
+4
65.8%
Noah Short run for 4 yds to the UTSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
68.9%
Tyrell Robinson 41 Yd pass from Bryson Daily (Trey Gronotte Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2TD
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:1132% → 36%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
67.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 6 yds to the ARMY 47Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 4
OPP 47
-1
67.4%
Brandon High Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARMY 48Similar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+8
67.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 8 yds to the ARMY 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
67.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to Willie McCoy for 4 yds to the ARMY 36Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
67.6%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Patrick OvermyerSimilar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+26
67.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 26 yds to the ARMY 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
63.7%
Brandon High Jr. 10 Yd Run (Tate Sandell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 3DOWNS
14 plays · 54 yds · 6:1265% → 66%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
65.2%
Noah Short run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARMY 23Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
65.0%
Noah Short run for 1 yd to the ARMY 24Similar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+21
64.3%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 21 yds to the ARMY 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
66.0%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Casey ReynoldsSimilar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+15
65.7%
Bryson Daily run for 15 yds to the UTSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
66.8%
Tyrell Robinson run for 7 yds to the UTSA 33Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+2
67.3%
Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the UTSA 31Similar
Q1 0:56
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+2
66.8%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the UTSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
67.4%
Jake Rendina run for 1 yd to the UTSA 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+1
67.4%
Tyrell Robinson run for 1 yd to the UTSA 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+5
66.8%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the UTSA 22Similar
Q2 13:25
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+1
66.0%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the UTSA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:4536% → 35%
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
64.0%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Patrick OvermyerSimilar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-10
64.0%
(13:14) No Huddle-Shotgun McCown,Owen pass complete short right to Amador II,David caught at UTSA18, for 2 yards loss to the UTSA19 (Larkin,Casey) PENALTY UTSA Holding (McCuin,Devin) 10 yards from UTSA21 to UTSA11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 20
OWN 11
+14
64.1%
Owen McCown run for 14 yds to the UTSA 25Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 6
OWN 25
-8
64.2%
Owen McCown sacked by Kalib Fortner for a loss of 8 yards to the UTSA 17Similar
Q2 11:34
4TH & 14
OWN 17
0
65.0%
Caile Hogan punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:5667% → 64%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
67.0%
Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the UTSA 45Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-3
67.0%
Noah Short run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTSA 48Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 10
OPP 48
-4
65.8%
Bryson Daily sacked by Donyai Taylor for a loss of 4 yards to the ARMY 48Similar
Q2 9:29
4TH & 14
OWN 48
0
64.4%
James Wagenseller punt for 37 yds, fair catch by David Amador II at the UTSA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0237% → 35%
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
63.3%
Willie McCoy run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTSA 12 Willie McCoy fumbled, recovered by UTSA Willie McCoySimilar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 13
OWN 12
0
63.4%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Devin McCuinSimilar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 13
OWN 12
+5
64.0%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 5 yds to the UTSA 17Similar
Q2 8:22
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
64.6%
Caile Hogan punt for 49 yds , Tyrell Robinson returns for no gain to the ARMY 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 7FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:4865% → 67%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+27
65.3%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 27 yds to the UTSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
67.1%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the UTSA 35Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
67.8%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Noah ShortSimilar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+14
66.9%
Bryson Daily run for 14 yds to the UTSA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
67.8%
Bryson Daily sacked by Jimmori Robinson for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 22Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 11
OPP 22
0
67.7%
Hayden Reed run for no gain to the UTSA 22Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 11
OPP 22
0
66.7%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Tyrell RobinsonSimilar
Q2 5:17
4TH & 11
OPP 22
+39
66.9%
Trey Gronotte 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8FG
15 plays · 58 yds · 3:2333% → 43%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
66.7%
Brandon High Jr. run for 6 yds to the UTSA 33Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+5
65.8%
Brandon High Jr. run for 5 yds to the UTSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
65.6%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Devin McCuinSimilar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
65.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 3 yds to the UTSA 41Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+20
65.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 20 yds to the ARMY 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
64.2%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Patrick OvermyerSimilar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
64.2%
Brandon High Jr. run for no gain to the ARMY 39Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+20
64.8%
Owen McCown run for 20 yds to the ARMY 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
61.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 4 yds to the ARMY 15Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
60.7%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to David Amador IISimilar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
61.9%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Houston ThomasSimilar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+33
57.2%
Tate Sandell 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9FUMBLE
5 plays · 35 yds · 0:2363% → 66%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
62.6%
Noah Short run for 6 yds to the ARMY 31Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
63.7%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Noah ShortSimilar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+29
61.9%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Noah Short for 29 yds to the UTSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
65.8%
Noah Short run for no gain to the UTSA 40 Noah Short fumbled, recovered by UTSA Christian ClaytonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:4243% → 44%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
56.9%
Owen McCown run for 4 yds to the UTSA 44Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
55.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to JJ Sparkman for 5 yds to the UTSA 49Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 1
OWN 49
-2
55.7%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTSA 47 fumbled, recovered by UTSA Andon ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11FG
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:1566% → 70%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
65.6%
Bryson Daily run for 7 yds to the UTSA 40Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 3
OPP 40
0
65.7%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Samari HowardSimilar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+5
64.9%
Noah Short run for 5 yds to the UTSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+17
66.8%
Bryson Daily run for 17 yds to the UTSA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+35
70.2%
Trey Gronotte 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:4034% → 50%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
66.1%
Brandon High Jr. run for 4 yds to the UTSA 29Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
65.5%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Willie McCoySimilar
Q3 14:21
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
66.7%
Owen McCown run for 14 yds to the UTSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
63.8%
Brandon High Jr. run for 5 yds to the UTSA 48Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+8
63.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 8 yds to the ARMY 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
62.9%
Brandon High Jr. run for 6 yds to the ARMY 38Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+6
62.4%
Brandon High Jr. run for 6 yds to the ARMY 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
61.6%
Brandon High Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARMY 34Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+7
62.1%
Bryson Donnell run for 7 yds to the ARMY 27Similar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+4
62.5%
Bryson Donnell run for 4 yds to the ARMY 23Similar
Q3 10:13
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+23
50.3%
Devin McCuin 23 Yd pass from Owen McCown (Tate Sandell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13FG
18 plays · 70 yds · 8:3153% → 56%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
52.8%
Noah Short run for 1 yd to the ARMY 26Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
52.3%
Noah Short run for 9 yds to the ARMY 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
52.8%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 37Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+6
52.8%
Noah Short run for 6 yds to the ARMY 43Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
53.0%
Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ARMY 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
53.6%
(07:08) PENALTY UTSA Offside (Buxton,Jameian) 5 yards from ARMY46 to UTSA49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 5
OPP 49
0
54.6%
Kanye Udoh run for no gain to the UTSA 49Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+5
54.2%
Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the UTSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
54.4%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 6 yds to the UTSA 38Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+5
53.2%
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the UTSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+28
53.0%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Liam Fortner for 28 yds to the UTSA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
52.8%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the UTSA 1Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
52.6%
Bryson Daily run for no gain to the UTSA 1Similar
Q3 1:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
50.1%
PENALTY ARMY False Start (Crossan,David) 4 yards from UTSA01 to UTSA05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
50.1%
Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Samari HowardSimilar
Q3 1:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
56.1%
Trey Gronotte 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2046% → 45%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
53.9%
Brandon High Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTSA 10Similar
Q3 0:41
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+5
53.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 5 yds to the UTSA 15Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+1
53.0%
Brandon High Jr. run for 1 yd to the UTSA 16Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 1
OWN 16
0
54.7%
Brandon High Jr. run for no gain to the UTSA 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15TD
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:2860% → 78%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
60.4%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the UTSA 14Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+9
60.3%
Noah Short run for 9 yds to the UTSA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
59.7%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the UTSA 1Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
59.7%
Bryson Daily run for no gain to the UTSA 1Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.0%
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16INT
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:5330% → 36%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
69.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 11 yds to the UTSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
68.1%
Brandon High Jr. run for 5 yds to the UTSA 41Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+11
65.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 11 yds to the ARMY 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-41
64.4%
Owen McCown pass intercepted Collin Matteson return for 41 yds to the UTSA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17TD
2 plays · 46 yds · 0:4580% → 93%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
80.2%
Noah Short run for 4 yds to the UTSA 42Similar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+42
93.1%
Bryson Daily run for 42 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:098% → 39%
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
91.8%
Brandon High Jr. run for 7 yds to the UTSA 32Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
90.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to Patrick Overmyer for 8 yds to the UTSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+54
90.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 54 yds to the ARMY 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
61.4%
Brandon High Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19MISSED FG
17 plays · 45 yds · 7:0778% → 94%
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.6%
Tyrell Robinson run for no gain to the ARMY 25Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
81.1%
Tyrell Robinson run for 1 yd to the ARMY 26Similar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
81.2%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 10 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
84.6%
Noah Short run for no gain to the ARMY 36Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+23
84.8%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 23 yds to the UTSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
87.6%
Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the UTSA 36Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+4
88.0%
Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the UTSA 32Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 1
OPP 32
0
88.4%
Jake Rendina run for no gain to the UTSA 32Similar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+2
88.8%
Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the UTSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
92.3%
Jake Rendina run for 1 yd to the UTSA 29Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
93.2%
Bryson Daily run for no gain to the UTSA 29Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 9
OPP 29
-1
94.8%
Bryson Daily pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 30Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+47
93.6%
Trey Gronotte 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20INT
4 plays · 27 yds · 0:2615% → 18%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
85.3%
Owen McCown run for 6 yds to the UTSA 36Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 4
OWN 36
0
85.1%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to David Amador IISimilar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+21
85.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 6 yds to the ARMY 42 for a 1ST down Army Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Justin Weaver) to the ARMY 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
82.4%
Owen McCown pass intercepted Gavin Shields return for 10 yds to the ARMY 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 21END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:5295% → 96%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
95.2%
B. Daily takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 19
-1
95.8%
B. Daily takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:10
Brandon High Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)
-29.3
TD · Q4 12:19
Bryson Daily run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+18.3
TD · Q4 10:26
Bryson Daily run for 42 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
+12.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com